Core Viewpoint - Recent announcements from multiple banks regarding the addition or adjustment of various service fees have sparked widespread market attention, indicating a shift in the banking sector's revenue strategies in response to ongoing pressure on net interest margins [1][4]. Service Fee Adjustments - Suzhou Bank announced a new service fee for its "Respect Card" with an annual fee of 588 yuan for platinum cards, effective from September 10, 2025 [2]. - Uihai Bank will start charging for credit business and syndicate loan services, with personal deposit certificate fees set at 20 yuan per copy and credit certificate fees at 200 yuan per copy [2]. - Other local banks, such as Qingyang Rural Commercial Bank and Lujiang Rural Commercial Bank, have also announced fee adjustments, including a new ATM withdrawal fee of 3.3 yuan per transaction for debit cards starting September 1 [2]. - China Bank will adjust its credit card settlement service fees starting June 10, 2025, with changes to transaction fees based on a percentage of the withdrawal amount [2]. Reasons for Fee Adjustments - The recent adjustments in service fees are attributed to the banks' need to respond to the earlier "fee reduction and benefit" policies, which expanded the range of free services [3]. - Banks are increasingly focusing on non-interest income to counteract the pressure on net interest margins, leading to the introduction of new service fees within regulatory compliance [3][4]. Exploring New Revenue Paths - Banks are actively seeking new revenue channels through the addition of service fees, which can help optimize their income structure and enhance sustainability in serving the real economy [4]. - The adjustments in service fees necessitate improved communication with customers to explain the rationale behind the fees and the value of services provided, balancing profitability with customer satisfaction [4]. Diversification of Revenue Sources - In addition to new service fees, banks are encouraged to explore diversified revenue paths through business expansion and product innovation [5]. - Strategies include moving beyond traditional lending models to offer comprehensive financial services and developing specialized credit products aligned with emerging industries and societal trends [5].

Core Viewpoint - Recent increases in service fees by banks are a response to the pressure on net interest margins, aiming to enhance profitability in a challenging economic environment [1][4]. Group 1: Fee Increases by Major Banks - Major banks, including state-owned banks and local banks, are collectively raising service fees, with adjustments to credit card transaction fees and other banking services [2][3]. - China Bank plans to adjust its credit card service fee structure, effective June 10, 2025, with new fees based on a percentage of the withdrawal amount [2]. - Local banks like Uihai Bank and Chouzhou Commercial Bank are also introducing new fees for various services, including personal credit certificates and international mailing [3]. Group 2: Financial Performance and Challenges - The banking sector is facing significant pressure on profitability, with the net interest margin reported at 1.43% as of the first quarter of 2025, a year-on-year decrease of 11 basis points [4]. - Chouzhou Commercial Bank reported a decline in net profit by 36.94% year-on-year, despite a slight increase in revenue, indicating a challenging operating environment [4]. - Analysts suggest that while banks are increasing fees to alleviate revenue pressure, this may not be a sustainable long-term solution [4]. Group 3: Strategic Recommendations - Experts recommend that banks focus on business innovation and enhancing core competitiveness rather than solely relying on fee increases [6]. - It is suggested that banks should deeply understand local market behaviors and tailor their services accordingly to improve competitiveness [6]. - The emphasis should be on innovative business practices that are unique to local banks, rather than pursuing growth through increased fees during periods of narrowing interest margins [6].

文 ： 华创证券研究所副所长 、首席宏观分析师 张瑜（执业证号：S0360518090001） 联系人： 陆银波（15210860866） 报告摘要 前言： 本周主要聚焦居民工资。国内居民工资的调查来自季度的居民住户调查以及年度的劳动工资调查。 我们从四个关系予以分析目前的工资情况。包括可支配收入中工资的占比（收入有多依赖工资）、不同群 体工资增速的强与弱、工资总额的分配变化、工资增速与转移性支出增速的比较（工资扣除项）。 一、可支配收入中有多少来自工资？ 根据居民住户调查， 2024 年，全国居民人均可支配收入 41314 元，全国居民人均工资性收入 23327 元， 即可支配收入中来自工资性收入的比重为 56.5% 。 2025 年 1 季度，这一比例为 57.3% ，从 2013 年以来 的同期数据来看，这一比例属于历史同期偏高水平。 关于工资数据，需要强调的是不包括单位缴纳的社保和公积金（注：资金流量表中的劳动者报酬包括）， 包括现金收入和实物收入，包含个人所得税、个人缴纳的社会保险等的应发收入。 私营单位为"内资企业中的私营有限责任公司、私营股份有限公司、个人独资企业和合伙企业。"非私营单 位为"除 ...

Core Viewpoint - The emergence of the "Trump 2.0 era" signifies a fundamental shift in global dynamics, rather than a temporary phenomenon, with significant implications for the future of the U.S. and the world [2][3]. Group 1: Global Dynamics and Geopolitical Changes - The current global situation is characterized by three key trends: Protectionism, Politicization, and Polarization, which are reshaping geopolitical and economic rules [3][4]. - Non-aligned third-party countries are rising in influence, moving away from the binary "us vs. them" mentality, and engaging in diverse partnerships across various regions [7][10]. - The U.S. is rapidly losing its global standing due to its current policies, which are leading it towards a developing country status [3][10]. Group 2: Economic Implications for China - China's GDP growth is projected to reach 5%, but underlying issues such as corporate debt, consumer confidence, and employment pressures remain [21][22]. - To transition into a consumption-driven economy, China must address social security issues and shift focus from production to consumer support [22][23]. - The current global economic landscape presents a "golden opportunity" for China to enhance the international status of the Renminbi, especially as capital flows away from the U.S. [24][25]. Group 3: Technological Advancements and AI - The impact of AI is expected to be more profound than the Industrial Revolution, presenting both opportunities and challenges for developing countries [5][31]. - Countries must adapt their education systems to prepare for the skills needed in an AI-driven economy, ensuring that they do not fall behind [31][33]. - The rise of AI necessitates a collaborative approach among nations to address global challenges, rather than fostering competition [38]. Group 4: Corporate Strategies and Market Positioning - Chinese companies expanding overseas should prioritize localization and identify their core competitive advantages to avoid pitfalls associated with price competition [17][18]. - The need for a shift in competitive thinking is crucial, as many Chinese firms face narrow profit margins and must innovate rather than imitate [17][18]. - The concept of "mayor economy" highlights the importance of local government support in fostering private enterprise and driving industrial growth [28].

证券研究报告 【每周经济观察】 四个关系看居民工资 主要观点 根据居民住户调查,2024年,全国居民人均可支配收入 41314元,全国居民 人均工资性收入 23327元,即可支配收入中来自工资性收入的比重为 56.5%。 2025年1 李度,这一比例为 57.3%,从2013年以来的同期数据来看,这一比 例属于历史同期偏高水平。 表中的劳动者报酬包括),包括现金收入和实物收入,包含个人所得税、个人 缴纳的社会保险等的应发收入。 二、哪些群体的工资增速更快? * 关于工资数据,需要强调的是不包括单位缴纳的社保和公积金(注:资金流量 宏观研究 每周经济观察 2025年06月16日 华创证券研究所 证券分析师:张瑜 电话:010-66500887 邮箱:zhangyu3@hcyjs.com 执业编号:S0360518090001 证券分析师:陆银波 电话:010-66500831 邮箱:luyinbo@hcyjs.com 执业编号:S0360519100003 (一)分城乡:农村居民工资增速更高 2024年城镇居民人均工资性收入增速为5.04%,与 GDP 增速基本持平。农村 居民人均工资性收入增速为 6.94%, ...

Core Viewpoint - Baba Food, known as the "first stock of buns," is facing challenges with declining store revenue and high closure rates, despite plans to open 1,000 new stores this year and pursue investment and acquisition projects to enhance market share [1][10]. Financial Performance - Baba Food's revenue for 2022-2024 is projected at 1.525 billion, 1.630 billion, and 1.671 billion yuan, with year-on-year growth rates of 10.88%, 6.89%, and 2.53% respectively. Net profit for the same period is expected to be 223 million, 213.7 million, and 277 million yuan, with growth rates of -29.06%, -4.04%, and 29.42% [3][4]. - In Q1 of this year, Baba Food's revenue increased by 4.45% to 370 million yuan, while net profit decreased by 6.13% to 37 million yuan, attributed to stock fluctuations in Dongpeng Beverage [3][4]. Store Operations - Baba Food has maintained an annual opening of over 1,000 stores in the past three years, but the number of closures has significantly increased, with over 900 stores closed last year. The total number of stores only grew by 100 due to high closure rates [1][3]. - The average revenue per franchise store has declined from 254,500 yuan in 2022 to 242,300 yuan in 2024, contributing to the high closure rate of franchise stores [5][6]. Revenue Sources - In 2024, revenue from franchise stores is expected to decrease by 0.42% to 1.246 billion yuan, accounting for 74.57% of total revenue. Direct store revenue is projected to drop by 22.83% to 21.02 million yuan, while group meal sales are expected to grow by 15.31% to 380 million yuan, making up 22.74% of total revenue [4][6]. Market Strategy - Baba Food plans to open 1,000 new stores this year through both organic growth and acquisitions, including a partnership with Qinglu to enhance its brand presence [10][11]. - The company aims to stabilize single-store revenue by implementing a fresh food strategy, optimizing store layouts, and enhancing marketing efforts [10][11]. Competitive Landscape - The competitive environment has intensified, with a notable increase in the number of small restaurants entering the bun market, leading to higher closure rates among franchisees [11].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for China Resources Land (01109.HK) is "Buy" (maintained) [1][10][24] Core Views - The company maintains its position among the top three in the industry for sales, with a strong land acquisition strategy and steady growth in recurring income [5][8][10] - The forecast for net profit attributable to shareholders for 2025-2027 is projected at 28.99 billion, 31.70 billion, and 34.91 billion yuan, respectively, with corresponding EPS of 4.07, 4.45, and 4.90 yuan [5][9] - The current stock price corresponds to a PE ratio of 6.1, 5.6, and 5.1 for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, indicating a favorable valuation [5][9] Sales Performance - In May 2025, the total contract sales amount reached 18.35 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 11.4% but a month-on-month increase of 6.1% [6] - The average sales price increased significantly to 26,955 yuan per square meter, up 15.8% year-on-year, despite a decline in sales volume [6][18] Land Acquisition - The company ranked fourth in land acquisition amount from January to May 2025, with a total of 33.16 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 53% [7] - The average land acquisition price was 31,381 yuan per square meter, which is higher than the sales price, indicating a focus on high-quality land in major cities [7] Recurring Income - Recurring income for May 2025 was 4.09 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 6.2%, with rental income from operational real estate reaching 2.69 billion yuan, up 13.0% [8] - The company is focusing on core assets by divesting low-efficiency assets, such as the planned sale of the Nanxiang Colorful City project in Shanghai for approximately 300 to 400 million yuan [8]

宏观研究 证 券 研 究 报 告 【每周经济观察】 四个关系看居民工资 主要观点 ❖ 前言：本周主要聚焦居民工资。国内居民工资的调查来自季度的居民住户调查 以及年度的劳动工资调查。我们从四个关系予以分析目前的工资情况。包括可 支配收入中工资的占比（收入有多依赖工资）、不同群体工资增速的强与弱、 工资总额的分配变化、工资增速与转移性支出增速的比较（工资扣除项）。 ❖ 一、可支配收入中有多少来自工资？ 根据居民住户调查，2024 年，全国居民人均可支配收入 41314 元，全国居民 人均工资性收入 23327 元，即可支配收入中来自工资性收入的比重为 56.5%。 2025 年 1 季度，这一比例为 57.3%，从 2013 年以来的同期数据来看，这一比 例属于历史同期偏高水平。 关于工资数据，需要强调的是不包括单位缴纳的社保和公积金（注：资金流量 表中的劳动者报酬包括），包括现金收入和实物收入，包含个人所得税、个人 缴纳的社会保险等的应发收入。 ❖ 二、哪些群体的工资增速更快？ （一）分城乡：农村居民工资增速更高 2024 年城镇居民人均工资性收入增速为 5.04%，与 GDP 增速基本持平。农村 居民人均工资 ...

Core Insights - The State Post Bureau reported that the express delivery business revenue for January to May 2025 increased by 10.3% year-on-year [1] Summary by Category Industry Performance - In May, the postal industry's total business revenue (excluding direct operating income from postal savings banks) reached 149.6 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 7.5% [1] - The express delivery business revenue in May amounted to 125.6 billion yuan, showing an 8.2% year-on-year increase [1] - Cumulatively, from January to May, the postal industry generated a total business revenue of 718.7 billion yuan, which is an 8.0% year-on-year growth [1] - The cumulative express delivery business revenue for the same period reached 592.5 billion yuan, marking a 10.3% year-on-year increase [1]

金十数据6月16日讯，5月份，城镇消费品零售额36057亿元，同比增长6.5%；乡村消费品零售额5269亿 元，增长5.4%。1—5月份，城镇消费品零售额176490亿元，增长5.1%；乡村消费品零售额26681亿元， 增长4.9%。5月份，商品零售额36748亿元，同比增长6.5%；餐饮收入4578亿元，增长5.9%。1—5月 份，商品零售额180398亿元，增长5.1%；餐饮收入22773亿元，增长5.0%。 国家统计局：5月份，商品零售额36748亿元，同比增长6.5% ...