工程机械用钢作为钢铁行业与工程机械产业的重要一环，市场走势反映下游基建、制造业复苏及产业升 级的方向。近期国内市场以及海外市场同步驱动，工程机械用钢保持着稳步增加的运行态势。本文从产 销存的角度，对工程机械用钢近期市场运行状态进行解读。 一、生产品种差异化 高端产能供应不足 数据来源：钢联数据 从工程机械用钢品种来看，中厚板与优特圆钢在工程机械用钢当中最具有代表性。2025年中厚板整体实 际产量与优特钢呈现不同程度上的分化。其中中厚板保持着80%以上的利用率，而优特产能利用率却保 持着60%左右的波动，同时从相关产量上来看，优特钢月度产量较为平稳，中厚板产量变化相对较大。 同时从规模来看，2025年中厚板+优特钢实际产量在1.22亿吨，而工程机械用钢约占其中的40%左右， 2025年国内工程机械用钢产能达到5800万吨，显示行业生产节奏与市场需求基本匹配。头部钢企凭借技 术优势与客户绑定能力，产能释放更为充分，宝武集团、鞍钢、湖南华菱三家企业合计市场份额已提升 至63%，集中度持续走高。其中，宝武集团1500MPa级超高强钢产能实现增长，年供应量超80万吨，主 要配套三一重工、徐工集团等头部工程机械企业；南钢 ...

Core Insights - The global smartphone market is expected to grow in 2025, with an annual shipment volume reaching 1.26 billion units, representing a year-on-year increase of 1.9% [1] - Chinese smartphone manufacturers are increasingly focusing on both domestic and overseas markets, with significant growth in international shipments, particularly for Honor [1][4] Group 1: Market Trends - The Chinese smartphone market is evolving, with Honor launching three new models in January 2025, indicating a strategic push in product offerings [1] - Chinese manufacturers account for approximately 60% of global smartphone shipments, with Honor experiencing a notable 55% year-on-year increase in overseas shipments from Q1 to Q3 of 2025 [1][4] Group 2: Strategic Approaches - Chinese companies are adopting two main strategies for overseas expansion: full AI integration and brand premiumization, with a focus on "Glocal" strategies that combine global thinking with local actions [4] - Honor's international business has undergone a structural transformation, with overseas shipments rising from less than 10% of total shipments in early 2021 to nearly 50% by Q3 2025, marking a significant strategic shift [4] Group 3: High-End Market Focus - Honor is positioning itself in the mid-to-high-end market segment, with 23% of its overseas shipments falling within the $300–500 price range during the first three quarters of 2025 [5] - The European market is critical for high-end consumer electronics, and Honor aims to strengthen its presence there, maintaining a top-five market position in key Western European countries [7] Group 4: Product Innovation - Honor has enhanced its product lineup with advanced features, such as the ultra-thin Magic8 Pro Air, which weighs only 155g and is 6.1mm thick while maintaining high performance [10] - The introduction of the ROBOT PHONE, a smartphone integrated with AI capabilities, showcases the innovative direction of Chinese manufacturers [10] Group 5: AI and Technology Advancements - Since 2025, there have been significant advancements in AI capabilities for consumer smartphones, with Honor achieving breakthroughs in on-device AI processing [11] - Huawei's strengths lie in its underlying system capabilities, with the HarmonyOS 6 supporting multi-device AI computing, enhancing the overall user experience [11] Group 6: Future Outlook - 2025 marks a pivotal year for Honor as it transitions from a smartphone manufacturer to a leading AI terminal ecosystem company, with global shipments surpassing 71 million units [12] - The balance between scale expansion, AI capability implementation, and profitability will be crucial for Honor's position in the competitive landscape of smartphones and AI terminals [12]

Core Viewpoint - The global smartphone market is expected to grow, with shipments reaching 1.26 billion units in 2025, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 1.9%. Despite this recovery, the industry faces long-term challenges [1]. Group 1: Market Dynamics - Chinese smartphone manufacturers have established a significant presence in the global market, capturing approximately 60% of global shipments, with brands like OPPO, vivo, Xiaomi, and Honor leading the charge [1]. - Honor has experienced rapid growth, with a reported 55% year-on-year increase in overseas smartphone shipments from Q1 to Q3 of 2025, marking it as the fastest-growing brand among the top ten global smartphone manufacturers [1][4]. Group 2: Strategic Approaches - Chinese companies are adopting two core strategies for international expansion: comprehensive AI integration and high-end branding. This includes a "Glocal" strategy, which combines global thinking with local action [4]. - Honor's international business has undergone a structural transformation, with overseas shipments rising from less than 10% of total shipments in early 2021 to nearly 50% by Q3 2025, indicating a strategic pivot towards international markets [4]. Group 3: Market Segmentation - Historically, Chinese manufacturers dominated the global mid-to-low-end market, but now they are increasingly focusing on the mid-to-high-end segments to balance scale and profitability. Honor is positioning itself in the $300-$500 price range, which accounted for approximately 23% of its overseas shipments in the first three quarters of 2025 [5]. - The high-end market, particularly in Europe, is a critical battleground for consumer electronics, with Honor maintaining a top-five market position in key Western European markets and achieving a 15% year-on-year growth in Central and Eastern Europe [7]. Group 4: Product Innovation - To penetrate the high-end market, product capability is essential. Honor has launched advanced products like the Magic8 series, which features AI-driven capabilities and innovative designs [9]. - The introduction of the ROBOT PHONE, a smartphone integrated with AI and robotics, showcases the innovative direction of Chinese manufacturers, with plans for further details to be revealed at major tech events [10]. Group 5: Future Outlook - The trends of high-end positioning and globalization are expected to continue, with a focus on enhancing product capabilities and user experiences through AI advancements [11]. - For Honor, 2025 marks a pivotal year in its transformation from a smartphone manufacturer to a leading AI terminal ecosystem company, with a global shipment target of over 71 million units and the fastest growth rate among the top ten brands [11][12].

记者丨郑青亭 编辑丨和佳 据主办方介绍，今年参会的政治领导人规模创下纪录，包括65位国家元首和政府首脑在内的约 400位高层政要将出席。 此外，与会的还有约850位全球顶级企业首席执行官和董事长，以及 约100位一流独角兽企业与技术先锋企业的领导者。 世界经济论坛总裁博尔格·布伦德（Børge Brende）说，美国总统特朗普将率领该论坛史上 "最 大规模美国代表团" 参加今年年会，代表团成员包括国务卿鲁比奥、财政部长贝森特、商务部 长卢特尼克等多位政府要员以及英伟达和微软等科技巨头的高管。这将是他6年来首次在达沃 斯论坛上发表讲话。 布伦德在论坛召开前的媒体吹风会上表示，本届年会"是在1945年以来最为复杂的地缘政治背 景下召开的"。他强调，在分裂和竞争加剧的世界，确保对话至关重要，因为对话是良性进程 的开端，有助于推动世界进步。"对话不是奢侈品，而是必需品。" 图源：新华社 美欧因格陵兰岛掀起新一轮关税战 在年会开幕前夕，美国和欧洲因格陵兰岛问题掀起了新一轮贸易战。据央视新闻报道，欧盟多 国正考虑对价值930亿欧元的输欧美国商品加征关税，或限制美国企业进入欧盟市场，以反制 被冰雪覆盖的阿尔卑斯山小镇再迎年 ...

21世纪经济报道记者倪雨晴深圳报道 IDC最新报告显示，全球智能手机市场在2025年实现增长，全年出货量达12.6亿部，同比增长1.9%。虽 然总体处在回暖的上升通道，但依然面临长期挑战。 中国智造海外角逐 观察中国企业出口海外市场的策略，虽各有特点，但总体上呈现出两个核心特征，一是全面AI化，二 是品牌高端化。主流厂商的全球化打法不谋而合。 比如，OPPO、vivo等都提出Glocal策略，Glocal由global(全球的)和local(本地的)两个词组合而成的合成 词，核心含义是"全球思维，本地行动"，可以总结为"全球本土化"。荣耀则提出强化"AI领导力"与"世 界荣耀"的品牌定调，2025年也荣耀海外突围的关键时期。 Omdia分析师Lucas Zhong向记者指出："过去五年，荣耀的国际业务经历了结构性转变。2021年初，海 外市场出货量占其全球总量的比例仍不足10%；至2025年第三季度,该比例已接近50%。这一变化标志着 荣耀发展路径中的重要战略拐点，海外业务已从早期的边际增量来源，演进为支撑出货量规模扩张、区 域多元化以及长期经营韧性的核心支柱。" 长期以来中国厂商曾凭规模优势主导全球中低端市 ...

Core Viewpoint - Haier Smart Home has announced a D-share repurchase plan, aiming to enhance its capital structure and reduce registered capital through the buyback of up to 1 million shares, with a total funding cap of 2 million euros [1][2] Group 1: D-Share Buyback Plan - The repurchase plan will commence around January 21 and continue until February 13, executed through the Frankfurt Stock Exchange and EU multilateral trading facilities [1] - The buyback is authorized by the 2024 annual general meeting, allowing the board to repurchase up to 30% of the total issued D-shares, with the current plan representing approximately 0.369% of D-share capital and 0.011% of total share capital [1][2] Group 2: Historical Context and Market Performance - Haier's D-shares were listed in October 2018 at a price of 1.05 euros per share, primarily to fund global R&D, market expansion, and supply chain optimization [2] - The D-share performance has been influenced by external market fluctuations, exchange rate changes, and industry cycles, with recent trends showing increased trading activity and a generally upward price movement [2] Group 3: Strategic Growth and Market Position - The company has maintained growth resilience in the North American market through local factory efficiency and capacity expansion, while also experiencing rapid growth in emerging markets such as South Asia and Southeast Asia [3] - Haier's strategy includes a high-end brand focus and global digital transformation, enhancing product structure and operational efficiency through a digital procurement platform [3] Group 4: Industry Outlook - Analysts predict that the home appliance industry will experience a balance of controlled domestic pressure and resilient growth in exports by 2026, with emerging markets being a key growth driver [4] - The easing of US-China tariffs and a recovering US real estate market are expected to create additional opportunities for global home appliance companies [4]

中金发布研报称，维持TCL电子(01070)2025/2026年盈利预测不变，引入2027年归母净利润32.35亿港 元。当前股价对应9.9x/8.5x2026/2027年P/E。维持跑赢行业评级，考虑跨年估值切换，该行上调目标价 24.6%至14.7港元，对应13.4x/11.5x2025/2026年P/E，涨幅空间35%。 坚定全球化、高端化战略方向，核心业务持续有质量增长 尽管市场环境波动，TCL依然坚持高端化、大尺寸方向，拉动内销盈利持续改善。4Q25TCL系彩电线 上、线下零售均价分别同比+23%/+3%，明显好于行业。该行预计4Q25公司内销彩电出货量在结构升级 拉动下盈利压力相对有限。根据群智咨询预测，2025年全球TV出货量2.21亿台，同比-0.7%；但TCL TV 出货量达3041万台，同比+5.4%，排名第二。公司在北美持续推进渠道转型、产品结构升级，在欧洲积 极拓展渠道覆盖率，拉动海外业务逆势增长。 中金主要观点如下： 预测2025年盈利同比增长45%~60% 公司公告：1)2025年TCL电子经调整归母净利润23.3亿港元~25.7亿港元，同比增长45%~60%，盈利区间 的中枢超过 ...

智通财经APP获悉，中金发布研报称，维持TCL电子(01070)2025/2026年盈利预测不变，引入2027年归 母净利润32.35亿港元。当前股价对应9.9x/8.5x 2026/2027年P/E。维持跑赢行业评级，考虑跨年估值切 换，该行上调目标价24.6%至14.7港元，对应13.4x/11.5x 2025/2026年P/E，涨幅空间35%。 预测2025年盈利同比增长45%~60% 公司公告：1)2025年TCL电子经调整归母净利润23.3亿港元~25.7亿港元，同比增长45%~60%，盈利区间 的中枢超过股权激励目标(23.28亿港元)。2)公司与索尼正在洽谈意向合作，包括可能与索尼成立合资公 司以承接其家庭娱乐业务。 坚定全球化、高端化战略方向，核心业务持续有质量增长 尽管市场环境波动，TCL依然坚持高端化、大尺寸方向，拉动内销盈利持续改善。4Q25 TCL系彩电线 上、线下零售均价分别同比+23%/+3%，明显好于行业。该行预计4Q25公司内销彩电出货量在结构升级 拉动下盈利压力相对有限。根据群智咨询预测，2025年全球TV出货量2.21亿台，同比-0.7%；但TCL TV 出货量达3041万 ...

Stock markets fell on both sides of the Atlantic on Tuesday, with Wall Street suffering its worst day since October, as investor concerns persisted over the fallout from Donald Trump’s push for US control of Greenland.The sell-off hit US stocks on the first day of trading in New York since Trump threatened new tariffs on eight European countries, after the market was closed for a public holiday on Monday. The S&P 500 closed down 2.1% while the Dow Jones finished down 1.8%.The tech-heavy Nasdaq index fell 2. ...

风雪越大，越需要有人指引前路。在这个充满不确定性的时代，中国始终是确定的"压舱石"。我们不搞 排他性的"小圈子"，我们带来的是14亿多人超大规模市场的开放承诺，是与世界共享的科技和创新红 利，是对国际公平正义的执着坚守。国际形势的深刻变化将再次证明，多边主义是人间正道。 论坛年会开幕前夕，中国刚刚公布了2025年经济数据。在全球形势持续动荡的背景下，中国经济的强大 韧性以及在全球经济治理等领域的正向作用受到普遍称赞。面对复杂严峻的国际环境和国内改革发展稳 定任务，中国经济持续释放的稳中求进信号，成为推动全球化健康发展的重要力量。中国积极参与全球 治理体系改革和建设，坚持走和平发展道路。中国的发展实践充分证明，各国完全可以通过和平方式处 理国与国关系并实现发展振兴，不同社会制度和发展道路的国家完全可以相互尊重、合作共赢。 今年论坛开幕式特意用一场音乐会取代了往年的嘉宾致辞。论坛官方解释称，这体现了"对话的精神"， 因为"音乐没有国界，它不讲单一语言"。人类文明的发展历程反复证明，对抗只能带来破坏与倒退，而 对话与合作才能创造繁荣与进步。战后国际秩序正是基于对和平的珍视而建立起来的，并为世界带来了 前所未有的长期 ...