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美联储主席之争反转,哈塞特急亮底线:支持央行独立性!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-12-16 16:50
眼下,美国总统特朗普显然已进入挑选鲍威尔继任者的最后阶段——鲍威尔的美联储主席第二任期即将 结束。哈塞特在接受美国消费者新闻与商业频道(CNBC)采访时,拒绝直接回应自身的候选资格,但 表示凝聚共识是该职位的重要职责之一。 "美联储的独立性至关重要,联邦公开市场委员会(FOMC)其他成员的意见也同样重要,"他表 示,"因此,推动利率调整的关键在于,基于事实与数据形成共识。" 来源:金十数据 哈塞特在最新采访中拒绝回应候选资格,但明确支持美联储独立性,反驳与特朗普亲近将影响决策的反 对声音。在此之际,预测市场显示沃什将实现逆袭。 美国国家经济委员会主任凯文·哈塞特(Kevin Hassett)作为美联储主席职位的最终候选人之一,于周二 表态支持央行独立性。 近日,哈塞特的候选资格遭遇部分反对声音。消息人士向CNBC透露,特朗普的顾问团队担忧,哈塞特 被外界视为与特朗普过于亲近,可能会听从总统指令,而非根据美联储"稳定物价、充分就业"的双重使 命制定利率政策。 尽管鲍威尔是由特朗普任命的,但特朗普一直对这位美联储主席持批评态度。 特朗普一直要求美联储大幅降息,即便联邦公开市场委员会自9月以来已连续三次降息,累计降 ...
深夜,直线跳水!重磅数据发布!
证券时报· 2025-12-16 15:17
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights that the U.S. non-farm employment data for November exceeded expectations, indicating a stronger labor market than anticipated [1][4] - The report shows an increase of 64,000 non-farm jobs in November, surpassing the Dow Jones estimate of 45,000 jobs, with significant contributions from the healthcare and construction sectors [5][6] - The unemployment rate rose to 4.6%, the highest level since September 2021, indicating potential concerns about job market stability [6] Group 2 - Following the employment data release, international oil prices fell sharply, with WTI and Brent crude oil prices dropping below $60 [3] - The U.S. stock market opened lower, with the Dow Jones index down 0.04%, the S&P 500 down 0.18%, and the Nasdaq down 0.23%, reflecting market reactions to the employment data [3] - The Federal Reserve's likelihood of further interest rate cuts remains low, with a 24.4% probability of a rate cut in January, according to market predictions [8]
US added 64K jobs in November after losing 105K in October, delayed report shows
Fox Business· 2025-12-16 14:06
The U.S. economy added jobs in November as economic uncertainty continued to dampen activity in the labor market. The Labor Department on Tuesday reported that employers added 64,000 jobs in November, a figure that was above the 50,000 estimate of economists polled by LSEG.The unemployment rate ticked higher to 4.6% for November, which was higher than the 4.4% rate expected by economists. Job gains in the two prior months in which the employment report was released were both revised down. Employment in Augu ...
Delayed Data Shows Job Gains in November, But Unemployment Rate Rises to 4.6%
WSJ· 2025-12-16 13:34
A long-delayed government report on Tuesday showed that 64,000 jobs were gained in November, while 105,000 jobs were lost in October. ...
TMGM外汇:美元兑加元低位盘整 市场静待美加关键数据指引
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-12-15 08:55
Core Viewpoint - The USD/CAD currency pair is experiencing fluctuations near a three-month low, influenced by the recent weak performance of the USD and ongoing assessments of the US interest rate outlook for 2026 [1] Group 1: USD Performance - The US Dollar Index, which measures the dollar against six major currencies, is trading cautiously near an eight-week low of 98.13, with limited overall volatility [3] - Market expectations indicate a 64.3% probability of at least two interest rate cuts by US authorities by the end of 2026, although the dot plot suggests a decline in the federal funds rate to 3.4% by that time [4] - Current market sentiment towards a more accommodative US interest rate policy is linked to a weak labor market, with investors awaiting the November non-farm payroll data for insights into the employment situation [4] Group 2: CAD Performance - The Canadian dollar has shown strong performance against major trading partners in recent days, attributed to market expectations regarding the Bank of Canada's policy [4] - The Bank of Canada is not expected to implement further interest rate cuts in the short term, as indicated in its recent monetary policy statement, which suggests current rates are appropriate for maintaining inflation near the 2% target [4] - Key economic data, specifically the November Canadian Consumer Price Index (CPI), is set to be released, with market predictions indicating a core CPI year-on-year increase of 2.4%, up from 2.2% in October, which will significantly impact CAD exchange rate movements [5]
Jobs and Inflation Data Are Coming. Plus, Micron, Nike, and More Stocks to Watch.
Barrons· 2025-12-14 19:00
Group 1 - The week will feature delayed November jobs and consumer-price data, which are critical economic indicators [1] - Earnings reports from major companies such as FedEx, Darden, and Accenture are expected, providing insights into their financial performance [1]
美联储决议全文:降息25个基点,30天内购买400亿国库券
美股研究社· 2025-12-12 11:07
以下文章来源于金十财经 ,作者金十小金 金十财经 . 每日8点,为您呈上金融投资行业的国际动态、财经数据和市场观察。 委员会认为, 准备金余额已下降至充足水平,并将按需启动购买短期美国国债,以在持续基础上维持充足的准备金供应。 投票支持此次货币政策行动的有:主席鲍威尔、副主席威廉姆斯、巴尔、鲍曼、柯林斯、库克、杰斐逊、穆萨莱姆以及沃勒。 投票反对的有米 兰,其倾向于在本次会议上将联邦基金利率目标区间下调1/2个百分点;以及古尔斯比和施密德,他们倾向于本次会议维持联邦基金利率目标 区间不变。 来源 | 金十财经 12月11日,美联储以9-3的投票比例将基准利率下调25个基点至3.50%-3.75%,为连续第三次会议降息。政策声明删除了对失业率"较 低"的描述。最新点阵图维持2026年降息25个基点的预测。 另外,美联储将于12月12日开始的30天内购买400亿美元国库券,以维持充足的准备金供应。 利率决议全文 可用的数据表明,经济活动正以温和的步伐扩张。今年以来就业增长放缓,失业率截至9月有所上升。更近期的指标与上述情况一致。 通胀较 年初有所上升,仍处于偏高水平。 委员会的长期目标是实现最大就业和2%的通胀率 ...
刘长景:黄金收官行情分析及黄金操作策略
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-12-12 05:18
黄金资讯—— 12月12日,美国就业数据低于预期,美元指数延续下跌趋势,最终收跌0.60%,报98.65;基准的10年期 美债收益率最终收报4.1610%,对美联储政策利率敏感的2年期美债收益率收报3.5510%。现货黄金触及 逾一个月以来的最高水平,最终收涨1.21%,报4279.89美元/盎司;现货白银续创历史新高,最终收涨 3%,报63.57美元/盎司。美国上周初请失业金人数创下疫情后最大单周增幅。美联储重新任命11位地区 联储主席,缓解人事不确定性担忧。 黄金最新行情走势—— 黄金资讯—— 12月12日,美国就业数据低于预期,美元指数延续下跌趋势,最终收跌0.60%,报98.65;基准的10年期 美债收益率最终收报4.1610%,对美联储政策利率敏感的2年期美债收益率收报3.5510%。现货黄金触及 逾一个月以来的最高水平,最终收涨1.21%,报4279.89美元/盎司;现货白银续创历史新高,最终收涨 3%,报63.57美元/盎司。美国上周初请失业金人数创下疫情后最大单周增幅。美联储重新任命11位地区 联储主席,缓解人事不确定性担忧。 黄金最新行情走势—— 昨日黄金市场早盘开盘在4229.6美元/盎司 ...
【日报】哈塞特称美联储降息空间充足 国际金价震荡收涨
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-12-10 23:12
今日内容 周二国际金价震荡收涨,开盘报4190.11美元/盎司,最高上行至4221.40美元/盎司,最低下探至4169.85 美元/盎司,最终报收于4206.59美元/盎司。 周二在岸人民币对美元收盘报7.0693,较上一交易日涨20个基点。人民币对美元中间价报7.0773,较上 一交易日调贬9个基点。美元指数涨0.14%报99.2407。 央行周二开展1173亿元7天逆回购操作,当日有1563亿元7天逆回购到期,因此单日净回笼390亿元。 经济数据方面,美国自动数据处理公司(ADP)最新数据显示,截至11月22日的四周内,美国私营雇主 平均每周新增4750个就业岗位,结束了此前连续四周的就业流失。另外,美国10月JOLTS职位空缺767 万人,远超预期的711.7万人。宏观事件方面,美国总统特朗普表示,他将把支持立即大幅降息作为选 择新任美联储主席的"试金石",并称可能通过调整关税政策帮助降低部分商品价格。此外,哈塞特称美 联储有充足空间大幅降息,市场宽松预期推动下,国际金价震荡收涨。 风险提示:近期国际金价波动较大,市场不确定性较高,请投资者注意风险管理。 图一:伦敦现货黄金与上金所Au9999收盘价 图 ...
How Investors Can Make Sense Of Key Economic Data
Youtube· 2025-12-10 18:45
[music] What is economic data and why is it vital for investors. Economic data comes in many forms and it informs investors and economists on the state of the economy which has many facets from jobs data to housing data. There's consumer confidence data and inflation data and so much more.Altogether they paint a picture of how the US economy is doing and if we're in an economic expansion or economic contraction. Additionally, they often have an immediate impact on the market. If jobs data misses expectation ...