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光伏“淡季不淡”背后:出口退税取消 推升抢出口行情
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2026-01-12 15:30
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles indicates that the cancellation of export tax rebates for photovoltaic products has led to an unexpected increase in demand during the traditionally slow first quarter, as companies rush to secure orders before costs rise [1][2] - The Ministry of Finance and the State Taxation Administration announced that the export tax rebate for photovoltaic products will be canceled starting April 1, 2026, marking a shift to a "no rebate subsidy" phase for the industry [1] - As a result of this policy change, companies are experiencing increased export demand, with major photovoltaic component companies seeing significant stock price increases, such as Dongfang Risheng rising over 14% and Trina Solar increasing by over 8% [1] Group 2 - The photovoltaic supply chain is showing signs of differentiation, with upstream silicon material companies experiencing relatively low growth, while component manufacturers are raising prices to capitalize on the export window [2] - The phenomenon of rushing to export may lead to a potential overshoot of overseas demand in the second quarter, reminiscent of previous demand fluctuations caused by policy changes [2][3] - Analysts suggest that while the current rush to export may temporarily alleviate supply-demand imbalances, it could also lead to a sharp decline in demand later, with the stability of industry prices relying heavily on self-discipline within the industry [3]
光伏“淡季不淡”背后:出口退税取消,推升抢出口行情
第一财经· 2026-01-12 10:49
Core Viewpoint - The cancellation of the export VAT rebate for photovoltaic products starting April 1, 2026, is a significant policy shift that has led to an unexpected surge in demand during the traditionally slow first quarter, as companies rush to secure orders before costs rise [3][4]. Group 1: Policy Impact - The Ministry of Finance and the State Taxation Administration announced the cancellation of the VAT export rebate for photovoltaic products, marking the industry’s transition into a "no rebate subsidy" phase, which will increase export costs [3][4]. - This policy change has prompted overseas buyers to place orders in advance to avoid higher costs, resulting in a spike in export demand during the first quarter [3][4]. Group 2: Market Reactions - Major photovoltaic companies such as Dongfang Risen, Trina Solar, and Longi Green Energy saw significant stock price increases, with Dongfang Risen hitting a new high since September 2023, closing up over 14% [3]. - The market has reacted to the antitrust situation in the silicon material sector, leading to a divergence in the photovoltaic industry chain, with upstream silicon material companies experiencing relatively low growth [4]. Group 3: Price Dynamics - Leading component manufacturers have begun raising component prices in response to the export rush, indicating a strong willingness to increase prices downstream, which may lead to improved profit margins for component manufacturers in the first quarter [4]. - The price dynamics in the silicon material sector will depend on the self-regulation of the industry alliance and the profit margins of the companies involved [4]. Group 4: Future Outlook - While the current export rush has temporarily alleviated the "double weakness" in supply and demand within the photovoltaic industry, there is a risk of preemptively exhausting overseas demand for the second quarter [4][5]. - Analysts suggest that the potential for a sharp decline in demand following the export rush could mirror past experiences, emphasizing the need for self-regulation within the industry to stabilize prices [5].
热卷日报:增仓下跌-20260105
Guan Tong Qi Huo· 2026-01-05 12:13
Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. Core View of the Report The current supply and demand of hot-rolled coils are both increasing. Last week's data shows that the increase in production is greater than the growth in demand. Coupled with the relatively high absolute level of inventory, there is no upward driving force for prices. The destocking of social inventory relies on low-price promotions, and the partial accumulation of steel mill inventory indicates that traders are cautious about winter storage. From the cost side, coking coal is at a low level while iron ore is relatively strong. However, there are still expectations for anti-involution policies, so there is also support at the bottom. It is expected that the short-term trend will be weak and volatile. The daily line has fallen below the 20-day moving average, so beware of further weakening [6]. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Market行情回顾 - Futures price: The main contract of hot-rolled coil futures increased its open interest by 26,969 lots on Monday, with a trading volume of 391,613 lots, an increase compared to the previous trading day. The intraday low was 3,243 yuan, the high was 3,277 yuan. It decreased in price with increased open interest during the day, closing at 3,248 yuan/ton, down 26 yuan/ton, a decline of 0.79% [1]. - Spot price: The price of hot-rolled coils in the mainstream Shanghai area was reported at 3,270 yuan/ton, remaining stable compared to the previous trading day [2]. - Basis: The basis between futures and spot was 22 yuan, close to par [3]. Fundamental Data - Supply side: As of December 31, the weekly output of hot-rolled coils increased by 109,700 tons week-on-week to 3.0451 million tons. The output has rebounded for two consecutive weeks, and the rebound was significant compared to last week. This was mainly due to the improvement in steel mills' profitability, which increased production enthusiasm. Additionally, some steel mills reallocated molten iron from building materials to plates, and steel mills ended their annual maintenance and increased the intensity of resuming production, driving the supply to increase. The subsequent increase needs to be observed [4]. - Demand side: As of December 31, the weekly apparent consumption increased by 37,300 tons week-on-week to 3.1077 million tons. The apparent consumption rebounded, indicating that demand still had resilience, but subsequent demand data still needed to be monitored [4]. - Inventory side: As of December 31, the total inventory decreased by 62,600 tons week-on-week to 3.7096 million tons (social inventory decreased by 80,600 tons, and steel mill inventory increased by 18,000 tons, with a total inventory decrease of 62,600 tons). The total inventory continued to decline, but the decline rate narrowed, indicating that demand had good resilience in late December. The increase in steel mill inventory was mainly affected by the end of the month and the New Year's Day holiday. The total inventory was at a five-year high, and inventory still had a suppressing effect on prices [4]. - Policy side: The new regulations on the export license management of steel products will cause short-term fluctuations in exports, increase supply, and put pressure on prices. In the long term, it will promote industrial upgrading, structural optimization, and competitiveness improvement. The Central Economic Work Conference in December proposed an active fiscal policy and a moderately loose monetary policy in the macro - economic aspect. Deeply rectifying involution - style competition was listed as a key task for 2026, which is beneficial to prices and industry profitability. Efforts will be made to stabilize the real estate market and expand domestic demand [5]. - External macro: The events between the United States and Venezuela may have uncertain impacts [6]. Market Driving Factor Analysis - Bullish factors: A significant decrease in supply - side production, the expectation of the start of winter storage demand, the rush - to - export market, policy support ("14th Five - Year Plan", infrastructure investment), and the strength of iron ore as a furnace material [6]. - Bearish factors: Steel mills' resumption of production in January exceeded expectations, seasonal weakening of demand, insufficient manufacturing orders, and price suppression due to inventory accumulation [6].
热卷日报:震荡整理-20251230
Guan Tong Qi Huo· 2025-12-30 14:06
Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No investment rating information is provided in the report. 2. Core View of the Report The hot - rolled coil is currently in a game between cost support and inventory pressure under the pattern of weak supply and demand. Although the output of hot - rolled coil rebounded last week but is at a relatively low level, there is still room for output to rise. The recovery of apparent demand shows the resilience of demand, but the subsequent demand increment is limited. The total inventory continues to be destocked, but the total amount is still at a high level. With the expectation of a relatively loose macro - environment, it is necessary to pay attention to whether the manufacturing PMI can rise above the boom - bust line. The winter storage market in January and the recovery slope of production capacity also need to be monitored. It is expected to maintain a range - bound consolidation, and there are no unilateral driving factors for now [6]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Market行情回顾 - **Futures Price**: On Tuesday, the open interest of the main hot - rolled coil futures contract increased by 7,022 lots, with a trading volume of 311,439 lots, a decrease compared to the previous trading day. The intraday low was 3,278 yuan, the high was 3,298 yuan, and it closed at 3,282 yuan/ton, down 18 yuan/ton or 0.33% [1]. - **Spot Price**: The price of hot - rolled coil in the mainstream Shanghai area was reported at 3,290 yuan/ton, remaining stable compared to the previous trading day [2]. - **Basis**: The spot - futures basis was 8 yuan, close to par [3]. Fundamental Data - **Supply**: As of December 25, the weekly output of hot - rolled coil increased by 1.63 million tons to 293.54 million tons week - on - week, and decreased by 13.60 million tons year - on - year. The output rebounded after a sharp decline last week, currently near the lowest level of the year and at a near - four - year low, which enhances price support. The production cut was mainly due to profit contraction, more steel mill maintenance, some steel mills switching to rebar production, and the seasonal off - season [4]. - **Demand**: As of December 25, the weekly apparent consumption increased by 8.76 million tons to 307.04 million tons week - on - week, and decreased by 2.29 million tons year - on - year. The apparent demand recovered this week, and the export rush market emerged, but the winter storage market in January still needs attention [4]. - **Inventory**: As of December 25, the total inventory decreased by 13.50 million tons week - on - week to 377.22 million tons (social inventory decreased by 10.6 million tons, steel mill inventory decreased by 2.9 million tons). The total inventory continued to be destocked, and the destocking accelerated, indicating the demand's resilience in late December, probably due to enterprises' export rush. However, the total inventory is at a near - four - year high, and the subsequent destocking speed needs attention [4]. - **Policy**: The new regulations on the management of steel export licenses have been introduced. In the short term, it will cause export fluctuations, increase supply, and put pressure on prices. In the long term, it will promote industrial upgrading, structural optimization, and competitiveness improvement. The Central Economic Work Conference in December proposed a proactive fiscal policy and a moderately loose monetary policy, which is positive for prices and industry profitability. Efforts will be made to stabilize the real estate market and expand domestic demand [4][5]. - **External Macro**: In the US, the core CPI in November increased by 2.6% year - on - year, the slowest growth rate since early 2021, lower than the market expectation of 3%. The overall CPI increased by 2.7% year - on - year, lower than the expected 3.1% [5]. Market Driving Factor Analysis - **Bullish Factors**: The supply - side output has decreased significantly, there is an expectation of the start of winter storage demand, an export rush market, policy support ("14th Five - Year Plan", infrastructure investment), and the strength of iron ore as a furnace charge [6]. - **Bearish Factors**: The resumption of steel mill production in January may exceed expectations, the demand will seasonally weaken, manufacturing orders are insufficient, and inventory accumulation will suppress prices [6].
热卷日报:震荡整理-20251226
Guan Tong Qi Huo· 2025-12-26 09:44
1. Report's Industry Investment Rating No information provided. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report The hot-rolled coil is currently in a game between cost support and inventory pressure under the pattern of weak supply and demand. The output of hot-rolled coil rebounded this week but is at a relatively low level, and there may still be room for output to rise in the future. The rebound in apparent demand shows the resilience of demand, but the subsequent demand increment is limited. The total inventory continues to decline, but the total amount is still at a high level. With the expectation of macro-loose policy, it is necessary to pay attention to whether the manufacturing PMI can rise above the boom-bust line. In the future, it is necessary to pay attention to the winter storage market in January and the recovery slope of production capacity. The daily K-line shows a lower shadow positive line, and it is expected to fluctuate weakly in the short term [5]. 3. Summary According to Relevant Catalogs Market行情回顾 - Futures price: On Thursday, the position of the main hot-rolled coil futures contract decreased by 6,522 lots, with a trading volume of 490,404 lots, an increase compared with the previous trading day. The intraday low was 3,253 yuan, and the high was 3,288 yuan. It fluctuated within the day and closed at 3,283 yuan/ton, down 2 yuan/ton, a decrease of 0.06% [1]. - Spot price: The price of hot-rolled coil in the mainstream area of Shanghai was reported at 3,270 yuan/ton, a decrease of 10 yuan compared with the previous trading day [1]. - Basis: The basis between futures and spot is -13 yuan, and the basis is close to parity [2]. Fundamental Data - Supply side: As of December 25, the weekly output of hot-rolled coil increased by 16,300 tons to 2.9354 million tons compared with the previous week. It decreased by 136,000 tons year-on-year. This week, the output of hot-rolled coil rebounded after a sharp decline last week. Currently, it is near the lowest level of the year and at a low level in the past four years, which enhances price support. The production reduction is mainly due to profit contraction, more steel mill overhauls, some steel mills switching to rebar production, and the seasonal off-season [3]. - Demand side: As of December 25, the weekly apparent consumption increased by 87,600 tons to 3.0704 million tons compared with the previous week. It decreased by 22,900 tons year-on-year. This week, the apparent demand rebounded, and the export rush market appeared. However, the winter storage market in January still needs to be followed up [3]. - Inventory side: As of December 25, the total inventory decreased by 135,000 tons to 3.7722 million tons compared with the previous week (the social inventory decreased by 106,000 tons, and the steel mill inventory decreased by 29,000 tons). The total inventory continued to decline, and the de - stocking accelerated, indicating that the demand in late December was resilient, which should be due to enterprises rushing to export. However, the total inventory is at a high level in the past four years. In the future, the speed of continued de - stocking of inventory needs to be followed up [3]. - Policy side: The new regulations on the export license management of steel products have been introduced. In the short term, it will lead to fluctuations in exports, an increase in supply, and price pressure. In the long term, it will promote industrial upgrading, structural optimization, and competitiveness improvement. The Central Economic Work Conference held in December proposed a proactive fiscal policy and a moderately loose monetary policy. Rectifying involution - style competition in depth is listed as a key task for 2026, which is beneficial to prices and industry profits. Efforts will be made to stabilize the real estate market and expand domestic demand [3][4]. - External macro: The core CPI in the United States increased by 2.6% year - on - year in November, the slowest growth rate since the beginning of 2021, lower than the market expectation of 3%. The overall CPI increased by 2.7% year - on - year, lower than the expected 3.1% [4]. Market Driving Factor Analysis - Bullish factors: The output on the supply side has decreased significantly. There is an expectation of the start of winter storage demand, an export rush market, policy support ("the 14th Five - Year Plan", infrastructure investment), and the stabilization and strengthening of furnace materials such as iron ore and coking coal have enhanced cost support [5]. - Bearish factors: The resumption of production of steel mills in January exceeds expectations, the demand weakens seasonally, manufacturing orders are insufficient, and inventory accumulation suppresses prices [5].
热卷日报:震荡整理-20251225
Guan Tong Qi Huo· 2025-12-25 11:39
Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided Core Viewpoints of the Report - The hot-rolled coil is currently in a game between cost support and inventory pressure under the pattern of weak supply and demand. This week, the announced hot-rolled coil production has rebounded but remains at a relatively low level, and there may still be room for further production increases. The rebound in apparent demand shows the resilience of demand, but the subsequent demand increment is limited. The total inventory continues to decline, but the total volume remains at a high level. With the expectation of a relatively loose macro environment, attention should be paid to whether the manufacturing PMI can rise above the boom-bust line. In the future, attention should be paid to the winter storage market in January and the slope of production capacity recovery. Today's daily line closed in the negative territory, and it is expected to fluctuate weakly in the short term [6] Summary by Relevant Catalogs Market行情回顾 - Futures price: The trading volume of the main contract of hot-rolled coil futures on Thursday was 248,652 lots, a decrease compared to the previous trading day. The intraday low was 3,280 yuan, the high was 3,291 yuan, and it closed at 3,280 yuan/ton, up 1 yuan/ton or 0.03%. The open interest increased by 9,350 lots [1] - Spot price: The price of hot-rolled coils in the mainstream Shanghai area was reported at 3,280 yuan/ton, up 10 yuan compared to the previous trading day [1] - Basis: The basis between futures and spot was 0 yuan, indicating a flat basis [2] Fundamental Data - Supply side: As of December 25, the weekly output of hot-rolled coils increased by 16,300 tons to 2.9354 million tons compared to the previous period. The year-on-year decrease was 136,000 tons. This week, the hot-rolled coil production rebounded after a significant decline last week and is currently near the lowest level of the year and at a low level in the past four years, which enhances price support [3] - Demand side: As of December 25, the weekly apparent consumption increased by 87,600 tons to 3.0704 million tons compared to the previous period. The year-on-year decrease was 22,900 tons. This week, the apparent demand rebounded, and the export rush market emerged, but the winter storage market in January still needs to be monitored [3] - Inventory side: As of December 25, the total inventory decreased by 135,000 tons to 3.7722 million tons compared to the previous week (the social inventory decreased by 106,000 tons, and the steel mill inventory decreased by 29,000 tons). The total inventory continued to decline, and the decline accelerated, indicating that the demand was resilient in late December, presumably due to enterprises rushing to export. However, the total inventory is at a high level in the past four years. In the future, the speed of continued inventory decline needs to be monitored [3] - Policy side: The new regulations on the export license management of steel products will cause short-term fluctuations in exports, increase supply, and put pressure on prices. In the long term, they will promote industrial upgrading, structural optimization, and competitiveness improvement. The Central Economic Work Conference held in December proposed a proactive fiscal policy and a moderately loose monetary policy, and listed the in-depth rectification of involutionary competition as a key task for 2026, which is beneficial to prices and industry profitability. Efforts will be made to stabilize the real estate market and expand domestic demand [3][4] - External macro: In the United States, the core CPI in November increased by 2.6% year-on-year, the slowest growth rate since early 2021, lower than the market expectation of 3%. The overall CPI increased by 2.7% year-on-year, lower than the expected 3.1% [4] Market Driving Factor Analysis - Bullish factors: The supply-side production has decreased significantly, there is an expectation of the start of winter storage demand, an export rush market, policy support ("14th Five-Year Plan", infrastructure investment), and the stabilization and strengthening of furnace materials such as iron ore and coking coal have enhanced cost support [5] - Bearish factors: The demand is seasonally weak, manufacturing orders are insufficient, and inventory accumulation suppresses prices [6]
铝:区间震荡,氧化铝,偏强运行
Guo Tai Jun An Qi Huo· 2025-05-22 01:56
Report Industry Investment Rating - Aluminum: Range-bound oscillation [1] - Alumina: Bullish trend [1] Core Viewpoints of the Report - In April 2025, China's exports of aluminum and its products reached 898,900 tons, a year-on-year increase of 4.93%. The cumulative exports in the first four months were 3.335 million tons, a cumulative year-on-year increase of 1.55%. The export rush of products such as aluminum sheets, strips, and profiles continued. Meanwhile, the import of domestic aluminum raw materials was approaching the historical high, and the monthly import volume of primary aluminum hit a new record [1][3]. - The trend strength of aluminum is 0, and that of alumina is 1 [3]. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Futures Market Electrolytic Aluminum - The closing price of the main Shanghai aluminum futures contract was 20,190 yuan, with a change of 115 yuan compared to the previous trading day, -85 yuan compared to a week ago, 232 yuan compared to a month ago, and -385 yuan compared to three months ago. The closing price of the night session was 20,135 yuan [1]. - The closing price of LME aluminum 3M was 2,476 dollars, down 6 dollars from the previous trading day, -47 dollars from a week ago, 87 dollars from a month ago, and -151 dollars from three months ago [1]. - The trading volume of the main Shanghai aluminum futures contract was 116,735 lots, an increase of 10,293 lots from the previous trading day, a decrease of 44,215 lots from a week ago, a decrease of 23,996 lots from a month ago, and an increase of 20,597 lots from three months ago. The open interest was 200,224 lots, an increase of 458 lots from the previous trading day, an increase of 48,420 lots from a week ago, a decrease of 20,702 lots from a month ago, and an increase of 40,920 lots from three months ago [1]. - The trading volume of LME aluminum 3M was 14,231 lots, a decrease of 3,236 lots from the previous trading day, a decrease of 3,836 lots from a week ago, an increase of 2,858 lots from a month ago, and a decrease of 4,931 lots from three months ago [1]. - The proportion of LME cancelled warrants was 17.02%, down 0.43% from the previous trading day, -20.41% from a week ago, -25.33% from a month ago, and -37.65% from three months ago [1]. - The LME aluminum cash - 3M spread was -1.69 dollars, down 3.11 dollars from the previous trading day, -2.70 dollars from a week ago, an increase of 35.31 dollars from a month ago, and -10.47 dollars from three months ago [1]. - The spread between the near - month contract and the first continuous contract was 40 yuan, down 10 yuan from the previous trading day, an increase of 25 yuan from a week ago, a decrease of 30 yuan from a month ago, and an increase of 70 yuan from three months ago [1]. - The cost of the near - month long and first continuous short inter - period arbitrage was 58.22 yuan, an increase of 1.39 yuan from the previous trading day, a decrease of 3.01 yuan from a week ago, an increase of 4.86 yuan from a month ago, and a decrease of 8.77 yuan from three months ago [1]. Alumina - The closing price of the main Shanghai alumina futures contract was 3,246 yuan, an increase of 112 yuan from the previous trading day, an increase of 301 yuan from a week ago, an increase of 431 yuan from a month ago, and a decrease of 141 yuan from three months ago. The closing price of the night session was 3,243 yuan [1]. - The trading volume of the main Shanghai alumina futures contract was 2,483,203 lots, an increase of 538,141 lots from the previous trading day, an increase of 1,400,037 lots from a week ago, an increase of 2,287,625 lots from a month ago, and an increase of 2,350,090 lots from three months ago. The open interest was 357,007 lots, an increase of 14,649 lots from the previous trading day, an increase of 45,850 lots from a week ago, an increase of 243,316 lots from a month ago, and an increase of 193,984 lots from three months ago [1]. - The spread between the near - month contract and the first continuous contract was -11 yuan, down 7 yuan from the previous trading day, an increase of 17 yuan from a week ago, a decrease of 9 yuan from a month ago, and an increase of 9 yuan from three months ago [1]. - The cost of the near - month long and first continuous short inter - period arbitrage was 25.25 yuan, an increase of 1.03 yuan from the previous trading day, a decrease of 1.30 yuan from a week ago, an increase of 1.98 yuan from a month ago, and a decrease of 1.29 yuan from three months ago [1]. Spot Market Electrolytic Aluminum - The spot premium was 70 yuan, unchanged from the previous trading day, an increase of 50 yuan from a week ago, an increase of 70 yuan from a month ago, and an increase of 100 yuan from three months ago [1]. - The Shanghai bonded area premium was 170 dollars, unchanged from the previous trading day, unchanged from a week ago, an increase of 5 dollars from a month ago, and a decrease of 20 dollars from three months ago [1]. - The EU Rotterdam aluminum ingot premium (MB) was 197.5 dollars, unchanged from the previous trading day, unchanged from a week ago, unchanged from a month ago, and a decrease of 87.5 dollars from three months ago [1]. - The market price of pre - baked anodes was 5,723 yuan, unchanged from the previous trading day, unchanged from a week ago, a decrease of 270 yuan from a month ago, and an increase of 943 yuan from three months ago [1]. - The processing fee for Foshan aluminum rods was 330 yuan, down 20 yuan from the previous trading day, down 20 yuan from a week ago, down 20 yuan from a month ago, and an increase of 130 yuan from three months ago [1]. - The processing fee for Shandong 1A60 aluminum rods was unchanged from the previous trading day, a week ago, a month ago, and an increase of 250 yuan from three months ago [1]. - The price difference between refined and scrap aluminum ingots was 210 yuan, an increase of 100 yuan from the previous trading day, an increase of 100 yuan from a week ago, an increase of 85 yuan from a month ago, and a decrease of 166 yuan from three months ago [1]. - The profit and loss of electrolytic aluminum enterprises was 3,444.88 yuan, an increase of 3.30 yuan from the previous trading day, a decrease of 244.55 yuan from a week ago, an increase of 314.21 yuan from a month ago, and an increase of 60.55 yuan from three months ago [1]. - The profit and loss of aluminum spot imports was -1,177.83 yuan, a decrease of 205.09 yuan from the previous trading day, an increase of 306.40 yuan from a week ago, a decrease of 284.16 yuan from a month ago, and an increase of 1,418.70 yuan from three months ago [1]. - The profit and loss of aluminum 3M imports was -1,187.55 yuan, a decrease of 220.76 yuan from the previous trading day, an increase of 234.84 yuan from a week ago, a decrease of 20.50 yuan from a month ago, and an increase of 1,226.44 yuan from three months ago [1]. - The profit and loss of aluminum sheet and coil exports was 1,523.59 yuan, an increase of 322.97 yuan from the previous trading day, a decrease of 324.74 yuan from a week ago, an increase of 398.83 yuan from a month ago, and a decrease of 1,403.58 yuan from three months ago [1]. - The domestic social inventory of aluminum ingots was 587,000 tons, unchanged from the previous trading day, a decrease of 21,000 tons from a week ago, a decrease of 129,000 tons from a month ago, and a decrease of 144,000 tons from three months ago [1]. - The aluminum ingot warehouse receipts of the Shanghai Futures Exchange were 59,500 tons, a decrease of 1,600 tons from the previous trading day, a decrease of 2,900 tons from a week ago, a decrease of 40,600 tons from a month ago, and a decrease of 12,900 tons from three months ago [1]. - The LME aluminum ingot inventory was 388,900 tons, a decrease of 2,000 tons from the previous trading day, a decrease of 10,400 tons from a week ago, a decrease of 48,100 tons from a month ago, and a decrease of 177,200 tons from three months ago [1]. Alumina - The average domestic alumina price was 3,121 yuan, an increase of 50 yuan from the previous trading day, an increase of 170 yuan from a week ago, an increase of 227 yuan from a month ago, and a decrease of 360 yuan from three months ago [1]. - The CIF price of alumina at Lianyungang was 393 dollars/ton, unchanged from the previous trading day, an increase of 8 dollars/ton from a week ago, an increase of 37 dollars/ton from a month ago, and a decrease of 164 dollars/ton from three months ago. In yuan/ton, it was 3,250 yuan, unchanged from the previous trading day, an increase of 200 yuan from a week ago, an increase of 275 yuan from a month ago, and a decrease of 1,200 yuan from three months ago [1]. - The FOB price of Australian alumina was 370 dollars/ton, unchanged from the previous trading day, an increase of 11 dollars/ton from a week ago, an increase of 22 dollars/ton from a month ago, and a decrease of 168 dollars/ton from three months ago [1]. - The profit and loss of Shanxi alumina enterprises was 200 yuan, unchanged from the previous trading day, an increase of 207 yuan from a week ago, an increase of 318 yuan from a month ago, and a decrease of 151 yuan from three months ago [1]. Bauxite - The price of Australian imported bauxite (Al: 48 - 50%, Si: 8 - 10%) was 70 dollars/ton, unchanged from the previous trading day, a week ago, a decrease of 16 dollars/ton from a month ago, and a decrease of 27 dollars/ton from three months ago [1]. - The price of Indonesian imported bauxite (Al: 45 - 47%, Si: 4 - 6%) was unchanged from the previous trading day, a week ago, a month ago, and three months ago [1]. - The price of Guinean imported bauxite (Al: 43 - 45%, Si: 2 - 3%) was 72 dollars/ton, an increase of 1 dollar/ton from the previous trading day, an increase of 2 dollars/ton from a week ago, a decrease of 18 dollars/ton from a month ago, and a decrease of 33 dollars/ton from three months ago [1]. - The price of Yangquan bauxite (tax - included spot mine price, AI:Si = 4.5) was 530 yuan, unchanged from the previous trading day, a week ago, a decrease of 50 yuan from a month ago, and a decrease of 110 yuan from three months ago [1]. Caustic Soda - The price of Shaanxi ion - exchange membrane liquid caustic soda (32% converted to 100%) was 2,610 yuan, unchanged from the previous trading day, a week ago, a decrease of 390 yuan from a month ago, and unchanged from three months ago [1].