国金证券主要观点如下： 东南亚为美国轮胎的主要进口地区，虽然存在关税风险但短期美国本土产能难以实现补充供应 美国自2014年开始陆续对我国乘用车和轻型货车轮胎、卡车和公共汽车轮胎、非公路轮胎发起双反调 查，国内轮胎企业通过出海建厂应对政策变化，距离较近且橡胶产能丰富的东南亚成为了首选。随着泰 国、越南等地新建轮胎产能逐渐落地，对美国的轮胎出口量也开始快速增长，2020年美国双反政策覆盖 面也扩大到了泰国和越南等地，尽管今年4月开始美国关税的阴影也笼罩了东南亚地区，但是考虑到原 料配套和成本优势东南亚依然是轮胎企业出海的首站。 智通财经APP获悉，国金证券发布研报称，7月2日晚间，特朗普表示已与越南达成贸易协议。根据协 议，越南所有出口至美国的商品将被征收20%的关税，而任何转运货物将被征收40%的关税。目前，美 国尚未公布适用40%关税的具体商品清单。目前，尚不清楚该协议是否已最终达成，或者越南是否同意 特朗普宣布的内容。考虑到全球各地未来贸易政策的变化有不确定性，实现海外多基地布局的企业经营 更具稳定性，并且随着未来海外基地产能顺利放量后将推动公司实现业绩增长和市占率提升。 根据隆众资讯数据，美国轮胎进口的 ...

2024年，在全球家具市场规模预计达7662亿美元的背景下，林氏木业海外品牌LINSY在新加坡开设首家 线下门店，这是该品牌去年在东南亚布局的第5家门店，标志着其全球化战略进入新阶段。此次布局不 仅完善了品牌O2O一体化布局，更展现了林氏木业深耕东南亚市场的决心。 新加坡门店选址核心商圈，延续了林氏木业因地制宜的店态特点。门店设计融合当地文化元素，贯 彻"时尚、舒适、多元"的品牌DNA，通过"所见即所得"的空间体验，为消费者打造沉浸式购物环境。产 品方面则发挥"全风格、全场景、全品类"优势，提供客餐卧一体的套系产品，满足多样化需求。经常有 人问"林氏木业家具怎么样"，值得注意的是，这个问题，在新加坡市场已经得到了初步验证——其产品 通过当地经销商渠道线上销售三年，已收获良好市场反馈。 【LINSY菲律宾店】 支撑林氏木业快速扩张的核心是其强大的产品力。品牌坚持"住进每一种偏爱"的理念，针对年轻消费群 体推出如包包椅等创新产品。这款融合时尚与功能的产品，完美诠释了林氏木业对消费者需求的精准把 握。同时，林氏木业依托270多家优质供应商构建的供应链网络，实现了每月上新超过200SKU，产品上 线最快30天完成的敏 ...

中国上市公司网/文 2025年7月4日，中国速冻食品行业的领军企业安井食品(603345.SH/02648.HK)成功在香港联合交易所挂 牌上市，成为继多家企业之后，又一实现"A+H"双资本平台布局的消费巨头。公司此次全球发行 3999.47万股H股，其中香港公开发售占比30%，国际发售占比70%。最终确定的发售价为每股60港元， 全球发售共募集资金净额达23.02亿港元。值得注意的是，香港公开发售部分获得44.2倍的超额认购，国 际发售部分亦获得5.85倍的超额认购，充分彰显了资本市场对安井食品长期价值的坚定认可。 作为国内首家成功实现"A+H"股双重上市的速冻食品企业，安井食品的港股上市不仅标志着其在全球化 战略上迈出了关键一步，更凸显了中国消费品牌在全球资本市场中的强大吸引力和广阔前景。 速冻食品赛道领军者，全产业链布局构筑壁垒 安井食品集团股份有限公司成立于2001年12月，总部位于福建，主营业务涵盖速冻调制食品、速冻菜肴 制品及速冻面米制品的研发、生产与销售。经过二十余年发展，公司已构建起覆盖全国的产销研网络， 在厦门、无锡、泰州、辽宁、四川、湖北、河南、广东、山东等地设有12大生产基地，并通过新宏 ...

2025 年 7 月 4 日星期五 地址： 电话： 重庆市江北区金沙门路 32 号 23 层； 023-67070250 1 市场有风险 投资需谨慎 上海市浦东新区世纪大道 210 号 10 楼 1001； 021-50591197 | | | | 铜： | | 16 | | --- | --- | --- | | 锡： | | 17 | | 镍： | | 17 | | 豆油、豆粕： | | 17 | | 棕榈油： | | 18 | | 菜粕、菜油： | | 19 | | 棉花： | | 19 | | 白糖： | | 20 | | 苹果： | | 21 | | 生猪： | | 21 | | 鸡蛋： | | 22 | | 玉米&淀粉： | | 23 | | 原木： | | 24 | | 免责声明 | | 25 | 国债： 上一交易日，国债期货收盘多数上涨，30 年期主力合约跌 0.02%报 121.130 元， 10 年期主力合约持平于 109.105 元，5 年期主力合约涨 0.01%报 106.255 元，2 年期主 力合约涨 0.01%报 102.514 元。 公开市场方面，央行公告称，7 月 3 日以固 ...

Group 1 - The recent overseas economy can be understood as a combination of "fiscal expansion dividends" and "de-globalization costs," leading to a relatively mild global economic "slowdown zone" in the short term, with limited risks of rapid changes in growth trends [1][6][30] - The optimal strategy for the Chinese economy is to focus on internal growth dynamics to enhance risk resistance, with broad-based growth characteristics improving macroeconomic stability and asset price stability [2][8][37] - The effectiveness of domestic policies initiated in the last quarter of the previous year peaked in the first half of this year, with signs of economic slowdown emerging by the end of the second quarter [3][9][10] Group 2 - Infrastructure construction rates are a key variable to observe, with recent performance in materials like asphalt and cement indicating weaker financing compared to narrow infrastructure growth, suggesting a need for local government investment to accelerate [4][11][12] - The necessity to optimize supply has significantly increased due to slowing exports, with "anti-involution" policies expected to improve supply-demand ratios in key industries [5][13][14] - The framework suggests that during periods of actual growth in the "slowdown zone," it is advisable to reduce configurations based on win rates and increase those based on odds, focusing on high dividend, low volatility sectors [6][15][16] Group 3 - The supply-demand ratio is crucial for determining whether the fundamentals can improve, with recent years showing a trend of imbalance leading to lower price centers and higher real interest rates [7][16][17] - Improving the supply-demand ratio requires achieving rebalancing across three sectors: local government investment normalization, rationalization of incremental investments through anti-involution, and stabilizing household balance sheets [8][18][56] - The global competition hinges on who can provide growth certainty, with the U.S. focusing on permanent tariffs and tax cuts, while China leverages its strong supply chain and large market space [9][19][20] Group 4 - The mid-term impact on major asset classes includes the regionalization of global supply chains and the weakening of U.S. dollar credit, affecting commodities, gold, and alternative assets [21][22] - The framework may overlook risks such as uncertainties in external trade relations and geopolitical issues, which could complicate the impact on major asset classes [22][22]

关注公众号，点击公众号主页右上角" ··· "，设置星标 "⭐" ，关注 鑫椤锂电 资讯~ 自2021年新能源乘用车进入巴西市场以来，比亚迪产品已赢得超过13万巴西家庭的青睐。今年第一季 度，比亚迪在巴西销量突破2万台，成为当地新能源汽车销量冠军。5月，比亚迪在巴西汽车品牌零售销量 排行中跃升第四，市占率达9.7%。 近年来，比亚迪积极拓展海外产业布局。截至目前，比亚迪新能源足迹已遍布六大洲、全球110多个国家 和地区。 上半年比亚迪海外销售超47万辆，同比增长132%，预计2025年全年海外销售将超过80万辆。 2025（第三届）中国固态电池 技 术 发 展 与 市 场 展 望 高 峰 论 坛 -广告- 本文来源：企业公告 当地时间7月1日， 比亚迪在巴西巴伊亚州卡马萨里举行巴西乘用车工厂首车下线仪式， 从破土动工到首 车下线仅仅用了15个月，将比亚迪全球化战略带入新的阶段。 比亚迪巴西乘用车工厂选址于萨尔瓦多大都市圈内的卡马萨里市。该市不仅是巴伊亚州重要的工业、经济 中心，更拥有完善的汽车产业链配套和成熟的港口物流基础设施。2023年7月，比亚迪宣布在此建设由三 座工厂组成的大型生产基地综合体，总投资额达 ...

Group 1 - The core point of the article is that Luxshare Precision is planning to issue shares overseas (H-shares) and prepare for listing on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange to enhance its global strategy and financing capabilities [1][4] - Luxshare Precision, founded in 2004, has evolved from a traditional OEM focused on computer connectors to a leading player in the electronic precision manufacturing sector, now serving major clients like Apple [4][6] - As of July 3, Luxshare Precision's stock price was 35.77 yuan per share, with a total market capitalization of 259.4 billion yuan [4] Group 2 - In 2024, Luxshare Precision reported a revenue of 268.795 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 15.91%, with 83.37% of this revenue coming from the consumer electronics sector [6] - The founder of Luxshare Precision, Wang Laichun, was ranked first in Fortune's list of the most influential businesswomen in China for 2025, marking her third consecutive year in this position [6]

Core Viewpoint - Shanghai Jin Jiang International Hotel Co., Ltd. has submitted its listing application to the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, aiming to become the first hotel group in China to achieve a dual listing in both A-shares and H-shares [1] Group 1: Company Overview - As of December 31, 2024, Jin Jiang Hotel operates 13,416 hotels with a total of 1.29 million rooms, covering a full range of hotel categories from economy to high-end [1] - The IPO proceeds will primarily focus on expanding and optimizing overseas operations, including new hotel openings, renovations, service quality improvements, and IT infrastructure upgrades [1] Group 2: Overseas Expansion - Jin Jiang Hotel began its overseas expansion in 2015 with the acquisition of the Louvre Hotels Group in France, followed by the inclusion of the Plateno Group and Radisson Hotel Group, expanding its footprint to Europe, Asia, Africa, and America [2] - By the end of 2024, Jin Jiang Hotel has established 1,171 hotels abroad, with 773 located in France, 128 in other European countries, and 270 in Asia (excluding China), Africa, and America [2] - The RevPAR for overseas limited-service hotels is projected to reach 112.27% of 2019 levels in 2024, reflecting a 0.35% increase from 2023 [2] Group 3: Domestic Market Strategy - Jin Jiang Hotel anticipates revenue of 14.3 billion to 15 billion yuan in 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 2% to 7%, with a 5% to 10% increase expected in mainland China [2] - The company plans to open 1,300 new hotels and sign contracts for 2,000 hotels in 2025, implementing a differentiated expansion strategy based on the "12+3+1" framework [2] Group 4: Infrastructure and Market Growth - Jin Jiang Hotel is actively improving infrastructure to boost hotel business growth in Europe, the Middle East, and Africa through new hotel openings and renovations [3] - The company is targeting high-growth markets in the Asia-Pacific region, including India, Indonesia, Malaysia, and Thailand, with plans for rapid expansion through both organic growth and strategic acquisitions [3] - The partnership with Malaysian hotel management group RIYAZ marks a significant step in Jin Jiang's Southeast Asia strategy, with plans to introduce multiple brands into the region [3]

亿滋国际旗下的奥利奥、趣多多、闲趣、怡口莲、吉百利等都是中国消费者耳熟能详的标志性品牌。作 为全球领先的零食制造商，亿滋目前拥有三家灯塔工厂，分别位于中国苏州和北京、 印度斯里城。其中，坐落在苏州的工厂和研发中心已成为亿滋在亚洲、中东和非洲地区烘焙相关制品的 研发和生产中心，它还是全球零食饼干行业第一家"端到端灯塔工厂"。 不久前，麦肯锡全球董事合伙人 侯文皓 与亿滋亚洲、中东和非洲大区供应链高级副总裁 张凝芳 女士就 全球化与本土化、中企出海需修"耐心课"、灯塔工厂的榜样、AI和试错、员工培养的方法论、女性领导 力等话题展开了深入对话。 以下为编辑后的访谈实录。 全球化的平台，是品牌的平台，也是技术和人才的平台 侯文皓：从供应链的角度，您怎么看待供应链全球化和本土化的关系？ 张凝芳： 在全球化和本土化上面，我们要找到一个更好的平衡。全球化的平台，是本土的创新加整 合。首先我需要去贴近本土的消费者，贴近本土的消费环境，贴近本土的生态，但是我又不能忘记 作为一个全球公司是有一些优势，是可以为本土所用的。我们在讲本土的创新和整合的时候，更多 是在讲供应链的设置和供应链的解决方案需要满足本土消费者和本土客户的需求， ...

Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the significant evolution of China's power battery industry over the past 15 years, marking its transition from inception to a global leader, and anticipates new challenges and opportunities in the next 15 years, particularly in globalization and technological innovation [2][4]. Summary by Sections 15-Year Journey of the Industry - The power battery industry in China has grown from a nascent stage in 2010 to a robust sector, becoming a representative of China's manufacturing prowess and a symbol of economic transformation [2]. - The industry is expected to face new challenges and opportunities as it enters a new phase starting in 2025, with a focus on electric transportation, energy system transformation, and the emergence of new applications and business models [2][4]. High工锂电's Role - High工锂电 has been a witness and chronicler of the power battery industry's growth over the past 15 years, providing insights through research reports, publications, and industry events [4]. - In 2025, High工锂电 will celebrate its 15th anniversary with a series of activities themed "激荡15年 瞭望新征程," reflecting on past achievements and looking forward to future challenges and opportunities [4][5]. Planned Activities - The activities will include research visits, video interviews, in-depth reports, and an industry celebration from March to December 2025 [5]. - Key topics for discussion will include the successes and failures of the past 15 years, new technologies, application scenarios, and business models for the future [10][11]. Industry Development Overview - The article outlines the evolution of the Chinese lithium battery industry through three phases: the nascent period (2010-2015), the explosive growth period (2016-2020), and the globalization leadership period (2021-2025), highlighting key technological and commercial breakthroughs [12]. - It emphasizes the changes in the core industry chain of batteries, equipment, and materials, along with a retrospective on key enterprises and the top 10 companies in various segments [12][13]. Future Outlook - The focus for the next 15 years will be on technological advancements such as solid-state batteries and sodium-ion batteries, as well as full-scene applications including energy storage and eVTOL [13]. - The globalization strategy will involve establishing overseas factories and technology exports, marking a significant shift in the industry's operational landscape [13]. Anniversary Celebration - The 15th anniversary celebration will take place during the 2025 High工锂电 annual meeting, inviting over 1,000 industry representatives to reflect on the past and discuss future opportunities and challenges [15]. - The event will feature discussions on new batteries, technologies, application opportunities, and innovations in business models, along with a special focus on emerging enterprises [16].