Report Industry Investment Ratings - **Beans 1**: ★★★ [1] - **Soybean Meal**: ★★☆ [1] - **Soybean Oil**: ★★☆ [1] - **Palm Oil**: ★★★ [1] - **Rapeseed Meal**: ★☆☆ [1] - **Rapeseed Oil**: ★☆☆ [1] - **Corn**: ★★☆ [1] - **Live Pigs**: ★★★ [1] - **Eggs**: ★★★ [1] Core Views - The overall agricultural product market shows complex trends affected by multiple factors, including policies, weather, geopolitics, and supply - demand relationships. Different products have different characteristics and investment suggestions [2][3][4] - For most products, weather is a key factor affecting prices in the medium - term, especially from June to August [2][3] - Uncertainties in Sino - US trade still exist, and the market is currently treated as volatile [3] Summary by Product Beans 1 - Domestic soybean futures fluctuate strongly. Policy trading volume is low, and warehouse receipts decrease year - on - year. Short - term weather in Northeast China is beneficial to crops. The US EPA biodiesel policy is positive, which supports CBOT soybean prices. In the medium term, weather will drive price fluctuations both overseas and domestically [2] Soybean & Soybean Meal - The Israel - Iran war and the US EPA policy drive up US soybean and soybean meal prices. US weather in the next two weeks is favorable for soybean growth. Domestic soybean arrivals have increased since May, supply is loose, and soybean meal inventory is expected to continue to rise. The market is currently volatile, and attention should be paid to the oil end and future weather changes [3] Soybean Oil & Palm Oil - In China, oil is strong and meal is weak, and the oil - meal ratio rises significantly. The US EPA biodiesel policy is positive for the long - term, and a long - term strategy of buying on dips for vegetable oils is recommended [4] Rapeseed Meal & Rapeseed Oil - Geopolitics, biodiesel policies, and产区 weather are the main factors affecting rapeseed futures prices. Currently, multiple factors are positive, and a bullish strategy is maintained [6] Corn - The USDA June corn report is slightly positive. Affected by wheat policies, Dalian corn futures first rose and then eased. The price difference between wheat and corn is narrowing, and some feed enterprises are substituting. Corn futures may continue to fluctuate in the short term [7] Live Pigs - Live pig futures fluctuate narrowly, and spot prices rebound slightly. In the short term, there is downward pressure on prices, but in the medium term, policy support may provide price support [8] Eggs - Egg futures show a pattern of strong near - term and weak far - term. Spot prices and near - term futures are rebounding. However, if the price rebounds too quickly, there is a risk of price fluctuations [9]

原油惯性收涨超5% 棕榈油领衔植物油大涨 上周五以色列突袭伊朗引发地缘局势升温，推动原油价格大幅飙升。周一（6月16日），在周末以伊双方互袭对方能源设施的背景下，国际油价继续惯性跳 涨，这驱动国内SC原油延续强势，终盘以超5.4%的涨幅继续领涨商品市场。尽管此前市场普遍对原油需求端疲软和欧佩克+增产带来的供需失衡感到担忧， 但在地缘冲突升级的大背景下，对供应受干扰的担忧占据主导，这成为油价重新回到70美元上方的主要驱动。分析机构普遍认为，若以色列和伊朗的冲突持 续并危及霍尔木兹海峡的原油运输，国际油价或再度冲高到每桶100美元上方。在地缘因素占据主导的背景下，油价整体的偏强态势仍将延续。 受原油价格继续高位坚挺带动，高低硫燃料油、甲醇、液化气等主要能化品种延续强势，收盘涨幅多在2%乃至3%以上。 新华财经北京6月16日电（郭洲洋、吴郑思）国内商品期货市场6月16日涨多跌少，其中SC原油主力合约涨超5%；棕榈油、甲醇、尿素、高硫燃油、原木主 力合约涨超3%；液化气、焦煤、豆油、锰硅、BR橡胶、菜油、硅铁主力合约涨超2%。下跌品种方面，集运欧线主力合约跌超4%；氧化铝、碳酸锂、沪锌 主力合约跌超0.5%。 截至1 ...

Report Industry Investment Ratings - There is no information provided regarding the report industry investment ratings in the given content. Core Views Oils and Fats - Palm oil: USDA's June supply - demand data shows a 300,000 - ton increase in global palm oil production and a 588,000 - ton increase in inventory for 2025 - 26. Indonesia's production and inventory remain unchanged, while Malaysia's production rises by 300,000 tons and inventory by 190,000 tons. Geopolitical conflicts and policy利好 may push up palm oil futures in the short - term, but fundamentals suggest potential inventory increase may suppress prices [1]. - Soybean oil: Similar to palm oil, affected by the same supply - demand data and external factors, with potential for short - term upward movement but facing pressure from inventory growth [1]. Meal - Current US soybean trading is influenced by Sino - US trade negotiations and bio - diesel blending requirements. New US soybean plantings have a fast progress and high good - quality rates, which put pressure on prices. Brazilian soybean premiums are strong, and domestic soybean and meal inventories are rising. Domestic meal is expected to oscillate, with limited upside [4]. Corn - Northeast traders have tight inventories and strong price - holding sentiment, and North China traders' shipping willingness is low. Corn prices are strong in the short - term but may face limited upward momentum after a rise. In the long - term, supply shortages and increasing consumption support price increases [7]. Livestock (Pigs) - Spot pig prices are in a volatile pattern. Slaughter weight is slowly decreasing, and secondary fattening has limited impact. Supply - demand improvement is poor, and while there is support from the reserve - purchase policy, upward drivers are weak [12]. Sugar - Global sugar supply is expected to be loose due to favorable weather in major producing regions. Raw sugar is likely to be in a weak - oscillating pattern, and domestic sugar prices are also expected to be weak with increasing import competition and weak demand [14]. Cotton - Old - crop cotton basis is strong, supporting prices, but new - crop production is expected to be high. Downstream demand has marginal improvement but lacks strong drivers. Short - term domestic cotton prices may oscillate within a range [15]. Summary by Related Catalogs Oils and Fats - Price Changes: On June 13, compared with June 12, prices of various oils and fats products showed different degrees of increase or decrease. For example, the price of 24 - degree palm oil in Guangdong increased by 180 to 8530, and the price of P2509 increased by 0.91% [1]. - Inventory: Palm oil warehouse receipts remained unchanged at 17,552 on June 13 compared to June 12, and the inventory of coastal soybean oil and rapeseed oil was also reported [1]. Meal - Price Changes: On June 13, the price of Jiangsu soybean meal increased by 20 to 2900, while the price of M2509 decreased by 8 to 3041. The price of Jiangsu rapeseed meal increased by 40 to 2610, and RM2509 remained unchanged [4]. - Supply and Demand: US soybean production and policy factors affect domestic meal prices. Brazilian soybean supply and domestic inventory trends also play important roles [4]. Corn - Price Changes: On June 13, compared with June 12, the price of corn 2507 decreased by 0.25% - 0.42%, and the price of corn starch 2507 decreased by 0.26% [7]. - Market Situation: The control of grain rights by traders, the supply and demand situation of downstream industries, and policy factors all influence corn prices [7]. Livestock (Pigs) - Price Changes: On June 13, compared with June 12, the price of the main pig contract increased by 8.00%, and the prices of different delivery months also changed slightly [12]. - Market Situation: Factors such as slaughter weight, secondary fattening, supply - demand balance, and policy support affect pig prices [12]. Sugar - Price Changes: On June 13, compared with June 12, the price of sugar 2601 increased by 0.20%, and the price of sugar 2509 increased by 0.30%. Spot prices in different regions decreased slightly [14]. - Industry Situation: Sugar production, sales, inventory, and import data all show different trends, indicating a complex market situation [14]. Cotton - Price Changes: On June 13, compared with June 12, the price of cotton 2509 decreased by 0.18%, and the price of cotton 2601 decreased by 0.11%. ICE US cotton increased by 0.55% [15]. - Market Situation: Supply - side factors (such as inventory and production expectations) and demand - side factors (such as downstream consumption and export data) jointly affect cotton prices [15].

2025年06月16日 国泰君安期货商品研究晨报-农产品 观点与策略 | 棕榈油：美国生柴政策及地缘风险均有利好 | 2 | | --- | --- | | 豆油：国内油脂表现或弱于国际油脂 | 2 | | 豆粕：生物柴油政策利多，连粕跟随美豆偏强 | 5 | | 豆一：豆类市场偏强，跟随补涨 | 5 | | 玉米：震荡偏强 | 7 | | 白糖：低位整理 | 9 | | 棉花：关注外部市场影响 | 10 | | 鸡蛋：梅雨季利空释放 | 11 | | 生猪：等待现货印证 | 12 | | 花生：下方有支撑 | 13 | 国 泰 君 安 期 货 研 究 所 请务必阅读正文之后的免责条款部分 1 期货研究 商 品 研 究 2025 年 6 月 16 日 商 品 研 究 棕榈油：美国生柴政策及地缘风险均有利好 豆油：国内油脂表现或弱于国际油脂 | | | 【基本面跟踪】 油脂基本面数据 | | 棕榈油主力 | 单 位 元/吨 | 收盘价 (日盘） 8,140 | 涨跌幅 1.62% | 收盘价 （夜盘） 8,414 | 涨跌幅 3.37% | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- ...

五矿期货农产品早报 五矿期货农产品团 王俊 组长、生鲜研究员 从业资格号: F0273729 交易咨询号: Z0002942 邮箱: wangja@wkqh.cn 杨泽元 白糖、棉花研究员 从业资格号: F03116327 交易咨询号: Z0019233 邮箱:yangzeyuan@wkqh.cn 斯小伟 油脂油料研究员 从业资格号: F03114441 交易咨询号: Z0022498 电话: 028-86133280 邮箱: sxwei@wkqh.cn 【重要资讯】 周五美豆上涨逾 2%,因美国 RVO 草案预计大幅增加豆油需求,美豆油涨停,带动美豆。周末国内豆粕 现货上调 40 元/吨,华东低价报 2890 元/吨。上周国内豆粕成交及提货均较好,下游仍在补库。MYSTEEL 统计上周国内压榨 225 万吨大豆,本周预计压榨 245 万吨。 美豆产区未来两周降雨偏好,覆盖大部分产区,前期偏干区域迎来降雨。前期我们预判美豆年度级别进 入了震荡磨底过程,不过走出底部区间仍然需要产量、生物柴油需求、全球宏观、贸易战的进一步驱动. 当前美豆端生物柴油政策提供利好,意味着需求端压榨量的预测边际向好,美豆的库销比水平可 ...

Report Information - Report Date: June 6, 2025 [2] - Industry: Oil and Fat [1] - Researcher: Yulanlan, Lin Zhenlei, Wang Haifeng, Hong Chenliang, Liu Youran [3] Investment Rating - Not provided Core View - The oil and fat sector lacks obvious drivers, mainly short - term speculation on news or high - frequency supply - demand data. Rapeseed oil fluctuates around 9000 yuan, and attention should be paid to the progress of China - Canada economic and trade negotiations. The market expects a significant increase in Malaysia's palm oil inventory at the end of May, which suppresses the upward movement of the market, but strong exports support the market, continuing the range - bound trend. Brazil's abundant soybean supply pressures the market, and attention should be paid to recent soybean imports and crushing. The improvement of the supply situation may put pressure on soybean oil and other oil and fat products. Selling soybean oil call options can be considered, with risks including weather, tariffs, and biodiesel policies of various countries [7] Section Summaries 1. Market Review and Operation Suggestions - **Quotes**: Dongguan rapeseed oil trader quotes: Dongguan triple - refined rapeseed oil 09 + 50 (June), first - grade rapeseed oil 09 + 250 (June). East China market soybean oil basis prices: first - grade soybean oil: 09 + 280 in early June, 09 + 260 from June to July, 09 + 270 from June to September, 01 + 330 from October to January. East China 24 - degree palm oil: P09 + 450 yuan/ton [7] - **Market Analysis**: The oil and fat sector lacks obvious drivers. Rapeseed oil fluctuates around 9000 yuan, and attention should be paid to China - Canada economic and trade negotiations and far - month ship purchases. Malaysia's palm oil inventory is expected to exceed 2 million tons in late May for the first time this year, suppressing the market, but strong exports support it. Brazil's abundant soybean supply pressures the market, and attention should be paid to soybean imports and crushing. Selling soybean oil call options can be considered [7] 2. Industry News - **Production**: Malaysia's palm oil production in May increased by 3.53% month - on - month, with fresh fruit bunch (FFB) yield increasing by 1.9% and oil extraction rate (OER) increasing by 0.3% month - on - month [8] - **Exports**: According to SGS, Malaysia's palm oil exports in May were 1,069,643 tons, a 29.6% increase from April. Exports to China were 131,900 tons, a 62,700 - ton increase from the previous month. According to ITS, exports were 1,320,914 tons, a 17.9% increase from April. According to AmSpec, exports were 1,230,787 tons, a 13.2% increase from April [8] 3. Data Overview - The report presents various data charts, including the spot prices of East China's third - grade rapeseed oil, fourth - grade soybean oil, South China's 24 - degree palm oil, palm oil basis changes, soybean oil basis changes, rapeseed oil basis changes, P1 - 5 spread, P5 - 9 spread, P9 - 1 spread, US dollar - Malaysian ringgit exchange rate, and US dollar - RMB exchange rate, with data sources from Wind and the Research and Development Department of CCB Futures [10][12][21]

| 曲脂产业期现日报 | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 投资咨询业务资格:证监许可 [2011] 1292号 2025年6月3日 | | 王淺辉 | Z0019938 | | 原 | | | | | 5月30日 | 5月29日 | 涨跌 | 张跌幅 | | 8050 现价 江苏一级 | 8100 | -20 | -0.62% | | 期价 Y2509 7422 | 7478 | -56 | -0.75% | | 墓差 Y2509 628 | 622 | 6 | 0.96% | | 现货墓差报价 江苏6月 09 + 300 | 09+300 | 0 | - | | 仓单 17152 | 17152 | 0 | 0.00% | | 棕櫚油 | | | | | 5月30日 | 5月29日 | 涨跌 | 张跃幅 | | 广东24度 8630 现价 | 8700 | -70 | -0.80% | | 期价 P2509 7934 | 8082 | -148 | -1.83% | | 星差 P2509 ୧୦୧ | ୧18 | 78 | 12.62% | | 现货墓差报价 广东6月 09 ...

Group 1: Industry Investment Ratings - No investment ratings were provided in the reports. Group 2: Core Views Oils and Fats - Malaysian BMD crude palm oil futures have stopped falling and stabilized around 3,800 ringgit, facing resistance at the annual line near 8,100. Domestic palm oil futures have rebounded, but still face resistance. For soybeans, the sideways movement of NYMEX crude oil has affected US soybean prices. With the approaching Dragon Boat Festival, domestic demand is weak, and the basis price is expected to decline. Overall, palm oil may rebound, while domestic soybean oil prices are under pressure [1]. Meal - US soybean planting is progressing smoothly, and the supply pressure from Brazil continues. China has suspended imports from the US, and the domestic soybean supply will be abundant in the later period. Although the current inventory of soybean meal in oil mills is low and the basis is expected to stabilize, the two meals are expected to maintain a volatile structure, and soybean meal may face short - term callback risks [2]. Corn - The supply and price of corn depend on traders' selling rhythm. Currently, prices are stable with strong bottom support. In the short term, the market is affected by wheat listing and price changes, and the corn market is in a narrow - range oscillation. In the long term, supply tightening and increased demand will support price increases [4]. Pigs - The spot price of pigs fluctuates slightly. Supply is abundant, and demand improvement is limited. Although there is some support before the Dragon Boat Festival, prices are difficult to rise. The market does not have a basis for a sharp decline, but the upward drive is also weak [7]. Sugar - ICE raw sugar futures have fallen to a four - year low due to improved global production prospects. Although the current lack of large - scale imports supports domestic sugar prices, future supply increases will suppress prices, and sugar prices are expected to be weakly volatile [11]. Cotton - The downstream demand for cotton has resilience, and the basis of cotton spot is strong, providing support for cotton prices. However, the long - term demand outlook is not strong, and prices are expected to oscillate within a range in the short term [13]. Eggs - The supply of eggs in the country is relatively sufficient, which has a negative impact on prices. Demand may first decrease and then increase, and egg prices are expected to first fall and then rise slightly this week [14]. Group 3: Summary by Related Catalogs Oils and Fats - **Prices**: On May 28, the spot price of Jiangsu first - grade soybean oil was 8,100 yuan/ton, unchanged from the previous day; the futures price of Y2509 was 7,492 yuan/ton, down 0.24%. The spot price of 24 - degree palm oil in Guangdong was 8,600 yuan/ton, up 0.58%; the futures price of P2509 was 8,000 yuan/ton, up 0.25%. The spot price of Jiangsu fourth - grade rapeseed oil was 9,600 yuan/ton, up 0.21%; the futures price of OI509 was 9,073 yuan/ton, down 0.40% [1]. - **Basis and Spreads**: The basis of Y2509 increased by 3.05%, the basis of P2509 increased by 5.26%, and the basis of OI509 increased by 11.89%. The 09 - 01 spread of soybean oil decreased by 35.71%, the 09 - 01 spread of palm oil decreased by 37.5%, and the 09 - 01 spread of rapeseed oil decreased by 7.14% [1]. Meal - **Prices**: On May 29, the spot price of Jiangsu soybean meal was 2,940 yuan/ton, unchanged; the futures price of M2509 was 2,961 yuan/ton, down 0.17%. The spot price of Jiangsu rapeseed meal was 2,530 yuan/ton, up 0.40%; the futures price of RM2509 was 2,604 yuan/ton, up 0.19% [2]. - **Basis and Spreads**: The basis of M2509 increased by 19.23%, the basis of RM2509 increased by 6.33%. The 09 - 01 spread of soybean meal increased by 7.14%, the 09 - 01 spread of rapeseed meal increased by 1.98% [2]. Corn - **Prices**: On May 29, the futures price of corn 2507 was 2,325 yuan/ton, up 0.04%. The spot price of corn in Jinzhou Port was 2,320 yuan/ton, and the basis was - 5 yuan/ton [4]. - **Spreads and Profits**: The 7 - 9 spread of corn was - 24 yuan/ton, unchanged. The import profit was 347 yuan/ton, up 4.75%. The 7 - 9 spread of corn starch was - 60 yuan/ton, unchanged, and the starch - corn spread increased by 3.05% [4]. Pigs - **Prices**: On May 29, the futures price of live pigs 2507 was 13,260 yuan/ton, up 0.08%; the futures price of 2509 was 13,560 yuan/ton, unchanged. The spot price in Henan was 14,530 yuan/ton, unchanged [7]. - **Spreads and Indicators**: The 7 - 9 spread of live pigs decreased by 3.23%. The slaughter rate increased by 0.83%, and the self - breeding profit decreased by 40.23% [7]. Sugar - **Prices**: On May 29, the futures price of sugar 2601 was 5,674 yuan/ton, down 0.60%; the futures price of 2509 was 5,795 yuan/ton, down 0.79%. The ICE raw sugar futures price was 16.91 cents/pound, down 1.97% [10]. - **Basis and Inventory**: The basis in Nanning increased by 14.65%, and the basis in Kunming increased by 38.66%. The national industrial inventory decreased by 8.20%, and the industrial inventory in Guangxi decreased by 10.41% [10][12]. Cotton - **Prices**: On May 29, the futures price of cotton 2509 was 13,330 yuan/ton, unchanged; the futures price of 2601 was 13,375 yuan/ton, down 0.07%. The ICE cotton futures price was 65.33 cents/pound, down 0.38% [13]. - **Inventory and Indicators**: Commercial inventory decreased by 7.7%, industrial inventory decreased by 2.6%, and imports decreased by 14.3%. The export volume of textile yarns and fabrics increased by 4.4% [13]. Eggs - **Prices**: On May 29, the futures price of egg 09 contract was 3,722 yuan/500KG, up 0.24%; the futures price of 06 contract was 2,662 yuan/500KG, down 1.26% [14]. - **Indicators**: The price of egg - laying chicks was unchanged, the price of culled chickens decreased by 1.92%, and the breeding profit increased by 7.32% [14].

1. Report Industry Investment Ratings No relevant content provided. 2. Core Views of the Reports Oils and Fats - Palm oil: SPPOMA's significant decline in the first 25 - day production increase and the increase in the first 25 - day exports announced by shipping agencies will limit the downside of the market. However, the domestic Dalian palm oil futures market is expected to maintain a weak and volatile trend due to the weak performance of Malaysian palm oil and the increase in domestic port inventories [1]. - Soybean oil: The fundamentals of domestic soybean oil are deteriorating. Spot soybean oil will continue to be weaker than futures, and the basis quote is expected to decline. Although CBOT soybean oil is supported by the US biodiesel policy and the promotion of green energy, it is also affected by the possible tariff increase on EU goods by Trump and the decline of CBOT soybeans [1]. Meal - The two - meal futures in the domestic market are expected to maintain a volatile structure. The spring sowing of US soybeans is progressing smoothly, and the supply pressure from Brazil is still being realized. The abundant arrival of soybeans in the domestic market will suppress the cost of domestic soybean meal, but the low inventory of oil mills and the low basis limit the downside [2]. Live Pigs - The spot price of live pigs has rebounded slightly. Although the improvement in supply - demand is limited, the reduction in the supply of breeding groups at the end of the month and the pre - Dragon Boat Festival stocking demand have contributed to the rebound. The 09 contract has also rebounded, and the market is expected to neither decline significantly nor have strong upward momentum. Attention should be paid to the support around 13,500 [4][5]. Corn - In the short term, the corn market will maintain a narrow - range volatile trend. The supply and price are affected by traders' selling rhythm. The downstream deep - processing industry's continuous losses and the substitution expectation of wheat put pressure on corn. In the long term, the tightening supply, reduced imports and substitution, and increased breeding demand will support the upward movement of corn prices [7]. Sugar - The supply outlook for the 25/26 sugar season is optimistic, with smooth harvesting in Brazil's central - southern region and a good start of the monsoon season in Thailand. The raw sugar is expected to be weak and volatile, with a risk of falling below 17 cents per pound. The domestic sugar price is expected to maintain a weak and volatile trend due to the future import rhythm and the increasing long - term supply [10]. Cotton - The downstream demand for cotton has resilience, and the basis of cotton spot is firm, providing strong support for cotton prices. However, the weak long - term demand expectation limits the upward movement of cotton prices. In the short term, the domestic cotton market is expected to fluctuate within a range [12]. Eggs - The national egg supply is relatively sufficient, which has a negative impact on egg prices. The demand is expected to first decrease and then increase, and the egg price is expected to first fall and then rise slightly this week [13]. 3. Summary by Related Catalogs Oils and Fats - **Prices and Changes**: For soybeans, the spot price in Jiangsu decreased by 0.61% to 8,120 yuan, and the futures price of Y2509 decreased by 0.53% to 7,530 yuan. For palm oil, the spot price in Guangdong decreased by 0.93% to 8,520 yuan, and the futures price of P2509 decreased by 0.43% to 7,920 yuan. For rapeseed oil, the spot price in Jiangsu remained unchanged at 9,610 yuan, and the futures price of 01509 decreased by 0.44% to 9,026 yuan [1]. - **Spreads**: The soybean - palm oil spread and the rapeseed - soybean oil spread have changed to varying degrees. For example, the 2509 soybean - palm oil spread decreased by 7.76% to - 250 yuan [1]. Meal - **Prices and Changes**: The spot price of Jiangsu soybean meal decreased by 0.68% to 2,940 yuan, and the futures price of M2509 decreased by 0.07% to 2,950 yuan. The spot price of Jiangsu rapeseed meal increased by 0.40% to 2,510 yuan, and the futures price of RM2509 increased by 0.39% to 2,566 yuan [2]. - **Spreads**: The 09 - 01 spread of soybean meal decreased by 1.96% to - 52 yuan, and the 09 - 01 spread of rapeseed meal increased by 6.85% to 234 yuan [2]. Live Pigs - **Futures and Spot Prices**: The futures prices of the main contract and the 2507 and 2509 contracts of live pigs have all increased. The spot prices in various regions have also rebounded to varying degrees, with the largest increase of 550 yuan in Liaoning [4]. - **Indicators**: The daily slaughter volume of sample points increased by 1.42%, the weekly white - strip price decreased by 100%, and the self - breeding and外购 breeding profits decreased by 40.23% and 133.32% respectively [4]. Corn - **Prices and Changes**: The futures price of corn 2507 decreased by 0.39% to 2,318 yuan, and the futures price of corn starch 2507 decreased by 0.38% to 2,653 yuan. The basis of corn and corn starch has changed, with the corn basis increasing by 128.57% [7]. - **Indicators**: The number of remaining vehicles in Shandong's deep - processing industry in the morning increased by 15.67%, and the import profit of corn increased by 2.80% [7]. Sugar - **Prices and Changes**: The futures price of sugar 2601 increased by 0.11%, and the futures price of sugar 2509 increased by 0.03%. The spot prices in Nanning and Kunming remained stable or decreased slightly [10]. - **Industry Indicators**: The national cumulative sugar production and sales have increased, and the industrial inventory has decreased. The cumulative national and Guangxi sugar sales rates have increased [10]. Cotton - **Prices and Changes**: The futures price of cotton 2509 decreased by 0.19%, and the futures price of cotton 2601 decreased by 0.19%. The spot prices in Xinjiang and other regions have changed slightly [12]. - **Industry Indicators**: The commercial and industrial inventories of cotton have decreased, and the cotton outbound shipment volume has increased by 22.6%. The export volume of textile yarns, fabrics and products, and clothing and accessories has changed to varying degrees [12]. Eggs - **Prices and Changes**: The futures prices of the 09 and 06 contracts of eggs have increased slightly. The egg - laying hen chick price remained unchanged, and the淘汰 chicken price decreased by 1.92% [13]. - **Indicators**: The basis of eggs increased by 42.40%, and the breeding profit increased by 7.32% [13].

1. Report Industry Investment Ratings No relevant content found. 2. Core Views of the Reports Oils and Fats - Palm oil: SPPOMA's sharp decline in the first 25 - day production increase and the growth in the first 25 - day exports will limit the downside of the market, but the domestic Dalian palm oil futures will maintain a weak and volatile trend due to weak Malaysian palm oil performance and rising domestic port inventories [1]. - Soybean oil: The fundamentals are deteriorating. The domestic soybean arrival is large, the factory's开机率 is rising, and the inventory is increasing. Spot soybean oil will continue to be weaker than futures, and the basis quote is expected to decline [1]. Meal - Two - meal futures in the domestic market are fluctuating. The spring sowing of US soybeans is progressing smoothly, and the supply pressure from Brazil is being realized. The domestic soybean arrival will be abundant in the future, but the oil mill's meal inventory is low, and the basis is at a low level. The two - meal is expected to maintain a fluctuating structure [2]. Live Pigs - The spot price of live pigs has rebounded. Although the improvement in supply and demand is limited, due to the reduction in the supply of breeding groups at the end of the month and the pre - Dragon Boat Festival stocking demand, the price has rebounded slightly. The 09 contract has rebounded following the spot, and the market is expected to neither fall sharply nor have strong upward momentum [4][5]. Corn - The short - term corn market is trading quietly, with no obvious unilateral driving force, and will maintain a narrow - range fluctuation. The market is more concerned about the wheat listing and price changes. In the long - term, the tightening supply and increased breeding demand will support the price [7]. Sugar - The supply outlook for the 25/26 sugar season is optimistic, and the raw sugar is expected to fluctuate weakly, with a risk of falling below 17 cents/lb. The domestic sugar price is expected to maintain a weak and volatile trend due to the expected increase in future imports [10]. Cotton - The downstream of the cotton industry has rigid demand resilience, and the spot basis of raw - material cotton is firm, providing strong support for the price. However, the long - term demand expectation is not strong, and there is no strong upward driving force. The domestic cotton price is expected to fluctuate within a range in the short - term [12]. Eggs - The national egg supply is relatively sufficient, which has a certain negative impact on the price. The demand may first decrease and then increase, which is the main factor affecting the price fluctuation. The national egg price may first fall and then rise this week, with a small adjustment range [13]. 3. Summary by Related Catalogs Oils and Fats - **Soybean oil**: On May 26, the spot price in Jiangsu was 8120 yuan/ton, down 0.61% from May 23; the futures price of Y2509 was 7530 yuan/ton, down 0.53%; the basis was 590 yuan/ton, down 1.67%. The inventory is increasing, and the basis is expected to decline [1]. - **Palm oil**: On May 26, the spot price of 24 - degree palm oil in Guangdong was 8520 yuan/ton, down 0.93% from May 23; the futures price of P2509 was 7920 yuan/ton, down 0.43%; the basis was 600 yuan/ton, down 7.12%. The domestic futures market is weak and volatile [1]. - **Rapeseed oil**: On May 26, the spot price of Grade 4 rapeseed oil in Jiangsu was 9610 yuan/ton, unchanged from May 23; the futures price of 01509 was 9026 yuan/ton, down 0.44%; the basis was 584 yuan/ton, up 7.35% [1]. - **Spreads**: The soybean - palm oil spread and the rapeseed - soybean oil spread have changed to varying degrees, reflecting the relative price relationship between different varieties [1]. Meal - **Soybean meal**: The spot price in Jiangsu was 2940 yuan/ton, down 0.68% from the previous value; the futures price of M2509 was 2950 yuan/ton, down 0.07%; the basis was - 10 yuan/ton, down 225.00%. The cost of domestic soybean meal is under pressure due to Brazilian supply [2]. - **Rapeseed meal**: The spot price in Jiangsu was 2510 yuan/ton, up 0.40% from the previous value; the futures price of RM2509 was 2566 yuan/ton, up 0.39%; the basis was - 56 yuan/ton, unchanged [2]. - **Spreads**: The spreads between different contracts of soybean meal and rapeseed meal, as well as the oil - meal ratio and the soybean - rapeseed meal spread, have all changed [2]. Live Pigs - **Futures**: The main contract price was 830 yuan/ton, up 8.50%; the price of live pigs 2507 was 13260 yuan/ton, up 0.42%; the price of live pigs 2509 was 13600 yuan/ton, up 0.63% [4]. - **Spot**: The spot prices in various regions have rebounded to varying degrees. The sample - point slaughter volume increased by 1.42%, the white - strip price decreased by 100.00%, and the self - breeding and purchased - piglet breeding profits decreased [4]. Corn - **Corn**: The price of corn 2507 was 2318 yuan/ton, down 0.39%; the import profit increased by 2.80%. The market is affected by factors such as wheat and supply and demand [7]. - **Corn starch**: The price of corn starch 2507 was 2653 yuan/ton, down 0.38%; the basis increased by 37.04%. The profit of Shandong starch decreased by 6.49% [7]. Sugar - **Futures**: The price of sugar 2601 increased by 0.11%, the price of sugar 2509 increased by 0.03%, and the ICE raw - sugar main contract decreased by 0.40% [10]. - **Spot**: The spot prices in Nanning and Kunming changed slightly. The national sugar production and sales increased year - on - year, while the industrial inventory decreased [10]. Cotton - **Futures**: The price of cotton 2509 was 13385 yuan/ton, down 0.19%; the price of cotton 2601 was 13435 yuan/ton, down 0.19% [12]. - **Spot**: The spot prices in Xinjiang and other regions changed slightly. The commercial and industrial inventories decreased month - on - month, and the export volume of textile products changed to varying degrees [12]. Eggs - **Futures**: The price of the egg 09 contract was 3766 yuan/500KG, up 0.11%; the price of the egg 06 contract was 2762 yuan/500KG, up 0.22% [13]. - **Spot**: The egg - producing area price decreased by 0.19%, and the base increased by 42.40%. The egg - chicken chick price was unchanged, and the culled - chicken price decreased by 1.92% [13].