Report Industry Investment Rating - Gold: Neutral [8] - Silver: Neutral [8] - Arbitrage: Sell short the gold-silver ratio on rallies [8] - Options: Postpone [9] Core View - The Fed is likely to continue cutting interest rates in October, and the market has fully priced in this expected rate cut. Coupled with factors that reduce short-term risk aversion, precious metals are expected to continue to show a volatile trend [8]. Summary According to Related Catalogs Market Analysis - The U.S. Senate failed to pass the procedural vote on the "2025 Fiscal Year Continuing Appropriations and Extension Act" for the 13th time, so the government shutdown will continue. ADP will launch weekly employment data, and the first report shows that the average number of private-sector jobs in the U.S. increased by 14,250 in the four weeks ending October 11 [1]. Futures Quotes and Volumes - On October 28, 2025, the Shanghai Gold futures main contract opened at 926.92 yuan/gram and closed at 901.38 yuan/gram, down 3.51% from the previous trading day. The trading volume was 41,087 lots, and the open interest was 129,725 lots. The night session closed at 905.06 yuan/gram, up 0.41% from the afternoon session. The Shanghai Silver futures main contract opened at 11,268.00 yuan/kg and closed at 11,049.00 yuan/kg, down 3.03% from the previous trading day. The trading volume was 1,052,828 lots, and the open interest was 321,876 lots. The night session closed at 11,180 yuan/kg, up 1.19% from the afternoon session [2]. U.S. Treasury Yield and Spread Monitoring - On October 28, 2025, the U.S. 10-year Treasury yield closed at 3.974%, down 0.19 BP from the previous trading day. The spread between the 10-year and 2-year Treasuries was 0.492%, up 0.21 BP from the previous trading day [3]. Position and Volume Changes of Gold and Silver on the SHFE - On October 28, 2025, on the Au2508 contract, the long positions decreased by 541 lots, and the short positions decreased by 242 lots. The total trading volume of Shanghai Gold contracts was 643,413 lots, a change of 24.38% from the previous trading day. On the Ag2508 contract, the long positions increased by 2 lots, and the short positions decreased by 2 lots. The total trading volume of Shanghai Silver contracts was 1,760,723 lots, a change of 35.58% from the previous trading day [4]. Precious Metal ETF Position Tracking - The gold ETF position was 1,038.92 tons, unchanged from the previous trading day. The silver ETF position was 15,210 tons, a decrease of 131 tons from the previous trading day [5]. Precious Metal Arbitrage Tracking - On October 28, 2025, the domestic gold premium was 20.15 yuan/gram, and the domestic silver premium was -625.43 yuan/kg. The price ratio of the main gold and silver contracts on the SHFE was about 81.58, down 0.49% from the previous trading day, and the overseas gold-silver ratio was 85.07, up 0.90% from the previous trading day [6]. Fundamentals - On October 28, 2025, the trading volume of gold on the Shanghai Gold Exchange's T+d market was 67,744 kg, a change of 21.58% from the previous trading day. The trading volume of silver was 765,416 kg, a change of 17.10% from the previous trading day. The gold delivery volume was 11,166 kg, and the silver delivery volume was 16,830 kg [7].

Group 1 - The A-share market opened with all three major indices rising, with the Shanghai Composite Index up by 0.05%, the Shenzhen Component Index up by 0.4%, and the ChiNext Index up by 1.07% [1] - Sectors such as precious metals, PCB, and CPO concepts experienced a strong opening [1]

Core Viewpoint - The current market shows a decrease in safe-haven sentiment, leading to a significant drop in gold and silver prices, with gold falling below $4000 per ounce and silver dropping over 4% [1] Group 1: Market Performance - As of the latest report, spot gold has reached a low of $3987 per ounce, marking a daily decline of 2.8% [1] - Spot silver is reported at $46.5 per ounce, reflecting a decline of over 4% [1] Group 2: Market Sentiment - The reduction in safe-haven sentiment is noted as a key factor influencing the current market dynamics [1] - Market expectations regarding the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts have been gradually absorbed, contributing to increased volatility in precious metals [1]

Core Viewpoint - The current market shows a decrease in risk aversion, leading to a decline in precious metals prices, with gold dropping below $4000 per ounce and silver falling over 4% [1]. Group 1 - As of October 27, spot gold prices fell to a low of $3987 per ounce, marking a daily decline of 2.8% [1]. - Spot silver prices reported at $46.5 per ounce, reflecting a drop of over 4% [1]. - Market participants indicate that the expectations for a Federal Reserve interest rate cut have been gradually priced in, contributing to increased volatility in precious metals [1].

降息充分定价，贵金属震荡属性增加 摘 要： 中美经贸再度开启谈判议程，避险情绪略有降低，黄金在避险 情绪减弱的推动下，略有下行，目前为止震荡特征明显。目前美国 政府依然处于停摆过程中，关于美国经济的数据无法进一步获得， 但是从美联储官员的表述来看，市场基本对 10 月份继续降息已经 有所定价，后续市场更多关注的是地缘避险因素，及美国政府的内 部分歧和博弈情况。 美东时间 10 月 1 日 0 时，美国联邦政府因资金用尽，时隔近 七年再度"停摆"。数十万联邦雇员将被迫无薪休假，部分公共服 务或暂停、延迟，经济数据发布将受到一定影响。美国 9 月 CPI 同 比上涨 3%，创今年 1 月以来最高，但低于市场预期的 3.1%，核心 CPI 环比放缓至 0.2%，也低于市场预期。9 月服务业通胀放缓至 2021 年 11 月以来的最弱水平。数据公布后，市场已经完全消化美联储 年内剩余时间两次降息 25 个基点的预期。国家主席习近平将于 10 月 30 日至 11 月 1 日赴韩国庆州出席亚太经合组织第三十二次领导 人非正式会议并对韩国进行国事访问。就 APEC 会议期间中美元首 是否举行会晤相关问题，外交部发言人郭嘉 ...

Macro News - The recent China-U.S. trade talks led by Chinese Vice Premier He Lifeng and U.S. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen resulted in constructive discussions on key economic issues, including maritime logistics, shipbuilding industry measures, and agricultural trade [1] - The U.S. September CPI data came in below expectations, with the annual rate at 3% compared to the expected 3.10%, which has led traders to bet on two more interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve this year [1] Institutional Views - The better-than-expected U.S. CPI data has cleared the way for a potential interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve in October, supporting precious metal prices [2] - The recent China-U.S. trade negotiations have improved market risk sentiment, which has exerted some downward pressure on precious metals [2] - The upcoming "super central bank week" is expected to increase market volatility, with the Federal Reserve, European Central Bank, and Bank of Japan all holding meetings amid economic risks from a potential government shutdown in the U.S. [2]

Group 1: Price Performance - London gold latest price is 4104.40 with a change of -39.35 [1] - London silver latest price is 48.01 with a change of -1.10 [1] - London platinum latest price is 1649.00 with a change of 99.00 [1] - London palladium latest price is 1463.00 with a change of 38.00 [1] - WTI crude latest price is 61.50 with a change of -0.29 [1] - LME copper latest price is 10947.50 with a change of 203.00 [1] - Dollar index latest is 98.94 with a change of 0.01 [11] - Euro - US dollar latest is 1.16 with a change of 0.00 [11] - Pound - US dollar latest is 1.33 with a change of -0.00 [11] - US dollar - Japanese yen latest is 152.89 with a change of 0.30 [11] - US 10 - year TIPS latest is 1.73 with a change of 0.02 [11] Group 2: Trading Data - COMEX silver inventory data is not provided [2] - SHFE silver latest inventory is 664.97 with a change of 1.60 [2] - Gold ETF latest holding is 1046.93 with a change of -5.44 [2] - Silver ETF latest holding is 15419.81 with a change of -49.39 [2] - SGE silver inventory data is not provided [2] - SGE gold deferred fee payment direction latest is 1 with a change of 0.00 [2] - SGE silver deferred fee payment direction latest is 1 with a change of -1.00 [2]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article indicates that the recent quarterly reports from various funds reveal a strong focus on sectors such as artificial intelligence, innovative pharmaceuticals, and non-ferrous metals, with many funds holding "doubling stocks" in their top ten positions [1][2][10] - The report highlights that the A-share market has seen significant gains this year, but historical patterns suggest that the current upward trend is likely not over, with overall market valuations remaining at reasonable levels [1][6] Group 2 - The top three holdings of the Rongtong Industrial Trend fund include Haibo Sichuang, Industrial Fulian, and Zhongji Xuchuang, with year-to-date stock price increases of 313.46%, 218.92%, and 301.99% respectively [2][4] - The fund's net asset value has increased by 93.69% in the first three quarters of the year, ranking it 9th among ordinary stock funds, with a stock position of 89.55% [5][6] Group 3 - The Ping An Core Advantage fund's top three holdings are Kangfang Bio, Xinda Bio, and Kelong Botai Bio-B, with year-to-date stock price increases of 89%, 133.74%, and 167.97% respectively [7][9] - The fund has achieved an 88.95% increase in net asset value this year, ranking in the top 2% among over 4,500 mixed equity funds, with a stock position of 90.3% [9] Group 4 - The top three holdings of the Wanji Trend Leading fund are Shandong Gold, Luoyang Molybdenum, and Zhongjin Gold, with significant stock price increases of 181.32%, 184.07%, and 160.32% respectively [10][11] - The fund's net asset value has increased by nearly 80% in the first three quarters, ranking in the top 5% among mixed equity funds, with a stock position of 75.80% [10][11] Group 5 - The fund managers express optimism about sectors such as artificial intelligence, energy storage, and the internet, indicating a belief in continued market growth [6][9] - The Wanji Trend Leading fund manager anticipates several trends for the fourth quarter, including rising prices for physical assets and a potential turning point for PPI, which could lead to a recovery in asset prices and a shift in market style [11]

Group 1: Price Performance - London Gold latest price is $4070.00, down $99.60 [1] - London Silver latest price is $47.76, down $2.19 [1] - London Platinum latest price is $1562.00, down $64.00 [1] - London Palladium latest price is $1421.00, down $63.00 [1] - WTI Crude latest price is $58.50, up $1.26 [1] - LME Copper latest price is $10669.00, down $0.50 [1] Group 2: Trading Data - COMEX Silver inventory change not provided [2] - SHFE Silver latest inventory is 691.69, down 57.67 [2] - Gold ETF latest holding is 1052.37, down 6.29 [2] - Silver ETF latest holding is 15597.61, down 79.03 [2] - SGE Silver inventory change not provided [2] - SGE Gold deferred fee payment direction change is 0.00 [2] - SGE Silver deferred fee payment direction change is -1.00 [2] Group 3: Other Related Data - Dollar Index latest is 98.91, down 0.06 [11] - Euro - US Dollar latest is 1.16, no change [11] - British Pound - US Dollar latest is 1.34, no change [11] - US Dollar - Japanese Yen latest is 151.97, up 0.04 [11] - US 10 - year TIPS data incomplete [11]

Market Overview - On October 22, the trading volume of the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets reached 1.67 trillion, a decrease of 224.8 billion compared to the previous trading day [1] - Sectors that saw significant gains included deep earth economy concepts, plant-based meat, wind power equipment, and real estate, while precious metals and battery sectors experienced declines [1] Stock Performance - High-performing stocks included Dayou Energy with 9 consecutive trading limits, *ST Nan Zhi with 9 days of gains, and *ST Wan Fang with 8 days of gains [3] - The top three net purchases on the daily leaderboard were Keri Technology, Asia-Pacific Pharmaceutical, and Marco Polo, with net purchases of 140 million, 127 million, and 90.2 million respectively [3] Institutional Activity - The top three net sales on the daily leaderboard were Hezhu Intelligent, Haima Automobile, and Deshi Co., with net sales of 118 million, 99.5 million, and 96.2 million respectively [4] - Among stocks involving institutional special seats, the top three net purchases were Rongxin Culture, Kebo Da, and Te Yi Pharmaceutical, with net purchases of 111 million, 41.7 million, and 39.1 million respectively [4] Company Highlights Keri Technology - Positioned as a provider of mid-to-late stage solutions for lithium battery manufacturing equipment, the company has seen significant growth in its XR/VR testing equipment, which has been shipped in bulk to leading clients [5] - For the first half of the year, the company reported revenue of 1.106 billion and a net profit of 123 million, with revenue growth of 6.31% and net profit growth of 37.28% year-on-year, indicating notable performance improvement [6] Asia-Pacific Pharmaceutical - Announced a change in control with the major shareholder, Fubon Group, planning to transfer 14.62% of shares to Xinghao Holdings at 8.26 yuan per share, totaling 900 million [7] - The company plans to raise up to 700 million through a private placement to fund the development of oncolytic virus drugs and long-acting complex formulations, transitioning from traditional generics to improved new drugs and innovative drugs [7] Hezhu Intelligent - Recently won a bid for the fusion energy BEST vacuum chamber project worth 209 million and is forming a specialized team to tackle core components of fusion reactors [9] - The company's color sorting machines account for 57% of its revenue, with 20-25% of this business coming from exports, maintaining a strong position in the domestic market [9] Key Trading Stocks - Rongxin Culture saw a 3.56% increase with a turnover rate of 45.97% and a total transaction volume of 809 million, with institutional net purchases of 111 million [10] - Sanwei Communication increased by 5.00% with a turnover rate of 33.08% and a total transaction volume of 3.005 billion, with institutional net purchases of 23 million [10] - Te Yi Pharmaceutical hit the daily limit with a turnover rate of 30.11% and a total transaction volume of 1.201 billion, with institutional net purchases of 39.1 million [10]