贵金属早报 研究中心宏观团队 2025/06/12 | 价 格 表 现 | | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 品种 | 伦敦金 | 伦敦银 | 伦敦铂 | 伦敦钯 | WTI原油 | LME铜 | | 最新 | - | - | - | 1062.00 | 68.15 | 9777.50 | | 变化 | - | - | - | -7.00 | 3.17 | 48.00 | | 品种 | 美元指数 | 欧元兑美元 | 英镑兑美元 | 美元兑日元 | 美国10年期TIPS | | | 最新 | 98.65 | 1.15 | 1.35 | 144.59 | - | | | 变化 | -0.41 | 0.01 | 0.01 | -0.31 | - | | 交 易 数 据 | 日期 | COMEX白银 | 上期所白银 | 黄金ETF持仓 | 白银ETF持仓 | 上金所白银 | 上金所黄金 | 上金所白银 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 库存 | 库存 | | ...

Core Insights - Precious metals have been a symbol of wealth and power throughout history, and they play a crucial role in various modern industries, including technology, healthcare, and electronics [1] Group 1: Characteristics of Precious Metals - Precious metals are defined as rare, high-density metals with significant economic value, including Ruthenium (Ru), Rhodium (Rh), Palladium (Pd), Osmium (Os), Iridium (Ir), Platinum (Pt), Silver (Ag), and Gold (Au) [1] - The abundance of these metals in the Earth's crust is extremely low, with concentrations measured in grams per ton: Silver 0.1, Palladium 0.01, Gold and Platinum 0.005, and Rhodium, Iridium, Ruthenium, Osmium 0.001 [1] - Silver excels in electrical and thermal conductivity, while Gold ranks third, and Platinum group metals are known for their thermal stability in electronic applications [3] - Gold and Silver possess exceptional malleability, with 1 gram of Gold capable of being drawn into a wire measuring 3420 meters [3] Group 2: Applications of Precious Metals - Precious metals are ideal for jewelry due to their aesthetic qualities, with Silver reflecting white light most effectively and Gold reflecting infrared light strongly [4] - The ability of precious metals to absorb gases like oxygen and hydrogen makes them valuable in catalytic reactions and gas purification processes [6] - Precious metals exhibit high corrosion resistance, with Iridium being the most resistant, making them suitable for use in harsh chemical environments [7] - Palladium catalysts can enhance organic reaction rates by up to 1 million times, playing a vital role in automotive emissions control and petroleum refining [9] Group 3: Industry Impact - In the electronics industry, Gold, Silver, and Platinum are used for their excellent conductivity and stability, with Gold ensuring stable electronic signal transmission [13] - Platinum and Palladium are increasingly in demand for automotive catalytic converters due to stricter environmental regulations [14] - In aerospace, precious metals are used in high-temperature alloys for critical engine components, capable of withstanding extreme conditions [15] - Precious metals are essential in the chemical industry for processes like nitric acid production and petroleum reforming, improving reaction efficiency and reducing costs [18] Group 4: Financial and Economic Role - Historically, Gold and Silver served as currency and continue to influence monetary value, with central banks holding significant Gold reserves to enhance currency credibility [19] - The precious metals market is vast, with Gold being the largest segment, and prices are influenced by various factors, including economic uncertainty and geopolitical tensions [21] - Platinum and Palladium prices are closely tied to the automotive industry, with demand driven by vehicle sales and environmental regulations [21] Group 5: Future Outlook - Precious metals are positioned as key players in future technological advancements and sustainable development, serving as catalysts in energy and life sciences [22]

Price Performance - Latest price of London Gold is 3364.60, up 29.85 [1] - Latest price of London Silver is 34.35, up 0.10 [1] - Latest price of London Platinum is 1058.00, down 13.00 [1] - Latest price of London Palladium is 1005.00, up 41.00 [1] - Latest price of WTI Crude Oil is 62.85, down 0.56 [1] - Latest price of LME Copper is 9634.50, up 89.50 [1] Trading Data - Latest inventory of SHFE Silver is 1087.21, up 18.36 [2] - Latest Gold ETF holdings is 935.65, no change [2] - Latest Silver ETF holdings is 14552.37, up 135.72 [2] - Latest inventory of SGE Silver is 1396.61, no change [2] - Latest deferred fee payment direction of SGE Gold is 1, down 1.00 [2] - Latest deferred fee payment direction of SGE Silver is 2, up 1.00 [2] Other Related Data - Latest value of US Dollar Index is 98.81, down 0.47 [13] - Latest value of EUR/USD is 1.14, up 0.01 [13] - Latest value of GBP/USD is 1.36, no change [13] - Latest value of USD/JPY is 142.72, down 1.28 [13]

Group 1: Macroeconomic Developments - The potential for a US-Canada trade agreement may be reached next week, with Canada prepared to retaliate if negotiations fail [2] - EU trade officials indicate that negotiations with the US are progressing in the right direction [2] - The UK Prime Minister expresses confidence in reducing US tariffs in a short timeframe [2] Group 2: US Economic Indicators - The US ADP employment report for May shows an increase of 37,000 jobs, significantly below the expected 110,000 [3] - The ISM non-manufacturing index for May drops to 49.9, indicating contraction for the first time in nearly a year, down from 51.6 [3] - The probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining interest rates in June is 95.6%, with a 4.4% chance of a 25 basis point cut [3] Group 3: Market Reactions and Predictions - Galaxy Futures suggests that the cooling US economy is boosting precious metals, which are expected to maintain a strong position in the short term [4] - The weak ADP data and ISM services PMI have diminished market confidence in the US economic outlook, leading to renewed expectations for Fed rate cuts [4] - Concerns over the US fiscal situation, highlighted by Trump's comments on the debt ceiling and the CBO's deficit projections, are providing support for precious metals [4]

Market Overview - The A-share market continues to show a rebound trend, with significant performance in the consumer sector [4][6] - The overall market capitalization of the Shanghai Composite Index is 6503.28 billion, with a PE ratio of 11.95 and a PB ratio of 1.24 [3] - The Shenzhen Component Index has a market capitalization of 2159.63 billion, with a PE ratio of 19.92 and a PB ratio of 2.10 [3] Industry Dynamics - The global first humanoid robot, the ZhiYuan Expedition A2, has received certifications from China, the EU, and the US, marking a significant milestone in the robotics industry [27][28] - The market for 3C digital lithium battery PACK equipment in China is expected to reach nearly 1.3 billion by 2027, driven by a projected 13.9% increase in total shipments of digital lithium batteries in 2024 [30][31] - Several city commercial banks have followed suit in lowering deposit rates, which is expected to reduce financial institutions' liability costs and stabilize net interest margins [32] Company Updates - Marubi Biotechnology Co., Ltd. announced a cash dividend of 0.50 yuan per share, totaling 200.5 million yuan, based on a total share capital of 401 million shares [36][38] - Muyuan Foods has repurchased shares amounting to 2.1 billion yuan, with a total of 52.54 million shares repurchased, representing 0.96% of the total share capital [39][40] - Delong Technology plans to invest approximately 300 million yuan in a new lithium battery project, enhancing its competitiveness in the automotive parts market [41][42]

回顾5月市场，整体冲高回落为主，宏观冲击对市场的影响开始逐渐消退，政策资金仍在托底，市场风 险偏好与交易情绪回落。5月成交额相较4月继续回落，全月日均成交额回到了12，147亿元，上周周内 市场日均成交额约10，939亿元。风格上，整体成长优于价值，小盘跑赢大盘；行业上，环保、医药生 物、国防军工等表现靠前，汽车、电力设备、有色金属等表现靠后。 宏观展望：海外关税风险不确定性加大 市场展望：关注红利、机器人、贵金属、国防军工等 往后展望，6月市场或进入宏观事件真空期（除了可能的关税冲击之外）。在新一轮冲击来临之前，市 场基本面或难以显著改善，下行风险高于上行风险，因此短期内进行防御性配置或是更合适的选择。复 盘过去三年6-7月的市场，调整幅度普遍在7%左右，但今年的政策预期和流动性预期较往年更强，因此 本轮市场调整幅度也可能明显更窄。从6月宏观事件来看，不排除关税政策加码的可能性，因此在不考 虑去追现有热点（核电、新消费、无人驾驶、数字货币等）的情况下，自主可控与大盘防御值得重点关 注。 从更长期视角来看，海外关税政策具有较大的不确定性，更多关注国内7月政治局会议窗口期，可能会 决定下半年市场的走势。虽然短期 ...

Market Overview - A-shares experienced a strong opening in June, with all three major indices rising and over 3,300 stocks in the market showing gains [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index rose by 0.43%, the Shenzhen Component increased by 0.16%, and the ChiNext Index gained 0.48% [1] - The total market turnover reached 1.16 trillion yuan [1] Key Sectors - The sectors that performed well included the China-South Korea Free Trade Zone, new consumption, football concepts, precious metals, and pharmaceuticals [1] - The rare earth permanent magnet sector saw significant gains, with Guangsheng Nonferrous Metals hitting the daily limit and reaching a new high [12] Notable Stocks - Junyao Health, known as the "first stock of room temperature lactic acid bacteria," achieved a remarkable performance with six consecutive trading days of gains, including a daily limit increase [2][5] - The stock's trading volume exceeded 800 million yuan [2] - Innovative drug stocks remained active, with Shutaishen hitting the daily limit and a cumulative increase of 188.04% since May 20 [7][9] Company Performance - Junyao Health reported a production volume of approximately 85.99 million liters for probiotic products in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 3.54%, while sales volume decreased by 1.41% to about 83.99 million liters [5] - The sales revenue for probiotic products was approximately 595 million yuan, down 2.71% year-on-year [5] Innovative Drug Sector - The innovative drug sector is gaining attention, with the approval of 11 new innovative drugs by the National Medical Products Administration [10] - The sector is expected to benefit from ongoing policy support and international licensing agreements, enhancing growth prospects for related companies [10] - Shutaishen's subsidiary is under scrutiny for its drug application, which may impact future evaluations [9] Conclusion - The overall market sentiment is positive, with a focus on growth sectors such as technology and consumer-driven industries, alongside stable sectors like banking [15]

贵金属早报 研究中心宏观团队 2025/06/03 价 格 表 现 品种 伦敦金 伦敦银 伦敦铂 伦敦钯 WTI原油 LME铜 最新 3277.55 33.08 1088.00 976.00 60.79 9553.50 变化 -34.85 -0.29 0.00 3.00 -0.15 -62.00 品种 美元指数 欧元兑美元 英镑兑美元 美元兑日元 美国10年期TIPS 最新 99.44 1.13 1.35 144.06 2.07 升 贴 水 、 库 存 、 E T F 持 仓 变 化 交 易 数 据 | 日期 | COMEX白银 | 上期所白银 | 黄金ETF持仓 | 白银ETF持仓 | 上金所白银 | 上金所黄金 | 上金所白银 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 库存 | 库存 | | | 库存 | 递延费支付方向 | 递延费支付方向 | | 最新 | 15427.57 | 1066.89 | 930.20 | 14303.75 | 1574.34 | 1 | 1 | | 变化 | -65.94 | 30.97 | 0.00 | ...

Core Viewpoint - A-shares experienced a collective rise on May 29, with the Shanghai Composite Index closing at 3363.45 points, up 0.7%, and the Shenzhen Component Index and ChiNext Index also showing significant gains [1]. Market Performance - The sectors showing strong performance included cross-border payments, software development, medical services, digital currency, and Hongmeng concept stocks, while precious metals, glyphosate, and beauty care sectors declined [3]. - Specific sector performance included: - Electronic ID: +5.62% with a main capital inflow of 11.12 million - Cross-border payments (CIPS): +5.33% with a main capital inflow of 39.88 million - Software development: +4.48% with a main capital inflow of 31.08 million - Precious metals: -1.78% with a main capital outflow of 3.36 million [4]. Fund Flow - Main capital saw a net inflow into sectors such as computers, electronics, and automobiles, while there was a net outflow from banking and oil sectors [6]. - Notable individual stocks with net inflows included: - Shanzi Gaoke: 706 million - Sifang Jingchuang: 658 million - Zhongchao Holdings: 581 million - Stocks experiencing net outflows included: - Rongfa Nuclear Power: 732 million - Xuren Shares: 511 million - BYD: 396 million [6]. Institutional Insights - Everbright Securities noted that both internal and external factors contributed to improved sentiment in A-shares [8]. - Caitong Securities highlighted that the external environment has improved, allowing A-shares to realize potential benefits, with a focus on changes in trading volume being crucial for future market performance [8]. - CITIC Securities observed that the index rebounded at the 60-day moving average after a correction, with potential to challenge the 3400-point mark, particularly in growth sectors like autonomous driving and controllable nuclear fusion [8].

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights a positive market trend, with major indices such as the Shanghai Composite Index rising by 0.72%, the Shenzhen Component Index by 1.12%, and the ChiNext Index by 1.16% [1] - There is a notable surge in smart driving concept stocks, with financial technology concepts also showing strength, while sectors like precious metals and food processing manufacturing are experiencing declines [1] - Over 4,400 stocks in the market have seen an increase, indicating a broad-based rally [2] Group 2 - According to institutional perspectives, the recent market rebound is occurring at the 60-day moving average, with a potential challenge to the 3,400-point mark [4] - Growth-oriented sectors such as autonomous driving and controllable nuclear fusion are performing exceptionally well, suggesting that further strengthening of growth styles could attract additional capital into the market [4] - The improvement in the external environment is seen as a catalyst for the A-share market to realize potential benefits, with a focus on changes in trading volume being crucial for future market performance [4]