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Unlocking Q2 Potential of Deere (DE): Exploring Wall Street Estimates for Key Metrics
ZACKS· 2025-05-12 14:15
Core Viewpoint - Analysts expect Deere (DE) to report a quarterly earnings of $5.68 per share, reflecting a year-over-year decline of 33.4%, with revenues projected at $10.65 billion, down 21.8% from the previous year [1] Revenue Estimates - The consensus estimate for 'Net Sales and Revenues- Equipment Operations- Net sales' is $10.67 billion, indicating a year-over-year change of -21.6% [3] - Analysts predict 'Net Sales and Revenues- Construction & forestry net sales' to reach $3.05 billion, suggesting a decline of 20.7% year over year [4] - The combined estimate for 'Net Sales and Revenues- Agriculture and Turf' is $7.62 billion, reflecting a year-over-year change of -22% [4] - 'Net Sales and Revenues- Small ag & turf net sales' is expected to be $2.77 billion, down 13.1% from the prior year [5] - The estimate for 'Net Sales and Revenues- Production & precision ag net sales' stands at $4.85 billion, indicating a decline of 26.3% year over year [5] - The overall estimate for 'Net Sales and Revenues- Net sales' is $10.62 billion, suggesting a year-over-year change of -22% [6] - 'Net Sales and Revenues- Other revenues' is projected at $212.04 million, down 7.8% from the previous year [6] Financial Services Revenue Estimates - Analysts estimate 'Net Sales and Revenues- Financial services revenues' at $1.35 billion, reflecting a year-over-year change of -3.2% [7] - The total for 'Net Sales and Revenues- Financial services- Total' is projected to be $1.46 billion, indicating an 8.3% decline year over year [7] - 'Net Sales and Revenues- Financial services- Finance and Interest Income' is expected to reach $1.37 billion, down 8.7% from the prior year [8] - 'Net Sales and Revenues- Financial services- Other Income' is forecasted at $90.58 million, suggesting a year-over-year change of -1.5% [8] - 'Net Sales and Revenues- Equipment Operations- Finance and interest income' is estimated at $110.08 million, indicating a decline of 14.7% from the previous year [9] Stock Performance - Over the past month, shares of Deere have returned +7.3%, outperforming the Zacks S&P 500 composite's +3.8% [9]
美股情绪改善,大摩却泼冷水:现在“全面解除警报”还太早!
Jin Shi Shu Ju· 2025-05-12 11:06
Group 1 - Morgan Stanley strategists indicate that while sentiment towards the US stock market is improving, it is too early for investors to signal a "full alarm lift" [1] - The team led by Michael Wilson identified four factors necessary for a sustained rally, noting progress in only two: optimism around a trade agreement and stabilization of earnings forecasts [1] - The remaining two factors—more dovish Federal Reserve policies and 10-year Treasury yields below 4% without recession data—have not yet been achieved [1] Group 2 - On Monday, the US and China reached an important consensus on trade issues, leading to a jump in S&P 500 futures and a rebound in risk assets [3] - The S&P 500 index has recovered about half of its nearly 19% decline since February due to concerns over a global trade war, with the US government beginning negotiations with trade partners [3] - Approximately 30 companies have withdrawn or suspended earnings guidance due to tariff uncertainties, particularly in the automotive, durable goods, and industrial sectors [3] - Since the earnings reports were released, the average stock price increase in these sectors has risen [3] - The S&P 500 index has surpassed the previous resistance level of 5500 and is back in the range of 5500-6100, with further significant increases dependent on the details of the US-China trade agreement and a re-acceleration of earnings forecasts [3] - The next critical technical test for the S&P 500 index is at the convergence of the 200-day and 100-day moving averages (5750-5800) [3]
铜陵有色(000630):米拉多限电及减值拖累业绩,25年自产铜指引增长
Hua Yuan Zheng Quan· 2025-05-12 07:56
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Accumulate" (maintained) [5] Core Views - The company's performance has been impacted by power shortages and asset impairments, but it is expected to see a significant increase in copper production in 2025 [5][7] - The company reported a revenue of 145.53 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 5.88%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 2.81 billion yuan, up 4.05% year-on-year [7] - The forecast for net profit attributable to shareholders for 2025-2027 is 2.90 billion, 3.39 billion, and 4.08 billion yuan respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 14X, 12X, and 10X [5][7] Financial Performance Summary - Revenue for 2023 is projected at 137.45 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth rate of 12.81% [6] - The company plans to produce 194,900 tons of copper concentrate in 2025, a 26% increase year-on-year, and 1,896,000 tons of cathode copper, a 7% increase [7] - The company's gross profit for copper products is expected to be 5.39 billion yuan, down 20% year-on-year, while sulfuric acid gross profit is projected to increase by 205% to 1.14 billion yuan [7] Key Financial Metrics - The company's total market capitalization is 40.56 billion yuan, with a circulating market capitalization of 33.37 billion yuan [3] - The asset-liability ratio stands at 49.48%, and the net asset value per share is 2.71 yuan [3] - The projected earnings per share (EPS) for 2025 is 0.23 yuan, with a return on equity (ROE) of 7.97% [6][8]
Countdown to Boot Barn (BOOT) Q4 Earnings: A Look at Estimates Beyond Revenue and EPS
ZACKS· 2025-05-09 14:20
Core Insights - Analysts project Boot Barn (BOOT) will report quarterly earnings of $1.24 per share, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 22.8% [1] - Revenue is expected to reach $458.18 million, marking an 18% increase from the same quarter last year [1] Earnings Estimates - The consensus EPS estimate has been revised 1.6% lower over the last 30 days, indicating a reevaluation by analysts [2] - Revisions to earnings estimates are crucial indicators for predicting investor actions regarding the stock [3] Key Metrics Projections - Analysts estimate that Boot Barn will open or acquire 21 stores, up from 18 in the same quarter last year [5] - The average store square footage at the end of the period is projected to be 11,134, compared to 10,929 in the same quarter of the previous year [5] - The number of stores operating at the end of the period is expected to be 459, an increase from 400 in the same quarter last year [5] - Total retail store square footage is estimated to reach 5.11 million, compared to 4.37 million a year ago [6] Stock Performance - Boot Barn shares have increased by 20.1% in the past month, outperforming the Zacks S&P 500 composite, which rose by 13.7% [6] - Despite the recent performance, Boot Barn holds a Zacks Rank 4 (Sell), indicating expectations of underperformance relative to the overall market in the near term [6]
中国银行(601988):营收增速改善 资产质量平稳
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-05-09 00:32
Core Viewpoint - The company reported a slight increase in revenue for Q1 2025, but net profit experienced a decline due to rising tax rates, indicating mixed performance in financial results [1][2][3]. Revenue and Profitability - Revenue for Q1 2025 reached 1649.3 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 2.6%, which is an improvement of 1.4 percentage points compared to 2024 [1][2]. - Net profit attributable to shareholders for Q1 2025 was 543.6 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year decrease of 2.9%, a slowdown of 5.5 percentage points compared to 2024 [1][2]. Tax Impact - The effective tax rate for Q1 2025 rose to 20%, an increase of 3.5 percentage points year-on-year, which negatively impacted profit growth [3]. Asset and Loan Growth - Total assets grew by 6.9% year-on-year to 36 trillion yuan, with deposits increasing by 6.2% to 25.6 trillion yuan and loans rising by 8.3% to 22.6 trillion yuan [4]. - New loans in Q1 2025 amounted to 1.01 trillion yuan, an increase of 0.09 trillion yuan compared to the same period last year [4]. Interest Margin - The interest margin decreased by 11 basis points to 1.29% in Q1 2025, primarily due to a larger decline in asset yields compared to improvements in liability costs [5]. - Estimated asset yield fell by 0.3 percentage points to 3.1%, influenced by a general decline in loan rates and LPR repricing [5]. Non-Interest Income - Non-interest income increased by 18.9% year-on-year, with fee income rising by 2.1% [6]. - Other non-interest income surged by 37.3%, with foreign exchange net losses increasing significantly by 668.5% [6]. Asset Quality - The non-performing loan ratio remained stable at 1.25%, with a provision coverage ratio of 198%, indicating steady asset quality [7]. - The core Tier 1 capital adequacy ratio stood at 11.82%, with total capital adequacy at 17.98% [7]. Profit Forecast - The company forecasts net profit attributable to shareholders for 2025, 2026, and 2027 to be 2404 billion, 2453 billion, and 2477 billion yuan respectively, with corresponding EPS of 0.82, 0.83, and 0.84 yuan [8]. - Current stock price corresponds to a price-to-book ratio of 0.64, 0.58, and 0.53 for the respective years, suggesting a "buy" investment rating [8].
Countdown to Hertz Global (HTZ) Q1 Earnings: Wall Street Forecasts for Key Metrics
ZACKS· 2025-05-08 14:20
In its upcoming report, Hertz Global Holdings, Inc. (HTZ) is predicted by Wall Street analysts to post quarterly loss of $1.08 per share, reflecting an increase of 15.6% compared to the same period last year. Revenues are forecasted to be $2.02 billion, representing a year-over-year decrease of 2.7%.Over the past 30 days, the consensus EPS estimate for the quarter has been adjusted upward by 4.1% to its current level. This demonstrates the covering analysts' collective reassessment of their initial projecti ...
What Analyst Projections for Key Metrics Reveal About Cogent (CCOI) Q1 Earnings
ZACKS· 2025-05-07 14:21
Core Insights - Cogent Communications (CCOI) is expected to report a quarterly loss of $1.05 per share, marking an 18.6% increase in losses compared to the same period last year [1] - Analysts forecast revenues of $250.18 million, reflecting a 6% year-over-year decline [1] - The consensus EPS estimate has been adjusted downward by 2.7% over the past 30 days, indicating a reassessment of projections by analysts [1][2] Revenue Projections - Corporate Revenue is projected to reach $111.50 million, indicating a year-over-year decrease of 10.7% [4] - Revenue from Enterprise is estimated at $44.93 million, suggesting an 8.9% decline year over year [4] - Net-Centric Revenue is expected to be $93.76 million, showing a slight increase of 1.9% year over year [4] Customer Connections - Revenue from Wavelength is predicted at $8.03 million, representing a significant increase of 141.5% from the previous year [5] - Customer Connections - On-net are expected to total 87,842, slightly up from 87,574 year over year [5] - Customer Connections - Non-Core are projected to be 5,576, down from 10,037 in the same quarter last year [6] Additional Metrics - Customer Connections - Off-net are expected to reach 30,698, down from 34,579 year over year [6] - Total Customer Connections are estimated at 124,494, compared to 132,883 in the same quarter last year [7] - ARPU - Off-Net is projected at $1,519.07, up from $1,106 year over year [7] On-Net Metrics - Total On-Net buildings are expected to reach 3,481, compared to 3,321 in the same quarter last year [8] - ARPU - On-Net is estimated at $546.31, slightly up from $525 year over year [8] - Net Adds - Total On-Net Buildings are projected to be 28, down from 44 year over year [8] Stock Performance - Over the past month, Cogent shares have returned +8.6%, compared to the S&P 500 composite's +10.6% [9] - The company holds a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold), indicating expected performance in line with the overall market [9]
今世缘(603369)2024年年报与25年一季报点评:稳健收官 市占率继续提升
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-05-07 08:38
Core Viewpoint - The company reported a revenue increase of 14.31% year-on-year for 2024, with total revenue reaching 11.546 billion yuan and a net profit of 3.412 billion yuan, reflecting an 8.8% increase [1][2] Group 1: Financial Performance - In Q4 2024, total revenue was 1.604 billion yuan, a decrease of 7.56% year-on-year, and net profit was 326 million yuan, down 34.84% [1] - For Q1 2025, total revenue was 5.099 billion yuan, an increase of 9.17% year-on-year, with a net profit of 1.644 billion yuan, up 7.27% [1] - The company plans to distribute a cash dividend of 1.2 yuan per share, totaling 1.496 billion yuan, with a payout ratio of approximately 43.85% [1] Group 2: Product and Regional Performance - In 2024, revenue from different product categories was as follows: Special A+ products 7.49 billion yuan (+15.2%), Special A products 3.35 billion yuan (+16.6%), A products 420 million yuan (+2.0%), and B products 140 million yuan (-11.1%) [2] - The overall white liquor sales volume increased by 19.5% year-on-year, while the average price decreased by 4.3%, indicating a shift in product structure [2] - Revenue by region in 2024 showed growth in key markets: Huai'an 2.24 billion yuan (+12.3%), Nanjing 2.63 billion yuan (+11.7%), and significant growth in Suzhong (+21.2%) [2] Group 3: Profitability Metrics - The gross margin for 2024 was 74.7%, down 3.6 percentage points year-on-year, while for Q1 2025, it was 73.6%, down 0.6 percentage points [3] - The net profit margin for 2024 was 29.6%, decreasing by 1.5 percentage points year-on-year, and for Q1 2025, it was 32.2%, down 0.6 percentage points [3] - As of Q1 2025, contract liabilities were 540 million yuan, showing a year-on-year and quarter-on-quarter decline, likely due to proactive channel management [3] Group 4: Future Outlook - The company aims for a revenue growth of 5%-12% in 2025, with net profit growth slightly lower than revenue growth [4] - The net profit forecasts for 2025 and 2026 have been revised down by 12% and 14% to 3.66 billion yuan and 4.00 billion yuan, respectively, with a new forecast for 2027 at 4.38 billion yuan [4] - The current price-to-earnings ratio is projected at 16, 15, and 13 times for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, indicating a positive outlook for market share growth [4]
稳健医疗(300888):2024年年报及2025年一季报点评:Q1业绩表现亮眼,医疗和消费品板块协同发力
EBSCN· 2025-05-07 07:45
Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the company [1] Core Views - The company reported strong performance in Q1, with significant contributions from both the medical and consumer goods sectors [1][13] - The revenue for 2024 reached 8.98 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 9.7%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 700 million yuan, up 19.8% [5][6] - The company has adjusted its profit forecasts for 2025 and 2026, increasing the net profit estimates by 17% and 18% respectively [13] Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 2.61 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 36.5%, and a net profit of 250 million yuan, up 36.3% [6] - The medical consumables segment saw a revenue increase of 1.1% in 2024, while the consumer goods segment grew by 17.1% [7][9] - The gross profit margin for 2024 decreased by 1.7 percentage points to 47.3%, with a notable decline in the medical consumables segment [11][19] Revenue Breakdown - The medical consumables accounted for 43.5% of total revenue in 2024, with a significant contribution from the acquisition of GRI [7] - The consumer goods segment represented 55.6% of total revenue in 2024, with strong growth in online and offline sales channels [9][10] Future Projections - The company forecasts revenues of 11.17 billion yuan in 2025, with a growth rate of 24.4%, and a net profit of 1.02 billion yuan, reflecting a growth rate of 46.6% [14] - The projected EPS for 2025 is 1.75 yuan, with a P/E ratio of 30 [14][19]
春秋航空(601021):全空客机队民营航司 单机利润率先修复
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-05-07 04:35
Core Insights - Spring Airlines reported a revenue of 20 billion yuan for 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 11.50%, with a net profit of 2.273 billion yuan, up 0.69% [1] - For Q1 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 5.317 billion yuan, a 2.88% increase year-on-year, but the net profit decreased by 16.39% to 677 million yuan [1] Group 1: Operational Performance - In 2024, the overall Available Seat Kilometers (ASK) increased by 16.1% year-on-year, and by 26.1% compared to 2019 [1] - Revenue Passenger Kilometers (RPK) grew by 18.8% year-on-year, and by 27.0% compared to 2019, with a passenger load factor improving by 2.1 percentage points year-on-year and 0.7 percentage points compared to 2019 [1] - For Q1 2025, ASK grew by 6.9%, with domestic, international, and regional segments showing changes of -3.3%, +66.1%, and -58.08% respectively [1] - RPK for Q1 2025 increased by 6.2%, with domestic, international, and regional segments showing changes of -2.9%, +61.6%, and -58.6% respectively [1] Group 2: Profitability and Shareholder Returns - The single aircraft profit margin has been recovering, with figures of 19.05 million and 18.184 million for 2023 and 2024 respectively, approaching pre-pandemic levels [2] - The company has committed to a cash dividend strategy for 2024-2026, ensuring at least 30% of distributable profits are paid out in cash if profits are positive [2] - In 2024, the total cash dividend amounted to 798 million yuan, with a share buyback of 66.86 million yuan, totaling 864 million yuan, which is 38.03% of the net profit [2] Group 3: Earnings Forecast and Investment Recommendation - The company is expected to maintain strong profitability, with projected net profits of 2.71 billion, 3.3 billion, and 4.04 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [3] - Earnings per share (EPS) are forecasted to be 2.77, 3.38, and 4.13 yuan for the same years [3] - A target price of 66.48 yuan is set based on a 24 times price-to-earnings ratio for 2025, with an initial "buy" rating [3]