步入12月，市场进入政策、流动性、基本面向上共振的窗口期。前期市场调整有效释放了部分估值 与情绪风险，海外美联储仍有降息概率，国内中央经济工作会议定调将成为引导预期的核心锚点。 着眼2026年，A股市场将如何表现？哪些投资方向值得关注？一起来看长城基金权益基金经理们的 最新观点~ 廖瀚博：等待新的结构性亮点 目前市场暂未找到新的可持续上涨的主线，资金仍在不同板块之间轮动，尝试新的投资主题。在这 种背景下，市场整体震荡走平，需要关注是否出现新的结构性亮点，可以相对重视预期较低的板块。 谭小兵：市场或迎布局窗口期 11月市场受美国流动性预期影响，红利及周期板块表现不错，成长股表现相对落后。展望12月份， 我们认为市场短期内可能存在一定风险，但随着中央经济工作会议召开及美联储降息有望落地，市场可 能迎来一个备战明年预期的窗口期。 龙宇飞：持续看好AI应用端 我们继续看好医疗与消费领域中偏新科技的细分赛道，尤其对AI应用端保持乐观预期。无论是海外 还是国内市场，前期市场对AI应用的预期过高，但经过阶段性调整后，预期已回归理性。同时，算力 等硬件及基础设施建设已积累至一定规模，目前多个领域（尤其是 B 端及垂类场景）的 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that AI computing power and other popular technology themes are leading a rebound, driven by discussions around Google and OpenAI, while new themes like commercial aerospace are creating new hotspots [1] - The "14th Five-Year Plan" emphasizes security resilience and self-controllable investments, which may positively impact A-shares in emerging industries such as commercial aerospace, satellites, 6G, low-altitude, and robotics [1] - Investors are advised to focus on self-controllable themes in both China and the US, including military trade, innovative pharmaceuticals, AI infrastructure, commercial aerospace, 6G infrastructure, and industrial control/office/AI software [1] Group 2 - The Science and Technology Innovation Board 100 ETF (588120) tracks the Science and Technology Innovation 100 Index (000698), which has a daily fluctuation of 20%, reflecting the overall performance of 100 mid-cap securities with good liquidity [1] - The components of the Science and Technology Innovation 100 Index cover various high-tech and strategic emerging industries, including information technology, biomedicine, and new materials, showcasing significant growth and innovation characteristics [1]

Core Viewpoint - Tongfu Microelectronics has stable supply channels for its main raw materials required for packaging and testing, including lead frames, substrates, bonding wires, and encapsulation materials [2] Group 1 - The company sources its main raw materials both domestically and internationally [2] - The company is attentive to policies and industry trends regarding self-sufficiency, domestic substitution, and localization of equipment and materials [2] - The company aims to seize opportunities from these trends to create value for its shareholders [2]

Group 1 - The report maintains a positive outlook on the AI chain, emphasizing the impact of the storage cycle and the acceleration of self-control in the industry [1] - In 2026, the focus will be on the AI chain, storage cycles, and the acceleration of self-control, with expectations of continued growth in the electronics sector driven by AI data centers and terminal demand recovery [1][3] - The storage sector is expected to enter a price increase cycle starting in the second half of 2025 due to significant supply-demand imbalances [1][3] Group 2 - The Scaling Law remains effective, transitioning into a 2.0 phase that enhances model capabilities and drives demand for computing power [2][18] - The demand for high-end PCBs is anticipated to increase significantly in 2026, driven by the upgrade of AI server platforms and the growth of cloud service providers' self-developed ASICs [2][73] - The AI-driven demand for storage is expected to grow rapidly, with major storage manufacturers like SanDisk, Micron, and Samsung announcing price increases, indicating a sustained upward trend in storage prices [3][60] Group 3 - The domestic storage chip and module manufacturers are expected to benefit from the upward cycle in storage prices, with a focus on DRAM and NAND markets [3][4] - The trend towards domestic production in the storage sector is expected to continue, with companies like Changxin and Changcun expanding capacity and market share [4][66] - The consumer electronics sector may face pressure from rising storage prices, particularly affecting Android smartphones and PCs, while new product innovations could catalyze market recovery [5][72] Group 4 - The report highlights the importance of advanced processes and domestic production in the semiconductor industry, with a focus on improving production capacity and technology [4][68] - The AI chip market is projected to grow significantly, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 35.19% expected from 2025 to 2030, driven by strong demand for AI training and inference [60][66] - The custom AI chip market is anticipated to expand rapidly, with a forecasted CAGR of 53% from 2024 to 2028, as domestic internet companies increasingly adopt a dual approach of third-party procurement and self-developed ASICs [72][73]

Core Viewpoint - The static PE valuation has become high after nearly a year of expansion, but the ERP remains at a reasonable level due to the decline in the risk-free interest rate. The long-term productivity upgrades and technological transformation outlined in the "14th Five-Year Plan" will continue to catalyze structural market trends. The improvement in the domestic demand sector's fundamentals is expected to rely on increased growth-stabilizing policies. Before confirming fundamental improvements, liquidity is anticipated to be the key driver of the market. The core themes for A-shares in the coming year are AI, self-sufficiency, and high-value exports [2]. Group 1 - The market is expected to see a new entry opportunity if adjustments occur, supported by the resilience of A-share liquidity and potential policy stimulus from the upcoming Central Economic Work Conference in December [2]. - A balanced allocation between dividends and technology is deemed necessary for short-term market defense, with a focus on large-cap stocks due to the influx of passive funds this year [2]. - The "14th Five-Year Plan" emphasizes investment in self-sufficiency, commercialization of emerging industries, and innovative monetary and fiscal policies, which are likely to positively impact A-shares [2]. Group 2 - Investors are advised to increase attention to self-sufficiency themes in both China and the U.S., particularly in military trade, innovative pharmaceuticals, semiconductor domestic substitution, AI infrastructure, commercial aerospace, 6G infrastructure, and industrial control/software [2]. - Technology sectors such as pharmaceuticals and military industries are expected to lead the market adjustments, alongside the resurgence of new energy (energy storage exports) since September [2].

上证报中国证券网讯（记者 费天元）Choice数据显示，12月5日，资金净流入额排名前十的个股依次是 N摩尔-U、中国平安、实达集团、永鼎股份、京东方A、阳光电源、紫金矿业、航天科技、长盈精密、 太辰光。其中，摩尔线程上市首日获净流入24.95亿元，居所有个股首位。 国金证券研报表示，摩尔线程是目前国内唯一实现全功能GPU量产量销的厂商，覆盖芯片、板卡、集群 及软件生态全链条，产品矩阵涵盖AI智算、专业图形、桌面级GPU与智能SoC四大类。IPO募资推进自 主可控新品研发，持续的高强度研发投入将增强公司的产品迭代和对客户需求的满足能力，进一步巩固 长期竞争优势。 | 南号 | 证券代码 | 证券名称 | > | 当日净流入额 [单位]亿元 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 1 | 688795.SH | N摩尔-U | V | | 24.95 | | 2 | 601318.SH | 中国平安 | > | | 10.75 | | 3 | 600734.SH | 实达集团 | V | | 10.75 | | র্ম | 600105.SH | 永鼎股份 | V ...

Core Viewpoint - The introduction of VAR (Video Assistant Referee) technology in Chinese football highlights a deeper competition regarding data security and industry sovereignty, emphasizing the importance of mastering key technologies and core data for the future of digital sports [3][5]. Group 1: Structural Challenges of Non-Self-Controlled "Eagle Eye" - The existing "Eagle Eye" system's dominance is attributed to its early market entry and binding to international events, rather than its technical superiority [6]. - The non-self-controlled "Eagle Eye" system faces two structural challenges: the transparency dilemma regarding intellectual property and regulatory demands, and the risks associated with relying on external technology standards [7][8]. Group 2: Collective Awakening on Data Security - The recent amendments to the Cybersecurity Law and related regulations have clarified the risks associated with data flow and jurisdiction, prompting a collective awareness of the importance of data security in sports [10][11]. - The reliance on non-self-controlled systems raises concerns about data jurisdiction and potential exposure to foreign legal frameworks, which could compromise the integrity of sports data [12][13]. Group 3: Breakthrough of Self-Controlled "Eagle Eye" - Companies like Ruige Technology are emerging as "disruptors" in the market, aiming to develop self-controlled "Eagle Eye" systems that challenge existing monopolies [14]. - Ruige Technology's approach includes reducing costs significantly, thereby reshaping the value benchmark for VAR systems and demonstrating that such technology is not an insurmountable barrier [15][16]. - The company also emphasizes data sovereignty by ensuring local data storage and algorithm transparency, which addresses the risks associated with the "black box" nature of existing systems [17][18]. Group 4: Ongoing Competition and Future Implications - The self-controlled "Eagle Eye" system has been successfully implemented in various sports and has received FIFA certification, indicating its competitive edge in terms of accuracy and reliability [22][23]. - The ongoing competition between self-controlled and non-self-controlled systems is not yet resolved, but the emergence of self-controlled systems represents a significant breakthrough in the technology landscape [24][25]. - The shift towards self-controlled technology in sports is seen as a strategic priority, emphasizing the need for safety, data control, and industry autonomy [26][27].

图片来源：摩尔线程官网 12月5日，"中国版英伟达"、"国产GPU第一股"摩尔线程正式登陆科创板上市，开盘报650元/股，较发行价114.28元/股上涨468.78%，总市值突破3000亿元， 单签盈利高达26.786万元，成为A股全面注册制以来最赚钱新股。 截至午盘收盘，摩尔线程股价报590.59元/股，市值已从537.15亿元的发行市值飙涨至2776亿元，中签者一签（500股）即可净赚近24万元。 仅仅半日，摩尔线程股价暴涨4倍有余，交易额高达125.92亿元。国产芯片板块也同步走高，上涨近1%，年内涨幅已接近40%，远远跑赢大盘。 摩尔线程堪称今年风头最劲的新股。即便"宁王"（宁德时代）、"雪王"（蜜雪冰城）都在今年陆续登陆资本市场，接连创下年内最大IPO纪录，但其关注度 较之摩尔线程仍逊色一筹。 最名正言顺的"中国版英伟达" 人工智能的爆发让芯片再次站到了全球资本市场的舞台中央。AI芯片领域王者英伟达，今年成为第一家4万亿美元市值的公司，10月末市值一度突破5万亿 美元。 在中国，人们同样热衷于寻找"本土英伟达"。而在诸多"中国版英伟达"中，摩尔线程核心团队显得更加名正言顺。 摩尔线程成立于2020年 ...

Core Insights - The listing of Moer Thread (688795.SH) on the Shanghai Stock Exchange marks a significant milestone as the first domestic GPU company, opening at 650 CNY per share, a 468.78% increase from the issue price of 114.28 CNY, with a total market capitalization of approximately 300 billion CNY [1][2] - Founded in 2020, Moer Thread specializes in the independent research and design of full-function GPU chips, achieving mass production of five generations of chips within five years [1][4] - The IPO raised 8 billion CNY, the largest IPO on the Sci-Tech Innovation Board in 2025 and the second largest in the A-share market this year, with funds primarily allocated for the development of next-generation AI chips and graphics chips [1][2] Company Overview - Moer Thread is recognized as a representative enterprise in the domestic full-function GPU sector, contributing to the capital market's recognition of domestic computing power chips [1][2] - The company was founded by Zhang Jianzhong, a former global vice president of NVIDIA, and has a team with deep NVIDIA experience, positioning it as a direct competitor to NVIDIA in China [4][5] - The company has developed a unified system architecture called MUSA, enabling simultaneous support for AI computing acceleration, graphics rendering, and other advanced computing tasks [5][6] Financial Performance - Moer Thread's revenue grew from 0.46 million CNY in 2022 to 4.38 million CNY in 2024, with a compound annual growth rate of 208.44%, and projected revenue for the first half of 2025 is 7.02 million CNY [6] - The company anticipates revenue between 12.18 million CNY and 14.98 million CNY for the full year of 2025, indicating a continuation of rapid growth [6] Market Context - The IPO coincides with a critical industry window, as demand for AI computing power in China continues to surge amid U.S. export controls on high-end AI chips [2][7] - Beijing, known as the "AI Capital," has a core AI industry scale of nearly 350 billion CNY, with over 2,400 related enterprises, positioning it as a leader in the AI chip sector [2][15] Investment Landscape - The IPO has attracted significant attention from investors, with a consortium of 85 institutional and corporate shareholders benefiting from the company's rapid valuation increase [9][11] - The early investors, including prominent venture capital firms, have seen substantial returns, reflecting the high demand for domestic alternatives in the AI chip market [9][13] Future Outlook - Moer Thread's successful IPO is seen as a pivotal moment for China's GPU industry, transitioning from technological breakthroughs to market and capital-driven growth [7][14] - The company aims to continue enhancing its R&D capabilities and contribute to China's strategic goals of achieving self-sufficiency in high-end computing power [6][7]

注：如提及个股仅供参考，不代表投资建议。指数/基金短期涨跌幅及历史表现仅供分析参考，不 预示未来表现。市场观点随市场环境变化而变动，不构成任何投资建议或承诺。文中提及指数仅供参 考，不构成任何投资建议，也不构成对基金业绩的预测和保证。如需购买相关基金产品，请选择与风险 等级相匹配的产品。基金有风险，投资需谨慎。 每日经济新闻 （责任编辑：董萍萍 ） 【免责声明】本文仅代表作者本人观点，与和讯网无关。和讯网站对文中陈述、观点判断保持中立，不对所包含内容 的准确性、可靠性或完整性提供任何明示或暗示的保证。请读者仅作参考，并请自行承担全部责任。邮箱： news_center@staff.hexun.com 消息面，据摩尔线程披露的上市公告书，公司将于12月5日上市。公司发行后总股本为47002.8217 万股，其中本次新股上市初期的无限售流通股数量为2938.2386万股，占本次发行后总股本的比例为 6.25%。本次发行价格114.28元/股对应的发行人2024年摊薄后静态市销率为122.51倍，高于同行业可比 公司2024年静态市销率平均水平，存在未来发行人股价下跌给投资者带来损失的风险。发行人和保荐人 （主承销 ...