Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported a year-on-year increase in revenue for the Well Services segment, although profit saw a slight decrease [6][9] - In the Drilling Services segment, the number of operational days increased by 11% year-on-year, totaling 4,890 days [10][11] - Interest expenses increased by RMB 70 million year-on-year, attributed to debt repayment strategies from the previous year [17] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The Well Services segment showed a slight increase in revenue but a decrease in profit due to higher expenses and previous strong sales performance [6][8] - The Drilling Services segment benefited from increased workloads in Mainland China and Norway, offsetting declines in Saudi Arabia [11][12] - The Marine Support Services and geophysical acquisition segments are expected to see increased workloads, particularly in the South China Sea [16] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company noted fluctuations in international oil prices, with a recent decline from USD 75 to USD 60, but prices have since rebounded to USD 70 [20][21] - The company is closely monitoring geopolitical risks and their impact on operations, emphasizing the importance of technology-driven strategies [22][24] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company aims to enhance its technological capabilities and cost control measures to improve market positioning [2] - There is a focus on securing long-term contracts with larger, state-owned enterprises to mitigate external volatility [24] - The company plans to gradually increase shareholder returns after addressing debt repayment and refinancing arrangements [18][30] Management Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in maintaining normal operations despite recent oil price fluctuations and geopolitical uncertainties [21][22] - The company anticipates a stable outlook for capacity utilization and workload for the remainder of 2025 [14][17] - Management highlighted the importance of efficiency improvements in manpower and equipment utilization to sustain profitability [23] Other Important Information - The profit tax rate decreased to 17% from 25%-30% last year, with management indicating this may not be a permanent trend [25][26] - R&D expenses are expected to remain flat in Q1, with a slight increase anticipated for the full year [30] Q&A Session Summary Question: What is the growth rate in terms of revenue for Well Services? - Management indicated a slight increase in revenue for the Well Services segment in Q1 year-on-year [6][9] Question: What are the reasons for the increase in operational days in Drilling Services? - The increase was attributed to contributions from Mainland China and Norway, despite a slight decline in Saudi Arabia [11][12] Question: What is the outlook for capacity utilization in 2025? - Management expects high capacity utilization levels to continue, influenced by positive developments in Norway and Mainland China [14][17] Question: How will fluctuations in oil prices impact operations? - The company has not been significantly impacted by recent oil price fluctuations and will adjust strategies as necessary [21][22] Question: What is the status of the parent company's shareholding increase plan? - The parent company plans to increase shareholding within a year, with details to be disclosed as required [30][31]

点 击 蓝 字 关 注 我 们 本文全文共 2656 字，阅读全文约 9 分钟 2025年一季度全国规模以上工业产能利用率为74.1% 2025年一季度，全国规模以上工业产能利用率为74.1%，比上年同期上升0.5个百分点。 按消费类型分，3月份，商品零售额36705亿元，同比增长5.9%；餐饮收入4235亿元，增长5.6%。1— 3月份，商品零售额110644亿元，增长4.6%；餐饮收入14027亿元，增长4.7%。 按零售业态分，1—3月份，限额以上零售业单位中便利店、超市、百货店、专业店、品牌专卖店零售 额同比分别增长9.9%、4.6%、1.2%、6.7%、1.4%。 79.3%，有色金属冶炼和压延加工业为77.5%，通用设备制造业为78.1%，专用设备制造业为75.6%， 汽车制造 业为71.9% ，电气机械和器材制造业为71.7%，计算机、通信和其他电子设备制造业为74.7%。 (来源:国家统计局 ) 2025年3月份社会消费品零售总额增长5.9% 3月份，社会消费品零售总额40940亿元，同比增长5.9%。其中， 除汽车以外的消费品零售额36610亿 元，增长6.0%。 1—3月份，社会消费品零售 ...

Core Insights - The article discusses the recent surge in gold prices, which has reached a new high of $3,400 per ounce, impacting the semiconductor industry, particularly the panel driver IC packaging sector [1] - Major packaging companies, Chipbond and Nanmao, are expected to raise their prices in response to increased material costs due to rising gold prices [1] - The geopolitical situation has reduced competition among driver IC manufacturers, allowing them to pass on costs and mitigate the impact of rising gold prices on profit margins [1][2] Group 1: Price Adjustments and Market Dynamics - Chipbond, the largest driver IC packaging company, has significant orders from major clients like Apple and Sony, and is likely to reflect the increased material costs in its pricing [1] - Nanmao also holds substantial orders in the driver IC packaging process and is expected to adjust its packaging prices despite maintaining stable foundry prices [1] - The article notes that the price competition among packaging companies has been intense, but the current situation allows for cost reflection due to reduced competition [1][2] Group 2: Demand Surge and Financial Performance - The semiconductor industry is experiencing a surge in urgent orders, particularly from laptop brands, as companies prepare for potential tariffs and supply chain uncertainties [4] - Chipbond reported a consolidated revenue of 1.83 billion TWD in March, marking a 9.16% month-on-month increase and a 19.5% year-on-year increase, indicating a recovery in performance [4] - Nanmao also benefited from the surge in urgent orders, achieving a consolidated revenue of 2.03 billion TWD in March, a 15.7% month-on-month increase and a 5.09% year-on-year increase [5] Group 3: Future Outlook - Both companies anticipate that demand will become clearer in the second half of the year, with expectations of better performance compared to the first half [5] - However, Nanmao acknowledges the competitive challenges in the low-end product market and plans to carefully manage capital expenditures based on actual capacity utilization and customer demand [5]

净利率稳中有升，账上资金充沛。1）毛利率：24 年同比+1.2pct 至26.8%，主因产能利用率提升。2） 费用率：期间费用率同比+1.1pct 至6.0%，其中管理费用率+1.0pct，主因24 年业绩表现优异，员工薪酬 绩效计提增加。3）归母净利率：24 年同比+0.09pct 至16%，稳中有升。4）现金流： 24 年经营性现金流净额46.17 亿元（yoy+24.97%），货币资金55.9 亿元，账上资金充沛。 公司公布2024 年报：营收240.06 亿元/yoy+19.35%，归母净利润38.40亿元/yoy+20.00%，业绩符合我们 此前预期。单Q4 营收64.95 亿元/yoy+11.88%，归母净利润9.97 亿元/yoy+9.18%，Q4 营收增速较前三季 度有所放缓，主因23Q4 品牌客户去库结束恢复下单形成相对偏高基数；归母净利润增速略低于营收， 主因新工厂产能爬坡导致效率短期波动。 24 年拟派息2.3 元/股，派息率69.89%，分红比例显著提升（2023 年为44%）。 量价齐升，新客户强劲增长。1）分量价看，2024 年运动鞋销量2.23 亿双（yoy+17.53%），人民 ...

2025年一季度，全国规模以上工业产能利用率为74.1%，比上年同期上升0.5个百分点。 分三大门类看，2025年一季度，采矿业产能利用率为74.6%，比上年同期下降0.4个百分点；制造业产能利用率为74.1%，上升0.3个百分点；电力、热力、燃 气及水生产和供应业产能利用率为73.6%，上升2.4个百分点。 分主要行业看，2025年一季度，煤炭开采和洗选业产能利用率为71.9%，食品制造业为69.3%，纺织业为77.8%，化学原料和化学制品制造业为73.5%，非金 属矿物制品业为60.9%，黑色金属冶炼和压延加工业为79.3%，有色金属冶炼和压延加工业为77.5%，通用设备制造业为78.1%，专用设备制造业为75.6%，汽 车制造业为71.9%，电气机械和器材制造业为71.7%，计算机、通信和其他电子设备制造业为74.7%。 | 2025年一季度规模以上工业产能利用率 | | --- | 产能利用率：是指实际产出与生产能力（均以价值量计量）的比率。 企业的实际产出是指企业报告期内的工业总产值；企业的生产能力是指报告期内，在劳动力、原材料、燃料、运输等保证供给的情况下，生产设备（机械） 保持正常运行，企业可实 ...

Summary of Conference Call Industry Overview - The conference call primarily discusses the coal machinery industry, focusing on the performance and outlook of coal machinery companies and their valuations [1][2][3]. Key Points and Arguments - Current valuations of coal machinery companies are generally low, with some trading at around six to seven times earnings and others below ten times [1]. - Dividend yields for these companies are attractive, with some offering yields around 7% and others around 5% [1]. - There is a market divide regarding the sustainability of earnings in the coal machinery sector, with concerns about entering a down cycle starting from the first half of 2024 [1][2]. - Recent surveys indicate that leading companies in the coal machinery sector have seen year-on-year growth in new orders, contradicting fears of a prolonged down cycle [2][3]. - The resilience of orders and earnings in the coal machinery sector appears to be better than market expectations [3]. Industry Dynamics - The coal machinery industry is closely linked to coal prices, which affect the profitability of coal enterprises and subsequently their capital expenditures [4]. - Historical data shows that coal prices have fluctuated significantly, impacting the demand for coal machinery. For instance, coal prices dropped from 800 RMB per ton in 2011 to around 400 RMB by the end of 2015, leading to a substantial decline in profit margins [5][6]. - The coal industry's capacity utilization rates have varied, with a notable drop to below 60% in 2016, which negatively impacted equipment demand [5][9]. - The current coal price is around 800 RMB per ton, with coal enterprises maintaining a profitability level close to 20%, which is relatively strong compared to historical standards [8][9]. Future Projections - The coal production target for 2024 is set at 4.76 billion tons, with a capacity utilization rate of 73%, indicating a healthy demand for coal machinery despite a slight decline in order growth [9][10]. - By 2027, the coal industry is expected to peak in production, with a target of 4.878 billion tons, which could sustain machinery demand if coal prices remain stable [10]. - The demand for coal machinery is anticipated to shift from new demand to replacement demand, with significant equipment needing replacement in the coming years due to their operational lifespans [11][12]. - The update cycles for different types of coal machinery vary, with hydraulic supports having a longer replacement cycle of 8 to 10 years compared to other equipment [13][14]. Investment Considerations - The coal machinery sector is viewed as a relatively stable investment within the A-share market, provided that capital expenditures do not decline significantly [17]. - The strong operational capabilities of low PE coal machinery companies, such as Zhengmei Machinery, enhance their attractiveness to investors [17][18]. - Overall, the resilience of orders and earnings, along with attractive dividend yields, positions the coal machinery sector favorably within the infrastructure investment landscape [18].

1. Report Information - Report Title: Polyolefin Monthly Report [1] - Date: April 2, 2025 [2] - Research Team: Energy and Chemical Research Team [4] - Core View: Maintenance season eases supply pressure, while seasonal demand weakening brews downward risks [5] 2. Market Review - In February, plastics were slightly stronger than PP. In March, the peak season started, downstream开工 increased, and the demand side was strengthened. Mid - to late - March saw high - level maintenance ease supply pressure, and the cost side rebounded. PP05 was supported at 7300, and LLDPE fluctuated around 7700 [11]. - In the spot market, LLDPE monthly average price was 8197 yuan/ton, down 1.35% month - on - month and 0.91% year - on - year. LDPE was 9976 yuan/ton, down 1.60% month - on - month and up 7.80% year - on - year. HDPE prices varied. PP in East China had a drawstring average of 7347.25 yuan/ton, down 0.72% month - on - month and 1.38% year - on - year, and copolymer was 7593.25 yuan/ton, down 0.94% month - on - month and 0.04% year - on - year [12]. 3. Fundamental Analysis 3.1 Supply - In March 2025, PP production was estimated at 3.2833 million tons, up 11.52% month - on - month and 13.64% year - on - year. The cumulative production from January to March was 9.5209 million tons, up 12.13% year - on - year. The PP plant operating rate was estimated at 79.66%, up 0.58 percentage points from February [12]. - PE production in March was estimated at 2.6685 million tons, up 7.06% month - on - month and 12.1% year - on - year. The operating rate was estimated at 81.97%, down 1.72 percentage points from last month. There were some PE plant overhauls in March [13]. - New polyolefin production capacities are planned to be put into operation in 2025, with many concentrated in the first half of the year [25][26]. 3.2 Import and Export - In February 2025, PE imports were 1.3252 million tons, up 9.43% month - on - month and 27% year - on - year. PP imports were 307,900 tons, up 15.93% month - on - month. From January to February, PP exports increased significantly, while PE exports decreased [27]. - In March, the import window was difficult to open, and PP exports were expected to remain high [27]. 3.3 Inventory - Currently in the destocking cycle, inventory pressure was prominent in the early stage and eased in the middle and late stages. By the end of March, PP producer inventory decreased by 6.13% month - on - month, and trader inventory decreased by 16.46% month - on - month. PE social sample average inventory decreased by 2.69% month - on - month and 17.53% year - on - year [36]. 3.4 Cost and Profit - Coal: In the off - season, coal prices were under pressure, but there was support during the spring inspection in April [43]. - Crude oil: OPEC+ supply decreased, and US sanctions tightened supply. Oil prices were expected to bottom out and rebound [43]. - Oil - based production: Losses in oil - based PP decreased, and naphtha - based PE profits increased [44]. - Coal - based production: Profits of coal - based PP and PE increased [44]. - PDH - based production: Losses in PDH - based PP decreased [45]. 3.5 Downstream Demand - In March, downstream开工 continued to increase, but subsequent orders were insufficient. PP downstream开工 increased, but demand support was limited [51][54]. - From January to February 2025, the domestic sales market was good. After the national subsidy policy was extended, consumer sentiment was cautious. In April, the production of air - conditioners increased, while that of refrigerators decreased and that of washing machines slightly increased [62]. 4. Outlook - In the short term, it is a volatile market as maintenance eases supply pressure and cost support exists. In the long term, supply pressure and tariff impacts may drag down prices, so a short - selling strategy is recommended [7][70].

Report Summary 1) Report Industry Investment Rating No investment rating information is provided in the report. 2) Core View of the Report The report indicates that the asphalt market shows an oscillating trend. The trend strength of asphalt is 0, suggesting a neutral market outlook [1][10]. 3) Summary by Relevant Catalog Fundamental Tracking - **Futures Market**: The closing prices of BU2504 and BU2505 were 3,620 yuan/ton and 3,627 yuan/ton respectively, with daily changes of 0.00% and 0.03%. The trading volumes of BU2504 and BU2505 decreased by 2,083 and 5,890 hands respectively, and the open interests decreased by 2,582 and 423 hands respectively. The total market asphalt warehouse receipts remained unchanged at 89,180 hands [1]. - **Spot Market**: The Shandong wholesale price was 3,600 yuan/ton, up 10 yuan/ton; the Yangtze River Delta wholesale price was 3,720 yuan/ton, remaining unchanged. The refinery operating rate was 31.36%, up 2.16% from the previous period, and the refinery inventory rate was 31.36%, down 0.50% [1]. - **Spread**: The basis (Shandong - 04) was -20 yuan/ton, up 10 yuan/ton from the previous day; the 04 - 05 inter - period spread was -7 yuan/ton, down 1 yuan/ton [1]. Market News - In the week of 20250319 - 0325, the capacity utilization rate of 69 domestic modified asphalt sample enterprises was 4.0%, up 1.0% month - on - month and down 0.3% year - on - year. With the improvement of construction conditions, some northern enterprises resumed production and increased supply [16]. - In the week of 20250320 - 0326, the capacity utilization rate of 77 domestic heavy - traffic asphalt enterprises was 26.7%, down 0.5% month - on - month. Although some refineries resumed production, others had temporary production transfers or shutdowns, leading to the decline [16].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [5] Core Views - The increase in capacity utilization is driving profit growth, with expectations for new customers and capacity expansion [5] - The company reported a revenue of 28.66 billion RMB for 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 14.8%, attributed to effective customer expansion and improved capacity utilization [7] - The gross profit for 2024 was 8.05 billion RMB, a year-on-year increase of 32.9%, with a gross margin of 28.1%, up 3.8 percentage points [7] - The company announced a final dividend of 1.28 HKD per share, with a total dividend payout of 2.53 HKD per share for 2024, indicating a strong dividend policy [7] - The company has seen significant growth in leisure products, with revenue from the Japanese market growing over 30% year-on-year [7] - The company maintains a stable share of core customers, with major brands like Adidas, Nike, Puma, and UNIQLO contributing to 80.7% of revenue in 2024 [7] - The company is expected to achieve net profits of 6.61 billion RMB, 7.47 billion RMB, and 8.38 billion RMB for 2025-2027, with respective growth rates of 5.95%, 12.95%, and 12.14% [7] Financial Summary - Revenue projections for 2025 are estimated at 31.91 billion RMB, with a growth rate of 11.32% [8] - The projected net profit for 2025 is 6.61 billion RMB, with a net profit margin of 20.7% [8] - The company’s total assets are expected to reach 59.56 billion RMB by 2025, with a debt-to-asset ratio of 28.70% [8]

Summary of Key Points Core Viewpoint - The report highlights the current trends in various sectors, including liquidity, infrastructure, real estate, industrial products, and export chains, providing insights into price movements, production levels, and economic indicators. Group 1: Liquidity - The London gold spot price decreased by 2.66% week-on-week [2] - The BCI small enterprise financing environment index for February 2025 is at 46.65, down 0.86% from the previous month [2] - The M1 and M2 growth rate difference was -6.6 percentage points in January 2025, with a month-on-month increase of 0.5 percentage points [2] Group 2: Infrastructure and Real Estate Chain - In mid-February, the average daily crude steel output of key enterprises reached a six-month high of 2.13 million tons [3] - Price changes for key materials include rebar down 2.65%, cement price index down 0.01%, rubber down 1.73%, coke down 3.60%, coking coal down 1.64%, and iron ore down 3.59% [3] - The national blast furnace capacity utilization rate increased by 0.17 percentage points, while the cement and asphalt operating rates changed by +1.00 percentage points and -2.3 percentage points, respectively [3] Group 3: Real Estate Completion Chain - The prices of titanium dioxide and flat glass changed by +1.38% and -0.74% respectively, with flat glass gross profit at 36 yuan/ton and titanium dioxide at -1015 yuan/ton [4] - The operating rate for flat glass this week remained stable at 76.09% [4] Group 4: Industrial Products Chain - The PMI new orders index for February is at 51.10%, an increase of 1.9 percentage points month-on-month [5] - Major commodity prices showed mixed results, with cold-rolled steel up 0.06%, copper down 0.80%, and aluminum down 1.01% [5] - The national semi-steel tire operating rate is at 82.51%, up 2.16 percentage points [5] Group 5: Subcategories - Iron ore prices have retreated from a seven-month high [6] - The price of graphite electrodes is stable at 18,000 yuan/ton, while electrolytic aluminum is at 20,620 yuan/ton, down 1.01% [6] - The price of tungsten concentrate is at 142,500 yuan/ton, down 0.70% from last week [6] Group 6: Price Comparison Relationships - The price ratio of rebar to iron ore is 4.03 this week [7] - The price difference between hot-rolled and rebar steel is 170 yuan/ton, while the price difference between Shanghai cold-rolled and hot-rolled steel is 620 yuan/ton, down 50 yuan/ton [7] - The price difference between盘螺 (mainly used in real estate) and rebar (mainly used in infrastructure) is 290 yuan/ton, up 11.54% from last week [7] Group 7: Export Chain - The new export orders PMI for China in February 2025 is at 48.60%, an increase of 2.2 percentage points [9] - The CCFI comprehensive index for container shipping rates is at 1250.65 points, down 5.16% [9] - The U.S. crude steel capacity utilization rate is at 74.50%, down 0.50 percentage points [9] Group 8: Valuation Percentiles - The CSI 300 index decreased by 2.22%, with the best-performing cyclical sector being ordinary steel, which increased by 5.34% [10] - The PB ratio of ordinary steel and industrial metals relative to the CSI 300 PB is 38.89% and 58.02%, respectively [10] - The current PB ratio of the ordinary steel sector relative to the CSI 300 PB is 0.54, with the highest value since 2013 being 0.82 [10]