证券研究报告 2025年7月3日 行业：计算机 增持 （维持） 聚焦AI智能化、国产化 ——2025年下半年计算机行业投资策略报告 分析师：章锋 SAC编号：S0870525030002 主要观点 大模型持续创新，AI Agent商业化加快。模型端：国内外大模型加速迭代。OpenAI推出GPT-4o、谷歌Gemini 2.5 系列模型全新升级、Anthropic发布Claude 3.5 Sonnet、DeepSeek R1-0528强化结构化代码输出能力，主流大模型在 模型智能、效率和多模态能力方面持续取得进展。算力端：资本开支向上，推理算力景气。微软、亚马逊、Meta 、谷歌、阿里、腾讯、百度等科技大厂持续加码资本开支，推理算力需求井喷，巴克莱报告预计AI推理计算需求 将占通用人工智能总计算需求的70%以上，我们认为，ASIC 以及国产芯片将迎来新发展机遇。应用端：巨头加速 布局，AI Agent商业化加快。B端，微软、谷歌、Salesforce、百度、腾讯、字节等持续加码，C端，国内外Agent 惊艳涌现，同时巨头积极拥抱MCP，加速落地AI Agent。根据Markets and Markets预测，全 ...

1 | 2、请介绍下今年公司产品的出口情况。 | | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 公司依托集团旗下的重汽国际公司实现产品出口，该公 | | | | | | | | 司已连续 | 年保持行业出口领先地位，并在海外拥有良好的 | 20 | | | | | | 口碑和用户基础。公司出口产品主要销往非洲、东南亚、中 | | | | | | | | 亚及中东等重点市场，并在新兴市场不断取得突破。 | | | | | | | | 目前，公司出口业务保持稳健发展，市场份额在重卡行 | | | | | | | | 业处于前列。 | | | | | | | | 3、请问如何看待新能源重卡的发展趋势？ | | | | | | | | 根据第一商用车网数据，2025 | 年 | 月，我国新能源重 | 1-5 | | | | | 卡行业累计销售 | 万辆，同比增长 | 195%。预计 | 月份新 | 6.12 | 6 | | | 能源重卡销量继续超过 | 万辆，同比增长超 | 倍。新能源 | 1.5 | 1.2 | | | | 重卡行业目前仍处于快速 ...

光学巨头蔡司宣布对德国巴登-符腾堡州Aalen 工厂实施大规模结构性调整，旨在重构生产体系——通过 引入自动化生产线与智能质检系统，将单片镜片生产能耗降低35%，同时腾出空间建立"新工艺研发中 心"。 ...

转自：中国质量报 □ 本报记者 丁 莹 《2025全球汽车供应链核心企业竞争力白皮书》针对中国汽车零部件企业出海提出 以协同创新为桨 以智能驱动为帆 与会专家表示，全球化竞争不仅是企业间的较量，更是产业链生态的比拼。整车与零部件的协同、中企 与外企的共生、技术与市场的共振，缺一不可。中国汽车产业出海看似欣欣向荣，但阶段性的结构性变 化也体现出其背后的脆弱性和不确定性。 当前，汽车零部件行业在出海征途上正展现出前所未有的活力与韧性，越来越多的企业积极地向海外进 行产能布局，贴近目标市场建立生产基地和研发中心。与此同时，技术创新成为了驱动出海的核心引 擎。中国汽车零部件企业持续多年的研发投入和技术积累，开始在国际舞台上结出硕果。一些具备国际 领先水平的创新产品和技术方案，正逐步获得全球主流市场的认可。 在"出海中的企业能力转型"圆桌讨论环节，银轮股份、亿咖通科技、中国汽研、万丰集团等企业代表 就"出海繁荣下，还有哪些暗礁""国际化过程中亟待补足的能力项"等问题，从战略、技术、运营等多维 度展开了思维碰撞。万丰奥特控股集团管理中心总监董瑞平则提出对于海外竞争的担忧，呼吁中国零部 件出海不要把国内的"内卷"带向海外形 ...

凌晨四点半，北京市房山区窦店镇窦店村的玉米地已经亮起头灯。近期，房山区窦店镇的鲜食玉米开启采摘季， 天微亮时，农户们就打着手电筒穿梭在玉米地里。近百亩的玉米地是窦店村经营五年的产业，从种植生产到包装 销售，全产业链发展带领村庄走上致富之路。 7月，窦店镇窦店村鲜食玉米开启采摘季。受访者供图 半天送上市民餐桌，玉米现掰现卖 窦店村村民田艳辉是村里第二农场的主管，天还未亮，她就在一人多高的玉米秆间劳作。她需要检查玉米的饱满 度与成熟度，采摘下来，做好分类。随着不断的咔嚓声，玉米被一个个采摘下来，田艳辉说，只要客户下单，他 们就会根据当日订单精准开展采摘工作。 窦店村第二农场里的采摘工人，有一半都来自窦店村。为了保障鲜食玉米的质量，窦店村第二农场在采摘环节仍 坚持人工作业。赵永胜说："我们的鲜食玉米都是独立包装的，品质是我们玉米的特色，只有人工采摘，才可以辨 别、分选出不同大小的优质玉米，这是机器暂时无法实现的。" 如今，窦店村已将鲜食玉米打造成"鲜玉米窦"品牌，以其低脂营养、清香甜糯的特点，成为窦店村的一张"金名 片"。"窦店村的玉米品牌收获了消费者的认可，在线上线下都收获好评，品牌的打造也提升了鲜食玉米的经济价 ...

Core Insights - The coal mining industry is characterized by high safety risks, with a significant number of accidents and fatalities, making safety a top priority [1] - The development of mining robots is crucial for improving operational efficiency, safety management, and the overall quality of mining operations in China [1][6] - The Chinese mining robot industry has seen the emergence of influential companies, indicating a growing market and technological advancement [6][10] Industry Overview - As of the end of 2023, China has identified 173 types of mineral resources, including 13 energy minerals, 59 metal minerals, and 95 non-metal minerals [1] - The mining robot sector is part of a complete industrial chain similar to the broader robotics industry, encompassing core components, supporting parts, and software systems [3] - Local governments are actively attracting investment in mining robot enterprises, which is strategically significant for upgrading local industrial structures and transitioning from traditional mining to high-end intelligent manufacturing [6] Key Companies - CITIC Heavy Industries Co., Ltd. is a leading player in the mining robot sector, established in 2008 with a registered capital of 457,955.34 million RMB [10][11] - Other notable companies in the mining robot industry include China Railway Construction Heavy Industry Group, Zhengzhou Coal Mining Machinery Group, and Shanxi Dade Measurement and Control Technology Co., Ltd., among others [6][9] Technological Advancements - The future of mining robots will focus on enhancing chip technology, machine learning, neural networks, and digital twin technology to improve operational capabilities [12][13] - Key technological directions include the development of explosion-proof electric control mechanical arms and advanced safety features for mining power supplies [13] - The integration of augmented reality (AR) and virtual reality (VR) technologies will enhance simulation and training processes in mining operations [13] Market Trends - The mining industry is rapidly evolving towards smart mining and intelligent construction, driven by green mining and environmental policies [17][18] - The trend indicates a concentration of mining operations towards larger, more efficient entities, with increased investments in smart hardware and software [17] - The mining robot industry is expected to play a pivotal role in the high-quality development of the coal industry in China [18]

Core Viewpoint - The industry is undergoing profound changes characterized by intelligence, greenness, and globalization, with Cummins aiming to support Taiyuan Heavy Industry Group's business development through efficient and reliable power solutions and comprehensive services [1][3]. Group 1: Strategic Collaboration - The partnership between Cummins and Taiyuan Heavy Industry Group has lasted over 20 years, with Cummins becoming a key partner due to its advanced technology and high-quality products in the engineering machinery power sector [3]. - The strategic collaboration focuses on customized product development, global market synergy, and comprehensive lifecycle services, enhancing mutual trust and cooperation [3][5]. Group 2: Market Expansion and Technological Synergy - Cummins will leverage its 50 years of experience in China, including breakthroughs in diversified energy technologies and a rich product line to meet niche market demands [5]. - The collaboration will involve deep technological synergy, creating customized power and service solutions based on precise market insights [5]. - Cummins' extensive global service network, covering over 190 countries, will support Taiyuan Heavy Industry Group's internationalization strategy, facilitating its "going global" objectives [5].

Group 1 - Shenzhen Stock Exchange launched five new ChiNext thematic indices focusing on battery, medical, and computing infrastructure sectors, selecting 50 stocks with high market capitalization and liquidity as sample stocks [1] - The exchange is planning reforms for the ChiNext market, aiming to support high-quality innovative companies in issuing shares, enhancing financing flexibility, and promoting mergers and acquisitions [1] - A new listing standard has been introduced for unprofitable innovative companies, requiring a market capitalization of 5 billion and revenue of 300 million, to facilitate financing for high-tech enterprises [1] Group 2 - According to Founder Securities, the relative PE of the ChiNext Index compared to the CSI 300 Index is at a historical 5.9% percentile, indicating relatively high cost-effectiveness [2] - The small-cap and volume-price trading factors are recovering, with machine learning strategies performing well and enhanced index products yielding excess returns [2] - In the computing sector, open-source models are driving AI democratization, with clear demand for computing infrastructure and accelerated domestic ASIC self-research [2]

Core Viewpoint - The company is actively transforming into a leading player in the intelligent driving sector, leveraging its data and technology advantages while adapting to market trends through precise product alignment [1][2]. Group 1: Company Developments - The company’s subsidiary, Siwei Zhili, has submitted an application for an H-share IPO, marking a significant step in its growth strategy [1]. - Siwei Zhili is primarily focused on smart cockpit software solutions and has a strong shareholder base, including major players like Didi and Tencent, which enhances its market position [1][4]. - As of June 20, 2025, Siwei Zhili has delivered over 15.9 million smart cockpit software solutions and over 1.55 million integrated hardware and software solutions [3]. Group 2: Market Position and Financials - Siwei Zhili ranks tenth among domestic primary smart cockpit solution providers, holding a market share of 0.1%, and ranks third globally among software-driven Chinese suppliers [3]. - Despite reporting losses of 203 million RMB, 265 million RMB, and 377 million RMB for the years ending December 31, 2022, 2023, and 2024 respectively, the company has shown stable revenue performance with total revenues of approximately 538.8 million RMB, 477.2 million RMB, and 478.8 million RMB for the same years [4]. - The company has a strong customer base, with revenue from its top five clients accounting for 85.9%, 96.2%, and 92.2% of total revenue over the past three years [4]. Group 3: Industry Trends and Future Outlook - The global smart cockpit market is projected to reach 774.6 billion RMB by 2029, with the Chinese market expected to exceed 300 billion RMB, indicating significant growth potential [2]. - The company is focusing on building a comprehensive ecosystem for intelligent driving, including partnerships with major cloud service providers like Alibaba Cloud and Huawei Cloud to enhance its technological capabilities [9]. - The management team is committed to staying updated on industry trends and competitor movements to maintain a competitive edge in the rapidly evolving automotive market [10].

Core Viewpoint - The company BlueFocus Communication Group is pursuing a secondary listing on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, aiming to leverage the A+H listing model, following the trend of major A-share companies expanding into Hong Kong [1][3]. Company Overview - Founded in 1996 and headquartered in Beijing, BlueFocus is one of the earliest public relations firms in China and currently the largest marketing communication group in the country [1]. - As of July 2, 2023, BlueFocus's stock price was 6.37 RMB, with a total market capitalization of 22.534 billion RMB [1]. Financial Performance - BlueFocus's revenue for 2022, 2023, and 2024 was reported as 36.683 billion RMB, 52.616 billion RMB, and 60.8 billion RMB respectively, with corresponding gross profits of 1.7 billion RMB, 1.789 billion RMB, and 1.53 billion RMB [3]. - The company experienced a decline in profit margins, with net profits of -2.177 billion RMB, 0.112 billion RMB, and -0.3 billion RMB for the same years, indicating a shift towards strategic investments in AI technology [3][4]. Strategic Initiatives - BlueFocus has adopted an "All in AI" strategy, developing a large model application engine called Blue AI, which has produced 137 AI-driven applications by the end of 2024, generating approximately 1.2 billion RMB in revenue [3][4]. - The company is also implementing a "Globalization 2.0" strategy, transitioning its cross-border marketing services to a localized and technology-driven model, with five overseas offices established in key markets [3][4]. Industry Trends - The global marketing industry is projected to reach a market size of 8.9 trillion USD in 2024, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 9.7% from 2020 to 2024, and is expected to grow to 14 trillion USD by 2029 [5]. - The Chinese marketing industry is anticipated to grow to 1.89 trillion USD in 2024, with a CAGR of 10% from 2020 to 2024, driven by digital transformation and increasing demand for brand establishment [5]. Market Dynamics - Two major trends are identified as growth engines for the marketing industry: the increasing demand for "overseas marketing" as Chinese brands expand globally, and the restructuring of the marketing value chain through AI technology [7][9]. - The digital marketing market in China is expected to exceed 1.2 trillion RMB by 2025, with the top 10 companies holding 60% of the market share, primarily due to their comprehensive service capabilities and AI technology advantages [8]. Competitive Position - BlueFocus is well-positioned to capitalize on industry opportunities due to its leading AI technology and global presence, despite facing short-term profitability challenges [9].