周二(6月10日)亚市盘中，现货黄金走势偏弱运行，截至发稿报3306.09美元/盎司，跌幅0.56%，今日金价开盘于3327.38美元/盎司，最 高上探3327.59美元/盎司，最低触及3301.54美元/盎司。 四小时图，上周金价走高两次在3397附近受阻走跌，且非农数据后金价下行到趋势线位置收盘，当前金价走势偏低位震荡，形成对四 小时均线向下突破走势，继续加剧四小时均线向下交叉排列，维持四小级别偏空指引参考，走势上暂时维持在低位的窄幅震荡，在前 期的支撑带附近给到反弹的力度和延续度都不算太大，要注意可能出现的震荡修复完成走出二次下跌。小时级别目前K线也是承压短 周期均线维持偏弱运行走势，关注下短线的调整修复情况。今天金价还有继续下跌的空间和需求。 黄金价格现在处于趋势线上交投，趋势线昨日上破后这是首次触及，今日操作思路是依靠此位置去看反弹后再看金价向下去试探这个 趋势线的支撑情况。现在盘面上看，3310是上一波反弹的起点，可以作为一个进场点位去下看，其次是3321这里是下行途中的第一次 反弹起点，可以作为一个短期的压制位参考；下方支撑初步参考昨日低点3293附近，有效跌破后可以下看周评目标3273附近。具 ...

若后市市场上破3338.00点位则可介入多单，上方目标可看向3348.00-3358.00。（止损为5.00美元/盎司空间） 国际贸易紧张局势有所缓和，市场避险情绪回落，目前市场正在关注中美贸易谈判进展情况，现货黄金市场昨日维 持在小区间内震荡，周一市场最低至3293.60美元/盎司，最高至3338.25美元/盎司，最终收盘于3325.39美元/盎司。 对于后市热点，需要继续关注贸易关税情况，同时要密切关注地缘政治的发展情况以及美联储未来货币政策的动向 和美债收益率情况。 亚洲早盘策略： 现货黄金市场 小时图目前处于震荡阶段，短线15分钟图处于震荡阶段，震荡区间3320.00-3338.00，操作上可在这个区间高抛低 吸。 若后市市场下破3320.00点位则可介入空单，下方目标可看向3310.00-3300.00美元/盎司。 交易风险提示：任何投资都存在风险，包括资金损失的风险。该建议不构成具体的投资建议，投资者应根据自己的 风险承受能力、投资目标和市场情况做出决策。 现货白银市场 小时图目前处于主升情绪，短线15分钟图周期处于震荡阶段，震荡区间36.530-36.900，操作上可在这个区间内高抛 低吸。 若 ...

随着股市从春季低点大幅反弹，部分华尔街专业人士认为最糟糕的阶段可能已经结束，夏季交易时段或 将迎来相对平静的行情。这一切始于特朗普政府宣布所谓"解放日"对等关税政策后市场的戏剧性反转。 但更广阔的宏观背景依然乐观。摩根士丹利董事总经理兼高级投资组合经理安德鲁·斯利蒙（Andrew Slimmon）表示，"我确实认为二季度经济将再次带来上行惊喜"。他列举了强劲的盈利预期和稳定的经 济表现，"即使市场重返历史高点，我也不会感到意外"。 不过斯利蒙警告，当前环境已不如4月初有利——当时股市刚从大幅下跌中反弹且波动性高企，即便是 轻微利好也能引发强劲的V型复苏。但在基准指数上涨20%、波动率指数趋稳后，市场对负面消息的脆 弱性可能上升。 （文章来源：金十数据） Prime Capital Financial副首席投资官威尔·麦高夫（Will McGough）同样认为市场可能在夏季保持安静。 他指出，即便是近期市场最关注的长期美国国债收益率，也基本维持在4%至5%的区间内波动，尽管华 盛顿的噪音持续不断。"我现在的建议是享受夏天"，麦高夫称，"目前没有什么因素能推动市场实质性 突破当前区间"。 当然，未来数月仍不乏可能 ...

Gold Market - Gold prices fell over 1% after breaking key support levels of $3333-$3330, with a low of $3294 reached [2] - The U.S. non-farm payroll report for May showed an increase of 139,000 jobs, slightly above the expected 130,000, but still the lowest since February [2] - The report has reduced expectations for earlier and faster interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, alleviating recession concerns [2] - The resumption of U.S.-China trade negotiations has eased tariff-related tensions, contributing to bearish sentiment in the gold market [2] - Technical analysis indicates potential further declines, with support at $3280; a breach could lead to increased selling pressure [2] Oil Market - Oil prices surged past $64, reaching a high of $64.80, the highest since April 24, driven by strong U.S. employment data and positive trade negotiation news [4] - U.S.-China trade talks are taking place in London, aiming to resolve trade disputes, which has garnered significant market attention [4] - Despite improved demand expectations, supply-demand imbalances may persist due to OPEC+ increasing oil supply [4] - The upward trend in oil prices may face challenges if trade negotiations yield unsatisfactory results [4] - Technical indicators suggest a potential breakout above $65 could attract more buying interest [4] U.S. Dollar Index - The U.S. dollar index has ended a streak of declines, forming a bottom pattern, with resistance at 99.40 and potential upward movement towards 100 [6] - Support levels are identified between 98.50 and 98.35; a drop below these levels could trigger additional selling pressure [6] Dow Jones Industrial Average - The Dow Jones has broken through a converging pattern's upper boundary, indicating potential for further upward movement [7] - However, stochastic indicators suggest a need for correction, with resistance at 42,875 to be monitored [7]

Group 1 - Gold prices have seen a slight increase, currently trading around $3317.62 per ounce, supported by safe-haven buying due to unrest in Los Angeles [1] - Last week, gold prices experienced volatility, initially rising nearly 3% to around $3380, before fluctuating due to poor U.S. economic data and optimistic international trade news [1] - The U.S. dollar rose by 0.47% to 99.20, influenced by better-than-expected employment growth in May, which may delay potential interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve [3] Group 2 - The technical outlook for gold shows it is trading within a range, with current prices near $3300, indicating market indecision [4] - Key resistance and support levels for gold are identified at $3330 and $3285 respectively, with potential movements towards $3355 or $3250 depending on market dynamics [4] - The interplay between expectations of the Federal Reserve's actions and global trade uncertainties is crucial for gold price movements [4]

Group 1 - The market showed a positive trend last week, with major indices rising, particularly the ChiNext Index leading the gains [2] - Economic recovery is expected to continue in the second quarter, supported by a gradual improvement in exports following tariff reductions [3] - The manufacturing PMI increased by 0.5 percentage points to 49.5% in May, indicating a slight recovery in production and demand [3] Group 2 - Domestic demand is anticipated to become the core driver of economic growth in the second half of the year, especially as real estate sales show signs of weakness [4] - Government bond issuance has accelerated, with net financing reaching 6.4 trillion yuan from January to May, exceeding the same period last year by 3.7 trillion yuan [4] - The U.S. job market remains resilient, with May non-farm payrolls increasing by 139,000, surpassing expectations [5] Group 3 - The employment data in the U.S. alleviates recession concerns and supports the Federal Reserve's cautious stance on interest rates [5] - The overall economic environment is stabilizing, with limited downside risks due to the gradual recovery and support from policies [7] - Short-term market sentiment may be positively influenced by upcoming discussions between U.S. and Chinese leaders [7]

Group 1 - The U.S. labor market showed unexpected resilience in May, with non-farm employment increasing by 139,000, surpassing market expectations of 130,000 despite a slowdown from previous months [1] - The unemployment rate remained stable at 4.2% for three consecutive months, alleviating concerns about a significant slowdown in the labor market [3] - Average hourly earnings rose by 0.4% month-over-month and 3.9% year-over-year, exceeding expectations, indicating moderate wage growth that may influence future Federal Reserve policy decisions [3] Group 2 - The healthcare sector led job growth with an addition of 62,000 jobs, significantly outperforming the 44,000 increase from the same period last year [5] - The leisure and hospitality industry contributed 48,000 new jobs, while the technology sector faced challenges, notably with DOGE laying off 22,000 employees, marking the most severe layoffs since 2020 [5] - Economic policies, particularly regarding tariffs, have created uncertainty for many businesses, leading to hesitance in future financial planning [5] Group 3 - The overall employment growth in the U.S. is characterized as a "moderate cooling," with both employees and employers awaiting clearer market signals for adjustments [7] - The May non-farm employment report, while exceeding expectations in some areas, did not present strong signals to alter Federal Reserve policy, reinforcing a cautious stance [7] - Experts believe that the continued employment growth and moderate wage increases are unlikely to trigger inflationary pressures, suggesting the Federal Reserve may remain cautious in its next steps [7]

平均时薪数据超出预期，进一步佐证了美联储官员对通胀将未能及时下降的担忧。 近期公布的一些经济数据显示美国增长放缓，包括Challenger追踪的裁员人数同比激增47%，以及ADP 私营部门就业人数大幅低于预期，引发市场对特朗普关税政策影响及美联储下一步行动的质疑。 分析师称，政府效率部的影响持续，美联邦政府就业人数减少2.2万人。 来源：读创财经综合 周四美股收跌，标普500下跌0.5%，纳斯达克综合指数下滑0.8%。这两大指数均受到了特斯拉暴跌逾 14%的不利影响，该公司CEO马斯克在社交媒体上与特朗普总统隔空骂战。 周五盘前，美国劳工统计局报告称，美国5月非农就业增加13.9万超出预期，失业率保持稳定在4.2%。 此前接受道琼斯调查的经济学家预计5月非农就业人数将增长12.5万。 劳工统计局报告还显示，美国5月5月的失业率从4月份的4.187%上升至4.244%。平均时薪同比增长 3.9%，高于前值的3.8%和预期值3.7%；平均时薪环比增长0.4%，高于前值的0.2%和预期值0.3%。 北京时间6月6日晚，美股周五高开。美国5月非农就业增加13.9万超出预期，失业率稳定在4.2%，平均 时薪涨幅超预期。 ...

美国劳工统计局即将公布的5月非农就业报告已成为本周市场焦点。随着全球贸易环境趋紧及经济不确定性升温，劳动力市场放缓迹象愈发显著，此次数据 不仅将揭示就业增长的真实轨迹，更可能成为左右美联储政策路径与黄金价格波动的关键变量。 对于美联储而言，劳动力市场数据正成为平衡通胀与增长的核心观测点。尽管特朗普敦促立即降息，但多数联储官员仍强调需观察关税效应的传导时滞。高 盛指出，若数据落至10万下方将重燃衰退担忧，而超预期强劲（如30万以上）反而可能延缓宽松预期。这种政策敏感性直接投射至金融市场：股市更倾向 15-20万的"温和放缓"区间，而债市则对失业率突破4.3%的技术位保持高度警惕——该水平可能触发标普500指数隐含波动率飙升。 黄金市场在此背景下呈现典型的数据依赖特征。隔夜金价在3350美元关键位企稳，但多空双方均保持谨慎。技术面显示，3400美元整数关口构成短期强阻 力，若突破则可能打开通向3433-3435美元区域的历史高位通道；反之，若数据意外疲软引发避险情绪，3326-3324美元的前期阻力转支撑位将面临考验。值 得注意的是，中美贸易谈判进展或成为黄金上行的潜在掣肘，但当前市场定价更多聚焦于就业数据对美联 ...

北京时间周五晚8:30，美国劳工统计局将发布备受关注的5月非农就业报告。随着企业和消费者为应对 更高关税和经济不确定性做准备，5月就业增长显著放缓几乎已成定局，目前的核心问题在于"放缓幅度 有多大"。 小幅偏离近期趋势可能不会引发担忧，但超出这一范围的数据或将引发市场对劳动力市场及整体经济的 新一轮担忧，甚至可能促使美联储采取快于预期的利率行动。 市场聚焦非农"降温幅度" 经济学家预计，5月非农就业报告将显示，上月新增就业仅13万人，低于4月的17.7万人及年初至今14.4 万的月均水平。这一数据虽有所下滑但并非崩盘，市场将聚焦于放缓程度。与此同时，失业率预计维持 在4.2%不变，平均时薪月率预计为0.3%，高于4月份0.2%。 华尔街观点分歧显著：高盛预计非农就业增长将低于预期，为11万人；美国银行则预测数据接近15万 人；而摩根大通的预估为12.5万人，与市场预期一致。 高盛股票衍生品和资金流动专家卡伦•摩根（Cullen Morgan）写道，该行原本预计5月份非农就业人数将 增加12.5万人；然而，由于ADP数据低于预期，该行将预期下调了1.5万。虽然从历史上看，ADP数据的 水平和出乎意料通常对非农就 ...