Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles highlights the volatility in the U.S. Treasury market due to tariff news, leading to increased selling pressure on U.S. bonds and a rise in yields [1][2] - The 10-year U.S. Treasury yield rose by 18.92 basis points to 4.1835% by the end of trading on April 7, while the 2-year yield increased by 11.10 basis points to 3.7629% [1] - Short- to medium-term Treasury yields saw increases of over 10 basis points, while long-term yields (20-year and 30-year) rose by more than 20 basis points [1] Group 2 - The market reaction to President Trump's announcement of "reciprocal tariffs" initially led to a drop in Treasury yields, but subsequent developments caused a sell-off [1] - Reports of potential suspension of tariffs by the White House led to a strong rebound in U.S. stock indices, with the Nasdaq recovering from a 5% drop to a 4.3% gain, reflecting significant market volatility [1] - Hedge funds are reportedly reducing leverage and moving towards cash to mitigate market risks, leading to a wave of Treasury selling [2]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Consolidated revenue for the quarter was $700 million, down 9% year over year, but in line with expectations [10][19] - Adjusted earnings per share (EPS) was $0.56, down 19% year over year, consistent with expectations due to lower starting backlog [10][20] - Adjusted EBITDA was $97 million, a decrease of 15% year over year, with a consolidated adjusted EBITDA margin of 13.7%, down 110 basis points compared to the prior year [19][20] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Advanced Process Solutions (APS) revenue was $511 million, down 10% year over year, with adjusted EBITDA of $83 million, a decrease of 14% [21][22] - Molding Technology Solutions (MTS) revenue was $196 million, down 5% year over year, with adjusted EBITDA of $27 million, a decrease of 15% [23][24] - Backlog for APS was $1.6 billion, down 17% year over year, while MTS backlog increased 1% to $233 million [22][24] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - North America and Europe markets remain sluggish, particularly in automotive, while Asia shows stability with growth in India [15][24] - Customer quote pipelines remain healthy, especially in India and Saudi Arabia, despite global macroeconomic uncertainty [12][36] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on transforming its portfolio towards higher margin, higher growth, and less cyclical industrial leaders [6][8] - The sale of a 51% stake in Milacron for $287 million is part of this transformation, allowing the company to concentrate on core business and enhance shareholder value [6][26] - The company aims to maximize shareholder value by deleveraging and enhancing its margin profile [8][25] Management Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the long-term growth strategy despite ongoing macroeconomic pressures [17][31] - The company anticipates continued softness in North America and Europe in the near term, with expectations for improved performance as order decision timing normalizes [15][31] - Management remains optimistic about the potential for future returns from the Milacron business under Bain Capital's ownership [9][68] Other Important Information - The company expects to close the Milacron transaction by the end of the fiscal second quarter or early in the third quarter, with net proceeds used for debt pay down [26][27] - Updated fiscal year guidance reflects approximately $2.63 billion to $2.8 billion in revenue and adjusted EBITDA of $411 million to $447 million [28][29] Q&A Session Questions and Answers Question: What do customers need to see to move from quoting to placing orders? - Management indicated that geopolitical factors and clarity on interest rates are significant concerns for customers before making major investments [36] Question: What percentage of revenue does aftermarket represent and what is the outlook? - Aftermarket orders were close to 40% of total orders for the quarter, with expectations for continued improvement throughout the year [39][40] Question: What drove the decision to sell a majority stake in Milacron rather than a full divestiture? - The decision was based on a regular review of assets to determine the best return for shareholders, allowing Milacron to pursue growth opportunities while focusing on core businesses [54][55] Question: What are the expected EBITDA margins and free cash flow conversion capabilities post-divestiture? - Expected EBITDA margins for MTS are projected to be in the mid-20s, with a target of 100% free cash flow conversion in the medium term [58][73]

很多对经济不太懂的网友觉得利率是官方定的，官方要加息就加息，想降息就降息，其实这个理解是不对的。无论中美，真正决定利率的是社会整体的经 济活跃程度，假如现在经济活跃，社会上有很多生意都有机会挣到一年8-10%的利润，那一定会有很多人愿意以4-5%的利息借钱，这个时候官方想压利率 都压不住。 先顺着昨晚的说吧，美联储的利率决议没有出现意外，继续维持5.25-5.5%的利率区间不变，这是符合市场预期的，因此并没有给市场造成太大的冲击。 由19名委员投出来的利率点阵图今年的利率预期是5-5.25%，2025年是4-4.25%，2026年是3.25%左右，至于更远的周期分歧就很大了，从2.5到3.5%的都 有。 19名委员里有4个人认为今年不应该降息，7人认为降一次，8人认为应该降两次。这是最新的判断，后续随着经济数据的波动还会动态调整。 今天a股两市成交7500亿，几个指数表现都中规中矩，但中位数下跌0.75%，股民有一定的痛感。 值得一提的是贵州茅台散装飞天茅台的价格击穿了2400，最新已经跌至2320一瓶，可能你们买酒的人觉得一瓶差个百八十块的也不算啥，但除了消费喝茅 台的人之外，这个市场上还有很多人把茅台当作 ...