一、 指数表现与成交量 今日 ， A 股三大指数集体高开， 但在 早盘冲高后市场出现获利盘抛压，午后指数震荡回 落，沪指微涨 0. 17 % ，深成指和创业板指分别收跌 0. 13 % 和 0. 12 % 。两市成交额 继 续 突破万亿元，达 1. 29 万亿元，较前一交易日 缩量 约 169 亿元。个股表现分化，超 4 000 只个股早盘上涨，但收盘时下跌个股增至 3200 余只，市场情绪从普涨转向结构性波 动。 二、 领涨板块：出口链与科技股主导行情 1 、 光伏设备与新能源：光伏板块全线爆发，多晶硅期货主力合约 4 日累计涨幅超 13% ， 头部企业如东方日升涨停，阳光电源一季度净利润同比大增 82.52% 。行业传闻头部厂商联 合减产挺价，叠加中美关税缓和后出口预期改善，推动板块情绪。 2 、 跨境电商与消费电子：中美关税下调超预期直接利好出口链。跨境电商指数创 2 个月新 高，恒而达、华纺股份等多股涨停；消费电子板块因供应链成本下降预期走强，叠加 VR/AR 技术提升购物转化率等长期逻辑支撑。 尽管中美关税缓和提振了整体风险偏好，但市场并未普涨，反而呈现显著分化，主要原因包 括： 1、 利好提前消化 ...

今日的A股有近5000家股票下跌，市场放量1700亿。三大指数涨幅很大，A50、港股的表现很弱，不影响A股独立行情。 理论上讲，目前是补涨行情了，全球的市场几乎都修复4月份的急跌了，A股也会修复。大家系好安全带，当下的位置只需要相信，踏空的资金很多，不会 给他们机会了。 当下，更多还是小长假的效应，带来的市场普涨。明日就回归正常的行情了，不影响上证指数补缺口，只是个股又是分化行情了。 今日的很多ST的股票涨停板了，说明只是反抽行情。接下来很容易分化，大盘指数没有悬念是上涨，个股未必如此。 中小盘科技股，大概率会一轮漂亮的反抽行情，只是不容易把握。5月份大概率会创年内新高，大家系好安全带。 继续上涨！ 从指数角度而言，上证指数继续上涨的可能性很高，白酒、银行还没有补涨，与证券、地产形成共振就可以突破缺口了。 为什么今日它们2个没有上涨，大资金有分歧了，外资观望。港股没有上涨，说明资金有分歧。中小盘股票大幅反弹了，一些错杀的股票肯定会上涨，不过 跌停板依旧有30家，如果买错了，情绪会很极端。 接下来，指数可以上涨，中小股票也可以上涨。节后连续上涨几天是很理性的节奏，只要大家继续悲观，市场就可以继续上涨，直到你改变 ...

Core Viewpoint - Wuhan's real estate market is showing signs of a "small spring" recovery, with overall stability and upward trends observed in the market [2][3][4]. Group 1: Market Performance - In March, Wuhan's new residential property transactions reached 8,613 units, a significant increase compared to February [4]. - The total sales of new homes in the first quarter amounted to 18,833 units, representing a year-on-year increase of 4,644 units, or 32.73% [3][10]. - The second-hand housing market also saw a notable increase, with 8,772 transactions in March, reflecting a month-on-month rise of 70.96% and a year-on-year increase of 14.71% [4]. Group 2: Policy Impact - The recovery in Wuhan's real estate market is attributed to a series of policies implemented since last year, including "Han Ten Policies" and "Commercial to Residential" initiatives, which have contributed to market stabilization [3][10]. - The demand-side policies, such as tax rebates and subsidies for multi-child families, have effectively reduced purchasing costs and stimulated demand [9][12]. Group 3: Market Segmentation - The market is experiencing a divergence, with high-end properties in core urban areas performing well, while the demand for affordable housing remains weak [4][10]. - The new housing supply in March was approximately 566,000 square meters, a 165% increase month-on-month, with a transaction volume of 600,000 square meters [10][12]. - The average absorption rate for new properties was 36%, which is better than the previous three years' averages [10]. Group 4: Future Outlook - Experts caution that the current recovery is temporary and may not indicate a full market reversal, with potential declines in transaction volumes expected in the second quarter [5][12]. - The high inventory levels in the second-hand market, with 19,600 listings as of April 1, indicate ongoing challenges in price stabilization [12][13].

导 读 2月一二线城市土地市场高溢价地块频现，而三四线城市起色不明显，体现出各地市场企稳、回 温的进度持续分化中。 ☉ 文／克而瑞研究中心 | | 克面瑞·研究中心 | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | | 2025年1-2月 · 中国房地产企业 | | | | 排名 | 企业名称 | 新增土地价值 | 排名 | 企业名称 | 新增土地建面 | | | | (亿元) | | | (万方) | | 1 | 束润置城 | 317.7 | 1 | 中国置城 | 94.2 | | 2 | 中国合成 | 188.5 | 2 | 海泰置业 | 86.9 | | 3 | 保利发展 | 152.9 | 3 | 保利发展 | 75.3 | | 4 | 招商蛇口 | 139.0 | 4 | 绿城中国 | 72.0 | | 5 | 绿城中国 | 131.0 | 5 | 印象置业 | 71.9 | | 6 | 滨江集团 | 118.4 | 6 | 慧聪置业 | 61.4 | | 7 | 化安施日 | 105.0 | 7 | 平陵资产管理 | 57.1 | | 8 ...