Summary of Key Points Core Viewpoint - The company, Tianji New Energy Technology Co., Ltd., is forecasting a significant loss for the current reporting period, although it shows an improvement compared to the previous year [1]. Financial Performance - The company expects a net loss attributable to shareholders in the range of 50 million to 65 million yuan, compared to a loss of 127.72 million yuan in the same period last year [1]. - The net loss after deducting non-recurring gains and losses is also projected to be between 50 million and 65 million yuan, compared to a loss of 128.28 million yuan in the previous year [1]. - Basic earnings per share are expected to be a loss of 0.10 to 0.13 yuan, improving from a loss of 0.25 yuan per share in the same period last year [1]. Performance Review and Causes - The primary reason for the loss is attributed to the oversupply in the lithium hexafluorophosphate market, leading to low sales prices that do not cover costs [1]. - The company's other two main business segments, including phosphate chemical products from its subsidiary Xinte Chemical, showed slight profitability, while the small home appliance segment remained stable [1]. - The company has made significant progress in reducing costs and controlling expenses in its lithium hexafluorophosphate business, contributing to a substantial reduction in losses compared to the previous year [1].

Investment Rating - Industry Rating: Outperform the market (maintained rating) [6] Core Views - The report emphasizes investment opportunities in the soft drink and low-alcohol segments due to new products, low base effects, and the upcoming peak season [4][5][15] - The white liquor sector is recommended with a focus on Moutai and Fenjiu, while the yellow wine sector is under observation for data validation [3][18] - The report identifies four key themes in the consumer goods sector: cost control, new consumption trends, potential performance elasticity in Q2, and thematic expectations [18][22] Summary by Sections Market Performance Review - From May 26 to May 30, the food and beverage sector declined by 1.06%, while the Shanghai Composite Index fell by 0.03% [24] - Notable performances included soft drinks (+9.27%), other alcoholic beverages (+7.13%), and beer (+3.22%) [24] White and Yellow Liquor - The white liquor sector saw a decline of 2.76%, attributed to recent regulations and seasonal factors [3] - Shanxi Fenjiu aims for national expansion and product growth, indicating a strategic opportunity during the industry's adjustment phase [3][18] Beer and Beverage - The beer sector increased by 3.22%, supported by seasonal demand and promotional activities [14] - The report highlights the potential of the soft drink and low-alcohol segments, with significant growth in companies like Li Ziyuan and Dongpeng Beverage [15][22] Consumer Goods - The consumer goods sector is recommended based on four main themes: cost control, new consumption, potential performance elasticity, and thematic expectations [18][22] - The report suggests focusing on companies that can leverage these themes, such as Ximai Food and H&H [22] Investment Recommendations - Top picks include soft drinks and low-alcohol products like Li Ziyuan, Chengde Lulou, and Dongpeng Beverage [5][22] - For the white liquor sector, leading companies like Shanxi Fenjiu and Guizhou Moutai are recommended [5][22] - The report also suggests monitoring companies in the consumer goods sector that align with the identified themes [22]

Investment Rating - Industry Rating: Outperform the market (maintained rating) [6] Core Viewpoints - The report emphasizes investment opportunities in the soft drink and low-alcohol segments due to new products, low base effects, and the upcoming peak season [4][5][15] - The white liquor sector is recommended with a focus on Moutai and Fenjiu, while the yellow wine sector is under observation for data validation [3][18] - The report identifies four key themes in the consumer goods sector: cost control, new consumption trends, potential performance elasticity in Q2, and thematic expectations [18][22] Summary by Sections Market Performance Review - From May 26 to May 30, the food and beverage sector declined by 1.06%, while the Shanghai Composite Index fell by 0.03% [24] - Notable performances included soft drinks (+9.27%), other alcoholic beverages (+7.13%), and beer (+3.22%) [24] White and Yellow Wine - The white liquor sector saw a decline of 2.76%, attributed to recent regulations and seasonal factors [3] - Fenjiu aims for national expansion and product growth, indicating a strategic opportunity during the industry's adjustment phase [3][18] Beer and Beverage - The beer sector increased by 3.22%, supported by seasonal demand and promotional activities [14] - The report highlights the potential in the soft drink and low-alcohol segments, driven by new marketing strategies and upcoming sales events [15][22] Consumer Goods - The report recommends focusing on four main themes: cost control, new consumption logic, potential performance elasticity, and thematic expectations [18][22] - Specific companies to watch include Ximai Foods, Li Ziyuan, and Sanhua Foods, among others [22] Investment Recommendations - Top picks include soft drinks and low-alcohol products such as Li Ziyuan, Chengde Lulou, and Dongpeng Beverage [5][22] - In the white liquor sector, Moutai and Fenjiu are highlighted for their strong alpha and benefits from market concentration [5][22]

Core Insights - The company reported Q1 2025 revenue of 21.177 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 18.77%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 2.471 billion yuan, up 56.40% year-on-year [1] - The company's domestic product lines are showing signs of recovery, with significant growth in the excavator sector, which saw a 38% year-on-year increase in sales volume [2] - The company is focusing on cost control, resulting in a notable increase in net profit margin to 11.89%, up 2.7 percentage points year-on-year [3] Financial Performance - Q1 2025 revenue reached 21.177 billion yuan, reflecting an 18.77% increase compared to the same period last year [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders was 2.471 billion yuan, representing a 56.40% year-on-year growth [1] - The gross profit margin for Q1 2025 was 26.84%, with the net profit margin improving to 11.89%, an increase of 2.7 percentage points year-on-year [3] Product Line Recovery - The domestic excavator market experienced a significant recovery, with a 38% year-on-year increase in sales volume, indicating strong demand [2] - Other segments, such as crawler cranes and truck-mounted cranes, also showed signs of recovery, with expectations for positive growth in Q1 2025 [2] - The company is well-positioned as a leader in the domestic excavator industry, benefiting from the overall recovery in the engineering machinery sector [2] International Business Growth - The company's international business is expected to continue its growth trajectory, with Q1 2025 overseas revenue growth anticipated to exceed the overall industry growth of 7.5% [2] - Emerging markets such as Africa, Latin America, and Asia-Pacific are expected to show faster growth rates [2] - The company has established a strong competitive advantage in international markets through early overseas expansion and a well-developed local production, research, and sales network [2] Cost Control and Efficiency - The company has successfully reduced research and management expenses, leading to improved profit margins [3] - The research expense ratio decreased by 2.26 percentage points, while management expenses fell by 0.74 percentage points, contributing to overall profitability [3] - Financial expenses also decreased by 2.62 percentage points, with positive foreign exchange impacts contributing to profit growth [3] Future Outlook - The company is expected to achieve net profits of 8.633 billion yuan and 11.008 billion yuan in 2025 and 2026, respectively, with corresponding price-to-earnings ratios of 19 times and 15 times [3] - The overall sales outlook for the year is optimistic, with potential upward revisions based on the recovery in the domestic market [3]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [9]. Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 21.177 billion yuan in Q1 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 18.77%. The domestic three major product lines are expected to recover comprehensively, with significant cost control measures leading to a net profit margin of 11.89%, up by 2.7 percentage points year-on-year. The outlook for the entire year of 2025 is optimistic, with potential upward revisions in sales expectations [2][6]. Summary by Sections Revenue and Profitability - In Q1 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 21.177 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 18.77%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 2.471 billion yuan, up 56.40% year-on-year, while the net profit excluding non-recurring items was 2.403 billion yuan, an increase of 78.54% year-on-year [6]. Domestic Market Recovery - The domestic market is showing signs of recovery, with the excavator industry experiencing a year-on-year sales increase of 38% in Q1 2025. The company, as a leading player in the excavator sector, is expected to see substantial revenue growth in this segment. Additionally, the recovery is extending from excavators to non-excavator machinery, with positive sales trends anticipated in the crane and concrete machinery sectors [2][11]. International Business Growth - The company's international business is expected to continue its growth trajectory, with Q1 2025 overseas revenue growth anticipated to exceed the industry average. Emerging markets such as Africa, Latin America, and Asia-Pacific are expected to show faster growth rates. The company has established a solid overseas presence with local production, research, sales, and service capabilities, enhancing its long-term competitive edge [2][11]. Cost Control and Profit Margins - The company has effectively implemented cost control measures, resulting in a significant improvement in net profit margin to 11.89% in Q1 2025. This improvement is attributed to a decrease in research and development expenses, management expenses, and financial expenses, contributing positively to profit growth [2][11]. Future Outlook - The company is well-positioned to benefit from the recovery in the domestic market and is expected to achieve net profits of 8.633 billion yuan and 11.008 billion yuan in 2025 and 2026, respectively, with corresponding price-to-earnings ratios of 19 times and 15 times [2][11].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" [5][33] Core Views - The company has actively adjusted its business structure to control risks, leading to a steady improvement in profitability and quality. Despite revenue pressure, the significant reduction in credit impairment losses has contributed to turning a profit [3][8][33] - The company reported a revenue of 6.83 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year decrease of 14.0%, with a net profit attributable to shareholders of 44 million yuan, compared to a loss of 338 million yuan in the previous year [8][33] - The company plans to distribute a dividend of 0.3 yuan per share for 2024, with total dividends amounting to 422 million yuan [8] Revenue and Profitability - In Q1 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 1.4 billion yuan, down 6.1% year-on-year, with a net profit of 41 million yuan, a decrease of 23.2% [8] - The gross margin for 2024 was 21.8%, an increase of 0.6 percentage points year-on-year, benefiting from lower raw material prices and internal cost reduction efforts [2][3] - The company’s operating cash flow improved significantly, with a net cash flow from operating activities of 320 million yuan in 2024, up 64.5% year-on-year [3][28] Financial Forecasts - The company’s earnings per share (EPS) are projected to be 0.18, 0.30, and 0.42 yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding price-to-earnings (PE) ratios of 25.4, 15.4, and 11.1 [33][34] - The total revenue is expected to slightly increase to 6.86 billion yuan in 2025, with a projected growth rate of 0.5% [34] Cash Flow and Risk Management - The company has strengthened its cash collection and risk control measures, leading to a continuous recovery in cash flow. The accounts receivable and notes totaled 4.09 billion yuan at the end of 2024, a decrease of 70 million yuan year-on-year [3][28] - The asset-liability ratio stood at 64.6%, reflecting a manageable level of debt [3][28]