每周一景： 云南玉龙雪山 点击右上角菜单，收听朗读版 【策略 】 6 月金股策略：风格不会切换，主线持续强化 中国股市"转型牛"的格局越来越清晰，战略看多 2025 ： 1 ）遍历冲击和出清调整后，投资人对经济形 势的认识已然充分，其对估值收缩的边际影响减小； 2 ）股票价格反应的是投资者对未来的预期，而预 期变动的主要矛盾，已经从经济周期的波动，转变为贴现率的下降，尤其是无风险利率与风险认识的系统 性降低； 3 ）以化解债务、提振需求与稳定资产价格的中国政策"三支箭"，以"投资者为本"的资本市场 改革，以新技术新消费的商业机会涌现，有助于重新提振投资者对长期的假设，中国股市迈向"转型牛"。 行情的关键动力来自无风险利率下降与风险认识的系统性降低。 过去三年内外部过高的机会成本阻碍了 投资人的入市意愿，央行互换便利与回购再贷款扫清了股市流动性改善的障碍，长期国债收益破 2 与存 款利率破 1 ，中国股市的无风险利率出现实质性下降。此外，及时、得当与合理的经济政策，查漏补缺 更重视投资者回报的资本市场基础制度改革，以及决策者扭转形势与支持资本市场的决心，对于推动经济 社会风险评价的降低与改变投资人面对风险的保守 ...

Core Viewpoint - Guoxin Technology has established a strategic cooperation framework with international automotive parts supplier Aptiv to promote the localization of automotive core chips and reduce dependence on foreign chips [2] Group 1: Company Development and Strategy - Guoxin Technology focuses on "self-controllable" and "domestic substitution" in its development, aiming to cover 95% of the market dominated by international manufacturers with its automotive electronic chip products [2] - The company has developed a complete product line of 12 automotive-grade chip products, including domain control chips, advanced driver assistance processing chips, and dedicated DSP chips for active noise cancellation, targeting high-end applications in power systems and safety airbags [2] - The vision and development strategy of Guoxin Technology is to develop domestically scarce products with high technical barriers and achieve performance levels comparable to international chip giants [2] Group 2: Competitive Positioning - Guoxin Technology is directly competing with international chip giants and advancing domestic substitution, having integrated key safety airbag chips into a single solution [3] - The demand for chips in vehicles has increased from 600-800 in traditional fuel vehicles to over 1000 in modern vehicles, making the self-controllable capability of domestic chips a key competitive factor [3] Group 3: Product Development and Market Expansion - In 2024, Guoxin Technology's cumulative shipments of automotive electronic chips are expected to exceed 10 million units, with ongoing development of products supporting 48V power systems [5] - The company is actively developing high-end autonomous chips and modules in fields such as information security and artificial intelligence, aiming to integrate AI technology with existing products [5] - Guoxin Technology has successfully tested a high-performance cloud security chip based on the RISC-V architecture, achieving industry-leading performance metrics [5][6] Group 4: Future Prospects - The company plans to expand its cloud security and quantum security chip designs, including the development of quantum-resistant cryptographic chips [6] - Guoxin Technology has launched two AIMCU chips based on the RISC-V CPU architecture, promoting applications in smart home and industrial automation sectors [6]

证券研究报告 | 2025年06月04日 电子行业周报 优于大市 中美关税博弈再反复，自主可控紧迫性持续升级 中美关税博弈再反复，自主可控紧迫性持续升级。过去一周上证下跌 0.03%， 电子下跌 0.59%，子行业中元件上涨 2.21%，光学光电子下跌 1.27%。同期恒 生科技、台湾资讯科技下跌 1.46%、1.15%，费城半导体上涨 1.18%。受中美 关税博弈反复、基金行业新规所引致的超配行业减持压力影响，叠加 SMIC 一季度业绩表现低于预期，尽管公司反馈主因是"厂务问题"，但仍引致市 场对于半导体高景气持续性以及成熟制程竞争格局恶化的担忧，同时由于中 美关税博弈再度反复，美国加大对国内半导体技术限制，电子行情 5 月表现 低迷。考虑到近期科技板块催化集中：小米发布国内首款 3nm 旗舰处理器芯 片；央视《新闻周刊》报导"华为鸿蒙 PC 搭载 5 纳米芯片"；宇树亮相全 球首场人形机器人格斗大赛，科技板块热度有明显回升。我们坚定看好 2025 年电子板块在"宏观政策周期、产业库存周期、AI 创新周期"共振下的"估 值扩张"行情，重点关注半导体自主可控、存储周期回暖及端侧 SoC 创新。 EDA供应将受 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report indicates that the A-share market is experiencing a volatile trend with noticeable theme rotation, while defensive sectors like banking are performing well, and small-cap stocks represented by the CSI 2000 and Northbound 50 indices show signs of upward movement [1] - In the Hong Kong stock market, high-quality leading companies listed in both A and H shares are gaining attention, driven by profit effects and incremental capital, reflecting the structural growth potential of new consumption and new technology companies [1] - The report highlights that companies with strong fundamental growth are increasingly being recognized in the current market style, which places more weight on fundamentals [1] Group 2 - The company believes that many excellent firms are demonstrating strong operational resilience and growth capabilities amidst various fundamental factors, providing more selection opportunities for bottom-up stock picking [2] - The focus for future opportunities includes: first, leading companies in high-end manufacturing with global operational capabilities that can shift production from China to global markets; second, companies in the AI innovation upgrade space, such as smart terminals, consumer electronics, and data centers, which maintain strong profitability; third, investments in self-controllable sectors represented by semiconductor equipment and domestic computing power [2] - Despite existing uncertainties, the report asserts that the growth resilience exhibited by excellent companies based on their strengths offers relatively scarce certainty from a micro perspective [2]

证券研究报告 | 2025年06月04日 电子行业周报 优于大市 中美关税博弈再反复，自主可控紧迫性持续升级 中美关税博弈再反复，自主可控紧迫性持续升级。过去一周上证下跌 0.03%， 电子下跌 0.59%，子行业中元件上涨 2.21%，光学光电子下跌 1.27%。同期恒 生科技、台湾资讯科技下跌 1.46%、1.15%，费城半导体上涨 1.18%。受中美 关税博弈反复、基金行业新规所引致的超配行业减持压力影响，叠加 SMIC 一季度业绩表现低于预期，尽管公司反馈主因是"厂务问题"，但仍引致市 场对于半导体高景气持续性以及成熟制程竞争格局恶化的担忧，同时由于中 美关税博弈再度反复，美国加大对国内半导体技术限制，电子行情 5 月表现 低迷。考虑到近期科技板块催化集中：小米发布国内首款 3nm 旗舰处理器芯 片；央视《新闻周刊》报导"华为鸿蒙 PC 搭载 5 纳米芯片"；宇树亮相全 球首场人形机器人格斗大赛，科技板块热度有明显回升。我们坚定看好 2025 年电子板块在"宏观政策周期、产业库存周期、AI 创新周期"共振下的"估 值扩张"行情，重点关注半导体自主可控、存储周期回暖及端侧 SoC 创新。 EDA供应将受 ...

ETF Industry News - The three major indices collectively rose, with the Shanghai Composite Index increasing by 0.42%, the Shenzhen Component Index by 0.87%, and the ChiNext Index by 1.11. Multiple electronic sector ETFs saw gains, including the CICC Technology Pioneer ETF (560990.SH) which rose over 6%, and the 5G Communication ETF (515050.SH) which increased by 2.26% [1][3] Fund Flows - In May, over 20 billion yuan flowed into technology innovation ETFs, particularly in the semiconductor and high-end manufacturing sectors. The top three ETFs by net inflow were the Huaxia Science and Technology 50 ETF with 4.93 billion yuan, the Guolian An Semiconductor ETF with 2.36 billion yuan, and the Harvest Science and Technology Chip ETF with 1.87 billion yuan [2] Market Performance - The overall performance of ETFs showed that cross-border ETFs had the best average return at 1.07%, while money market ETFs had the worst performance with an average return of 0.00% [8] Sector Performance - The beauty care, comprehensive, and textile and apparel sectors ranked highest in daily performance, with daily increases of 2.63%, 2.53%, and 2.41% respectively. Conversely, transportation, national defense, and public utilities sectors lagged behind with declines of -0.58%, -0.24%, and -0.12% [5] Top Performing ETFs - The top three performing stock ETFs today were the CICC Technology Pioneer ETF (560990.SH) with a return of 6.40%, the Innovative Drug ETF by Huatai-PB (517120.SH) with 2.87%, and the Innovative Drug ETF by Shanghai-Hong Kong (159622.SZ) with 2.74% [10][11]

编辑：林森 着眼于产业趋势，同时结合宏观经济、外部关税的可能演进，淡水泉投资继续聚焦在以下三个方面。其 一，高端制造领域具有全球化运营实力的头部公司，这类公司在面对外部关税挑战时，有能力将产能外 移，从中国制造走向全球制造，加大对非美市场的拓展，降低对美国市场的依赖，一定程度上也具备相 对的关税免疫能力。其二，看好AI创新升级带来的智能终端、消费电子、数据中心等产业链公司的投 资机会，这些企业作为产业链上的"卖水人"难以被替代，同时大客户的新产品也有望带动企业盈利的增 长。此外，布局了以半导体设备、国产算力为代表的自主可控领域，这类机会更加能够平衡关税的影 响。最后，在内需方向，一些具备业绩快速增长潜力的新消费头部公司也是关注方向。（资讯） 近期，A股市场在中美达成阶段性共识开启关税谈判后，情绪有所回升，市场普遍反弹。伴随着情绪修 复，A股市场回补了4月"对等关税"冲击带来的下跌缺口，不过市场整体风险偏好仍相对较低。头部私 募机构淡水泉投资发布的最新月报表示，越来越多近期赴港上市的"A+H"优质龙头走到了市场的聚光灯 前。港股IPO的火爆，AH溢价的趋势性收敛，这既得益于赚钱效应和增量资金的推动，也反映出优秀 ...

截至2025年6月4日 10:58，中证软件服务指数上涨0.58%，成分股深信服上涨2.16%，金山办公上涨2.04%，四维图新上涨1.66%，用友网络上涨1.23%，国联 股份上涨1.20%。软件ETF(159852)上涨0.52%。 根据Straits Research数据，2025年全球EDA软件市场规模约为174.2亿美元，根据中国报告大厅数据，中国EDA市场2025年预计为184.9亿元，全球EDA市场 长期被美国三大巨头垄断，国内EDA市场，三巨头份额超80%，国产EDA公司正通过收并购等加速补链，完善产品布局，以实现自主可控。 华鑫证券指出，全球EDA市场呈现出三足鼎立之势，Synopsys、Candence和西门子EDA三大巨头长期占据主导地位，三家巨头在中国大陆市场占据70%份 额。在这一背景下，自主可控的重要性愈发凸显，建议关注相关国产EDA及IP服务厂商。 数据显示，截至2025年5月30日，中证软件服务指数前十大权重股分别为科大讯飞、金山办公、同花顺、润和软件、恒生电子、三六零、软通动力、拓维信 息、用友网络、中国软件，前十大权重股合计占比59.85%。 场外投资者还可以通过软件ETF ...

Core Insights - The "Deep Integration of Technological Innovation and Industrial Innovation" topic was launched by the Chinese Academy of Sciences on May 27, 2025, aiming to explore strategic directions and countermeasures for integrated development, providing theoretical support for new productive forces [1] - The "Innovation and Entrepreneurship Investment Conference" showcased over 50 cutting-edge achievements, promoting industry connections [1] Industry Analysis - According to招商证券, the performance of the Sci-Tech Innovation Index-related industries showed divergence in May, with a high proportion of loss-making companies in the software development and technology sectors, indicating significant capacity clearing pressure [1] - In terms of economic conditions, the export value of integrated circuits in the information technology sector saw an expanded year-on-year growth, while the growth rate of LCD shipments slowed down [1] - Profitability forecasts suggest that in June, improvements in earnings for companies in the Sci-Tech sector may be concentrated in the TMT manufacturing segments [1] - The upgrade of Google's AI ecosystem is driving technological iterations, with innovative products like AI video generation tool Veo 3 and image tool Imagen 4 potentially catalyzing the Sci-Tech industry chain [1] - Industry allocation should pay attention to external tariff uncertainties and focus on layouts around the theme of self-control [1] Investment Products - The Guotai Sci-Tech Innovation Index ETF (589630) tracks the Sci-Tech Innovation Index (000680), which is published by the Shanghai Stock Exchange and aims to reflect the overall market performance of the Sci-Tech board, primarily focusing on small and mid-cap companies in early innovation stages [1]

商用航空发动机自主可控的重要性在于应对国际供应链风险，特别是美国可能 对中国商用航空发动机实施断供。这一事件催化了中国商用航空发动机自主可 控进程的加速。当前，中国商用航空发动机几乎全部依赖进口，包括国产飞机 C919 使用的 LEAP 发动机。如果断供，将对 C919 产生重大影响。因此，自 主可控成为迫切需求。 中国商用航空发动机市场空间有多大？ 根据测算，未来 20 年全球商用航空发动机市场需求约为 13 万亿元人民币，平 均每年 6,500 亿元人民币。中国市场预计总需求为 2.6 万亿元人民币，平均每 年 1,300 亿元人民币。这些数据反映了巨大的市场潜力。此外，维护费用通常 全球火炸药产能扩张面临瓶颈，美欧等国均面临短缺。欧盟推出 ISIP 法 案增加火炸药产能，美国加大对雷福德和霍尔斯顿弹药厂的投入，但扩 产难度大。 商业航天能力兴起推动国防体系建设，国防部门可购买太空发射能力和 商业星群。美国 Spacex 公司的"星链计划"和"星舰"超重型火箭试 验将极大推动低轨民用和军用星座建设。 Q&A 商用航空发动机自主可控的重要性及其加速的原因是什么？ 高于新机费用，使得整个生命周期内的市场规模更 ...