Core Viewpoint - The report emphasizes the focus on high-growth sectors driven by policy support and industrial innovation, including technology growth, new consumption, cyclical growth, and financial innovation [1]. Group 1: High-Growth Sectors - The technology growth sector includes strong performance certainty in computing hardware, the semiconductor industry benefiting from domestic substitution, and military industry resonating with domestic and international demand [1]. - New consumption is represented by emotional consumption, which serves as a new engine to boost consumption [1]. - The cyclical growth sector combines cyclical and growth characteristics, with short-term price increase catalysts [1]. - The financial sector is driven by the decline in risk-free interest rates and innovations in stablecoins [1]. Group 2: Market Dynamics - Following the rating disclosures, the downward adjustment of convertible bond ratings has removed constraints on low-priced convertible bonds, leading to an accelerated exit of bank convertible bonds [1]. - High Yield to Maturity (YTM) and dual low convertible bonds are expected to become the new base assets [1]. - The impact of the June rating downgrades is manageable, reflecting market preparedness for the downgrades of weaker quality convertible bonds, with no concerns over credit risk in a relatively strong equity market [1]. Group 3: Market Outlook - The equity market is expected to continue strengthening in July, influenced by three main factors: earnings forecasts from A-share listed companies, potential new actions from Trump after the tariff delay, and important mid-year meetings setting the economic outlook and policies for the second half [2]. - The report suggests that the valuation logic of the Chinese stock market in 2025 is driven by domestic industrial innovation and a systematic reduction in market discount rates, which will attract incremental capital [2]. - The easing of external tensions further strengthens the internal certainty logic, indicating potential upward movement in the stock market before the end of July [2]. Group 4: Convertible Bond Market - High valuations do not restrict the rise of convertible bonds, as the equity market is expected to remain strong, maintaining a tight balance between supply and demand in the convertible bond market [3]. - The median price of convertible bonds reached 124.21 yuan, a new high for 2025, driven by optimistic expectations for underlying stocks [3]. - The report highlights the importance of focusing on sectors with strong performance certainty and significant valuation space, such as AI, military, semiconductors, humanoid robots, stablecoins, innovative drugs, and emotional consumption [3].

专家建议：听取行业资深人士意见和观点，提升分析深度与可靠性。 免责声明 中国轻医美行业现状报告 Report on the status of China'snon-surgical medical aesthetic industry 本报告的全部内容版权归上海嘉世营销咨询有限公司（简称：嘉世咨询）。 未经授权，任何单位或个人不得以任何形式复制、传插或用于商业用途 调研方法 桌面研究：搜集整理政府公开数据、行业协会、权威期刊、券商研报及企业 公开披露的行业数据。 本报告结论基于当前可获得信息，不构成投资或决策的唯一依据。研究团队 对因使用本报告引发的直接或问接损失不承担责任。 | 摘要 | | | --- | --- | | 第一章：中国轻医美行业发展总览 | 9 | | 1.1轻医美行业定义与范畴界定 | | | 1.1.1定义：介于手术医美与生活关容之间， | | | 1.1.2核心项目分类：注射类、光电类及其他 | | | 1.13与传统手术医美的区别与联系 | ..10 | | 1.2中国轻医美行业发展历程， | .11 | | 1.2.1萌芽与探索期（2015年以前） | 11 | | 1.2.2 ...

一个，是中证Reits ，今天大涨超1%，明显和大盘背离，且1个点以上的涨幅，即使在连续上涨的 二季度，也仅出现过1天； 另一个，是银行股这边 ，继续大涨，港股这边迎来下半年首个交易日，港股银行大涨超2.2%，在 所有恒生行业指数中排第一，且建行领涨接近3%，而中行在四大行里垫底，"仅"上涨1.5%左右， 这背后的逻辑，我们昨天都已经聊过，并提前做出了预测分析，应该说，还是和实际情况相符 的。 今天市场有两块值得关注的亮点。 第一个亮点，依然是"季末调表，兑现利润"的后遗症 ，我们前两天聊的，节前异常下跌的两块资 产： 今天，财联社在 《真相调查， 银行股被险资配到上限了？ 》，也引用了咱们最近的观点，我在 本文的下半部分，会借助 泰康保险大佬 的公开观点，继续阐述一下，为什么说， 很多从业者忽 视了"前所未有的低利率"、"保险资产负债倒挂的紧迫性倒逼监管政策进入宽松周期"的长期性和 重要性。 另外，这回季末，还有一个事，大家关注的比较多，那就是 A500ETF 的冲量，华泰柏瑞最猛， 直接干破了200亿，弯道超车，成为A500的扛把子，堪称花小钱、办大事，季末营销的经典案 例，而嘉实等其他几家，季末也有发力 ...

Core Viewpoint - The company anticipates significant growth in its annual performance driven by advancements in AI servers, consumer electronics, and accelerated domestic substitution in emerging fields [2][3]. Group 1: Annual Performance Growth - The primary sources of growth are identified as AI servers, consumer electronics, and AIoT, with a focus on enhancing distribution, application innovation, and supply chain services [2]. - The storage business is projected to generate revenue of 20.685 billion yuan in 2024, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 134.32%, primarily serving consumer terminals and AI servers [3]. Group 2: Processor Product Lines - The company has long-term partnerships with well-known chip brands for its authorized processor products, including GPU, CPU, and MCU, collaborating with companies such as AMD, NXP, and NVIDIA [4]. Group 3: Inventory Management - As of the first quarter of 2025, the company's inventory stands at 7.904 billion yuan, showing a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 26.09%, attributed to seizing opportunities in the demand for new energy vehicles and AI computing [5]. Group 4: Future Product Line Strategy - The company has a rich resource of authorized upstream product lines, representing 11 of the top 20 domestic semiconductor brands and 9 of the top 20 global semiconductor brands. In 2024, it plans to introduce product lines in smart driving, passive components, and storage, while optimizing its product lines towards higher quality offerings, particularly in AI, automotive electronics, and industrial control applications [6].

Macro Analysis - The current macro variables affecting the market are internal demand recovery, policy implementation effects, and external environment changes[3] - The easing of US-China tariff negotiations helps alleviate pressure on the fundamentals and market risk appetite, but the relationship remains competitive[3] - The economy is undergoing an L-shaped recovery, with manageable short-term pressures on foreign trade and employment, while low inflation remains a core challenge[3] Policy Insights - The policy focus is on the effectiveness of existing policies and the introduction of incremental reserve tools, with a dynamic calibration approach expected[3] - The emphasis is on promoting the effectiveness of existing policies, particularly concerning employment and systemic risks, while external shocks remain uncertain[3] Investment Strategy - A strategic bullish outlook on Hong Kong stocks is recommended, as de-dollarization benefits liquidity-sensitive stocks[3] - A "barbell" asset allocation strategy is suggested, focusing on resilient dividend assets in finance, resources, and public utilities, while technology remains a key theme[3] Company Highlights - Zhuoyue New Energy (688196.SH) is a pioneer in biodiesel production, with a production capacity of 500,000 tons and a focus on raw material substitution and trade breakthroughs[9] - Yipuli (002096.SZ) achieved revenue of 8.546 billion yuan in 2024, with a net profit of 713 million yuan, driven by cost control and increased procurement efforts[14] - Zijin Mining (601899.SH) expects copper production to reach 1.15 million tons in 2025, with significant growth targets set for 2028[21] Risk Considerations - Risks include potential policy support falling short of expectations, execution delays, and slower-than-expected economic recovery[5] - For Zhuoyue New Energy, risks involve policy advancement not meeting expectations and significant fluctuations in raw material prices[12]

Core Viewpoint - The prices of high-end fruits such as lychee, durian, and cherries have plummeted, with some experiencing price drops exceeding 70% over the past year, and further declines are expected in the future [1]. Price Decline of Specific Fruits - Lychee prices have drastically fallen, with some varieties like "Feizi Xiao" dropping to 2-4 yuan per kilogram from last year's peak of 24 yuan, and even e-commerce platforms offering promotions at 9.9 yuan for three kilograms [2]. - Durian prices have also seen a significant drop, with wholesale prices falling from 35 yuan per jin to 22.4 yuan within a month, a decrease of over one-third [2]. - The price of "Sunshine Rose" grapes has plummeted from 500 yuan per jin a decade ago to just 3 yuan per jin, indicating a dramatic decline in demand [3]. - Cherry prices have decreased from over 100 yuan per jin to around 10-20 yuan, marking the end of their "golden era" in the Chinese market [3]. - Blueberry prices have similarly dropped from over 100 yuan per unit to around 10 yuan per box [4]. Reasons for Price Collapse - The primary reason for the price collapse is a significant increase in production capacity, with lychee production expected to double this year to 3.45 million tons, leading to oversupply [5]. - The planting area for high-end fruits like "Sunshine Rose" grapes has expanded over 50 times in less than a decade, resulting in a surge in production [5]. - Technological advancements in agriculture have enabled local cultivation of blueberries, cherries, and durians, reducing reliance on imports and contributing to increased supply [5][6]. - The logistics sector has improved significantly, with cold chain technology reducing transportation losses from 30% to 10%, and faster shipping methods lowering costs and spoilage [7]. - Consumer behavior has shifted towards more rational spending, with younger generations prioritizing value over brand prestige, leading to increased demand for affordable fruit options [7]. Market Dynamics - E-commerce subsidies and supermarket promotions have accelerated the "de-aristocratization" of high-end fruits, making them more accessible to consumers [8]. - The ongoing trend of domestic production and technological advancements suggests that prices for these fruits may continue to decline in the future [8].

2025 年 07 月 02 日 证券研究报告 | 财富生态周报 ETF 及指数产品网格策略周报 2025/7/2 分析师：卫以诺 分析师登记编码：S0890518120001 电话：021-20321014 邮箱：weiyinuo@cnhbstock.com 分析师登记编码：S0890522110001 电话：021-20321297 邮箱：chengbingzhe@cnhbstock.com 销售服务电话： 021-20515355 2025/6/24》2025-06-24 2、《ETF 及指数产品网格策略周报— 2025/6/18》2025-06-18 3、《ETF 及指数产品网格策略周报— 2025/6/10》2025-06-10 4、《ETF 及指数产品网格策略周报— 2025/6/3》2025-06-03 5、《ETF 及指数产品网格策略周报— 2025/5/27》2025-05-27 投资要点 分析师：程秉哲 ◆网格交易策略概述：简单来说，"网格交易"本质上是一种高抛低吸的交易 策略。但与依赖判断长期走势的趋势交易不同，网格交易是一种基于价格波动 的策略，它不预测市场的具体走势，而是利用价格在一 ...

编号：2025-07 | 投资者关系活动类别 | 特定对象调研 ☐分析师会议 | | --- | --- | | | ☐媒体采访 ☐业绩说明会 | | | ☐新闻发布会 ☐路演活动 | | | ☐现场参观 | | | ☐其他（请文字说明其他活动内容） | | 活动参与人员 | 泰康基金 卞学清 | | 时间 | 2025年7月2日14:30-15:30 | | 地点 | 公司会议室 | | 形式 | 线下 | | 上市公司接待人员姓名 | 董事会秘书 刘同刚 | | | 证券事务专员 邓丽婷 | | 交流内容及具体问答记录 | 公司与投资者就其关注的问题进行了交流，主要内容包括： 1、公司认为全年业绩增长的空间是什么？ | | | 目前增长主要来源为AI服务器、消费电子、AIoT等新兴领域 | | | 的技术迭代与国产替代加速。公司将聚焦分销主业，加强应用创 | | | 新及生态服务、供应链服务和产业数据服务等能力建设，把握行 | | | 业发展新机遇。 | | | 2、公司存储主要应用于哪些领域？ | | | 公司2024年授权分销业务中，存储器业务收入206.85亿元，同 | | | 比增长134.32 ...

Macro Analysis - The current market is influenced by three main macro variables: domestic demand recovery, policy implementation effects, and external environment changes[9] - The easing of US-China tariff negotiations helps alleviate market risk appetite pressures, but the long-term relationship remains competitive[9] - The economy is undergoing an L-shaped recovery, with manageable short-term pressures on foreign trade and employment, while low inflation remains a core challenge[9] Investment Recommendations - Strategic focus on Hong Kong stocks is advised, as de-dollarization benefits liquidity-sensitive markets[10] - A-shares are expected to experience high volatility, emphasizing the need to capture structural opportunities[10] - Suggested asset allocation includes resilient dividend assets in finance, resource sectors, and public utilities, with technology remaining a key focus[10] Company Highlights - Excellence New Energy (688196.SH) is a leader in biodiesel production, with a capacity of approximately 500,000 tons and a focus on raw material substitution[12] - Yipuli (002096.SZ) achieved revenue of 8.546 billion yuan in 2024, a 1.4% increase, with net profit rising by 12.49% to 713 million yuan[17] - Zijin Mining (601899.SH) expects copper production to reach 1.15 million tons in 2025, with gold production projected at 85 tons[24] Risk Factors - Potential risks include policy support falling short of expectations, execution delays, and slower-than-expected economic recovery[5] - For Excellence New Energy, risks involve trade barriers and raw material price fluctuations impacting profitability[16] - For Yipuli, risks include raw material price volatility and project execution delays affecting revenue growth[21]

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of 44.83 CNY, based on a 20x PE for 2025 [6]. Core Insights - The company, Yaxiang Integration, is a leading provider of cleanroom system integration services, focusing on high-value projects in the semiconductor, cloud computing, and biopharmaceutical sectors, with significant orders in Singapore and Vietnam [1][3]. - The semiconductor industry is experiencing sustained growth driven by AI demand, with projections indicating a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 8% for the global semiconductor market by 2030 [2][52]. - The company has secured substantial orders, including a 3.16 billion CNY project in Singapore, and anticipates continued order growth due to the shift of semiconductor supply chains to Southeast Asia [1][4]. Summary by Sections 1. Company Overview - Yaxiang Integration specializes in cleanroom system integration, with a strong background in the semiconductor industry and a focus on high-end projects [15]. - The company has a robust project history and is actively expanding its presence in overseas markets, particularly in Southeast Asia [15][23]. 2. Market Dynamics - The semiconductor industry is benefiting from a surge in AI-driven demand, with significant investments in wafer fabrication facilities expected to continue [2][53]. - Southeast Asia is becoming a key region for semiconductor supply chains, with Singapore positioned as a critical hub due to its favorable business environment and infrastructure [3][66]. 3. Financial Performance - The company reported a revenue of 5.38 billion CNY in 2024, with a projected net profit of 478.23 million CNY for 2025, reflecting a significant growth trajectory [5][34]. - The company has demonstrated strong cash flow management, with a net cash flow from operating activities of 1.602 billion CNY in 2024, indicating robust financial health [44]. 4. Competitive Position - Yaxiang Integration's revenue per employee and profit per employee metrics are significantly higher than those of comparable companies, showcasing its operational efficiency [4][26]. - The company has a competitive edge in the cleanroom engineering sector, supported by its comprehensive qualifications and extensive project experience [18][19].