Market Performance - Government bond futures closed higher across the board, with the 30-year main contract rising by 0.69% to 120.980, the 10-year main contract up by 0.23% to 109.120, the 5-year main contract increasing by 0.13% to 106.070, and the 2-year main contract slightly up by 0.01% to 102.332 [1] - The yields on major interbank bonds generally declined, with the 10-year government bond "24附息国债 11" yield down by 2.10 basis points to 1.6200%, and the 3-year government bond "25附息国债 05" yield down by 1.75 basis points to 1.4950% [1] Funding Conditions - The central bank announced a 7-day reverse repurchase operation of 340.5 billion yuan at a fixed rate of 1.50%, with a net injection of 120 billion yuan for the day [2] - Overnight and 7-day pledged repo rates showed mixed movements, with the former declining by over 5 basis points and the latter rising by over 3 basis points due to month-end factors [2] Policy Developments - The National Development and Reform Commission (NDRC) has issued a notice to allocate an additional 81 billion yuan in special long-term bonds to support the consumption upgrade policy [3] - The NDRC aims to enhance coordination and expedite the disbursement of funds to alleviate the financial burden on enterprises and ensure that benefits reach consumers directly [3] Operational Recommendations - Economic indicators for April, including credit and price data, are expected to face pressure, with a focus on domestic demand to offset external demand [4] - The government is likely to increase the issuance of existing bond balances, with May anticipated to be a peak for government bond supply in Q2 [4] Market Outlook - The market's main logic may shift towards fundamentals and policy, with overall volatility expected [5] - The 10-year government bond yield is projected to fluctuate between 1.55% and 1.75%, with potential for bond futures to remain strong [5] - Investors are advised to consider buying on dips, especially in light of the upcoming PMI index release, which is expected to be in the range of 48% to 50.5% [5]

投资咨询业务资格：证监许可【2011】1778 号 资讯早班车 资讯早班车-2025-04-30 一、 宏观数据速览 | 发布日期 | 指标日期 | 指标名称 | 单位 | 当期值 | 上期值 | 去年同期值 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 20250416 | 2025/03 | GDP:不变价:当季同比 | % | 5.40 | 5.40 | 5.30 | | 20250331 | 2025/03 | 制造业 PMI | % | 50.50 | 50.20 | 50.80 | | 20250331 | 2025/03 | 非制造业 PMI:商务活 | % | 50.80 | 50.40 | 53.00 | | | | 动 | | | | | | 20250401 | 2025/03 | 财新 PMI:制造业 | % | 51.20 | 50.80 | 51.10 | | 20250403 | 2025/03 | 财新 PMI:服务业经营 | % | 51.90 | 51.40 | 52.70 | | | | 活动指数 | | | | | | ...

·何立峰：增强人民币资产全球配置中心、风险管理中心地位 ·国家发展改革委、商务部、市场监管总局发布《关于开展市场准入壁垒清理整治行动促进全国统一大市场建设的通知》，全面清理和整改违规设置市场准 入壁垒的各类不合理规定和做法，通报一批具有典型意义的违规案例，建立健全线索归集、核实整改、案例通报等长效机制，让"非禁即入"落地生根，营造 公平的市场准入环境，为坚持和落实"两个毫不动摇"、构建全国统一大市场提供有力支撑。（新华财经） ·29日消息，近日，国家发展改革委已印发通知，会同财政部及时向地方追加下达今年第二批810亿元超长期特别国债资金，继续大力支持消费品以旧换新。 下一步，国家发展改革委将充分发挥"两新"部际协调机制作用，强化统筹推进和跟踪调度，督促各地各有关部门加快已拨资金审核兑付，切实减轻企业垫资 压力，确保真金白银优惠直达消费者，推动消费品以旧换新政策发挥更大效果。（新华财经） ·据中国人民银行网站4月29日消息，3月份，债券市场共发行各类债券87356.6亿元，其中国债发行12786.3亿元，地方政府债券发行9788.0亿元，金融债券发 行10226.4亿元，公司信用类债券发行13335.2亿元，信 ...

4月30日，恒生指数、恒生科技指数集体高开，消费板块持续活跃。 相关ETF方面，截至发稿，港股消费ETF（159735）开盘后震荡走强，现涨0.77%。成分股中，周大福 涨超2%，蒙牛乳业、百威亚太、银河娱乐、美团-W等股涨幅居前。 港股消费ETF（159735）跟踪中证港股通消费主题指数，该指数选取港股通范围内流动性较好、市值较 大的50只消费主题相关股票组成指数样本，采用自由流通市值加权，以反映港股通内消费类股票的整体 表现。 消息面上，据国家发展改革委微信公众号，近日，国家发展改革委已印发通知，会同财政部及时向地方 追加下达今年第二批810亿元超长期特别国债资金，继续大力支持消费品以旧换新。下一步，国家发展 改革委将充分发挥"两新"部际协调机制作用，强化统筹推进和跟踪调度，督促各地各有关部门加快已拨 资金审核兑付，切实减轻企业垫资压力，确保真金白银优惠直达消费者，推动消费品以旧换新政策发挥 更大效果。 中信证券表示，今年以来我国消费政策全面升级创新，近期细分领域政策相继出台，政策体系逐步完 善。近日国家税务总局发布离境退税管理办法修订细则，推动前期离境退税"即买即退"推广政策落地。 根据我们测算，乐观假 ...

地址 ：北 京市 朝阳 区朝阳 门外 大街 甲 6 号万 通中 心 D 座 20 层 （100020） 资讯早间报 制作日期： 2025/04/30 隔夜夜盘市场走势 1. 国际油价大幅走低，美油主力合约收跌 3.08%，报 60.14 美元/桶；布伦特 原油主力合约跌 2.76%，报 63.00 美元/桶。 2. 芝加哥期货交易所（CBOT）农产品期货主力合约收盘全线下跌，大豆期货跌 0.94%报 1052.50 美分/蒲式耳，玉米期货跌 2.59%报 470.75 美分/蒲式耳，小 麦期货跌 1.22%报 524.50 美分/蒲式耳。 3.国内商品期货夜盘收盘普遍下跌，能源化工品表现疲软，纸浆跌 3.05%，玻 璃跌 2.6%，纯碱跌 2.26%，燃油跌 1.41%，低硫燃料油跌 1.2%。黑色系全线下 跌，焦煤跌 1.71%。农产品多数下跌，棕榈油跌近 1%。 原油主力合约收跌 2.07%报 478.0 元/桶。贵金属方面，沪金收跌 0.29%报 785.02 元/克，沪银涨 0.12%报 8226 元/千克。 重要资讯 【宏观资讯】 1. 近日，国家发展改革委已印发通知，会同财政部及时向地方追加下达今 ...

Group 1 - Dalian achieved a retail sales total of 609.7 billion yuan in Q1, marking a 9% year-on-year growth, the highest quarterly growth since 2022, surpassing national and provincial levels, ranking first among 15 sub-provincial cities [1] - In March, Dalian's retail sales reached 104.9 billion yuan, marking the first time monthly sales exceeded 100 billion yuan [1] - The city organized nearly 400 promotional activities around festivals, enhancing consumer engagement through live performances, park events, and street parades [1] Group 2 - The "old-for-new" consumption policy has been implemented, with sales reaching 65.87 billion yuan by March 31, focusing on automobiles, home appliances, and other consumer goods [2] - Online retail sales in Dalian reached 68.55 billion yuan in Q1, a 192.1% year-on-year increase, driven by the introduction of major e-commerce platforms like Douyin [2]

1、 国家发展改革委会同商务部、市场监管总局29日发布 《关于开展市场准入壁垒清理整治行动 促进全国统一大市场建设的通知》 ，进一步大力破 除市场准入壁垒，全面清理和整改违规设置市场准入壁垒的各类不合理规定和做法，建立健全线索归集、核实整改、案例通报等长效机制，让"非禁即 入"落地生根，营造公平的市场准入环境。 本次清理整治的重点是，以地方性法规、规章、行政规范性文件、其他政策性文件等形式设立和实行的违反 市场准入制度要求的各类规定文件，以及各级政府违规设置市场准入壁垒的各类做法情形。 今日导读 1. 记者获悉，近日，国家发展改革委已印发通知，会同财政部及时向地方追加下达今年第二批810亿元超长期特别国债资金，继续大力 支持消费品以旧换新。 国家发展改革委副主任赵辰昕4月28日表示，今年前两批消费品以旧换新资金一共下达超过1600亿元，后续还 有1400亿元左右，会根据各地支付进度陆续下达。 2. 贵州茅台(600519)4月29日晚间发布一季报，2025年第一季度营收为506.01亿元，同比增长10.54%；归母净利润为268.47亿元，同比 增长11.56%。 3. 新华保险4月29日晚间公告称，经董事会 ...

Market Overview - The A-share market experienced narrow fluctuations with slight declines in major indices, with the Shanghai Composite Index closing at 3286.65, down 0.05% [1] - The Shenzhen Component Index and the ChiNext Index also saw minor declines of 0.05% and 0.13% respectively, while the North Exchange 50 Index increased by 1.24% [1] Sector Performance - The top-performing sectors included Beauty Care (+2.60%), Machinery Equipment (+1.44%), and Media (+1.27%), while the worst-performing sectors were Utilities (-1.78%) and Oil & Petrochemicals (-0.55%) [2] - Concept sectors showed strong performance in PEEK materials (+5.60%) and dyes (+3.85%), while sectors like supercritical power generation and controlled nuclear fusion faced declines [2] Future Outlook - The market is expected to stabilize after a brief adjustment, supported by positive economic data from Q1, including better-than-expected export figures and credit data indicating total expansion [5] - The report suggests focusing on sectors such as Finance, Food & Beverage, Utilities, Retail, Non-ferrous Metals, and TMT for potential investment opportunities [5] - The National Development and Reform Commission has announced strong demand for the consumer goods replacement market, with plans to allocate an additional 81 billion yuan in special bonds to support this initiative [4]

3、港交所与香港证监会已根据特区政府的指示做好准备，并已与部分相关企业接触。若仍未在香港市 场上市的"中概股"希望回流，会为其香港上市提供适当的指引与协助。 4、腾讯对其混元大模型研发体系进行了全面重组，主要围绕算力、算法和数据三大核心板块刷新团队 部署，加码研发投入。 2、国家发展改革委下达今年第二批810亿元超长期特别国债资金，继续大力支持消费品以旧换新。 智通财经4月29日晚间新闻精选 5、9天6板红墙股份：广东科创、何元杰、韩强减持计划已实施完毕。万科A：拟出售7295.6万股库存股 补充流动性。浪潮信息：一季度净利润同比增长53%。工业富联：第一季度净利润同比增长25%。中远 海控：第一季度净利润同比增长73.12%。中金黄金：一季度净利润同比增长33%。贵州茅台：一季度净 利润268.47亿元 同比增长11.56%。工商银行第一季度净利润841.6亿元 同比下降4%。7天5板永安药 业："牛磺酸价格暴涨几倍"等传闻不实。 1、习近平在上海考察时强调，不断增强科技创新策源功能和高端产业引领功能，加快建成具有全球影 响力的科技创新高地。 ...

Domestic News - The National Development and Reform Commission, Ministry of Commerce, and State Administration for Market Regulation announced a campaign to eliminate unreasonable market access barriers, aiming to create a fair market environment and support the construction of a unified national market [1][2] - The Ministry of Commerce reported that in the first quarter, the total service trade import and export amounted to 19,741.8 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 8.7%. Exports reached 8,351.5 billion yuan, growing by 12.2%, while imports were 11,390.3 billion yuan, increasing by 6.2%. The service trade deficit was 3,038.8 billion yuan, a decrease of 244.6 billion yuan compared to the same period last year [2] International News - The European Central Bank's inflation expectations survey indicated that consumers' median inflation expectations for the next 12 months and 3 years are 2.9% and 2.5%, respectively, both rising by 0.3 and 0.1 percentage points from the previous survey [3] - A report from Boston Consulting Group stated that Europe's asset management scale reached a historical high of 25 trillion dollars in 2024, a 7% increase from the previous year, although this growth rate is still below the global average [3] - T. Rowe Price analysts expect the Bank of Japan to maintain interest rates unchanged in the upcoming meeting due to ongoing uncertainties surrounding economic growth [3]