随着宏观经济波动和房地产政策影响，目前我国的酒店投资市场正在从增量扩张转向存量优化。 近年来，受宏观经济因素和房地产政策影响，部分酒店业主为盘活资产，降低计息负债，选择剥离非核 心资产以缓解杠杆压力。 其中，诸多优质酒店资产进入投资市场，吸引境内外投资人关注。仲量联行数据显示，近年来大宗交易 额逆势攀升，继2017年万达—富力资产包交易后，中国内地酒店投资交易额于2023年再创历史新高。 据仲量联行数据，近年来，中国内地酒店市场进入投资活跃期。2015年至2024年，中国内地酒店投资交 易额约1685.4亿元，年均成交额约为139.4亿元。其中在2024年，中国酒店投资占比达到投资市场中的 10.7%，创下近年来新高。 其中，一线城市酒店资产因其不可替代的抗周期能力与复合价值成为资本竞逐的焦点。过去10年，超过 60%的酒店交易发生在一线城市。与此同时，新一线城市正成为内地酒店投资市场的新蓝海。相较2015 —2019年，2020—2024年新一线城市酒店投资交易额占比增加6个百分点。 《中国经营报》记者注意到，由于宏观经济波动及房地产进入深度调整期等因素影响，部分酒店资产持 有者面临现金流压力，试图通过剥离 ...

Group 1 - Morgan Stanley analyst Michael Wilson believes that a weak dollar will support U.S. corporate earnings, helping U.S. stocks outperform other global markets, with the S&P 500 index expected to remain in the range of 5000-5500 points [1] - Deutsche Bank reports that foreign investors are still reluctant to buy U.S. assets, with data showing a "sudden stop" in overseas purchases of U.S. stocks and bonds over the past two months [1] - Bank of America highlights that market focus is on potential hints from the Bank of Japan regarding interest rate hikes in June or July, with current market expectations for the Bank of Japan's final rate slightly above 0.75% [1] Group 2 - Barclays recommends investors to re-establish long positions in five-year U.S. Treasury bonds in preparation for potential interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, citing increased uncertainty following tariff announcements [2] - Societe Generale's energy strategist indicates that uncertainty surrounding OPEC+ production plans is creating significant downside risks for oil prices, with Brent crude oil prices expected to reach $60 per barrel in Q2 and $70 in Q3 [3] - ING's report states that President Trump's recent criticisms of the Federal Reserve's policies have not been beneficial for long-term U.S. Treasury bonds, with 10-year Treasury yields recently stabilizing around 4.256% [4] Group 3 - Mitsubishi UFJ suggests that even if the Bank of Japan takes a cautious stance on interest rate hikes, the yen may still appreciate due to expected downward revisions in economic growth and core inflation forecasts [5] - CITIC Securities anticipates that 2025 will be a turning point for China's steel industry, with ongoing capacity reductions and industry reforms expected to benefit profit distribution within the sector [6] - Huatai Securities sees investment opportunities in the commercial real estate sector in 2025, driven by policy catalysts and the performance of leading companies [7] Group 4 - Zhongtai Securities emphasizes the dividend attributes of bank stocks under the "equal tariffs" backdrop, recommending a focus on large banks and quality city commercial banks [8] - Guotai Junan suggests prioritizing brokerage firms with significant comprehensive advantages and stronger cross-border asset allocation capabilities, as the fixed income self-operation business undergoes transformation [9]

Investment Rating - The report does not provide a specific investment rating for the REITs industry [2] Core Insights - The REITs index experienced a decline of 1.43% this week, while the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 index rose by 0.38% and the CSI 500 index increased by 1.20% [6][24] - The report highlights the correlation of REITs with various indices, showing a correlation of -0.08 with 10-year government bonds and 0.27 with the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 index [6] - Recent market activities include the listing of the Southern SF Logistics REIT, which saw a first-day increase of 13.53% [8][12] Summary by Sections Market Dynamics - 62 REITs, including the Jia Shi JD Warehouse Infrastructure REIT, released their first-quarter announcements this week [12] - 12 REITs, such as the E Fund Deep Expressway REIT, announced dividend distributions [12] - The report notes various REITs' operational data releases and investor activities, including the Guangfa Chengdu High Investment Industrial Park REIT [8][12] Market Performance - The trading volume for REITs increased to 2.95 billion yuan, reflecting a 3.4% rise, with an average daily turnover rate of 0.7% [9] - Specific sectors showed varied performance, with highway REITs trading at 710 million yuan (+1.5%) and ecological environmental REITs at 12 million yuan (-21.8%) [9] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests that the overall economic stability remains unchanged, and REITs possess strong allocation attributes in the long term [9] - Investors are encouraged to pay attention to sector rotation and expansion opportunities, as well as improvements in macroeconomic and policy environments [9]

Core Viewpoint - The performance of public REITs in the first quarter remains robust despite a volatile market environment, with significant support from policies and increasing interest from private capital [1][4][5]. Group 1: Performance Overview - A total of 62 public REITs have disclosed their operating data, achieving a combined revenue of 4.779 billion yuan and a net profit of 840 million yuan in the first quarter [1]. - 15 products reported revenues exceeding 100 million yuan, and 29 products had net profits over 10 million yuan, indicating a stable income for investors [1]. - Consumer REITs showed impressive growth, with revenues for specific products like Huaxia Huayun Commercial REIT increasing by 82.28% year-on-year [2]. Group 2: Market Expansion and Support - The number of public REITs is expected to continue expanding, with 7 new REITs listed this year, bringing the total to 65 [4]. - Local governments, such as Guangdong, are actively promoting the cultivation and application of infrastructure REITs, supporting more private capital projects [1][5]. - Non-state-owned enterprises are also showing interest in public REITs, with companies like CapitaLand submitting applications for consumer infrastructure REITs [5]. Group 3: Challenges for Private Enterprises - Private enterprises face challenges in participating in the REITs market, including the need for higher yield rates and market acceptance [6]. - The requirements for asset clarity and stable cash flow are high, with a need for a compound annual growth rate of net operating income (NOI) of at least 5% over three years [6][7]. - To successfully issue REITs, private enterprises must improve asset compliance, operational quality, and governance structures [7].

Core Viewpoint - The China International Capital Corporation (CICC) Xiamen Affordable Rental Housing Closed-End Infrastructure Securities Investment Fund (referred to as CICC Xiamen Anju REIT) has submitted an application for expansion, indicating a proactive approach to enhance its asset portfolio and market presence [1][2]. Group 1: Fund Details - The CICC Xiamen Anju REIT is categorized as an infrastructure public REIT, initiated by Xiamen Anju Group Co., Ltd., and managed by CICC Fund Management Co., Ltd. [2] - The fund's current status is "submitted," with an update date set for April 28, 2025 [2][5]. Group 2: Expansion Plans - CICC Fund announced plans to acquire new assets, specifically targeting affordable rental housing projects in Xiamen, which will diversify the fund's asset mix and enhance cash flow stability [3]. - The expansion aims to activate more existing assets, increase market scale, optimize asset allocation, and improve liquidity in the secondary market [3]. Group 3: Market Context - The recent approval of expansion applications for several public REITs from March to April 2023 marks the beginning of a dual-driven model of "initial issuance + expansion" in the public REITs market [4]. - Other REITs, such as Guotai Junan Dongjiu New Economic Industrial Park REIT and China Aviation Jingneng Photovoltaic REIT, have also submitted expansion applications, reflecting a broader trend in the market [4].

Core Viewpoint - The company has demonstrated resilience and achieved high-quality growth in the first quarter of 2025, with significant increases in both revenue and net profit despite a complex global economic environment [7]. Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, the company achieved a total volume of 3.56 billion parcels, a year-on-year increase of 19.7%, and generated operating revenue of RMB 69.85 billion, up 6.9% year-on-year [7]. - The express logistics business revenue grew by 7.2%, while supply chain and international business revenue increased by 9.9% [7]. - Gross profit reached RMB 9.29 billion, reflecting an 8.0% year-on-year increase, with a gross margin of 13.3%, up 0.1 percentage points [8]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders was RMB 2.23 billion, a 16.9% increase year-on-year, with a net profit margin of 3.2%, up 0.3 percentage points [8]. Share Buyback Program - The company announced a share buyback plan for 2025, intending to repurchase A-shares with a total amount between RMB 5 billion and RMB 10 billion, at a price not exceeding RMB 60 per share [40][41]. - The buyback aims to enhance the long-term incentive mechanism and motivate core employees, with shares intended for future employee stock ownership plans or equity incentive plans [41][46]. - The buyback period is set for 12 months from the board's approval date [42]. Debt Financing - The company issued a super short-term financing bond of RMB 500 million through its wholly-owned subsidiary to support business development needs [12]. REITs Issuance - The company is actively pursuing the issuance of public infrastructure REITs to support the sustainable development of logistics industrial parks, with a total fundraising amount of RMB 3.29 billion [14].

Market Performance - A-shares showed mixed performance on April 29, with the Shanghai Composite Index slightly down by 0.03% to 3287.45 points, while the Shenzhen Component Index rose by 0.09% to 9863.90 points, and the ChiNext Index increased by 0.05% to 1935.35 points [1] - The trading volume for the Shanghai Composite was approximately 268.9 billion yuan, while the Shenzhen Component had a trading volume of about 376.8 billion yuan, and the ChiNext Index recorded around 172.5 billion yuan [1] Sector Performance - Strong performance was noted in sectors such as PEEK materials, chemicals, and robotics, with stocks like Jushilin, Xinhang New Materials, and Fangzheng Electric Machine hitting the daily limit [1][2] - Conversely, the power sector faced adjustments, with stocks like Leshan Electric and Xichang Electric hitting the daily limit down [1][2] Institutional Insights - Huatai Securities is optimistic about investment opportunities in the commercial real estate sector by 2025, driven by policy catalysts and a recovering consumer market [3] - Guotai Junan Securities emphasizes the need for transformation in the brokerage industry, particularly in fixed income self-operation, suggesting a focus on firms with significant comprehensive advantages [3] - CITIC Securities predicts that 2025 will mark a turning point for the steel industry, with expected production cuts and profit redistribution benefiting the sector [3] Policy Developments - The National Development and Reform Commission announced an additional 81 billion yuan in special long-term bonds to support the consumer goods replacement program, indicating strong market demand [4] - A joint notice from the National Development and Reform Commission, Ministry of Commerce, and State Administration for Market Regulation aims to eliminate unreasonable market access barriers, promoting a unified national market [5] Industry Statistics - The National Bureau of Statistics reported that cultural enterprises achieved a revenue of 33,939 billion yuan in Q1 2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 6.2%, with certain sectors growing by 12.5% [6]

证券研究报告 | 2025年04月28日 公募 REITs 周报（第 15 期） REITS 小幅回调，消费类逆势收涨 主要结论：随着一季度业绩发布，REITS 本周定价逐渐回归基本面。消费类 与保障房类业绩表现稳健，韧性较强。本周中证 REITs 指数小幅回调，跑输 主要股债指数。从主要指数周涨跌幅对比来看：中证转债>沪深 300>中证全 债>中证 REITs，REITs 全周日均换手率较前一周略有上升，仓储物流类 REITs 交易活跃度最高。除了消费 REITs 以外，其他各类型 REITs 均收跌。截至 4 月 25 日，公募 REITs 年化现金分派率均值为 7.5%，显著高于当前主流固收 资产的静态收益率。当前产权 REITs 股息率比中证红利股股息率均值低 383BP,经营权类 REITs 内部收益率均值与十年期国债收益率利差为 259BP。 中证 REITs 指数周涨跌幅为-1.8%，年初至今涨跌幅为+7.3%。截至 2025 年 4 月 25 日 ， 中 证 REITs （ 收 盘 ） 指 数 收 盘 价 为 847.0 点 ， 整 周 （2025/4/21-2025/4/25）涨跌幅为-1. ...

Group 1 - The "Shandong High-speed Group Binlai Expressway Asset-backed Special Plan" was successfully issued on April 18, 2025, at the Shanghai Stock Exchange, with a total issuance scale of 7.984 billion yuan [2] - This project is categorized as a highway REITs project, setting a record for the largest single issuance of REITs by a local state-owned enterprise in China, and represents the largest equity financing in the history of Shandong High-speed Group [2] - The underlying asset of the project is the Binlai Expressway segment from Zibo West to Laiwu, managed by CITIC Securities Co., Ltd., with Shandong Tonghui Jiatai Financing Leasing Co., Ltd. as the original equity holder, and Shandong High-speed Infrastructure Construction Co., Ltd. providing operational support [2] Group 2 - A legal team led by lawyer Dong Wan, along with team members Zhang Yiming and Wang Qingru, provided comprehensive and efficient legal services for the project issuance, including transaction structure design, legal due diligence, and drafting of legal documents [3]

日本拥有庞大的酒店与旅馆市场，覆盖从经济型商务酒店到高端度假村、胶囊旅馆和传统日式旅馆（ryokan）等多种类型。截至2024年，全国酒店和旅馆 的客房总数约为150万间 。其中，商务型酒店（提供基础住宿和商务服务，主要面向差旅客）和经济型连锁酒店占相当比重； 同时，日本特有的胶囊旅馆以高密度小型客舱满足超短停留需求，传统温泉旅馆则提供日式客房和温泉体验。在城市中心，以商务出行为主的中小型酒店 林立；在观光景区，大型度假酒店和温泉旅馆共存，形成多元的供给体系。 经过2020-2021年疫情的低谷后，日本酒店业正在强劲复苏，入住率和每房收益（RevPAR）等运营指标大幅改善。2023年国内旅游已完全恢复并超过疫前 水平——该年录得约4.997亿人次的住宿过夜游客，比2019年高出3.9% 。 随着2022年下半年开始恢复免签入境，入境游需求迅速回升：2024年访日外国游客数量创下新高，全年接近3,690万人次，比2019年增加了约15.6% 。在 弱势日元的推动下，境外游客大量涌入使各地酒店入住率节节攀升，平均房价（ADR）也超过疫前水平 。 据统计，2024年上半年日本酒店平均入住率达到约74.4%，ADR约 ...