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提振消费、扩大内需、以工代赈……宏观政策更加积极有为 经济运行总体平稳
Yang Shi Wang· 2025-06-27 02:31
央视网消息:记者26日从国家发展改革委举行的新闻发布会上了解到,今年以来,我国实施更加积极有为的宏观政策,经济运行总体平 稳。 去年11月以来,国家发展改革委联合财政部下达2025年以工代赈中央专项投资165亿元,支持地方实施以工代赈项目3900多个,预计能够 解决38万名困难群众的就业增收问题。在此基础上,近日,国家发展改革委联合有关部门印发了《以工代赈加力扩围促进重点群体就业增收行 动方案》,将新增安排一批中央预算内投资项目,对重点群体较为集中的地区予以支持,首次将城乡融合发展中小型基础设施建设纳入支持范 围。 国家发展改革委政研室副主任、新闻发言人李超称:"《行动方案》将以工代赈劳务报酬占中央对项目投入资金的比重由30%以上提高至 40%以上,尽可能增加群众务工收入。我们已经完成了新增资金的重点群体摸底、项目谋划申报等前期工作,正在抓紧组织开展项目审查,有 序推进投资计划下达工作。" 下一步,国家发展改革委将抓紧下达新增以工代赈中央预算内投资计划,推动此前已下达计划的项目迅速形成实物工作量。同时,推动各 地最大程度挖掘以工代赈项目用工岗位规模,最大力度吸纳当地困难群众参与建设。 在"两新"政策带动下,今 ...
渤海证券研究所晨会纪要(2025.06.27)-20250627
BOHAI SECURITIES· 2025-06-27 01:52
Macro and Strategy Research - The overall economic operation is stable, with certain resilience shown under policy support. However, the export sector faces downward pressure and high base effects, while consumption is also under pressure due to reduced national subsidies and demand front-loading. Investment in infrastructure is expected to play a stabilizing role, and manufacturing is likely to maintain relatively high growth due to policy support [2][3] - Domestic monetary policy will focus on stabilizing growth and combating deflation, with expectations of continued liquidity easing. Interest rate cuts and reserve requirement ratio reductions are anticipated to be implemented as external conditions change [2][3] A-Share Market - The A-share market has maintained stable trading under the management's policy to "sustain stability and activate the capital market." The liquidity environment is gradually expanding, with a balanced investment and financing backdrop expected to yield better results in mergers, acquisitions, and the growth of the Sci-Tech Innovation Board [3] - The performance of the A-share market is expected to remain stable, supported by strong liquidity expectations. The market is likely to experience structural opportunities, with indices having conditions for a rebound as external risks are mitigated and trading becomes more active [3] - Investment opportunities in the second half of the year include sectors such as pharmaceuticals and defense driven by overseas expansion, TMT sectors benefiting from AI trends, and banking sectors supported by low interest rates and insurance capital market entry [3] Fund Research - As of June 18, 2025, the major indices in the A-share market showed mixed performance, with the Shanghai Composite Index rising by 1.11% and the ChiNext Index declining by 4.06%. The first half of 2025 saw frequent sector rotations, with technology and dividend themes alternating in performance [4][5] - Active equity funds outperformed indices, with ordinary stock funds and equity-mixed funds averaging over 5% gains. Bond funds showed slower growth, while QDII funds continued their strong performance from 2024, averaging a 10.44% increase [5][6] - By the end of Q1 2025, active equity fund positions increased compared to Q4 2024, with the highest over-allocated sectors being electronics, power equipment, food and beverage, and pharmaceuticals [6] Industry Research - The light industry and textile sectors outperformed the CSI 300 index as of June 24, 2025. The light industry saw a revenue decline of 0.78% year-on-year, while the textile sector experienced a 13.33% revenue drop [11][12] - The home appliance and electric two-wheeler sectors are expected to benefit from the deepening of the old-for-new policy, with significant growth in furniture retail sales [11][12] - The new consumption perspective highlights the emotional value and rise of domestic brands, particularly in the pet food market, which is projected to grow significantly by 2027 [12][13] - The investment strategy maintains a neutral rating for the light industry and textile sectors, with specific stocks recommended for "overweight" ratings, including Oppein Home (603833) and Sophia (002572) [13]
X @Yuyue
Yuyue· 2025-06-26 14:57
群友评论:Yu7 五分钟大定 1000 亿人民币,相当于中国 GDP 的 0.1 个百分点其实仔细看,小米 01810 从四月的关税贸易战底部到现在也有 +50%反弹不弱于以太坊多少 😂另外车圈小白也有个疑问,手机能以旧换新,为啥 SU7 不能以旧换新换 YU7 呢? https://t.co/ZNSz33e2bW ...
建行广东省分行:“贷”动湾区消费热,“惠”就民生新图景
Nan Fang Du Shi Bao· 2025-06-26 13:38
Core Viewpoint - The integration of finance and consumption in the Guangdong province, particularly in the Greater Bay Area, is driving economic vitality and enhancing consumer experiences through innovative financial products and government subsidies [2][5][6]. Group 1: Financial Initiatives - China Construction Bank (CCB) Guangdong Branch is actively increasing consumer loan offerings and has introduced the "Yangyidai" product aimed at enhancing the financial well-being of the elderly population [5][6]. - The "Yangyidai" product has already seen over 140 million yuan in loans disbursed, serving more than 550 clients, showcasing a successful model for financial institutions to engage with the aging population [6]. - CCB is also participating in local events, such as the "Dongguan Coffee Culture Festival," to promote consumer spending through credit card discounts and special offers [5]. Group 2: Consumer Support Programs - The Guangdong provincial government has implemented a "trade-in" policy to stimulate consumption, supported by financial institutions like CCB, which offers additional discounts and financing options for consumers [8][9]. - Consumers can benefit from government subsidies and bank promotions when purchasing new electric bicycles and home appliances, significantly reducing their costs [8][9]. - CCB's "CCB Yuehuanxin" campaign is designed to enhance consumer purchasing power through targeted marketing and financial support for home appliances and furniture [11]. Group 3: Innovative Financial Strategies - CCB Guangdong Branch is developing two key ecosystems focused on new energy vehicles and home renovation financing, utilizing a "circle-chain-group" strategy to tailor financial services to specific consumer needs [12][13]. - This strategy allows CCB to provide personalized financial products, enhancing customer experience and creating competitive advantages in the consumer finance market [12][13]. - The successful implementation of this model is evidenced by individual cases where clients received quick loan approvals and favorable terms, demonstrating the effectiveness of CCB's targeted approach [13].
新华财经晚报:禁止旅客携带无3C标识及被召回的充电宝乘坐境内航班
Xin Hua Cai Jing· 2025-06-26 10:10
Group 1 - The State Council issued a plan to improve the credit repair system, focusing on ten aspects for comprehensive regulation [1] - The National Development and Reform Commission announced that the third batch of funds for the consumption upgrade program will be distributed in July [2] - The Civil Aviation Administration of China prohibited passengers from carrying non-3C marked or recalled power banks on domestic flights to ensure aviation safety [2] Group 2 - The Hong Kong government released the "Hong Kong Digital Asset Development Policy Declaration 2.0," aiming to establish Hong Kong as a global innovation center in the digital asset field [3] - Several local brokers in Hong Kong have completed the upgrade of their licenses, indicating a growing interest in the digital asset market [3] Group 3 - The domestically developed Loongson 3C6000 processor was launched, matching the performance of mainstream products expected in 2023 or 2024, showcasing China's advancements in independent technology [4]
博时市场点评6月26日:沪深两市整理,成交仍在高位
Xin Lang Ji Jin· 2025-06-26 08:48
【博时市场点评6月26日】沪深两市整理,成交仍在高位 每日观点 今日沪深三大指数震荡整理,两市成交仍维持在1.6万亿以上。近日央行等六部门联合印发《关于金融 支持提振和扩大消费的指导意见》,提出推动中长期资金入市,提高居民财产性收入等内容,国内权益 市场风险偏好提升,沪指创年内新高。从近期高频数据来看,国内经济仍在弱修复当中,5月经济数据 体现出经济韧性,但需求不足、投资偏弱的情况仍然存在。当前经济短期目标压力不大的情况下,政策 层面有从短期刺激向长期支持转向的迹象。短期市场或仍维持震荡,配置上或倾向于科技+红利哑铃型 配置,主题轮动速度较快。 消息面 6月26日,国家发展改革委政策研究室副主任李超表示,将于今年7月份下达今年第三批消费品以旧换新 资金。同时,将协调有关方面,坚持更加注重持续性和均衡性原则,分领域制定落实到每个月、每一周 的国补资金使用计划,保障消费品以旧换新政策全年有序实施。 数据来源:同花顺,截至2025年6月26日。基金有风险,投资需谨慎。基金管理人承诺以诚实信用、勤 勉尽责的原则管理和运用基金资产,但不保证基金一定盈利,也不保证收益。基金的过往业绩并不预示 其未来表现。 MACD金叉信 ...
轻工制造、纺织服饰2025年半年度投资策略报告:聚焦内需视角下,关注以旧换新与新消费投资机会-20250626
BOHAI SECURITIES· 2025-06-26 08:06
Group 1: Market and Performance Review - The light industry and textile apparel sectors have outperformed the CSI 300 index, with textile apparel rising by 2.05% and light industry by 2.43% as of June 24, 2025 [21][22] - In Q1 2025, the light industry saw a revenue decline of 0.78% year-on-year, while the textile apparel sector experienced a 13.33% decline in revenue [25][29] - The light industry’s net profit decreased by 18.85% year-on-year in Q1 2025, while the textile apparel sector's net profit fell by 5.56% [25][29] Group 2: Home and Electric Two-Wheeler Industries - The home and electric two-wheeler sectors are expected to benefit from the deepening of the old-for-new policy, which is anticipated to improve demand and sales [37][44] - In the first five months of 2025, the retail sales of furniture increased by 21.40% year-on-year, significantly boosted by the old-for-new policy [43][44] - The electric two-wheeler industry faced challenges, with a projected 10.55% decline in sales for 2024, but the old-for-new policy is expected to support sales recovery [59][65] Group 3: New Consumption Trends - The "谷子" economy, driven by Z generation consumers who value emotional and self-satisfying purchases, is projected to reach a market size of 1,689 billion yuan in 2024, growing by 40.63% year-on-year [7][79] - The pet food market is expected to grow to 3,002 billion yuan by 2024, with a significant increase in consumer preference for domestic brands [97][105] - The sanitary products market is also evolving, with non-leading domestic brands showing potential for growth due to the rise of e-commerce and consumer preferences for single products [7][105]
汽车早餐 | 赛力斯汽车完成50亿元战略增资;广州市“久摇不中”直接领取号牌;6月前三周全国乘用车零售同比增长24%
Domestic News - China and Hungary signed a cooperation document to enhance collaboration in the automotive industry, focusing on autonomous driving technology and charging infrastructure [2] - Beijing will allocate 10,000 oil vehicle quotas for the car license plate lottery on June 26, with a total of 2,563,334 valid applications for family cars and 2,568,088 for personal cars [3] - Guangzhou implemented a policy allowing applicants who have not won the lottery for a long time to directly receive license plates, aiming to ease car purchase restrictions [4] - From June 1 to June 22, the national retail sales of passenger cars reached 1.269 million units, a year-on-year increase of 24%, with new energy vehicles accounting for 690,000 units sold [5] International News - In May, European car sales reached 1.11 million units, showing a year-on-year growth of 1.9%, while Tesla's new car registrations in the EU fell by 40.5% [6] Corporate News - Bosch plans to invest over €2.5 billion in artificial intelligence by the end of 2027 [9] - Nissan expects an operating loss of ¥200 billion (approximately RMB 9.9 billion) for Q2 2025, following a significant restructuring plan [10] - GAC Group applied for a patent to improve vehicle communication stability with parking lots [11] - Seres Automotive completed a strategic capital increase of RMB 5 billion, bringing in strategic investors without affecting its status as a subsidiary [12] - XPeng Motors aims for half of its sales to come from overseas markets by 2027, planning to enter over 60 countries [13] - Tesla's first grid-side energy storage project in mainland China is expected to be operational this year, with a storage capacity of 300 MWh [14] - Four-dimensional Map's SoC chip shipments have reached 90 million units, with MCU chip shipments exceeding 70 million units [15]
爱玛科技: 爱玛科技集团股份有限公司相关债券2025年跟踪评级报告
Zheng Quan Zhi Xing· 2025-06-25 17:01
Core Viewpoint - The credit rating agency has maintained a stable credit rating for Aima Technology Group Co., Ltd, reflecting its strong market position and operational performance in the electric two-wheeler industry, despite challenges from new regulations and market competition [3][4][8]. Financial Performance - Aima's total assets increased to 242.60 billion yuan in 2024 from 233.19 billion yuan in 2023, while total debt decreased to 74.43 billion yuan from 80.41 billion yuan [4][6]. - The company's operating revenue for 2024 was 216.06 billion yuan, a 2.71% increase from 210.36 billion yuan in 2023, with a net profit of 20.13 billion yuan, up from 18.96 billion yuan [6][15]. - The EBITDA for 2024 was reported at 31.66 billion yuan, indicating strong cash generation capabilities [6][7]. Market Position - Aima ranks second in the electric two-wheeler industry, with its market share narrowing the gap with the industry leader, Yadea Group [4][8]. - The company has effectively responded to the implementation of the new national standards, improving its operational efficiency metrics compared to competitors [7][23]. Production and Capacity - Aima's production capacity increased by 19.28% to 12.64 million units in 2024, although the capacity utilization rate fell to 85.44% due to rapid capacity expansion [7][21]. - The company has ongoing investments in new production bases, with significant capital expenditures planned for 2024 and beyond, totaling an estimated 80.45 billion yuan for various projects [18][19]. Industry Environment - The electric two-wheeler industry is experiencing increased concentration due to new regulations and the implementation of a vehicle replacement policy, which is expected to stimulate demand in 2025 [11][12]. - The new national standards, effective from September 2025, will require companies to enhance product quality and performance, potentially leading to further industry consolidation [13][14]. Research and Development - Aima has increased its R&D investment, with 2024 R&D expenditure amounting to 65.87 million yuan, representing 3.05% of its operating revenue, ranking second among major competitors [21][22]. - The company continues to innovate and adapt to market demands, launching new models that align with consumer preferences and regulatory requirements [21].
途虎养车获得2025汽车后市场专项政府补贴 加码“以旧换新”活动
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-06-25 13:00
Core Viewpoint - The government is intensifying subsidies for the automotive aftermarket, with Tuhu Car Service becoming the sole partner for the 2025 vehicle trade-in program in Zaoyang Economic Development Zone, Hubei [1] Group 1: Government Subsidies and Market Impact - Tuhu Car Service has engaged in a government subsidy project aimed at upgrading consumer spending in the automotive aftermarket, allowing users to enjoy dual benefits of "government subsidies + platform discounts" when purchasing products through the Tuhu app [1] - The automotive aftermarket is experiencing a surge in trade-in activities, with government subsidies driving record-high performance metrics on the Tuhu platform [1] - On June 18, Tuhu Car Service achieved sales exceeding 150 million, with international tire brand sales increasing by over 82% year-on-year, and engine oil sales ranking first nationally [1] Group 2: Service Network and Standardization - Tuhu Car Service operates over 7,000 service centers across more than 300 cities and 1,700 counties in mainland China, providing a robust network for the effective implementation of subsidies [3] - The company has established a standardized service system to ensure consistent quality and efficiency across all service centers, enhancing user experience regardless of location [3] - Tuhu's after-sales service, including lifetime warranties on tires, aims to safeguard the entire consumer experience throughout the service process [3] Group 3: Future Development - The government subsidy project is expected to further reduce vehicle maintenance costs, allowing more users to benefit from integrated online and offline automotive services, while promoting digitalization, transparency, and standardization in the automotive aftermarket [3]