Core Viewpoint - The increasing downside risks in the labor market were a key reason for the Federal Reserve's recent decision to cut interest rates [1] Group 1: Federal Reserve Actions - The Federal Reserve's recent rate cut is seen as a shift towards a "neutral" policy stance [1] - Future policy directions are not predetermined, indicating a flexible approach to economic conditions [1] Group 2: Economic Indicators - Current inflation levels remain slightly above the target, with the August core PCE inflation rate expected to be 2.3% [1] - The rise in goods prices is primarily attributed to tariff impacts rather than widespread inflationary pressures [1] Group 3: Consumer and Business Sentiment - Signs of slowing consumer spending have been observed, alongside weakened business confidence due to uncertainty [1] - The vitality of the labor market is showing signs of decline, which may further impact economic growth [1] Group 4: Future Inflation Outlook - Tariffs are expected to potentially lead to a rise in inflation over the next few quarters, although this inflation may be "relatively transient" [1] - The Federal Reserve aims to prevent one-time price increases from evolving into a persistent inflation issue [1]

鲍威尔同时指出，消费者支出已出现放缓迹象，企业信心受不确定性影响，劳动力市场活力有所减弱。他判断，关税可能会在未来几个季度导致通胀有所上 升，但关税带来的通胀可能"相对短暂"，美联储将防范一次性物价上涨演变为持续性问题。（央视记者 赵淼） 责编:李文玉 | 审核:李震 | 监审:古筝 当地时间9月23日，美联储主席鲍威尔就政策动向及经济形势表态，指出就业市场下行风险增大，是促使美联储上周采取降息行动的关键原因。 鲍威尔表示，此举是政策立场转向"中性"的一步，并强调未来政策没有预设方向。他承认当前通胀水平仍略高于目标，8月核心PCE通胀率预计为2.3%，其 中商品价格上涨主要反映了关税影响，而非广泛的通胀压力。 （来源：央视新闻） ...

当地时间9月23日，美股三大股指全线收跌。Wind数据显示，截至收盘，道琼斯工业指数跌0.19%报46292.78点，标普500指数跌0.55%报6656.92点，纳斯 达克指数跌0.95%报22573.47点。 Wind数据显示，当地时间9月23日，美股三大股指全线收跌，道琼斯工业指数跌0.19%，标普500指数跌0.55%，纳斯达克指数跌0.95%。其中，亚马逊跌超 3%，英伟达跌近3%。中概股普遍下跌，百度跌超8%，世纪互联跌近7%。 消息面上，根据央视新闻报道，当地时间9月23日，美联储主席鲍威尔就政策动向及经济形势表态称，就业市场下行风险增大，是促使美联储上周采取降 息行动的关键原因。 大型科技股集体下跌 据新华社报道，截至当地时间9月23日收盘，国际油价上涨。纽约商品交易所11月交货的轻质原油期货价格上涨1.13美元，收于每桶63.41美元，涨幅为 1.81%；11月交货的伦敦布伦特原油期货价格上涨1.06美元，收于每桶67.63美元，涨幅为1.59%。 宝城期货表示，美联储9月降息落地，多头了结告一段落，美元指数回落，金价突破前高，短期有加速上行之势。中长线上行趋势未改，短线可关注5日和 10日 ...

鲍威尔表示，此举是政策立场转向"中性"的一步，并强调未来政策没有预设方向。他承认当前通胀水平 仍略高于目标，8月核心PCE通胀率预计为2.3%，其中商品价格上涨主要反映了关税影响，而非广泛的 通胀压力。 鲍威尔同时指出，消费者支出已出现放缓迹象，企业信心受不确定性影响，劳动力市场活力有所减弱。 他判断，关税可能会在未来几个季度导致通胀有所上升，但关税带来的通胀可能"相对短暂"，美联储将 防范一次性物价上涨演变为持续性问题。（央视新闻） 当地时间9月23日，美联储主席鲍威尔就政策动向及经济形势表态，指出就业市场下行风险增大，是促 使美联储上周采取降息行动的关键原因。 ...

Chip Somodevilla / Getty Images The Fed continues to emphasize that it currently has no "risk-free" path. Key Takeaways Fed Chair Jerome Powell said the economy is pulling the central bank's policy in two different directions, as the job market weakens while inflation remains elevated. The central bank has started cutting interest rates, but could change its strategy if inflation gets worse. Two other Fed policymakers spoke Tuesday, with one advocating for gradual rate cuts and the other for more dec ...

Group 1: Gold Market Overview - Gold has experienced significant growth, with an estimated 68% increase expected by March 2025 for investments made at the beginning of 2023 [1] - Current gold prices are approximately $3,700 per ounce, reaching record highs [5] Group 2: Consumer Behavior and Market Trends - There is a rising trend of individuals and families selling or melting old jewelry to access cash due to the strong gold market [4] - The motivation for selling includes covering urgent expenses and capitalizing on the increased value of previously overlooked pieces [4] Group 3: Selling Gold Jewelry - It is advised to conduct thorough research before selling gold jewelry, as not all pieces should be melted down [5] - Items with historical or artistic value may be worth more in their original form, necessitating consultation with a reputable jeweler or appraiser [6] - The competitive nature of the gold marketplace suggests that consumers should compare offers from multiple shops and conduct online research to secure the best price [6]

Core Viewpoint - Powell emphasizes that tariffs will not drive inflation and reiterates that the future policy path will not be without risks [1] Summary by Relevant Categories - **Inflation and Tariffs** - Powell asserts that the implementation of tariffs will not lead to an increase in inflation [1] - **Policy Risks** - The future policy trajectory is highlighted as having inherent risks, indicating that the economic landscape remains uncertain [1]

Core Viewpoint - The market continues to reach record highs despite macroeconomic challenges, with expectations for volatility in Q3 but a positive outlook for AI and capital expenditure into next year [1][2]. Market Predictions - The year-end target for the market is projected at around 6,600, with a potential rise to 6,900 by mid-next year and a bull case of 7,200 [2]. - The current market level is expected to remain stable, with buying opportunities during Q3 volatility [3]. Gold Market Insights - Anticipation of a Federal Reserve easing cycle, with two more rate cuts expected by year-end and possibly two additional cuts in Q1 next year, is seen as favorable for gold [4]. - Central bank purchases of gold continue, indicating ongoing diversification amid rising geopolitical concerns and a slowing economy, which are all positive factors for gold prices [5]. Labor Market and Economic Conditions - A dual economic scenario is emerging, with significant infrastructure investment alongside a weakening labor market, projected to see unemployment rise to 4.8% by year-end [6][7]. - The Fed's easing cycle is viewed as beneficial for risk assets, despite the current elevated market levels [7]. Tariff Implications - The effective tariff rate is currently around 18%, significantly up from 2.5% at the start of the current administration, with potential increases to 20% if sectoral tariffs are implemented [8][9].

Group 1 - China and India are identified as the primary funders of the ongoing war by continuing to purchase Russian oil, while NATO countries have not significantly reduced their imports of Russian energy products [1] - The situation is described as paradoxical, where countries are funding a conflict that could ultimately affect their own interests [2] - The United States is prepared to impose strong tariffs to halt the conflict, contingent upon European nations joining in these measures [2][3] Group 2 - The effectiveness of potential tariffs relies on European nations adopting the same measures, emphasizing their geographical proximity to the conflict [3]

Group 1 - The U.S. shale oil sector saw significant gains, with Murphy Oil (MUR.US) rising by 7%, Apache Corporation (APA.US) increasing nearly 5%, and ConocoPhillips (COP.US) up over 3% [1] - WTI crude oil prices increased by over 2%, reaching $63.68 per barrel [1] Group 2 - President Trump announced that the U.S. is prepared to implement a new round of strong tariffs if Russia is unwilling to reach an agreement, and Europe must immediately stop all energy purchases from Russia [1]