贸易保护主义
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中美贸易战胜负几乎已定,人民日报向世界宣布喜报,特朗普钦点继任者
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-12 15:03
Group 1 - China's economy grew by 5.3% in the first half of the year, while the US GDP growth was only 1.25%, highlighting a significant disparity in economic performance [1][3][5] - The International Monetary Fund's data indicates that China's manufacturing and consumption are stable, contrasting with the US's slowing consumer spending and investment [3][5] - The Chinese market is described as the fastest-growing increment area globally, reflecting confidence in its economic trajectory [3][5] Group 2 - The US's tariff policy, which has led to an average tariff rate of 18.3%, has resulted in increased costs for American households, with an additional annual burden of $2,400 [5][7][10] - The tariffs are seen as a modern version of harmful economic policies, ultimately transferring costs to consumers and leading to inflationary pressures [7][10][11] - The US's trade surplus with China stands at $586 billion, overshadowing the $50 billion in tariff revenue, indicating a misalignment in trade benefits [5][9] Group 3 - The US's trade protectionism has prompted countries to seek new partnerships, diminishing its influence in global trade [15][17] - China's strategic response to the trade war includes diversifying its export markets and reducing reliance on the US, which has shown positive results in trade data [17][21] - Historical parallels are drawn between current US policies and past protectionist measures that led to economic downturns, suggesting a potential repeat of history [19][21] Group 4 - The "Belt and Road" initiative by China is gaining traction, contrasting with the US's approach, and is seen as a model of cooperative economic development [21][23] - The article emphasizes that cooperation and win-win strategies are essential for sustainable economic growth, while confrontation leads to mutual losses [21][23]
美官员:特朗普认为中国会最早投降,当中方反击时,美国已经输了
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-12 15:03
Group 1: U.S. Trade Policy and Misjudgments - The Trump administration's decision to impose tariffs on Chinese goods was based on the belief that China would quickly capitulate due to its reliance on the U.S. market, with exports to the U.S. accounting for 19% of China's total exports [3][8] - The initial tariff rate was raised from 34% to 84%, affecting over $300 billion in goods, which was framed as a key step to make America great again [3][5] - The U.S. underestimated China's economic resilience and the interconnectedness of global supply chains, leading to significant miscalculations in the trade war [7][10] Group 2: China's Economic Response - China's countermeasures included imposing equivalent tariffs on U.S. goods, which highlighted the flaws in the U.S. strategy and resulted in increased costs for American consumers [5][18] - The Chinese economy demonstrated strong resilience, with a 9.7% year-on-year growth in high-tech manufacturing and a 45.4% increase in new energy vehicle production in Q1 2025 [8][18] - China's strategic responses targeted key U.S. industries, such as agriculture and automotive, effectively pressuring U.S. companies to advocate for negotiations [15][19] Group 3: Global Economic Impact - The trade war led to job losses in the U.S., with approximately 180,000 jobs lost in the first half of 2025, predominantly in manufacturing [21] - The U.S. trade deficit actually widened to $120 billion in the first half of 2025, indicating that tariffs did not achieve their intended effect [24] - Internationally, the U.S. faced backlash, with allies like the EU imposing retaliatory tariffs, and countries like India accelerating trade talks with China [22][24] Group 4: Long-term Strategic Shifts - China's focus on reducing dependency on U.S. markets and enhancing its domestic consumption was evident, with retail sales surpassing 12 trillion yuan in Q1 2025 [18] - The establishment of trade agreements with ASEAN and advancements in technology, such as the production of 7nm chips by Huawei, showcased China's strategic pivot [17][18] - The trade war underscored a shift in global economic dynamics, where the U.S. could no longer dictate terms without considering the resilience and adaptability of other nations [26]
真当中国不会出手?美国传出重要风声,关税或猛增100%!中方:九三阅兵不必给特朗普留座
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-12 09:33
Core Viewpoint - The recent announcement by Trump regarding the consideration of additional tariffs on Chinese goods has raised significant concerns about the future of US-China trade relations [1][3]. Group 1: Trade Relations and Negotiations - Previous US-China economic talks had shown promise, with Trump initially expressing approval and hinting at a visit to China to further bilateral trade relations [3]. - However, Trump's subsequent demands for unreasonable conditions have escalated tensions, reversing the previously improving atmosphere of negotiations [3]. - The US's unilateral adjustments to tariff rates in the Japan-US trade agreement highlight a pattern of unpredictability in trade agreements, which may affect future negotiations with China [3]. Group 2: Impact of Tariff Threats - Trump's proposed tariffs would significantly disrupt the ongoing US-China trade talks, leading to increased costs for Chinese exporters and higher prices for American consumers [5]. - The interconnectedness of global supply chains means that escalating trade tensions could have far-reaching consequences, potentially destabilizing global trade and affecting economic recovery [5][7]. - The potential for economic friction to spill over into other areas of bilateral relations adds complexity to the US-China relationship [5]. Group 3: Global Economic Context - The rise of trade protectionism poses challenges to the global economy, and while competition exists between the US and China, there remains substantial room for cooperation on global issues [7]. - The US's tariff threats are seen as unilateral actions that contradict the principles of economic globalization, which emphasizes interdependence among nations [7]. - Stability in US-China trade relations is crucial not only for the two countries but also for the global economy, necessitating rational dialogue and cooperation to foster a healthier trade environment [7].
新闻分析丨产量持续下降折射英国汽车产业困局
Xin Hua Wang· 2025-08-12 05:43
虽然英美两国近期达成一项新的贸易协议,但业内人士普遍认为,这难以从根本上缓解英国汽车制 造业面临的外部压力。根据协议,每年从英国出口到美国的前10万辆汽车将按照10%的额外关税税率征 税,超过部分则按25%的额外关税税率征税。 "与原先相比,这仍是一种倒退。"贝利指出,仅捷豹路虎一家企业的出口量就可能超过10万辆的上 限。 新华社伦敦7月9日电 新闻分析|产量持续下降折射英国汽车产业困局 新华社记者赵家淞 赵小娜 英国汽车制造商与贸易商协会日前发布的数据显示,5月英国汽车总产量同比大幅下降32.8%至 49810辆,创下自1949年以来除2020年疫情年份外的同期最低水平。分析人士指出,受美国加征关税、 全球产业链动荡与投资信心不足等多重因素影响,英国汽车制造业正滑向数十年来的发展低谷。 数据显示,英国汽车总产量已经连续5个月下滑。今年前5个月,英国汽车总产量约为34.82万辆, 同比下降12.9%,为1953年以来同期最低水平。 英国伯明翰大学经济学教授戴维·贝利表示,英国汽车业正陷入"低产能危机",工厂普遍生产不饱 和、成本高企,全球竞争力持续下滑。"(全球)汽车产业正被迫重塑结构,英国在其中的位置正变得 ...
不忍了!美国持续打压,中国放下“道德包袱”,雷霆反击让西方胆寒
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-12 02:08
Core Points - The ongoing economic and geopolitical rivalry between the US and China has created significant uncertainty in the global economy, affecting ordinary citizens with high prices and economic instability [1] - The trade conflict is rooted in long-standing tensions that escalated after the Trump administration adopted a comprehensive strategy to pressure China, starting from January 2025 [2] - The US has implemented a series of tariffs and trade restrictions on Chinese goods, significantly increasing the total tariff level and impacting Chinese exports [2] - In response to US actions, China has enacted strong countermeasures, including export bans on critical materials and increased tariffs on US goods, which have disrupted US supply chains [6][10] - The trade war has led to a rise in effective tariff rates in the US, reaching the highest level since 1934, and has resulted in market volatility and negative employment data [12] Trade Policies - The US imposed a 10% tariff on all Chinese imports in March 2025, which escalated to a total tariff level of 54% by April 2025, affecting various sectors from agriculture to electronics [2] - The US further increased tariffs on Chinese goods to 104% and initiated investigations into Chinese maritime logistics and shipbuilding, targeting key industries [2] - China's countermeasures included banning exports of gallium, germanium, and other critical materials to the US, which are essential for various advanced technologies [6] Geopolitical Dynamics - The US has sought to strengthen alliances in the Indo-Pacific region to counter China's influence, criticizing China's actions in the Taiwan Strait and South China Sea [5] - Despite tensions, there remains potential for cooperation between the US and China in areas such as climate change and technology exchange, depending on the US's approach [14] Economic Impact - The trade war has resulted in an additional tax burden of approximately $1,300 per American household due to the tariffs imposed by the Trump administration [2] - The escalation of tariffs has led to increased costs for US consumers and businesses, contributing to economic instability and market downturns [12]
国际金价大跌2.80%,但多家券商机构仍看多金价预期
Huan Qiu Wang· 2025-08-12 01:37
Group 1 - The international gold price experienced a significant drop of 2.80%, settling at $3,393.7 per ounce after reaching a record high of $3,534.1 per ounce [1] - Market analysts noted limited reactions to geopolitical events, such as the upcoming video conference on Ukraine, and highlighted increased uncertainty in U.S. monetary policy due to the search for a new Federal Reserve chair [1] - Despite short-term fluctuations, several institutions remain optimistic about gold's long-term performance, citing factors like "rate cut trades" and geopolitical tensions as strong support for gold prices [1][2] Group 2 - The U.S. Customs and Border Protection has classified major gold products, including one-kilogram and 100-ounce gold bars, as import items subject to tariffs, which initially caused gold prices to spike above $3,500 per ounce [1] - The Trump administration is expected to clarify that gold bars should not be subject to tariffs, with an executive order anticipated to address misinformation regarding tariffs on gold and other specialty products [1] - China's central bank reported purchasing 1.86 tons of gold in July, marking nine consecutive months of gold purchases, which aligns with market expectations of three interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve this year, indicating potential for further increases in precious metal prices [5]
苹果正将供应链搬回美国,这边特斯拉美国供应链天塌了?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-11 12:16
Group 1: Apple's Investment and Manufacturing Strategy - Apple announced a significant investment plan, committing an additional $100 billion to the U.S., bringing its total investment commitment to $600 billion over the next four years [2][3] - The "American Manufacturing Program" (AMP) aims to localize more supply chain processes and advanced manufacturing capabilities in the U.S., enhancing Apple's investment footprint and encouraging global partners to expand production in the U.S. [2][3] - Apple plans to create 20,000 jobs in the U.S. over the next four years, focusing on R&D, chip engineering, software development, and advanced technologies like AI and machine learning [2][3] Group 2: Specific Investment Allocations - Of the additional $100 billion, $2.5 billion will be allocated to establish the world's largest smartphone glass production line in Kentucky in collaboration with Corning, enhancing iPhone durability [4] - Apple aims to establish a complete end-to-end silicon chip supply chain in the U.S., involving multiple partners for various stages of production, marking a first in the U.S. tech industry [4][6] Group 3: Supply Chain Strategy and Control - Apple's vertical integration strategy will increase its control over core components from 34% to an estimated 52%, significantly enhancing supply chain security and responsiveness [6] - Apple signed a $500 million agreement with Mountain Pass Materials to produce rare earth magnets in Texas and California, indicating a strategic move towards localizing critical raw materials [6] Group 4: Tesla's Supply Chain Crisis - Tesla faces a supply chain crisis due to long-standing issues with delayed payments to suppliers, leading to the bankruptcy of over 37 secondary suppliers [8][12] - The average payment cycle for Tesla's small and medium suppliers has extended to 97 days, far exceeding the industry standard of 45 days [8][12] - Tesla's payment delays are not due to a lack of funds, as the company reported cash reserves of $28.9 billion, indicating a potential cash flow management strategy rather than financial distress [12] Group 5: Comparative Analysis of Apple and Tesla - The contrasting approaches of Apple and Tesla highlight a shift in global supply chains from prioritizing efficiency to emphasizing security and resilience [12] - Apple's investment strategy reflects a long-term vision for supply chain collaboration, while Tesla's short-term focus on cash flow management has led to operational challenges [12]
美方换新招,威胁印度不成,掉头针对中国,万斯:正考虑对华加税
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-11 08:10
据俄媒8月10日报道,美国副总统万斯在接受美媒福克斯新闻采访时表示, 特朗普正在考虑是否对中方进口俄罗斯石油一事加征关税,但还没有作出最终决 定。 类似威胁的话语,早在中美斯德哥尔摩会谈期间,美财长贝森特就已向中方提及。当时中方态度明确,购买哪国石油是根据自身能源安全需求自主决定的, 中俄之间的合作不会受第三方干扰。此后美方消停了一阵,转而将目标对准印度。 美国近年来在国际事务中频繁挥舞"关税大棒",其背后有着复杂的政治与经济动机。在政治层面,美国试图通过这种方式巩固其全球霸权地位,对其他国家 的外交政策进行干涉。 在经济方面,美国国内部分产业面临竞争压力,通过加征关税可以在一定程度上保护本土产业,同时也希望借此改变国际贸易格局,使其更有利于美国。 此次美国考虑对中方进口俄罗斯石油加征关税,显然与美俄近期互动密切相关。 美俄之间长期存在地缘政治博弈,在乌克兰问题等诸多国际事务上矛盾不断。美国试图通过限制俄罗斯石油出口来打击俄罗斯经济,削弱其在国际舞台上的 影响力。 在将目标对准中国之前,美国首先拿印度"开刀"。连日来,美方多次在经贸问题上向印度施压。 美国总统特朗普7月30日在社交媒体上发文称,将对印度输美商 ...
不许对巴西加税!特朗普不留一条后路,50%关税生效前48小时,中方送去5年大单给巴西托底
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-11 06:22
Group 1 - The U.S. has imposed a 40% tariff on Brazilian products, raising the total tariff rate to 50%, significantly impacting Brazil's economy [1][3] - Brazil's President Lula has stated that there is no room for direct dialogue with President Trump, indicating a challenging diplomatic situation [1][3] - Approximately 35.9% of Brazilian exports to the U.S. will face a combined tariff of 50%, severely affecting key products like raw coffee beans [3][5] Group 2 - China has approved 183 Brazilian coffee companies to export to China, effective from July 30, 2025, providing crucial support to Brazil's coffee industry [3][5] - Brazil's agricultural sector is facing difficulties, with the coffee export to the U.S. being a significant concern due to the new tariffs [3][5] - The relationship between China and Brazil remains strong, with China being Brazil's largest trading partner for 15 consecutive years, and future investments from China in Brazil are projected to reach 27 billion reais [5][7] Group 3 - Brazil is seeking support from emerging economies and plans to address the tariff issue through the World Trade Organization [5][7] - The unilateral tariff actions by the U.S. are seen as damaging to global trade order and are likely to face resistance from other countries [7]
前7月销量大跌,俄罗斯三大车企计划实行4天工作制
Guan Cha Zhe Wang· 2025-08-11 06:16
Group 1 - In the first seven months of 2025, Russian passenger car sales dropped by 24% year-on-year to 646,700 units, while truck sales plummeted by 55% to 31,400 units, with a significant monthly decline of 61% in July to 4,400 units [1] - Electric vehicle sales in Russia also saw a decline of 51% year-on-year, totaling 6,106 units in the same period [1] - The luxury car market in Russia experienced a 41% drop in sales, with only 47,000 units sold in the first half of the year [1] Group 2 - KAMAZ, Russia's largest truck manufacturer, announced a four-day workweek starting August 1 due to declining market demand, a trend also followed by other major manufacturers like AvtoVAZ and GAZ [1][3] - KAMAZ attributed the sales decline to the "short-sighted policies" of domestic car importers, which led to an oversupply of vehicles [3] - Chinese automotive brands have rapidly increased their market share in Russia, reaching over 55% in recent years, with a peak of over 60% in Q3 2024, while local brands' market share fell from 47.4% in 2023 to 33.3% in 2024 [3] Group 3 - The Russian government has implemented measures to limit the expansion of Chinese cars in the market, including increased taxes on vehicles imported via Central Asia and a significant rise in recycling taxes for imported vehicles [5] - As of 2024, the Russian government has raised recycling taxes by 70%-85% for imported vehicles, with annual increases of 10%-20% [5] - The number of Chinese cars imported into Russia has significantly decreased, with only 180,000 units imported in the first half of the year, a 30% decline compared to the previous year [5] Group 4 - Russian domestic brands have increased their market share, with local electric vehicles accounting for 27% of total electric vehicle sales, up by 9 percentage points year-on-year [7] - The share of Russian and Belarusian brands in dealer contracts rose from 15.6% to 26.3% over the past year, indicating a shift in market dynamics [7] - The Russian government aims to encourage local industrial development through structural measures, including tax incentives for Chinese car manufacturers to establish production facilities in Russia [7][8]