风险控制

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在成长与风控间寻找确定性:一位“非典型成长派”基金经理的投资智慧
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-01 11:30
Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the impressive performance of the E Fund Kairong Mixed Fund (006533), managed by Liu Jianwei, which has achieved an annualized return exceeding 20% and significantly outperformed the CSI 300 Index over various time frames [1][5][10]. Fund Performance - As of Q2 2025, the total management scale of Liu Jianwei's funds reached 9.41 billion yuan [5]. - Liu Jianwei's funds have shown outstanding performance over the past six months, one year, two years, and three years, with a total return of 165.8%, outperforming the CSI 300 Index by 158.2 percentage points during the same period [5][6]. Investment Strategy - Liu Jianwei focuses on a growth style, with a significant portion of the fund's holdings in the electronics, communication, and power equipment sectors, which together account for 58.5% of the portfolio [5][6]. - The fund's stock allocation was approximately 82% at the end of 2024, with key holdings in leading companies within the electronics and communication sectors [5][6][8]. Sector Allocation - The fund's sector allocation as of the latest report is as follows: - Electronics: 30.57% - Communication: 15.21% - Power Equipment: 12.72% - Computer: 6.92% - Automotive: 3.98% - Non-ferrous Metals: 2.75% [6]. Market Insight - Liu Jianwei emphasizes the importance of understanding industry dynamics and focuses on the "1-10" growth phase of industries, where companies can benefit from rapid demand growth [8][9]. - He has successfully capitalized on opportunities in the new energy sector, particularly in lithium and cobalt resources, which saw significant price increases due to rising demand [9]. Risk Management - Liu Jianwei adopts a conservative approach to risk management, prioritizing capital preservation and controlling drawdowns, which is crucial in the high-volatility growth stock environment [11][12]. - His investment philosophy includes selecting fundamentally sound companies and ensuring that entry and exit points are aligned with reasonable valuations [14][15]. Recent Developments - In the second half of 2023, Liu Jianwei identified the potential for growth in the artificial intelligence sector and began increasing allocations to related companies, resulting in strong performance for the fund in 2024 [14][15]. - The fund's exposure to the electronics and communication sectors increased significantly from June 2023 to the end of 2023, reflecting a strategic shift in response to market conditions [14].
在成长与风控间寻找确定性:一位“非典型成长派”基金经理的投资智慧
市值风云· 2025-08-01 10:10
Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the investment performance and strategies of Liu Jianwei, a fund manager at E Fund, particularly focusing on the E Fund Kairong Mixed Fund (006533) and E Fund Kexun Mixed Fund (110029), which have achieved annualized returns exceeding 20% and 17% respectively [1][9][10]. Group 1: Fund Performance - As of Q2 2025, the total management scale of Liu Jianwei's funds reached 9.41 billion yuan, with both E Fund Kairong and E Fund Kexun achieving returns of over 1.6 times their initial investment [9][10]. - Liu Jianwei's funds have significantly outperformed the CSI 300 Index, with total returns reaching 165.8%, surpassing the index by 158.2 percentage points [10][11]. Group 2: Investment Strategy - Liu Jianwei employs a dual framework of "top-down industry analysis and bottom-up stock selection," focusing on industries with high growth potential and favorable supply-demand dynamics [17][19]. - He emphasizes investing in stocks during the "1-10" growth phase, where companies benefit from rapid demand growth, leading to high performance and potential valuation increases [17][18]. Group 3: Risk Management - Liu Jianwei prioritizes risk control, reflecting his conservative personality, which influences his investment decisions and helps mitigate volatility in growth stocks [21][28]. - His investment approach includes maintaining a diversified portfolio and ensuring that no single industry is overly exposed, allowing for sufficient margin of error [24][26].
美股投资的注意事项有哪些?
Jin Rong Jie· 2025-08-01 04:19
Market Trading Rules - The trading hours of the US stock market differ from those of the A-share market, with regular trading hours being Monday to Friday, Eastern Time, from 9:30 AM to 4:00 PM, which corresponds to 21:30 - 4:00 Beijing time during Daylight Saving Time and 22:30 - 5:00 during Standard Time [1] - The US stock market operates under a T+0 trading system, allowing investors to sell stocks on the same day they are purchased, unlike the T+1 system in the A-share market, providing greater flexibility in trading [1] - There are no price limits on stock movements in the US market, leading to potentially larger price fluctuations, which can offer high return opportunities but also come with increased risks [1] Company Analysis - Investors should conduct in-depth analysis of a company's fundamentals, including financial status such as revenue, profit, and balance sheet, as well as the industry outlook, whether it is emerging or traditional, and the competitive landscape [1] - The capability of the management team and the company's corporate culture are also critical factors in assessing a company's value and potential [1] Macroeconomic and Policy Factors - Macroeconomic data from the US, such as GDP growth, inflation rate, and unemployment rate, significantly impact the US stock market [2] - The Federal Reserve's monetary policy, including interest rate changes, and adjustments in fiscal policy can influence market liquidity and stock price fluctuations [2] - Global economic conditions and international political instability also affect the US stock market, necessitating close monitoring of domestic and international macroeconomic and policy changes [2] Risk Control - Given the high volatility of the US stock market, it is essential for investors to manage their positions carefully and avoid over-concentration in a single stock or a few stocks [2] - Diversification can help mitigate the impact of individual stock volatility on the overall investment portfolio [2] - Setting stop-loss and take-profit points is an effective strategy for controlling risks and locking in profits [2] Trading Costs - Investors need to be aware of various costs associated with trading in the US stock market, such as commission fees and stamp duties [2] - Different brokers may charge varying commission fees, so it is advisable for investors to compare brokers to minimize trading costs [2]
爆仓4次后,他用5000元做到2500万!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-07-31 01:11
Core Insights - The article narrates the dramatic trading journey of Guan Fujun, who transitioned from a novice trader to a successful one, experiencing multiple failures and recoveries in the futures market [2][6][10] Group 1: Trading Journey - Guan Fujun began his trading career in 1999 with an initial capital of 40,000 yuan, making his first trade by shorting rubber, which led to his first margin call and a significant loss [2][5] - Despite facing four major bankruptcies, including a severe loss in 2003 when he shorted soybean meal, Guan continued to pursue trading, driven by a fascination with the market [5][6] - In 2004, after a period of research and learning, he successfully turned 5,000 yuan into 25 million yuan by adhering to a strategy based on weekly trends [6][9] Group 2: Trading Philosophy - Guan's trading philosophy is centered around three key principles: 1. Weekly theory, which helps filter out short-term noise and reflects medium-term trends [9] 2. Risk control, emphasizing the importance of stop-loss orders to protect overall capital [9] 3. Integration of knowledge and action, ensuring that long-term training leads to instinctive responses in trading [10] Group 3: Challenges and Setbacks - Guan faced significant setbacks, including a disastrous shift to short-term trading that resulted in substantial losses during the cotton market surge in 2010 and 2011 [7][8] - His gambling habits led to a depletion of his wealth, with his account dwindling to a few thousand yuan at one point [8] Group 4: Recovery and Success - After a period of reflection and recovery, Guan re-entered the market with 13.8 million yuan and achieved remarkable returns, including a 70-fold increase from 3.5 million yuan to 294 million yuan between August 2021 and February 2022 [8][9]
这些年对“价值”的理解有很多变化!“安全边际之父”赛思·卡拉曼最新对话:最糟糕的日子能做到这三点,会是一种竞争优势……
聪明投资者· 2025-07-30 07:05
Core Insights - The primary need for investors hiring investment managers is to avoid mistakes and manage emotional impulses rather than solely to maximize returns [3][28] - Long-term investment success requires a unique approach, while excessive differentiation can lead to failure [3] - The concept of "margin of safety" is crucial, allowing for potential errors by purchasing assets at a sufficiently low price [3][8] - Maintaining a calm, open mindset and readiness to act during challenging times can provide a competitive advantage [3][50] Group 1: Investment Philosophy - Seth Klarman emphasizes the importance of risk control over absolute returns, noting that Baupost has only experienced five years of negative returns in its 42-year history, with a maximum drawdown of 12% [5][74] - The investment strategy focuses on constructing a portfolio that effectively protects against downside risks, including cash reserves and prioritizing high-quality debt instruments [10][72] - Klarman's approach to value investing has evolved, now considering not just tangible asset values but also the potential for value realization and market recognition [8][13] Group 2: Decision-Making Process - Baupost's investment decision-making involves multiple team members, including partners and analysts, who rigorously evaluate potential investments [34][39] - Discussions often center around risk assessment, with team members encouraged to challenge assumptions and consider potential pitfalls [41][46] - The culture at Baupost promotes open dialogue, allowing team members to express differing opinions without fear of repercussions [45][46] Group 3: Market Conditions and Opportunities - Klarman notes that the current market environment, characterized by rising interest rates, presents both challenges and opportunities, particularly in the private credit sector [66][68] - The firm is currently focusing on distressed assets and credit opportunities, with a significant portion of its portfolio allocated to these areas [62][63] - The investment strategy remains flexible, adapting to market conditions without adhering to a rigid allocation framework [61][62] Group 4: Psychological Factors in Investing - Baupost places significant emphasis on psychological factors in investment decisions, aiming to avoid panic and emotional reactions during market downturns [47][50] - Klarman believes that maintaining composure and an open mindset during adverse market conditions can lead to advantageous investment opportunities [50][52] - The firm encourages a culture of resilience, where team members are trained to recover from investment setbacks and maintain a long-term perspective [71][72]
市场情绪回暖,但金价未能获上行动能,当前风险如何控制?金银进场时机怎么选择?点击查看详细分析!
news flash· 2025-07-28 08:55
市场情绪回暖,但金价未能获上行动能,当前风险如何控制?金银进场时机怎么选择?点击查看详细分 析! 白银关注短线关口,黄金将继续被压制? 相关链接 ...
黄金,超级周短线反弹,拉高都是多头出逃的机会!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-07-28 05:54
行情疯起来有多狠,元旦节之后的黄金可以看出来;在关税消息影响下,单日暴涨100美元,暴跌100美元成了家常便饭。2021年的动力煤可以看出来,连续 逼空连续涨停到连续跌停也就一个多月的时间;最近的焦煤玻璃碳酸锂多晶硅行情也可以看出来,今天还是涨停,明天它就跌停;上午还是涨停,下午可能 就跌停了。 所以,我们经常强调风险的重要性,在这个市场行情多的是,机会多的是;我们只需要做我们看得懂的行情,能够把握得住的行情;那些看不懂的,我们认 为风险大的,跟我们没啥关系。 有三条:第一条,保住你的本金;第二条,保住你的本金;第三条是回头看前两条。 近期黄金,无论是多头还是空头,延续性都非常差,上周是最明显的,先是大涨后是暴跌。接下来短线关注3350这个区域压力,这个地方可以说是非常关 键,也可以视为黄金短期的多空分水岭;3350区域压制之下看下跌,然后看测试3330以及今天的低点区域;那如果3350区域不能压制,行情会扩大反弹幅 度,上方进一步关注3770~75区域,最大不排除去3396~3405,然后再下跌,这是我们整体的一个思路,参考制定交易策略,具体盘中我们及时跟进。 在这个市场短时间内赚钱大赚,很简单;但是,稳定 ...
【ETF大赛名列前茅】对话“多头趋势”主创彭海涛
申万宏源证券上海北京西路营业部· 2025-07-25 02:41
Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the importance of identifying and following market trends, highlighting the recent upward movement in the market since July, with increased trading activity and investor confidence [2]. Investment Philosophy - For novice ETF investors, it is crucial to establish a rational investment philosophy, which includes setting reasonable return targets based on risk tolerance, such as an annualized return of 3%-5% initially, and gradually aiming for higher returns as experience grows [7]. - A systematic investment strategy is recommended, such as regular fixed-amount investments in broad-based ETFs to mitigate timing risks and maintain discipline in execution [7]. - Diversification and position control are essential, with recommendations to allocate no more than 15% of total funds to a single ETF and keep total equity investments below 30% [7]. Risk Management Strategies - To manage risks, the article suggests employing a risk parity model to balance the risk contributions of leveraged ETFs and other assets, ensuring that leveraged ETF positions do not exceed 30% of the portfolio [8]. - Strict stop-loss measures are advised, with a recommended stop-loss threshold of 8%-10% to prevent significant losses, and the use of trailing stop-loss strategies to protect profits [8]. - Trend-following strategies are encouraged, where positions are increased in an upward trend and reduced during reversals, avoiding counter-trend actions [8]. - The core of ETF allocation should focus on balancing risk and return, allowing for effective overall risk control without significantly lowering expected returns [8]. Summary of Investment Insights - The investment philosophy can be succinctly summarized as using rules to overcome emotions and achieving compounding through discipline [9].
2025 炒贵金属交易指南:香港金盛贵金属教你快速入门
Cai Fu Zai Xian· 2025-07-24 03:27
Group 1 - The core focus of the article is on the growing interest in precious metal trading, particularly in the context of global economic uncertainty, highlighting their dual commodity and financial attributes [1] - Investors are advised to prepare adequately before engaging in precious metal trading by understanding market dynamics, selecting appropriate trading platforms, and formulating sound investment strategies [3] Group 2 - Precious metal trading is categorized into four main types: spot, futures, ETFs, and online platform trading, with a detailed operational process outlined for online trading [4] - The company Jinsheng Precious Metals is positioned as an industry benchmark, emphasizing its compliance, safety, and efficiency through a comprehensive service system [5] - Jinsheng employs SSL encryption and multi-layer firewalls for technical security, ensuring rapid order execution and supporting automated trading systems for quantitative investors [6] Group 3 - The current market trends for 2025 indicate three key characteristics: gold driven by consumption upgrades and industrial applications, silver demand surging due to the photovoltaic industry, and platinum demand increasing due to the hydrogen revolution [7] - Jinsheng Precious Metals has introduced customized physical gold services and platinum contracts to cater to diverse investor needs and leverage market opportunities [7] Group 4 - The article suggests risk control measures such as diversifying asset allocation, dynamic hedging using futures, and ensuring compliance with regulations to mitigate market volatility risks [8] - Jinsheng Precious Metals aims to create a secure and efficient trading ecosystem for both novice and experienced investors, leveraging its regulatory backing and technological innovations [8]
实盘大赛总利润显著回升
Qi Huo Ri Bao Wang· 2025-07-23 22:42
Group 1 - The national futures competition has shown a significant recovery in total profits, with a reported increase of 1.4 billion yuan on July 21 and 22 [1] - The surge in profits is driven by policy expectations, particularly in sectors like new energy, black metals, and building materials, leading to a rise in market implied volatility [1] - There is a strong positive correlation between the total profits of participants and the Wenhua Commodity Index, indicating that profits increase when commodity prices rise and decrease when they fall [1] Group 2 - Industry experts suggest that participants should avoid impulsive trading decisions and instead focus on a multi-dimensional assessment of their positions and capital allocation [2] - It is recommended that participants respect the objective facts of the initial market trends and adjust their accounts accordingly, reflecting on whether the underlying logic of long-term trends has changed [2] - Participants are advised to enhance position management and rhythm control, establishing floating stop-loss strategies to protect profit margins while being alert to further market opportunities [2]