Macro Dynamics - The Ministry of Commerce announced an anti-dumping investigation on imported pork and pork products from the EU, concluding that dumping exists and imposing tariffs ranging from 4.9% to 19.8% effective from December 17, 2025, for a period of five years [2] Employment and Labor - The Ministry of Human Resources and Social Security emphasized the importance of stabilizing employment as the primary task, aiming to enhance laborers' income and implement various measures to support employment stability [3][4] Industry Development - Guangzhou's government released a plan to build a green and low-carbon modern industrial system, targeting significant growth in six future industries and aiming to establish a modern industrial system by 2035 [5] Financial Institutions - Morgan Stanley expressed optimism about Chinese assets, predicting improved corporate earnings and a supportive policy environment for market valuation [6] - A Bank of America survey indicated a strong investor sentiment heading into the new year, with a confidence index reaching 7.4, the highest in four and a half years [7] Market Data - On December 16, the market experienced a decline, with major indices falling and a total trading volume of 1.72 trillion yuan, a decrease of 49.3 billion yuan from the previous trading day [10] - The financing balance of the two markets increased by 4.839 billion yuan, reaching a total of 24.80855 trillion yuan as of December 15 [11] - The Hong Kong Hang Seng Index fell by 1.54%, with the technology index down 1.74% on December 16 [12] Company Dynamics - XPeng Motors received a Level 3 autonomous driving road test license in Guangzhou, initiating regular testing on high-speed roads [13] - Ant Group's AI health app "Antifufu" surged to the third position on the Apple app store after its release, with over 15 million monthly active users [14] - The construction of the sixth unit of the Ningde Nuclear Power Project commenced, utilizing China's self-developed third-generation nuclear technology, expected to significantly reduce carbon emissions [15] - Century Huatong announced the cancellation of 56.1208 million repurchased shares, reducing its total share capital from 7.428 billion shares to 7.372 billion shares [16]

市场表现 今日市场呈现结构性分化。科网、半导体、医药及黄金等个股普遍走弱，而航空股表现坚挺，成为市场 少有的亮点。 有分析指出，临近年末市场观望情绪浓厚，南向资金以防守策略为主，多数机构投资者正等待明年一季 度政策"开门红"带来的布局机会。 不过部分机构仍对后市持乐观态度。广发证券最新研报指出，2025年春季躁动行情大概率不会缺席，主 要基于以下判断： 流动性环境改善：日本套息交易对市场冲击有限;港股解禁高峰期已然过去;美联储新任主席政策取向大 概率偏鸽派。 潜在上行催化剂：DeepSeek大模型技术进展有望提振市场情绪；国内互联网巨头C端应用创新可能推动 恒生科技指数基本面实质性改善。 需要特别指出的是，港股历史上的"春季躁动"行情通常发生于圣诞节前至春节前这一时段(约12月22日 至次年2月20日)，而非传统认知中的春节后至两会期间。 科技股承压 机构看好中长期价值 截至收盘，腾讯音乐-SW(01698.HK)跌3.44%、阿里巴巴-W(09988.HK)跌2.96%、网易-S(09999.HK)跌 2.37%。 智通财经12月16日讯（编辑 胡家荣）今日港股三大指数集体下跌。截至收盘，恒生指数跌1.54 ...

港股市场策略周报 2025.12.08-2025.12.14 | 分析师： | 蒋开来 | | --- | --- | | 中央编号： | BWL381 | | 联系电话： | 852-6430 1060 | | 邮箱： | jiangkl@cnzsqh.hk | 1 港股市场策略周报 - 投资要点 l 港股市场表现回顾： l 港股市场宏观环境： 2 n 本周港股三大指数先跌后涨、集体收跌，价值股、大盘股表现占优，成长股走弱。本周呈现"先防守、后修复"的V型 走势。本周恒生综指/恒生指数/恒生科技分别-0.45%/-0.42%/-0.43%。本周市场一级行业板块多数收跌，仅金融业、 资讯科技业收涨，其分别上涨0.88%、0.34%。 n 截至本周末，恒生综指的5年PE（TTM）估值分位点为83.39%，估值水平接近5年均值向上一个标准差。 n 基本面：通胀数据不及市场预期；政治局会议定调"提质增效"；中央经济工作会议强调"苦练内功应对外部挑战"。 n 资金面：美联储12月降息靴子落地，宽松预期有所升温；日本央行加息扰动全球流动性；南向资金结束29周净流入。 l 港股市场展望： n 基本面：国内经济仍处于筑底期 ...

此次全景式的活动主题安排，旨在让不同风险偏好、关注不同领域的投资者都能找到感兴趣的方向，为 投资者提供一些投资启迪与思考，更好地捕捉长期投资机遇。具体而言，本系列直播活动内容涵盖资产 配置、行业洞察和策略展望三大维度。 在资产配置方面，将围绕主动权益、债券市场、黄金资产、海外市场、养老规划、量化投资等主题，并 结合"十五五"规划、美联储降息会议、个人养老金政策三周年等热点时事进行分析解读。 在行业洞察环节，投研嘉宾将聚焦AI科技、医药、消费、新能源、军工等投资主线，深入解析行业发 展趋势，帮助投资者洞察潜在机遇。而在策略展望环节，广发基金宏观策略部总经理武幼辉博士将为投 资者带来2026年宏观经济与市场展望，为新一年的投资方向提供参考。 此外，本次直播活动特别邀请了广发基金投资管理部的账户经理团队担任主持人，与嘉宾展开深度对 话。该团队不仅拥有丰富的知识体系与专业的投研视角，还带来了许多投资者关心的市场、行业问题， 能够作为投研嘉宾和投资者之间的桥梁，为大家带来更接地气的专业内容分析。 2025的浪潮奔涌还未停歇，2026的深流已蓄势待发，新机于无声处涌动。广发基金希望通过"一马当先 盈新年"系列直播，汇聚投 ...

Core Viewpoint - Warmwa Technology is facing significant challenges in its IPO process, including financial data expiration, scrutiny from the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, and concerns over its business model and financial health [1][3][19] Financial Performance - Warmwa Technology reported a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 65.5% in revenue over the past three years, with projected revenues of RMB 9.44 billion for 2024 and RMB 4.31 billion for the first half of 2025 [3][5] - The company has accumulated a net loss of RMB 718 million from 2022 to the first half of 2025, with losses of RMB 2.23 billion, RMB 2.40 billion, RMB 1.55 billion, and RMB 998.8 million for each respective period [5][6] - Adjusted net profit turned positive in 2023 at RMB 18.5 million, with projections of RMB 57.5 million for 2024 and RMB 24.9 million for the first half of 2025, indicating a shift towards profitability [6][10] Revenue Concentration - The company relies heavily on its largest client, ZhongAn Online, which accounted for 78.7%, 61.8%, 45.2%, and 49.6% of its revenue from 2022 to the first half of 2025 [13][14] - The concentration of revenue among the top five clients was 92.3%, 82.9%, 78.9%, and 73.6% over the same period, raising concerns about client diversification [14] Technology and Competitive Risks - Warmwa Technology claims to be the largest independent AI technology company in China's insurance industry, but it relies on open-source models like Qwen2.5 and DeepSeek-V3, which may pose risks related to compliance and competition [16][17] - The company acknowledges that its bargaining power with large insurance clients is weak, which could impact its ability to maintain margins and profitability [12] Regulatory Environment - The Hong Kong Stock Exchange has indicated a tightening of IPO review processes, emphasizing the need for higher quality and compliance standards in listing applications [19] - Warmwa Technology's IPO timeline is under pressure due to the impending expiration of its financial data validity and the overall uncertainty in the IPO market [1][19]

来源：新浪基金 受海外市场扰动，港股悲观情绪蔓延，科网龙头继续磨底，重仓互联网龙头的港股互联网ETF （513770）场内价格一度下跌2%，现跌1.65%，盘中持续宽幅溢价，显示买盘资金逢低积极介入。上 交所数据显示，港股互联网ETF（513770）已连续7日吸金，合计获资金净流入5.85亿元。 港股互联网板块汇聚了一批A股稀缺的平台型科技巨头与硬科技领军者，这些企业在AI大模型、云计 算、智能硬件、半导体等关键领域已深度嵌入全球供应链，并开始从技术投入期迈入价值兑现期，或值 得重点关注。 港股互联网ETF（513770）及其联接基金（A类017125；C类017126）被动跟踪中证港股通互联网指 数，重仓阿里巴巴-W、腾讯控股、小米集团-W等互联网龙头，前10大持仓汇聚AI云计算、大模型+各 领域AI应用公司，合计占比超73%，龙头优势显著。港股互联网ETF（513770）最新规模超百亿，年 内日均成交额超6亿元，支持日内T+0交易，不受QDII额度限制，流动性佳！ 看好港股科技但又希望降低波动？也可以关注全市场首只——香港大盘30ETF（520560），自带"科技 +红利"哑铃策略，重仓股既有阿里巴巴、腾 ...

受海外市场扰动，港股悲观情绪蔓延，科网龙头继续磨底，重仓互联网龙头的港股互联网ETF （513770）场内价格一度下跌2%，现跌1.65%，盘中持续宽幅溢价，显示买盘资金逢低积极介入。上 交所数据显示，港股互联网ETF（513770）已连续7日吸金，合计获资金净流入5.85亿元。 回顾2025年港股表现，受DeepSeek超预期出圈、南向资金大手笔流入影响，港股科技引领，港股于1-3 月、7-10月走出两轮行情。临近年末，2026年行情机会受到关注。 东吴证券表示，明年港股会继续回升，主要基于以下理由： 具体方向上，机构表示继续看好AI科技。在利率宽松的背景下，有利于成长股的估值抬升；在全球科 技共振周期下，中国AI科技亦有上涨空间。如果中国AI进程超预期，出现第二"DeepSeek"时刻的话， 港股科技弹性会更大。建议选择港股独有的"独特资产"，即挑选全球产业链共振方向中能够做到关键环 节的中国企业，就能够享受到充分溢价。 港股互联网板块汇聚了一批A股稀缺的平台型科技巨头与硬科技领军者，这些企业在AI大模型、云计 算、智能硬件、半导体等关键领域已深度嵌入全球供应链，并开始从技术投入期迈入价值兑现期，或值 得 ...

Group 1 - The core view of the report indicates that Hong Kong stocks outperformed global investor expectations in 2025, with the Hang Seng Index rising by 30%, the Hang Seng Tech Index by 26.7%, and the Hang Seng China Enterprises Index by 26.2%, surpassing major global markets such as the S&P 500, DAX, and Nikkei 225 [1][8][11] - The report anticipates that Hong Kong stocks will continue to rise in 2026 due to several factors, including expected interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, a temporary easing of Sino-US relations, and synchronized monetary and fiscal policies in China [1][16][21] - The report emphasizes that the main investment themes for 2026 will be technology and cyclical sectors, with a focus on innovative pharmaceuticals, suggesting a barbell strategy for portfolio allocation to mitigate potential risks from overseas macroeconomic and political uncertainties [1][3][16] Group 2 - The report highlights that the first half of 2026 is expected to present more trading opportunities, driven by domestic and international factors, including a favorable policy environment in China and anticipated interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve [2][16] - It is noted that the cyclical sectors are likely to benefit from domestic policies aimed at reducing internal competition and improving global demand, with a focus on commodities and real estate stocks in Hong Kong [3][16] - The report also points out the potential for continued inflows of southbound capital into Hong Kong stocks, driven by a "wealth effect" as market performance improves [1][11][16]

12月11日，港股三大指数悉数飘绿，自带"科技+红利"哑铃策略的——香港大盘30ETF（520560）逆市 飘红，彰显韧性。成份股方面，百胜中国领涨超1%，美团、招商银行、中国平安、小米集团、泡泡玛 特、百济神州等个股飘红。 数据显示，香港大盘30ETF（520560）近5日连续吸金，合计金额3886万元，拉长时间来看，近20日累 计吸金7518万元，反映资金看好港股后市表现，积极运用哑铃策略进行布局！ 宏观方面，美联储如期降息25个基点，中国银河证券指出，美联储降息后，美元走弱预期会推动港元利 率中枢下行，同时还能推动外资回流，双重作用将有效改善港股的流动性，进一步带动港股整体向好。 港股科技方面，12月10日，通义千问宣布语音合成模型Qwen3-TTS迎来升级，支持多音色、多语种和多 方言。此外，有消息称，美国科技巨头Meta使用阿里千问优化其最新AI模型。在行业看来，这一动向 从侧面证实了阿里千问作为开源模型的硬核实力。 招商证券表示，AI科技赛道长期产业趋势还在，从生产率的提升、应用范围的扩大都可以看出AI技术 仍蕴含潜能，短期市场波动并不影响实体产业的投资价值。已在业绩表现上开始兑现其AI投资回报的 ...

Core Viewpoint - The Hong Kong stock market shows resilience with the Hong Kong Large Cap 30 ETF (520560) performing positively despite overall market declines, indicating investor confidence in future performance [1][3]. Group 1: Market Performance - The Hong Kong Large Cap 30 ETF (520560) has attracted a total of 38.86 million yuan in the last five days and 75.18 million yuan over the past 20 days, reflecting a positive outlook for the Hong Kong stock market [1]. - Major stocks such as Yum China, Meituan, China Merchants Bank, Ping An Insurance, Xiaomi, Pop Mart, and BeiGene have shown positive performance [1]. Group 2: AI Technology and Investment Value - The AI technology sector continues to show long-term potential, with companies that have begun to realize returns on their AI investments becoming more attractive post-adjustment in the Hong Kong tech market [3]. - The recent upgrade of the Qwen3-TTS voice synthesis model by Tongyi Qianwen and its use by Meta to optimize AI models highlights the strength of Alibaba's open-source capabilities [4]. Group 3: Dividend Trends - State-owned banks in China plan to distribute a total of 204.657 billion yuan in mid-year dividends for 2025, indicating a trend of increasing quantity, faster pace, and stable strength in dividend payouts [3]. - The number of banks implementing mid-year dividends is increasing, with many maintaining stable dividend rates and some enhancing their payout ratios, reflecting the robust dividend value of the banking sector [3]. Group 4: Investment Strategy - The recommendation for a "barbell strategy" suggests a combination of stable value assets and growth-oriented assets in the Hong Kong market, indicating a solid industrial logic amidst market fluctuations [3]. - The Hong Kong Large Cap 30 ETF (520560) is highlighted as an ideal long-term investment tool, combining high-growth tech stocks with stable, high-dividend stocks [5].