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邀请函|“新潮涌动,消费争荣”国泰海通新消费论坛
国泰海通证券研究· 2025-06-17 15:09
本订阅号所载内容仅面向国泰海通证券研究服务签约客户。因本资料暂时无法设置访问限制,根据《证 券期货投资者适当性管理办法》的要求,若您并非国泰海通证券研究服务签约客户,为保证服务质量、 控制投资风险,还请取消关注,请勿订阅、接收或使用本订阅号中的任何信息。我们对由此给您造成的 不便表示诚挚歉意,非常感谢您的理解与配合!如有任何疑问,敬请按照文末联系方式与我们联系。 法律声明 更多国泰海通研究和服务 亦可联系对口销售获取 重要提醒 ...
国泰海通 · 晨报0618|策略、机械
国泰海通证券研究· 2025-06-17 15:09
每周一景: 湖南永州九嶷山风景名胜区 点击右上角菜单,收听朗读版 【 策略】 中国股市十大投资 主题: 前沿技术篇 十大投资主题展望:主题开路作先锋,看好中国"转型牛"。 在遍历冲击后,投资人对经济形势的认识已然充分,中国股市预期和估值的主要矛盾已经发生转 变,可以看到: 1 )新技术趋势和商业模式开始涌现; 2 )投资股票的机会成本降低,无风险利率下降增量入市; 3 )经济政策更及时、得当与合理,资本 市场改革更重视投资者回报,投资人对风险的认识与保守态度同步转向积极。因此,贴现率下降不仅是中国股市上升的关键动力,也为主题投资创造有利土 壤,产业性主题和交易性主题均将获得机会。本文以聚焦前沿技术、先进制造、格局改善三大方向共计十大主题,讨论 2025H2 投资机会。 主题一: AI 与具身智能。 1 )人工智能具备产业趋势投资的所有重要特征,投资路径有望遵循"信息基建建设"、"基础软件部署"、"线上应用爆发"、"重塑线 下行业"的规律, AI 智能体成为 AI 应用商业化的关键催化,且有望拉升算力需求曲线。看好具备资本开支与用户入口优势的互联网大厂;受益算力需求曲线 提升的 AIDC 和国产算力产业链。 2 ...
利好!外资大举增持!
证券时报· 2025-06-17 11:40
外资增持境内股票较上月进一步增加。 6月17日,国家外汇管理局最新统计数据显示,2025年5月,银行结汇13861亿元人民币,售汇13051亿元人 民币。2025年1—5月,银行累计结汇67235亿元人民币,累计售汇70867亿元人民币。 2025年5月,银行代客涉外收入44800亿元人民币,对外付款42426亿元人民币。2025年1—5月,银行代客累 计涉外收入230862 亿元人民币,累计对外付款223540亿元人民币。 国家外汇管理局副局长、新闻发言人李斌表示,5月份,境内外汇供求总体平衡,外汇市场运行平稳。一是跨 境资金延续净流入。5月份企业、个人等非银行部门跨境资金净流入330亿美元。其中,货物贸易资金净流入 保持在较高水平,外资增持境内股票较上月进一步增加,服务贸易、外商投资企业分红派息、对外直接投资等 资金净流出总体保持稳定。二是市场预期平稳。5月份银行结售汇转为顺差。企业、个人等结汇意愿稳定,购 汇需求回落,市场交易理性有序。当前我国经济保持总体平稳、稳中有进发展态势,将继续为外汇市场稳健运 行提供有力支撑。 值得一提的是,多家外资机构看多中国市场。 摩根士丹利近日发布报告称,目前全球投资者对 ...
港股新消费熄火,“三姐妹”迎强降温,狂热行情暂歇?
Ge Long Hui· 2025-06-17 10:40
Core Viewpoint - The Hong Kong stock market's new consumption sector is experiencing a cooling period after a previous surge, with significant declines in the stock prices of key players in this sector. Group 1: Market Performance - The "new consumption trio" consisting of Lao Pu Gold, Pop Mart, and Mixue Group saw their stock prices drop significantly, with declines of 6.67%, 6.04%, and 5.85% respectively [2][3]. - Other companies in the sector, such as Bruker and Juzhibio, also faced declines, with Bruker dropping over 7% and Juzhibio nearly 5% [3][4]. - Year-to-date, Lao Pu Gold has increased by over 276%, Pop Mart by over 191%, and Mixue Group by over 158%, with a combined market capitalization exceeding 690 billion HKD [11][12]. Group 2: Market Dynamics - The new consumption sector experienced a strong rally earlier this year, with a reported increase of over 55% from April 7 to June 11, significantly outperforming internet giants during the same period [9]. - The influx of capital from southbound funds into the new consumption sector amounted to 18.325 billion HKD, marking it as a crucial source of incremental funding [9]. Group 3: Market Sentiment and Analysis - Analysts have raised concerns about the overheated nature of the new consumption market, suggesting that stock prices may be inflated beyond reasonable valuations [15][16]. - Factors contributing to the rise of new consumption include changing demographics, particularly the spending power of Generation Z, and a shift towards more frequent, smaller discretionary purchases due to slower income growth [15]. - Some analysts believe that the current market for innovative drugs and new consumption may have reached a peak, indicating potential volatility or adjustments ahead [17][18].
南京熊猫电子,一度大涨超56%
中国基金报· 2025-06-17 10:19
【导读】南京熊猫电子股份一度狂飙超 56%, 引领脑机接口概念股逆市大涨 中国基金报记者 郭玟君 6 月 17 日,香港三大股指齐跌。恒生指数收盘跌 0.34% ,恒生科技指数跌 0.15% ,恒生 中国企业指数跌 0.4% 。全日大市成交额为 2021 亿港元,较前一交易日有所回落。南向资 金净买入额为 63.02 亿港元。 周大福跌 7.29% ,石药集团跌 6.40% ,中国生物制药跌 5.30% ,领跌蓝筹。 | 序号 | 名称 | 代码 | 现价 | | 涨跌幅 ^ | 成交额 | 年初至今 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 1 | 周大福 | 1929 | 12.720 c | -1.000 | -7.29% | 10.95亿 | 89.00% | | 2 | 石药集团 | 1093 | 8.190 c | -0.560 | -6.40% | 28.11亿 | 73.56% | | 3 | 中国生物制药 | 1177 | 5.000 c | -0.280 | -5.30% | 11.45亿 | 57.39% | | 4 | ...
刚刚!大跳水
中国基金报· 2025-06-17 08:04
【导读】市场震荡,创新药、新消费板块,集体跳水! 中国基金报记者 泰勒 今天的市场,略微震荡,三大指数集体收跌,一起看看发生了什么事情。 6月17日,市场全天窄幅震荡,三大指数小幅下跌。截至 收盘,沪指跌0.04%,深成指跌0.12%,创业板指跌0.36%。 市场共2250只个股上涨,61只个股涨停,2921只个股下跌。 | 880005 涨跌家数 | | | --- | --- | | 其中 涨停 | 61 | | 涨幅 > 7% | 80 | | 涨幅 5-7% | 64 | | 涨幅 3-5% | 182 | | 涨幅 0-3% | 1924 | | 跌幅 0-3% | 2616 | | 跌幅 3-5% | 681 | | 跌幅 5-7% | 67 | | 跌幅 > 7% | ਕਰ | | 其中 跌停 | 9 | | 上涨家数 | 2250 | | 下跌家数 | 2921 | | 平盘停牌 | 247 | | 总品种数 | 5418 | | 总成交额 | 12371.36亿 | | 总成交量 | 100014.4/ל | | 涨家增减 | -459 | | 涨家增幅 | -16.94% | | 指数量比 ...
中信建投首席经济学家黄文涛:要加速构建国内统一大市场
news flash· 2025-06-17 07:27
Group 1 - The core viewpoint emphasizes the need to accelerate the construction of a unified domestic market in China, focusing on addressing consumption and income issues [1] - The company suggests increasing policy efforts on "investing in people" to enhance human capital [1] - It is important to maintain confidence and leverage policy space advantages effectively [1] Group 2 - In terms of asset allocation, the recommendation is to continue using dividend assets as the core holding [1] - The company advises actively exploring new sectors, particularly in new consumption, humanoid robots, artificial intelligence, and innovative pharmaceuticals [1]
A股弱势震荡,三大股指低收:创新药、IP经济方向深度回调
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-06-17 07:20
A股三大股指6月17日开盘涨跌互现。早盘短暂冲高后快速下挫,午前跌幅虽有缩小。午后短暂回暖后 继续震荡下行,尾盘回暖跌幅收窄。 从盘面上看,创新药、IP经济方向深度回调,黄金、AI应用、稀土永磁、算力题材走弱;稳定币概念股 持续发酵,油气、海运、脑机接口、固态电池题材活跃。 至收盘,上证综指跌0.04%,报3387.4点;科创50指数跌0.8%,报963.08点;深证成指跌0.12%,报 10151.43点;创业板指跌0.36%,报2049.94点。 Wind统计显示,两市及北交所共2250只股票上涨,2916只股票下跌,平盘有247只股票。 沪深两市成交总额12072亿元,较前一交易日的12151亿元减少79亿元。其中,沪市成交4580亿元,比上 一交易日4816亿元减少236亿元,深市成交7492亿元。 医药生物冲高后大幅下挫领跌两市,科兴制药(688136)、一品红(300723)、白洋医药(301015)、 华纳药厂(688799)、信立泰(002294)等跌超9%。 传媒股继续下挫,川网传媒(300987)、冰川网络(300533)、奥飞娱乐(002292)、星辉娱乐 (300043)、姚记科技(0 ...
行业点评报告:5月社零增速稳步上行,内需动力进一步修复
KAIYUAN SECURITIES· 2025-06-17 06:21
食品饮料 2025 年 06 月 17 日 投资评级:看好(维持) 行业走势图 数据来源:聚源 -29% -19% -10% 0% 10% 19% 29% 2024-06 2024-10 2025-02 食品饮料 沪深300 相关研究报告 5 月社零增速稳步上行,内需动力进一步修复 ——行业点评报告 张宇光(分析师) 张恒玮(分析师) zhangyuguang@kysec.cn 证书编号:S0790520030003 zhanghengwei@kysec.cn 证书编号:S0790122020008 投资建议:社零数据增速好于预期,消费需求保持温和复苏 2025 年 5 月社零数据增速环比回升,主要系"618"活动提前开启及"以旧换新" 政策效果持续。展望 2025 年随着促经济政策落地,中长期来看宏观经济环境将 呈现改善趋势,居民收入和消费意愿有望改善,食品饮料板块有望受益。细分板 块看,白酒行业目前仍处于逐步筑底阶段,后续随着估值低位和股息率提升,白 酒作为低配板块有望迎来资金关注。大众品板块建议积极关注新消费板块标的, 一方面看好具有新渠道、新品类或新市场扩张的逻辑,主要是零食以及部分小食 品公司为主, ...
机构称科技仍将是中长期配置主线,聚焦政策提振下的大消费板块
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-06-17 06:12
Group 1 - The Hong Kong stock market indices experienced a decline, with the Hang Seng Index down 0.13% to 24028.83 points, the Hang Seng Tech Index down 0.06%, and the State-Owned Enterprises Index down 0.23% [1] - The 618 shopping festival coinciding with the national subsidy policy for replacing old products is expected to boost consumer demand for durable goods, including digital products, home appliances, and even automobiles [1] - The demand for durable consumer goods is anticipated to bring prosperity to related industries and provide strong support for the expansion of the domestic market [1] Group 2 - China Galaxy Securities suggests that the A-share market is likely to maintain a volatile trend in the short term, focusing on structural opportunities [1] - Three main lines of opportunity are identified: first, assets with high safety margins, characterized by low valuations and high dividends; second, technology as a long-term allocation focus; third, the consumer sector boosted by policy support [1] - The old-for-new policy is showing effects, with new consumption potential continuously released under the reconstruction of consumer behavior and deep technological empowerment [1] Group 3 - The Hong Kong consumption ETF (513230) combines e-commerce and new consumption, covering relatively scarce new consumption sectors compared to A-shares [2] - The Hang Seng Tech Index ETF (513180) includes both software and hardware technology, encompassing relatively scarce technology leaders compared to A-shares [2]