Market Performance - On January 20, the three major indices collectively closed lower, with the Shanghai Composite Index down 0.01%, the Shenzhen Component down 0.97%, and the ChiNext Index down 1.79%[3] - The total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets reached 28,044 billion, an increase of 720 billion compared to Monday, indicating strong market support[1] Policy and Economic Outlook - The National Development and Reform Commission (NDRC) plans to formulate a strategy for expanding domestic demand from 2026 to 2030, aiming to create new demand through new supply[1] - The NDRC announced a more proactive fiscal policy and moderately loose monetary policy to promote price recovery, with a focus on the interaction between economic growth and price increases[5] Industry Trends - The sectors with the highest inflow of main funds on January 20 were power, infrastructure, and chemical products, while the sectors with the highest outflow were communication equipment, batteries, and military electronics[4] - The NDRC is planning to promote significant projects in high-tech industries during the 14th Five-Year Plan period, with the digital economy expected to reach 49 trillion yuan by 2025, accounting for approximately 35% of GDP[7] Consumer Policies - The personal consumption loan interest subsidy policy has been extended until the end of 2026, allowing eligible residents to enjoy interest subsidies on qualifying consumption during this period[9] - A national unified subsidy standard for vehicle scrapping and replacement will be implemented, optimizing fund allocation based on consumption potential and policy execution[8] Investment Initiatives - A special guarantee plan for private investment has been announced, with a scale of 500 billion yuan, aimed at supporting loans for small and micro enterprises[12] - The NDRC is studying the establishment of a national-level merger fund to enhance government investment and fund layout planning[14]

Macroeconomic Group - The Ministry of Finance announced a fiscal deficit rate of around 4% for 2025, with new government debt expected to reach 11.86 trillion yuan, an increase of 290 billion yuan from the previous year [4] - In 2026, measures will include the continuation of long-term special bonds for infrastructure and new projects, as well as optimizing personal consumption loan policies to lower credit costs for residents and service industry operators [4] - A national-level merger fund is being considered to address "involution" competition and promote a unified national market [5] Industry Comprehensive Group - Japan's Resonac announced a price increase of over 30% for all series of copper-clad laminates and adhesive films starting March 1, 2026, due to tight supply and rising costs [7] - Domestic companies like Dongwei Technology and Chipbond Microelectronics reported over 10-fold growth in Q4 2025, indicating a sustained high demand in the PCB industry [7] - Tongfu Microelectronics expects a net profit of 1.1 to 1.35 billion yuan for 2025, a year-on-year increase of 62.34% to 99.24%, driven by improved capacity utilization and management [8] Advanced Manufacturing Group - Inverter exports reached 839 million USD in December 2025, a year-on-year increase of 26%, with significant contributions from Europe and Africa [10] - The growth in inverter demand is linked to the need for grid stability and flexibility, particularly in regions with high renewable energy penetration [10] Consumer Group - The Ministry of Finance extended tax benefits for community services such as elderly care and childcare from January 1, 2026, to December 31, 2027, which will lower tax burdens for compliant operators [12] - China Duty Free Group plans to acquire DFS's Greater China business for up to 395 million USD, enhancing its brand resources and procurement power in the luxury goods sector [13]

Group 1 - The Chinese government is planning to promote significant projects in high-tech industries, indicating a favorable signal for mergers and acquisitions (M&A) [1] - The National Development and Reform Commission (NDRC) aims to establish a national-level M&A fund to enhance government investment and support innovation and entrepreneurship [1][2] - The number and average scale of newly established M&A funds are expected to significantly increase by 2025, marking a key sign of structural adjustment in China's private equity investment market [1] Group 2 - In 2025, 305 listed companies participated in the establishment of 321 industry M&A funds, with a total funding scale of approximately 297.51 billion yuan, showing a notable increase from 2024 [2] - Newly established M&A funds are highly concentrated in strategic sectors such as advanced manufacturing, healthcare, artificial intelligence, automotive, new materials, and semiconductors, indicating their role in implementing national industrial policies [2] - The increase in fund numbers and participation in emerging sectors like aerospace and low-altitude economy reflects a critical phase of professional and systematic integration in the technology industry [2] Group 3 - M&A funds are positioned as key vehicles for promoting industrial upgrades and are tasked with integrating local industrial chain resources [3] - The market is focusing on building a new exit ecosystem centered around M&A due to tightening IPO exit channels and increasing demand for revitalizing existing assets [3] - The year 2025 is anticipated to be a significant year for the rise of a new wave of M&A funds, further validating their role as a hub connecting capital and industry [3]

| | | | | 申银万国期货研究所 唐广华（从业资格号：F3010997；交易咨询号：Z0011162） | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | | | tanggh@sywgqh.com.cn 021-50586292 | | | | | | | | | TS2603 | TS2606 | TF2603 | TF2606 | T2603 | T2606 | TL2603 | TL2606 | | | 昨日收盘价 | 102.444 | 102.470 | 105.875 | 105.880 | 108.180 | 108.105 | 111.49 | 111.6 | | | 前日收盘价 | 102.400 | 102.428 | 105.785 | 105.815 | 108.040 | 107.980 | 110.92 | 111.03 | | | 涨跌 | 0.044 | 0.042 | 0.090 | 0.065 | 0.140 | 0.125 | 0.570 | 0.570 | ...

021-60635736 期货从业资格号：F3033782 投资咨询证书号：Z0014484 021-60635735 niejiayi@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F03124070 021-60635727 期货从业资格号：F03134307 报告类型 铁矿石日评 日期 2026 年 1 月 21 日 黑色金属研究团队 研究员：翟贺攀 zhaihepan@ccb.ccbfutures.com 研究员：聂嘉怡 研究员：冯泽仁 fengzeren@ccb.ccbfutures.com 请阅读正文后的声明 ＃summary＃ 每日报告 | | | | | | 表1：1月20日钢材、铁矿期货主力合约价格、成交及持仓情况（单位：元/吨、%、手、亿元） | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 合约 代码 | 前收 盘价 | 开盘价 | 最高价 | 最低价 | 收盘价 | 涨跌幅 | 成交量 | 持仓量 | 持仓量 变化 | 资金流 入流出 | | RB2605 | 31 ...

格林大华期货研究院 证监许可【2011】1288 号 2026 年 1 月 21 日星期三 研究员： 纪晓云 从业资格： F3066027 交易咨询资格：Z0011402 联系方式：010-56711796 Morning session notice 早盘提示 更多精彩内容请关注格林大华期货官方微信 重要事项: 本报告中的信息均源于公开资料，格林大华期货研究院对信息的准确性及完备性不作任何保 证，也不保证所包含的信息和建议不会发生任何变更。我们力求报告内容的客观、公正，但 文中的观点、结论和建议仅供参考，报告中的信息和意见并不构成所述期货合约的买卖出价 和征价，投资者据此作出的任何投资决策与本公司和作者无关，格林大华期货有限公司不承 担因根据本报告操作而导致的损失，敬请投资者注意可能存在的交易风险。本报告版权仅为 格林大华期货研究院所有 任何机构和个人不得以任何形式翻版 如引用、转载、刊发，须注明出处为格林大华期货有限公司。 | | | | | | | 铁矿: 【行情复盘】 周二铁矿夜盘收涨。 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | | 【重要资讯】 | | | | | 1、国家 ...

谋划推进一批"十五五"时期高技术产业标志性引领性重大工程；研究制定出台2026年至2030年扩大内需 战略实施方案；研究设立国家级并购基金；研究制定稳岗扩容提质行动和城乡居民增收计划；继续实施 消费品以旧换新政策……1月20日，国家发展改革委有关负责人在国新办新闻发布会上介绍了一揽子新 政。 国家统计局近日发布的2025年经济社会发展统计数据，充分彰显了我国经济基础稳、优势多、韧性强、 潜能大的主要特征。 国家发展改革委国民经济综合司司长周陈表示，展望2026年，我国经济结构将持续向"优"、发展动能持 续向"新"、整体发展态势持续向"好"，新质生产力稳步发展，消费与投资、科技与产业、城乡与区域都 将释放出巨大的发展潜能。 从点上看，新技术新产品新场景蔚然成势。周陈表示，去年实施的"人工智能+"行动，正在为我国海量 的场景优势赋能增效，人工智能加速从数字世界走向物理世界，从说话变成做事，将带动高端制造、新 兴消费、新业态新模式爆发式增长。从2025年的数据看，高技术制造业增加值占规模以上工业的比重已 经超过17%，目前国家发展改革委正在谋划推进一批"十五五"时期高技术产业标志性引领性重大工程。 2025年中央经 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the announcement of the "Two New Policies" for 2026, focusing on optimizing fund allocation for consumer goods trade-in programs [1] - The plan includes implementing a unified subsidy standard nationwide for automobile scrapping and replacement, as well as for six categories of home appliances and four categories of digital and smart products [1] - The establishment of a national-level merger and acquisition fund is under consideration, along with the development of regulations for a unified national market [1] Group 2 - The article mentions the formulation of a strategic implementation plan for expanding domestic demand from 2026 to 2030 [1] - It also discusses the planning and promotion of significant engineering projects in high-tech industries during the "14th Five-Year Plan" period [1]

1月20日上午10时，国务院新闻办公室举行新闻发布会，国家发展改革委相关负责人介绍落实中央经济工作会议精神，推动"十五五"实现良好开局有关情 况，并答记者问。会上介绍，研究设立国家级并购基金，加强重点行业价格监管，在全国范围内执行统一的"两新"补贴标准……戳图！一组关键词看如何助 力2026中国经济开好局、起好步！ s well and HITLERS T IIIIiiiii ring to b ..... unning .......... HIDMINI unning REFEREEEEE REEEEEEEEE mmmmm mmuni *********** ..... ISTERES 0.01 et (1188888) 000000 B E 9 t I PP 13 ct Friday 0 0 18 DI I I r 【】【 12 6 m 98 uni 【ST】【CHELECTER BY CHANT CHER 136 = 6 = ( = ( fi RE ur u II 111 កុត unn in 2 711 811 11 s 114 n ! tu as B == CA F I u w ntidi 12 ...

Core Insights - The report highlights the acceleration of AI application commercialization, particularly through Google's Gemini business, which is expected to benefit related stocks such as Zhonggong Education and Jiuqi Software [5] - The next-generation data center power supply solutions are emerging as a new competitive arena in the capital market, with relevant stocks including Xinte Electric and Teruid [5] - OpenAI is set to launch its first device this year, indicating significant investment opportunities in AI edge innovation, with related stocks being Yingtong Communications and Lingyi Zhizao [5] Macro News Summary - The National Development and Reform Commission is planning to formulate an implementation plan for the expansion of domestic demand strategy from 2026 to 2030 [4] - The Ministry of Finance and other departments are implementing a special guarantee plan for private investment with a quota of 500 billion [4] - The Ministry of Finance has extended the fiscal interest subsidy policy for personal consumption loans until the end of 2026 [4] Industry Dynamics - Qianjiang Water Conservancy's core water supply technology has been included in the Ministry of Water Resources' key promotion directory, supporting rural revitalization and water security [6] - Artis has successfully defended its overseas intellectual property rights and is continuing its business restructuring in the U.S. [6] - Zhongwei Semiconductor is set to launch low-power storage chips, indicating a structural market trend in the semiconductor sector [6] - Weifu High-Tech's subsidiary has achieved mass production of the sixth-generation millimeter-wave radar products in collaboration with Bosch [6] Market Review and Outlook - On January 20, the three major indices collectively declined, with the ChiNext Index dropping over 2%. The total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets was 2.78 trillion, an increase of 69.4 billion from the previous trading day [7] - The chemical sector saw a surge, with over ten constituent stocks hitting the daily limit, while sectors like computing hardware and commercial aerospace faced significant declines [7] - The report suggests that after considerable market fluctuations, short-term risks have been somewhat alleviated, and the market may stabilize with a shift towards performance-based trends as the earnings forecast period approaches [7] - The report maintains a judgment that the short-term market should follow trends and actively seize the buying window from mid-December 2025 to early March 2026, with a focus on performance fundamentals [7]