Report Overview - Report name: Weekly Report on Capital Flows of Exchange-Traded Index Funds - Data date: May 26 - May 30, 2025 - Report date: June 3, 2025 - Analyst: Jin Ling - Analyst's certificate number: S1070521040001 [1] 1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the content 2. Report's Core View - Not explicitly stated in the given content 3. Summary by Related Catalogs Domestic Passive Stock Funds - Different concepts have varying fund scales, weekly price changes, and net weekly capital inflows. For example, the Shanghai - Shenzhen 300 has a large fund scale of 9834.49 billion yuan, a weekly decline of 0.81%, and a net weekly capital inflow of 22.15 billion yuan; the ChiNext Index has a scale of 1264.48 billion yuan, a weekly decline of 1.00%, and a net weekly capital inflow of 12.57 billion yuan [4]. Overseas - Related Index Funds - Overseas indexes also show different performance. The Nasdaq 100 has a fund scale of 784.21 billion yuan, a weekly increase of 1.18%, and a net weekly capital outflow of 0.55 billion yuan; the Hong Kong Stock Technology concept has a scale of 926.09 billion yuan, a weekly decline of 1.45%, and a net weekly capital inflow of 0.28 billion yuan [5]. Other Types of Index Funds - Bond funds: Different maturities and types of bonds have different performance. For example, 30 - year bonds have a scale of 89.69 billion yuan, a weekly decline of 0.32%, and a net weekly capital inflow of 8.64 billion yuan; 5 - year - below bonds have a scale of 227.25 billion yuan, a weekly increase of 0.02%, and a net weekly capital outflow of 16.65 billion yuan. - Commodity funds: Gold funds have a scale of 708.87 billion yuan, a weekly decline of 1.11%, and a net weekly capital outflow of 0.95 billion yuan. - Index - enhanced funds: Different indexes also show different performance. For example, the CSI 1000 index - enhanced fund has a scale of 6.56 billion yuan, a weekly increase of 0.87%, and a net weekly capital inflow of 0.18 billion yuan [6].

其他值得看 他谈到了价值投资的恒久原则，还谈到对外贸易、特朗普、比亚迪、马斯克……充满了普世的胸怀和理 性开放的心态，也有令人叫绝的精准预见。 点击阅读： 芒格谈价值投资、比亚迪、特朗普和马斯克，超精彩的21分钟（2019年） 本周 推荐阅读 1、 巨头Baillie Gifford旗舰基金掌舵人的年度信：在不确定环境中，韧性并不是次要美德，而是长期 成功的核心…… 2019年2月14日，查理·芒格在每日期刊年度股东会结束后，接受了雅虎财经主编安迪·瑟沃（Andy Serwer）的简短采访。 2、 最近卖光美股！82岁吉姆·罗杰斯：我现在坐拥大量现金，策略上和巴菲特完全一样 时隔6年回头看这场针对时事话题的访谈，芒格总能用他标志性的机智与智慧，将讨论带回那些超越时 间的洞见。 太值得回味了！enjoy it～～ 4、 稳健工具箱里的自由现金流和红利，究竟该如何选择？ 看完记得 点击视频右下角头像 ， 关注【聪明投资者视频号】 ，带你看投资智慧的浓缩精华。 转载开白， 请联系小编微信【fanxiaocom】，添加备注 "转载+新媒体名+姓名" ，按顺序邀请加入媒体转载群 商务合作， 请添加聪明牛牛【微信cong ...

| 全A | 涨 1116 | 平 134 | 跌 4158 A股成 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 序号 代码 | 名称 | 现价 | 涨跌 涨跌幅 | | 1 | 000001 上证指数 | 3347.49 c | -15.96 -0.47% | | 2 | 399001 深证成指 | 10040.63c | -86.58 -0.85% | | 3 | 899050 北证50 | 1408.69 c | -7.16 -0.51% | | 4 | 881001 万得全A | 5074.29 c | -42.21 -0.83% | | 5 | 000688 889000 | 977.03 c | -9.28 -0.94% | | 6 | 399006 创业板指 | 1993.19c | -19.36 -0.96% | | 1 | 000300 沪深300 | 3840.23 c | -18.47 -0.48% | 沪深两市全天成交额1.14万亿，个股跌多涨少，全市场超4100只个股下跌。 盘面上看，猪肉股全天强势，创新药、银行等板块涨幅居前；可控核聚变、机器人、无人驾驶等板块跌幅 ...

5月30日，截至收盘，沪指跌0.47%，深成指跌0.85%，创业板指跌0.96%。 | 全A | 涨 1116 | 平 134 | 跌 4158 A股成 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 序号 代码 | 名称 | 现价 | 涨跌 涨跌幅 | | 1 | 000001 上证指数 | 3347.49 c | -15.96 -0.47% | | 2 | 399001 深证成指 | 10040.63c | -86.58 -0.85% | | 3 | 899050 北证50 | 1408.69 c | -7.16 -0.51% | | 4 | 881001 万得全A | 5074.29 c | -42.21 -0.83% | | 5 | 000688 889000 | 977.03 c | -9.28 -0.94% | | 6 | 399006 创业板指 | 1993.19 c | -19.36 -0.96% | | 7 | 000300 沪深300 | 3840.23 c | -18.47 -0.48% | 沪深两市全天成交额1.14万亿，个股跌多涨少，全市场超4100只个股下跌。 盘面上看 ...

Market Performance - The Sci-Tech 50 Index decreased by 1.47% over the last five trading days, while the ChiNext Index fell by 0.88%. In contrast, the large-cap value stocks rose by 0.48%, and the large-cap growth stocks declined by 0.40% [1] - The medical and biological sectors performed well, while the computer and machinery equipment sectors lagged behind [1] Risk Premium Analysis - The static PE of the CSI All Share Index minus the yield of 10-year government bonds indicates a risk premium. Historical extreme bottoms have shown this data to be at two standard deviations above the mean, with recent peaks at 4.17% on April 26, 2022, and 4.11% on January 19, 2024. As of May 23, 2025, the indicator stands at 3.84%, with the two standard deviation boundary at 4.76% [1] Valuation Levels - As of May 23, 2025, the CSI All Share Index's TTM PE is at the 51st percentile, with the SSE 50 and CSI 300 at 62% and 49%, respectively. The ChiNext Index is close to 11%, indicating a relatively low valuation level compared to historical averages [2] Long-term Market Trends - The Shenzhen 100 Index has experienced bear markets approximately every three years, followed by bull markets. The current adjustment, which began in Q1 2021, has shown sufficient time and space for a potential upward cycle [2] Fund Flow and Trading Activity - In the last five trading days, ETF funds saw an outflow of 24 billion yuan, while margin financing decreased by approximately 20 million yuan. The average daily trading volume across both markets was 1.1376 trillion yuan [3] AI and Machine Learning Applications - A convolutional neural network (CNN) has been utilized to model price and volume data, mapping learned features to industry themes. The latest focus is on sectors such as banking and dividends [2][10]

华泰证券研报表示，大势上，结合信用周期指引与财报线索，A股仍处于库存周期弱企稳，产能周期继 续出清的阶段，向上弹性待改善。同时，政策抓落实、稳预期，支撑风险偏好，市场或处于"上有顶、 下有底"的状态。风格上，中期维持红利+内需+科技的哑铃型配置，做多波动率。红利内部，国有行、 水电等运营性资产仍是底仓。科技和内需强调左侧思维，科技内部，AI和军工电子若调整仍可中期布 局。内需内部，三个筛选条件：1)供给收缩有约束；2)政府支出受益；3)人民币升值受益，建议超配航 空、饮料乳品等。 ...

Group 1 - The report emphasizes that the recent public fund regulations are a necessary result of long-term changes in China's capital market structure and economic structure [3] - The market style is shifting from low-volatility strategies to core assets, indicating a potential long-term decline in China's capital intensity [3][24] - In the short to medium term, the core asset style needs to recover, while in the long term, it reflects the cyclical bottoming of the economy [3][24] Group 2 - The report notes that the resilience of the US economy is weakening, with inflation structures continuing to adjust; April's CPI inflation year-on-year was 2.3%, while core CPI remained at 2.8% [8][11] - The US PPI inflation showed a month-on-month decline of -0.47% in April, with service PPI contributing significantly to this decline [9][12] - Retail sales in the US also showed weak growth, with a month-on-month increase of only 0.058% in April, indicating a drag on consumption [11][12] Group 3 - The report highlights the mutual reduction of trade barriers between China and the US, with both countries agreeing to cancel 91% of tariffs and establish a mechanism for ongoing economic negotiations [13][15] - The Hong Kong stock market saw a general increase, with the Hang Seng Index rising by 2.09% [16] - The report indicates a lack of clear main lines in the Hong Kong market, with sectors like security, NFT concepts, and building energy efficiency leading the gains [19][24] Group 4 - The report suggests that the growth style may continue to adjust due to a lack of event catalysts [3][24] - In terms of industry performance, financial and real estate sectors led the gains, while technology sectors faced declines [32][24] - The report also notes a divergence in foreign capital index futures holdings, with net short positions expanding in some indices [44]

证券研究报告 | 策略深度报告 | 中国策略 关税冲击，是"危"更是"机" ——论当前形势与 2018 年的差异 核心观点 2018 年，A 股在内生性调整压力、极致市场分化、经济转型压力和资管新规等"多重 约束"下，受到特朗普发起的三轮贸易战影响，全年市场震荡下行、跌幅较大。时隔 7 年，中国再次遇到美国关税冲击。与 2018 年相比，当前 A 股在微观结构、政策环境、 经济内力、流动性和科技创新 5 大维度下更加乐观，市场或形成"下有支撑，上有压 力"新格局，上证指数大概率于 3000-3350 点附近展开震荡。我们预计市场最快有望 在今年三季度重启上行攻势。配置方面，建议关注三大方向：1）自主可控：芯片/信 创/稀土/军工等；2）扩内需：地产建材/航空机场/酒饮/家具/调味品等；3）红利：大 金融/交运/饮料乳品等。 ❑ 2018 年：内生性调整压力叠加中美贸易摩擦 内部看，权重指数经过 2016-2017 年上涨，存在内生性调整压力，2018 年初大小 盘走势极致分化表明内生稳定性不足。结构性去杠杆与资管新规并存，压制风险 偏好，全年保证金余额、主动权益基金和两融余额均下降，市场流动性承压。外 部看， ...

Report Information - Report Title: Weekly Report on Capital Flows of Exchange-Traded Index Funds [1] - Data Date: April 21 - April 25, 2025 [1] - Analyst: Jin Ling [1] - Report Date: April 28, 2025 [1] Core Viewpoints - The report presents the capital flow, fund scale, and weekly price change data of domestic passive stock funds, overseas index funds, and other types of index funds from April 21 to April 25, 2025, helping investors understand the market dynamics of different types of index funds [4][5][6] Summary by Category Domestic Passive Stock Funds - **Composite Concepts**: Among them, the CSI 1000 had a weekly price increase of 1.95% and a net capital inflow of 594 million yuan; the Science and Technology Innovation 100 had a weekly price increase of 0.69% and a net capital inflow of 391 million yuan; while the Shanghai - Shenzhen 300 had a weekly price increase of 0.38% but a net capital outflow of 2.783 billion yuan [4] - **Industry Themes**: The large - technology concept had a weekly price increase of 1.10% and a net capital inflow of 4.849 billion yuan; the large - health concept had a weekly price increase of 2.36% and a net capital inflow of 479 million yuan; the large - consumer concept had a weekly price increase of 0.36% and a net capital outflow of 1.397 billion yuan [4] - **Style Strategies**: The dividend - low - volatility concept had a weekly price increase of 0.76% and a net capital inflow of 87 million yuan; the growth concept had a weekly price increase of 1.84% and a net capital outflow of 109 million yuan [4] - **Enterprise Nature**: The China Special Valuation (C - Special Valuation) concept had a weekly price change of - 0.05% and a net capital outflow of 242 million yuan [4] - **Region**: The regional concept had a weekly price increase of 1.62% and a net capital outflow of 600,000 yuan [4] Overseas Index Funds - **Composite Concepts**: The Nasdaq 100 had a weekly price increase of 4.79% and a net capital inflow of 1.052 billion yuan; the S&P 500 had a weekly price increase of 3.35% and a net capital inflow of 366 million yuan; the Nikkei 225 had a weekly price increase of 1.50% and a net capital outflow of 16 million yuan [5] - **Industry Themes**: The Hong Kong Stock Technology concept had a weekly price increase of 3.73% and a net capital inflow of 553 million yuan; the China Internet concept had a weekly price increase of 5.22% and a net capital outflow of 51 million yuan; the Hong Kong Stock Medical concept had a weekly price increase of 9.53% and a net capital outflow of 3.053 billion yuan [5] - **Style Strategies**: The dividend concept had a weekly price increase of 1.18% and a net capital inflow of 200,000 yuan; the dividend - low - volatility concept had a weekly price increase of 1.85% and a net capital inflow of 100,000 yuan [5] Other Types of Index Funds - **Bond Funds**: Among interest - rate - related bond funds, the 10 - year bond fund had a weekly price increase of 0.05% and a net capital inflow of 3 million yuan; the 5 - 10 - year bond fund had a weekly price change of - 0.04% and a net capital outflow of 195 million yuan [6] - **Commodity Funds**: The gold fund had a weekly price change of - 0.70% and a net capital inflow of 1.8109 billion yuan; the non - ferrous metal fund had a weekly price increase of 1.70% and a net capital outflow of 400,000 yuan [6] - **Index - Enhanced Funds**: The CSI 500 index - enhanced fund had a weekly price increase of 1.92% and a net capital outflow of 18 million yuan; the GEM index - enhanced fund had a weekly price increase of 2.45% and a net capital outflow of 500,000 yuan [6]

Group 1: Report Core View - The report focuses on the allocation value of Hong Kong stocks, the types of hybrid bond funds allocating Hong Kong stocks, a case study of fund managers with significant exposure to Hong Kong - enhanced hybrid bond funds, and concludes with investment suggestions [1][3][66] Group 2: Allocation Value of Hong Kong Stocks Sub - group 1: Positive Factors for Hong Kong Stocks - Southbound capital has been flowing into Hong Kong stocks, and the expectation of the Fed's interest rate cut is favorable for Hong Kong stocks [7][8][10] - Hong Kong stocks have high - quality and scarce underlying assets, including leading Internet companies, innovative biopharmaceutical enterprises, emerging consumer sectors, and high - dividend assets [16][17][23] - The cost - effectiveness of Hong Kong stocks has increased, and the proportion of Hong Kong stocks in hybrid bond funds has significantly risen [24][25][29] Sub - group 2: Screening of Hybrid Bond Funds Allocating Hong Kong Stocks - The screening criteria for Hong Kong - enhanced hybrid bond funds are hybrid bond funds with an average Hong Kong stock - to - equity ratio of over 20% in the past eight quarters and a consistent equity position of over 5% [30] - The Hong Kong - enhanced hybrid bond funds have shown good performance in the past two years, with average annualized returns in each equity position range exceeding 3% [32][33] - Most Hong Kong - enhanced hybrid bond funds have a large - cap or ultra - large - cap style, with a balanced or value style, and generally low exposure to growth [34][35][39] - Most fund managers have allocated Hong Kong - enhanced hybrid bond funds, with GF Fund, Huatai - PineBridge Fund, Fullgoal Fund, and Anxin Fund having larger management scales and more products [42][43][50] Sub - group 3: Case Study of GF Fund's Hong Kong - enhanced Hybrid Bond Funds - GF Fund's Hong Kong - enhanced hybrid bond funds have generally achieved positive returns in the past two years, with most annualized returns exceeding 3% [54] - The Hong Kong stock position of GF Fund's Hong Kong - enhanced hybrid bond funds is divided into stable and phased allocation types, with a central average Hong Kong stock - to - equity ratio of about 32% [51][57][58] - GF Fund's Hong Kong - enhanced hybrid bond funds show diverse styles, including balanced allocation, "core + satellite" configuration, and "dividend + Internet" dumbbell - shaped configuration [59][60][61] - The Hong Kong stock positions of GF Fund's Hong Kong - enhanced hybrid bond funds have contributed positive returns in the past two years, with some funds showing significant contributions [63][64] Group 3: Conclusion - Hong Kong - enhanced hybrid bond funds can be divided into stable and phased allocation types, suitable for investors with different investment preferences [66] - Most Hong Kong - enhanced hybrid bond funds have a large - cap or ultra - large - cap style, with a balanced or value style and low exposure to growth [66] - Dividend and Internet are the most popular sectors in Hong Kong stock positions, and balanced allocation is the most common strategy [66]