Group 1 - The inflation rate in Israel has decreased to 3.1% over the past 12 months, but it remains above the upper limit of the target range [1] - The Bank of Israel staff predicts that the economy will grow by 4.6% in 2026, an increase from the previous forecast of 4.0% [1]

Core Viewpoint - The UK Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR) has acknowledged that its forecasts for medium-term economic growth were overly optimistic, which poses challenges for the new Chancellor of the Exchequer, Reeves [1] Economic Forecasts - The OBR's two-year economic growth forecast was found to be overestimated by an average of 0.3 percentage points [1] - The five-year growth forecast was overestimated by an average of 0.7 percentage points, with a cumulative forecast deviation of 2.2 percentage points over five years [1] Implications for Fiscal Policy - The analysis report released on Tuesday increases the risk of downward adjustments to productivity and potential growth forecasts in the upcoming autumn budget [1] - Following a series of costly policy reversals, this situation further complicates Reeves' fiscal plans, with market expectations suggesting that tax increases may be necessary in the budget [1]

Core Viewpoint - The National Development and Reform Commission (NDRC) expresses confidence and capability to minimize the uncertainties and adverse impacts from external shocks, aiming to promote sustained and healthy economic development [1] Economic Environment - The complexity, severity, and uncertainty of the current external environment have increased, posing challenges to stable global economic growth, which may affect China's economic stability [1] - Recent forecasts from the World Bank and OECD have downgraded global economic growth predictions by 0.4 and 0.2 percentage points, respectively, while maintaining stable growth predictions for China [1] Economic Forecasts - International investment banks such as Deutsche Bank, Morgan Stanley, and Goldman Sachs have raised their economic growth forecasts for China [1] - The implementation of existing policies is accelerating, and new reserve policies are being introduced, contributing to the confidence in managing external uncertainties [1]

Core Viewpoint - The Federal Reserve's recent statement did not present any surprising elements, with adjustments to inflation and economic growth forecasts being largely anticipated by the market [1] Group 1 - The Federal Reserve raised its inflation expectations due to conservative considerations regarding the potential impact of tariffs [1] - The economic growth forecast was slightly downgraded, aligning with market expectations and not leading to a directional change [1] - The focus now shifts to the details provided by Chairman Powell during the press conference, particularly his responses and body language [1]

Group 1: IEA Monthly Report Highlights - The IEA projects sufficient oil market supply through 2025 and beyond, barring any major disruptions [1] - Global oil demand is expected to reach an average of 103.8 million barrels per day in 2025 and 104.5 million barrels per day in 2026 [1] - Global oil supply is forecasted to be 104.9 million barrels per day in 2025 and 106 million barrels per day in 2026 [1] - The demand growth forecast for 2025 has been revised down from 740,000 barrels per day to 720,000 barrels per day, and for 2026 from 760,000 barrels per day to 740,000 barrels per day [1] - The global oil supply growth forecast for 2025 has been raised from 1.6 million barrels per day to 1.8 million barrels per day, and for 2026 from 970,000 barrels per day to 1.1 million barrels per day [1] Group 2: OPEC Monthly Report Highlights - U.S. shale oil production is expected to stabilize at 9.05 million barrels per day next year [2] - The average daily oil production of OPEC+ in May was 41.23 million barrels, an increase of 180,000 barrels from April [2] - OPEC has lowered its forecast for oil supply growth from the U.S. and other non-OPEC+ producers for 2026 [2] - Despite trade concerns, the economic outlook remains strong, with no mention of the Israel-Palestine conflict in the latest report [2] - OPEC maintains its global oil demand growth forecast at 1.3 million barrels per day for 2025 and 1.28 million barrels per day for 2026 [2] - Economic growth forecasts for the global economy are held steady at 2.9% for this year and 3.1% for next year, with U.S. growth forecasts unchanged at 1.7% and 2.1% respectively [2]

Group 1 - The National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) does not typically make predictions regarding GDP growth rates due to the inherent conflict of interest in being both a data producer and a forecaster [1] - The overall economic operation indicates that there is still relatively strong support for economic growth throughout the year [1]

Core Viewpoint - The Ethiopian Finance Minister forecasts an economic growth rate of 8.9% for the fiscal year 2025/26 [1] Economic Growth Forecast - The projected growth rate of 8.9% indicates a strong economic outlook for Ethiopia in the upcoming fiscal year [1]

国际货币基金组织预测2025年巴西经济增长2.3%。 ...

经合组织将印度2025-2026年的经济增长预测从6.4%下调至6.3%。 ...

智通财经6月3日电，经合组织将印度2025-2026年经济增长预测从6.4%下调至6.3%。 ...