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【十大券商一周策略】A股有望重回震荡上行,对主动投资的未来应当更有信心
券商中国· 2025-05-18 15:11
中信证券:关于回归基准配置的几个误区和几个事实 我们认为市场对于公募考核新规以及回归基准行业配置的讨论存在一些误区。从海外经验来看,回归基准是通 过基准的行业配比向基金持仓配比演化而不是相反;产品投资策略向客户盈利导向回归,在长期视野下,这与 追求排名和绝对收益并不矛盾,反而是统一的;跑输基准的惩罚机制最终导致的是基金减少博弈性持仓,长期 来看最大的影响是活跃头寸的占比下降。 此外,用前瞻眼光去看,未来如果外资逐步回流,市场生态也会相较过去3年发生重大转变,不能用后视镜视 角静态去看行业配比,好公司和差公司之间的差异会远远超过所谓的"好行业"和"差行业"。 申万宏源:公募持仓向业绩比较基准靠拢未必是普遍趋势 《推动公募基金高质量发展行动方案》是长期改革,而其短期映射,成为结构性行情的主要线索。在我们看 来,主动公募产品调整业绩比较基准,是集中梳理产品策略的一次机遇。而持仓向业绩比较基准靠拢却未必是 普遍趋势。 如何去有效地设定基准是长期而言实现客户利益、赢得竞争并避免被被动型产品替代的最关键问题。对于主动 权益型产品而言,沪深300、中证800以及A500作为全市场基金基准都有较大的局限性,能够反映新质生产力 ...
申万宏源策略一周回顾展望:主动公募向业绩比较基准靠拢:不低估长期影响,不高估短期影响
Shenwan Hongyuan Securities· 2025-05-17 15:04
Group 1 - Short-term macro expectations are unlikely to change direction, maintaining the judgment that the second quarter will be a high central oscillation market. The mid-term A-share fundamentals have not fundamentally changed, and it is insufficient to support a breakout in A-shares [4][5][6] - The active public funds are aligning with performance benchmarks, emphasizing the importance of not underestimating long-term impacts while not overestimating short-term effects. The adjustment of performance benchmarks for public funds is seen as an opportunity to consolidate product strategies [5][6][7] - In the active equity products, 77% of the scale is based on broad-based indices, and 42% is based on the CSI 300. Future performance benchmarks need to clarify product positioning, investment strategies, and investment styles [6][7][8] Group 2 - The market is currently discussing the long-term impact of the public fund quality development action plan, which has become a major clue for short-term structural trends. The alignment of holdings with performance benchmarks is not necessarily a universal trend [5][6][7] - The public fund's performance indicators are generally showing cyclical fluctuations and are currently at a bottom area. The next two years may see a gradual recovery in public fund profitability and an increase in the proportion of profitable clients [7][8] - The report highlights that low-valuation, high-dividend assets benefiting from public fund reforms are currently in a low cost-performance area. The technology sector remains a relatively high cost-performance direction compared to consumption, with a strategic focus on the domestic AI industry chain and embodied intelligence investment opportunities [8][9]
高位股获资金青睐 机器人产业链全线走强
Shang Hai Zheng Quan Bao· 2025-05-16 20:09
◎记者 李雨琪 5月16日,A股三大指数缩量震荡,北证50指数逆势活跃。截至收盘,上证指数报3367.46点,跌 0.40%;深证成指报10179.60点,跌0.07%;创业板指报2039.45点,跌0.19%。全市场成交额11241亿 元,较前一个交易日缩量663亿元。 盘面上,全市场超3000只个股上涨,机器人、智能驾驶、可控核聚变等概念涨幅居前。资金持续聚焦高 位抱团股,成飞集成再度涨停,走出8连板行情;宁波海运、宁波远洋、南京港、连云港收获4连板;红 墙股份收获19天11板,利君股份8天7板。 机器人概念股走强 昨日,机器人产业链全线上涨,PEEK材料概念领涨。截至收盘,格力博、豪恩汽电以20%幅度涨停, 精锻科技、鑫宏业涨超10%,中超控股、日发精机、中欣氟材等涨停。 PEEK材料是人形机器人关节与传动系统的核心替代材料。近期,多家上市公司披露在该领域的布局情 况。 唯科科技在投资者关系活动记录表中称,公司高度关注并积极推动在人形机器人方面的产品应用,已有 潜在技术储备涉及关节电机零部件、PEEK丝杆、PPS螺杆等轻量化产品等方面。 PEEK材料概念日K线图 周恒 制图 山西证券表示,随着数据积累、 ...
金融科技领域或具备较大增长潜力,金融科技ETF(516860)近5个交易日内有4日资金净流入
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-05-16 04:01
Group 1 - The China Securities Financial Technology Theme Index (930986) decreased by 0.46% as of May 16, 2025, with mixed performance among constituent stocks [3] - Leading gainers included Geling Deep Vision (688207) up 4.05%, Yinxin Technology (300231) up 1.60%, and Kela Software (300663) up 1.44%, while leading decliners were Lakala (300773) down 2.38%, Cuiwei Co. (603123) down 2.25%, and Tax Friend Co. (603171) down 2.18% [3] - The Financial Technology ETF (516860) fell by 0.58%, with the latest price at 1.2 yuan and a trading volume of 38.16 million yuan [3] Group 2 - The recent US-China trade talks in Geneva resulted in a significant reduction in tariffs, which is expected to alleviate sentiment pressure on the computer sector, highlighting potential investment opportunities [3] - Companies within the AI industry chain and financial technology sectors are anticipated to have substantial growth potential following the easing of tariff tensions [3] Group 3 - The Financial Technology ETF has reached a new high of 753 million shares, with a net inflow of 21.87 million yuan recently [4] - Over the past five trading days, there were net inflows on four days, totaling 36.30 million yuan, with an average daily net inflow of 7.26 million yuan [4] - The ETF's financing buy-in amount reached 9.61 million yuan, with a financing balance of 42.83 million yuan [4] Group 4 - As of May 15, 2025, the Financial Technology ETF has achieved a 64.04% increase in net value over the past year, ranking first among comparable funds [4] - The ETF has a historical maximum monthly return of 55.92% and an average monthly return of 10.57%, with a 66.67% annual profit percentage [4] - The probability of profit over a three-year holding period is 96.71% [4] Group 5 - The Financial Technology ETF has a Sharpe ratio of 1.21 for the past year, indicating strong risk-adjusted returns [5] - The ETF's management fee is 0.50% and the custody fee is 0.10%, which are among the lowest in comparable funds [6] - The tracking error for the ETF over the past two years is 0.046%, the highest tracking precision among comparable funds [6] Group 6 - As of April 30, 2025, the top ten weighted stocks in the China Securities Financial Technology Theme Index accounted for 53.28% of the index [6] - The top stocks include Tonghuashun (300033) at 9.50%, Dongfang Caifu (300059) at 9.01%, and Hengsheng Electronics (600570) at 7.47% [8]
多家外资行看好中国市场,高盛:A股仍有超10%上涨空间
Quan Jing Wang· 2025-05-16 02:46
Group 1 - The A-share market showed slight declines at the opening on May 16, with the CSI 300 index closing at 3907.2 and the A500 index at 4577.84, recovering the technical gap formed since the tariff storm began on April 2 [1] - Goldman Sachs raised the 12-month target for the MSCI China Index and the CSI 300 Index to 84 points and 4600 points respectively, indicating potential increases of 11% and 17%, while maintaining an "overweight" rating on Chinese stocks [1] - Nomura significantly upgraded its rating on Chinese stocks to tactical overweight, citing the temporary reduction in tariffs between China and the U.S. as a major surprise that could support market sentiment in the short term [1] Group 2 - Goldman Sachs suggested focusing on multiple themes to capture excess returns, highlighting that the internet and service sectors will benefit from consumption recovery and accelerated digital transformation [1] - In the context of a policy easing cycle, quality regional banks and leading real estate companies are expected to see valuation recovery, while the infrastructure and AI industry chains are also worth attention [1] - The A500 Index ETF (560610) focuses on core A-share assets and provides comprehensive coverage of the CSI secondary industry, with a balanced industry distribution and a higher weight in emerging sector leaders [2]
刚刚,证监会重磅发声!高盛:沪深300有17%潜在上涨空间
天天基金网· 2025-05-15 11:21
摘要 1、今天,A股三大指数集体下跌,创业板指跌近2%,原因何在?A股依然存在这些积极信号! 2、黄金持续下跌,还能上车吗?当下如何做好资产配置,应对波动? 3、 上天天基金APP搜索【777】开户即可 领98元券包 ,优选基金10元起投!限量发放!先到先得! 真话白话说财经,理财不说违心话 --这是第1351 篇白话财经- - 今天,A股三大指数集体下跌,创业板指跌近2%。 (图片来源:东方财富APP,统计截至2025/5/15,不作投资推荐) 两市成交额1.15万亿,盘面上,美容护理、食品饮料、航运港口板块逆势上涨,科技、券商板块回调。 机构分析认为,近期中美关税谈判取得实质性进展,国内降准降息落地,市场不确定性减弱、风险偏好回升,市场风格有望向更积极、更具弹性的成长风 格转换。 A股下跌原因,迎三大积极信号! 今天,A股港股集体下跌,分析人士认为 目前处于中美经贸摩擦缓和后的政策消化期,投资 者风险偏好降低,资金入场意愿减弱。 券商,科技板块下 跌也影响了市场情绪。 不过,A股依然有不少积极信号。 1、证监会重磅发声。 在2025年"5·15全国投资者保护宣传日"活动上,证监会表示,会始终践行金融为民理 ...
【焦点复盘】创指缩量中阴失守5日线,AI产业链全线低迷,麦角硫因概念引爆消费新热潮
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-05-15 09:38
Market Overview - The market experienced fluctuations with 50 stocks hitting the daily limit, while 18 stocks faced a limit down, resulting in a sealing rate of 73% [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index fell by 0.68%, the Shenzhen Component Index dropped by 1.62%, and the ChiNext Index decreased by 1.91% [1] - The total trading volume for the day was 1.15 trillion yuan, a decrease of 164.3 billion yuan compared to the previous trading day [1] Stock Performance - Chengfei Integration achieved a 7-day limit up streak, while Wanfeng Co. and Suzhou Longjie both recorded a 5-day limit up streak [1][3] - The upgrade rate for consecutive limit-up stocks rose to 64.7% [3] - The stocks that performed well included those in synthetic biology, food, ST stocks, and ports, while software development, cross-border payment, computing power, and Hongmeng concept stocks saw declines [1] Sector Analysis Shipping and Logistics - Following the reduction of tariffs between the US and China, container shipping bookings from China to the US surged by nearly 300% [16] - Stocks in the shipping and logistics sector, such as Ningbo Shipping and Ningbo Ocean, saw consecutive limit-up performances [16] Textile and Apparel - The textile sector benefited from a surge in orders from US clients following the tariff reductions, with stocks like Wanfeng Co. and Suzhou Longjie achieving consecutive limit-up performances [20][21] Chemical Industry - The chemical sector maintained high interest, with companies like Jilin Chemical Fiber announcing price increases for various products [6][24] - Stocks such as Jitai Co. and Youfu Co. recorded consecutive limit-up performances [24] Health and Beauty - The advertisement for Kelong Pharmaceutical's ergothioneine capsules sparked interest in related sectors, leading to a collective surge in stocks like Chuaning Biological and Tuoxin Pharmaceutical [5][30] Robotics - The robotics sector showed mixed performance, with some stocks like Daya Co. and Zhongjian Technology performing well despite overall sector weakness [7][28] Future Outlook - The market is currently in a phase of adjustment, with significant attention on the performance of large financial and dividend stocks to stabilize the indices [8] - The internal divergence within high-performing stocks may lead to a consolidation phase, with potential opportunities for low-priced stocks to emerge [6][8]
关税缓和之下,计算机投资价值凸显
Haitong Securities International· 2025-05-15 08:39
Investment Rating - The report suggests a positive investment outlook for the computer sector, highlighting significant investment opportunities due to recent tariff reductions between China and the US [6][7]. Core Insights - The easing of tariffs is expected to boost confidence in the computer sector, particularly benefiting companies previously affected by tariff sentiments and those in the AI industry chain and fintech segments [6][7]. - The report emphasizes the importance of companies with core technology, high growth potential, and domestic substitution capabilities for long-term investment [6][7]. - The computer sector's foreign revenue is approximately 12%, indicating limited direct impact from tariff policies, while holdings in the sector are at a historical low, suggesting potential for valuation recovery [7][8]. Summary by Sections Investment Highlights - The report notes that the computer sector achieved a total revenue of RMB 286.03 billion in Q1 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 15.25%, with net profit attributable to shareholders rising by 193.52% [8]. - The report identifies key companies for investment, including Streamax Technology, Autel Intelligent Technology, and Beijing Kingsoft Office Software, among others [6][8]. Market Dynamics - The report highlights that the demand for IT investments from downstream clients is expected to continue rising, supported by domestic policy efforts and economic recovery [8]. - The growth logic of the sector is further strengthened by technological iterations and demand recovery, particularly in AI applications and domestic chip development [9].
关税下调计算机板块情绪压制有望缓解,数字经济ETF(560800)近5个交易日净流入2472.43万元
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-05-15 05:39
Core Viewpoint - The digital economy theme index has experienced a decline, while specific stocks within the index have shown mixed performance, indicating potential investment opportunities in the sector following recent trade discussions between the US and China [1][2]. Group 1: Market Performance - As of May 15, 2025, the China Securities Digital Economy Theme Index (931582) fell by 1.69%, with component stocks showing varied results [1]. - The Digital Economy ETF (560800) also decreased by 1.68%, with the latest price at 0.76 yuan [1]. - The Digital Economy ETF's trading volume showed a turnover of 1.02% during the session, with a total transaction value of 7.84 million yuan [1]. Group 2: Investment Opportunities - Guotai Junan Securities suggests that the sentiment suppression in the computer sector is expected to ease, highlighting investment opportunities in areas significantly impacted by tariff sentiments, such as the AI industry chain and financial technology [2]. - Companies with core technologies, high growth potential, and domestic substitution capabilities are recommended for long-term holding [2]. Group 3: Fund Performance - The latest scale of the Digital Economy ETF reached 778 million yuan, marking a one-month high and ranking it in the top half among comparable funds [3]. - In the past week, the Digital Economy ETF saw a significant increase of 28 million shares, placing it in the top half of comparable funds for share growth [4]. - Over the last five trading days, the ETF experienced net inflows on four occasions, totaling 24.72 million yuan, with an average daily net inflow of 4.94 million yuan [4]. Group 4: Index Composition - As of April 30, 2025, the top ten weighted stocks in the China Securities Digital Economy Theme Index accounted for 51.5% of the index, including companies like Dongfang Caifu, SMIC, and Hikvision [4].
险资有望增配中证A500指数成分股,A500指数ETF(159351)单日获超3.5亿元资金净流入
2 1 Shi Ji Jing Ji Bao Dao· 2025-05-15 02:09
消息面上,据证券日报,近期,险资通过多种方式持续加大权益投资力度。业内人士预计,险企将继续 加大权益投资,提升投资弹性,同时,随着更多险资机构积极争取长期股票投资试点,上市公司市值波 动对当期利润表的影响有望减小,逐步达到"长期资金入市+平滑利润表波动"的平衡。整体来看,险资 有望逐步增加对中证A500指数(侧重科技和新兴产业龙头)成分股的配置。 中银国际表示,市场不确定性减弱、风险偏好回升,市场风格有望向更积极、更具弹性的成长风格转 换。海内外科技公司业绩密集披露,AI产业链公司业绩与景气度普遍向好,机器人产业化进程顺利, 经过3月下旬以来的调整,AI产业链、机器人产业链公司普遍回调到比较具有性价比的位置,市场风格 转换预期之下,AI产业链、机器人等有望逐步开启第二轮反弹趋势。 资金流向上,Wind金融终端数据显示,A500指数ETF(159351)昨日获超3.5亿元资金净流入。 A500指数ETF(159351)紧密跟踪新一代标杆指数中证A500指数,该指数优选各行业市值代表性强、 表征行业龙头的500只股票,兼顾大市值的同时均衡覆盖A股各行业核心龙头资产。此外,该指数在电 子、电力设备、医药生物、计算机 ...