就在几天前，英伟达与OpenAI宣布了一笔价值千亿美元的世纪交易，以构建下一代AI的超级算力集群。 而今天，战场的另一端便给出了同样量级的回应——阿里巴巴在云栖大会上宣布，将为其AI基础设施投入3800亿人民币，并持续追加。 至此，继OpenAI、谷歌、Meta以及我们此前分析过的xAI之后，阿里正式成为加入这场全球"算力大战"的最新一位巨头。 从硅谷到杭州，全球最顶尖的科技公司们，不约而同地将筹码压在了同一个方向上。 这一系列动辄千亿美金级别的豪赌，传递出一个无比清晰的信号： 在通往通用人工智能（AGI）乃至超级智能（ASI）的道路上，先进的算法模型是入场券，而庞大、高效的算力基础设施，则构成了这场竞赛最核心的战场与赢得未 来的战略基石。 那么，当所有巨头都意识到必须建立自己的"算力壁垒"时，一个更深层次的战略问题浮出水面： 构建一个成功的算力帝国，究竟需要什么？ 这是一条无法仅靠金钱铺就的道路，它考验着一家公司对未来的预判能力、极致的工程执行力、对系统架构的颠覆式思考，以及构建开发者生态的战略定力。 最近，英伟达宣布向英特尔投资50亿美元，双方将联手开发定制数据中心和PC产品。这一合作在业界引起了巨大反响 ...

在9月24日上午10点许，阿里巴巴CEO、阿里云董事长&CEO吴泳铭演讲结束后，阿里的股价开始明显增长，从9:30开盘的158.5港元/股，到11:11时已经上涨 到了170.7港元/股，相当于在不到两个小时内市值增长了2200亿港元。 显然，对阿里股价而言，这是一场价值连城的演讲。笔者全程在现场听了吴泳铭的分享，我觉得他主要对AI未来的发展路线，以及阿里在这个未来中扮演 什么角色，进行了"定义"和"定位"。而阿里在吴泳铭演讲后股价大涨，可以理解为外界对于吴泳铭给出的"定义"和"定位"给予了"正反馈"。 吴泳铭的"定义"和"定位"其实可以用他演讲中的一段话来很好地总结："AI 将会替代能源的地位，成为最重要的商品，驱动千行百业每天的工作……Token 就是未来的电……阿里云的定位是全栈人工智能服务商，提供世界领先的智能能力和遍布全球的 AI 云计算网络，向全球各地提供开发者生态友好的 AI 服 务。" 简单来说，吴泳铭眼中的蓝图不只是互联网、电商也不只是某个技术，而是成为AI时代的"水、电、石油"。 吴泳铭对这次演讲应该是非常重视的。我了解到，在吴泳铭成为阿里巴巴CEO后，他参与的所有致辞、电话会议都没有使用 ...

Group 1 - Alibaba Cloud announced a partnership with NVIDIA in the field of Physical AI, integrating NVIDIA's software stack into its AI platform PAI to provide comprehensive services for enterprises [1][4] - The collaboration aims to shorten the development cycle for applications such as embodied intelligence and assisted driving by offering services like data preprocessing, simulation data generation, model training evaluation, and reinforcement learning [1][4] - Alibaba Group's CEO emphasized the inevitability of General Artificial Intelligence (AGI) and the ultimate goal of developing Super Artificial Intelligence (ASI), predicting that only 5-6 super cloud computing platforms will exist globally in the future [4][5] Group 2 - Alibaba Cloud plans to significantly enhance its AI infrastructure, projecting a tenfold increase in global data center energy consumption by 2032 compared to 2022, indicating exponential growth in computing power investment [5] - The company introduced multiple technological updates at the 2025 Cloud Habitat Conference, including the launch of the Qwen3-Max model, which outperforms competitors like GPT-5 and Claude Opus 4, ranking among the top three globally [5][6] - Alibaba's Tongyi model has become the world's leading open-source model, with over 300 models available and a global download count exceeding 600 million, capturing the largest share of the enterprise-level model market in China [6] Group 3 - Alibaba Cloud showcased its upgraded AI infrastructure, demonstrating a full-stack AI technology capability that includes components from chips to AI platforms [6][7] - The newly released Panjiu 128 super node AI server, designed by Alibaba Cloud, supports high-density and high-performance AI chip integration, achieving record density in the industry [7] - The Panjiu super node server features an open architecture and can support up to 128 AI computing chips, offering significant improvements in inference performance compared to traditional architectures [7]

9月24日，阿里巴巴集团CEO吴泳铭在云栖大会上，明确阐述了AI时代下阿里云的核心战略。他判断，"大模型是下一代的操作系统"，将取代传统OS，成 为连接用户、软件与AI计算资源的中间层。基于此判断，吴泳铭宣布阿里云做出关键战略选择：通义千问将坚定走开放路线，致力于成为"AI时代的 Android"，与全球开发者共同构建繁荣的AI应用生态。 吴泳铭解释说，开源模型能渗透的场景和创造的价值将远超闭源模型。目前，通义千问开源模型矩阵的全球下载量已超6亿次，衍生出超过17万个模型， 成为了全球最受欢迎的开源模型之一。通过开源，阿里云旨在将开发者规模从数千万扩展至数亿，让任何人都能用自然语言创造满足自身需求的Agent （智能体），从而"吞噬"传统软件的形态。 要支撑这个全新的"操作系统"和其上无限的应用生态，必须有一台"下一代的计算机"——即"超级AI云"。吴泳铭强调，阿里云正全力打造这台AI超级计算 机，提供从自研芯片、网络、存储到模型、平台的全栈人工智能服务。他透露，为满足AI计算范式的革命性转变，公司正在积极推进庞大的基础设施建 设计划，根据规划，为迎接ASI时代的到来，阿里云预计到2032年其全球数据中心的能 ...

9月24日，阿里巴巴集团CEO吴泳铭在云栖大会上，明确阐述了AI时代下阿里云的核心战略。他 判断，"大模型是下一代的操作系统"，将取代传统OS，成为连接用户、软件与AI计算资源的中间 层。基于此判断，吴泳铭宣布阿里云做出关键战略选择：通义千问将坚定走开放路线，致力于成 为"AI时代的Android"，与全球开发者共同构建繁荣的AI应用生态。 吴泳铭解释说，开源模型能渗透的场景和创造的价值将远超闭源模型。目前，通义千问开源 模型矩阵的全球下载量已超6亿次，衍生出超过1 7万个模型，成为了全球最受欢迎的开源模型 之一。通过开源，阿里云旨在将开发者规模从数千万扩展至数亿，让任何人都能用自然语言 创造满足自身需求的Ag e n t（智能体），从而"吞噬"传统软件的形态。 要 支 撑 这 个 全 新 的 " 操 作 系 统 " 和 其 上 无 限 的 应 用 生 态 ， 必 须 有 一 台 " 下 一 代 的 计 算 机 "—— 即 " 超 级 AI 云 " 。 吴 泳 铭 强 调 ， 阿 里 云 正 全 力 打 造 这 台 AI 超 级 计 算 机 ， 提 供 从 自 研 芯 片 、 网 络、存储到模型、平台的全栈人 ...

Core Insights - Alibaba announced a collaboration with NVIDIA for Physical AI, covering various aspects such as data synthesis, model training, environmental simulation reinforcement learning, and model validation testing [2] - Alibaba's stock surged over 9% on September 24, reaching its highest level since October 2021 [2] - The launch of the new AI creation platform "ZaoDian" integrates AI-generated images and videos, marking a significant advancement in Alibaba's AI capabilities [2] Company Developments - Alibaba's CEO, Wu Yongming, emphasized the evolution of human-AI collaboration, predicting that every household, factory, and company will have numerous agents and robots working 24/7 [3] - Wu stated that by 2032, the energy consumption of Alibaba Cloud's global data centers will increase tenfold compared to 2022, indicating a significant escalation in computational power investment [5] - The path to Super AI (ASI) is divided into three stages: emergence of intelligence, autonomous action, and self-iteration, with the ultimate goal of developing ASI to tackle major scientific challenges [5] Product Launches - The "Guard" safety model was released, featuring generative and streaming versions for near real-time safety assessments [7] - The "Qianwen Travel Planner" was introduced, capable of generating detailed travel plans based on user inputs, including budget and preferences [7] - A simultaneous interpretation API, "qwen3-livetranslate," supports multiple languages and visual understanding, enhancing cross-border e-commerce communication [8] - The upgraded programming model API, "Qwen3-Coder," excels in programming capabilities and agent features, surpassing traditional code completion tools [8] - The "Qwen3-VL" visual-language model was launched, with its flagship model outperforming competitors in key visual tasks [9] - The flagship model "Qwen3-Max" was introduced, boasting 1 trillion parameters and significant enhancements in coding and agent capabilities, ranking among the top models globally [9]

Core Insights - Alibaba officially announced a collaboration with NVIDIA for Physical AI, covering various aspects such as data synthesis, model training, environmental simulation reinforcement learning, and model validation testing [1] - Alibaba's stock surged over 9% on September 24, reaching its highest level since October 2021 [1] Group 1: AI Developments - Alibaba's Quark launched a new AI creation platform called "ZaoDian," integrating AI-generated images and videos, and connecting to the Wan2.5 model [3] - The Qwen3-Max model was introduced, outperforming GPT-5-Chat in the LMArena text ranking, showcasing advancements in coding and agent capabilities [3] - CEO Wu Yongming emphasized the evolution of human-AI collaboration, predicting that AI will significantly enhance human intelligence and capabilities [3][5] Group 2: Future Projections - Wu stated that by 2032, the energy consumption of Alibaba Cloud's global data centers will increase tenfold compared to 2022, indicating a substantial rise in computational investment [5] - The path to Super AI (ASI) is divided into three stages: emergence of intelligence, autonomous action, and self-iteration, with the ultimate goal of surpassing human capabilities [5] - Wu projected that there may be more agents and robots than the global population, working alongside humans and impacting the real world significantly [5] Group 3: New Product Releases - The first new product released was the open-source security model "Guard," which includes generative and streaming versions for real-time safety assessments [6] - The "Qianwen Travel Planner" was introduced, capable of generating detailed travel plans based on user inputs, including budget and preferences [7] - A simultaneous interpretation API, "qwen3-livetranslate," was launched, facilitating seamless communication across languages, particularly beneficial for cross-border e-commerce [7] - The Qwen3-Coder API was upgraded, enhancing its programming capabilities and agent features, surpassing traditional code completion tools [8] - The Qwen3-VL model was released as the most powerful visual-language model to date, with significant advancements in visual tasks [8] - The flagship model Qwen3-Max was launched, featuring 1 trillion parameters and improvements in understanding and instruction adherence [8]

Core Insights - The demand for AI infrastructure is significantly exceeding expectations, prompting Alibaba to invest 380 billion yuan in AI infrastructure development [1] - Alibaba Cloud has launched Qwen3-Max, its largest and most capable model to date, which has surpassed GPT-5-Chat in performance [2] - Alibaba's stock price surged over 7%, reaching a nearly four-year high following these announcements [3] Investment and Market Trends - Over the next five years, global investment in AI is projected to exceed $4 trillion, marking the largest historical investment in computing power and R&D [4] - Major tech companies, including Nvidia and OpenAI, are also increasing their capital expenditures in AI and infrastructure, with Nvidia planning to invest $100 billion in collaboration with OpenAI [5] Future of AI - The transition from AGI (Artificial General Intelligence) to ASI (Artificial Superintelligence) is viewed as a new beginning rather than an endpoint, with ASI expected to solve complex scientific and engineering challenges [6] - The emergence of large models is anticipated to replace traditional operating systems, enabling users to create applications using natural language, thus democratizing software development [6]

【导读】吴泳铭首次系统阐述了通往超级人工智能（ASI）的三阶段演进路线 中国基金报记者 赵心怡 "AGI并非AI发展的终点，而是全新的起点。AI不会止步于AGI，它将迈向超越人类智能、能够 自我迭代进化的超级人工智能（ASI）。"阿里巴巴集团CEO、阿里云智能集团董事长兼CEO 吴泳铭表示。 在2025年云栖大会上，吴泳铭发表主旨演讲。他认为，实现通用人工智能AGI已是确定性事 件，但这只是起点，终极目标是发展出能自我迭代、全面超越人类的超级人工智能ASI。 吴泳铭首次系统阐述了通往ASI的演进路线，具体分为三个阶段："智能涌现"，AI通过学习海 量人类知识具备泛化智能；"自主行动"，AI掌握工具使用和编程能力以"辅助人"，是行业当 前所处的阶段；"自我迭代"，AI通过连接物理世界并实现自学习，最终实现"超越人"。 通往ASI将经历三个阶段 "ASI将以指数级的速度推动科技的飞跃，引领我们进入一个前所未有的智能时代。"吴泳铭表 示。 吴泳铭称，通往ASI之路的第一阶段是"智能涌现"，特征是"学习人"。 过去几十年，互联网 的发展为智能技术的崛起奠定了基础，实现了知识的数字化。大模型通过理解这些数字化的 知识， ...

Core Insights - The journey towards Artificial Super Intelligence (ASI) is divided into three stages: "Emergence of Intelligence," "Autonomous Action," and "Self-Iteration" [2][3][4] - Achieving Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) is seen as a certainty, but it is merely the starting point for the development of ASI, which aims to surpass human intelligence and enable self-evolution [2][3] Stage Summaries - **Stage 1: Emergence of Intelligence** This stage is characterized by AI's ability to learn from vast amounts of human knowledge, leading to generalized intelligence and conversational capabilities [3][4] - **Stage 2: Autonomous Action** AI moves beyond language interaction to perform real-world actions, capable of breaking down complex tasks and using tools to interact with both digital and physical environments. This stage is currently being experienced [3][4][6] - **Stage 3: Self-Iteration** In this final stage, AI connects with comprehensive raw data from the physical world and achieves self-learning capabilities. This is crucial for AI to surpass human capabilities [4][6] Future Implications - AI is expected to become the next generation operating system, with large models facilitating user interactions and application creation through natural language [6][7] - The computing paradigm is shifting from CPU-centric to GPU-centric AI computing, requiring significant energy and infrastructure to support this transition [6][7] - AI is predicted to replace energy as the most critical commodity, driving productivity across various industries [6][7] Human-AI Collaboration - The future will see a new collaborative model between humans and AI, enhancing productivity significantly. AI is expected to amplify human capabilities exponentially [7] - Historical technological revolutions have consistently unlocked new productivity, suggesting that the rise of ASI will similarly create new demands and opportunities for human advancement [7]