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全国碳市场行情简报(2025年第88期)-20250604
Guo Tai Jun An Qi Huo· 2025-06-04 11:37
全国碳市场行情简报 (2025年第88期) 策略 建议缺口企业在8月底前分批逢低采购 (1)2025年剩余40%强制流通配额只能满足部分市场需求,约0.4°0.5亿吨市场需求或由 盈余企业自愿卖出来满足。 核心 逻辑 2CEA价格跌至70元附近后,抄底需求有所显现,但目前强制流通配额释放不足,潜在 抛压仍存、市场价格震荡磨底,仍缺乏上行驱动;考虑到核查节点,6月中下旬成交量 有望攀升,预计6月底部区间62~66元/吨。 国泰君受期货 发布日期:2025-06-04 今日 行情 近期日均成交量低于40万吨,CEA价格延续弱势 | | CEA19-20 | CEA21 | CEA22 | CEA23 | CEA24 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 收盘价(元/吨) | 70. 00 | 67. 50 | 67. 00 | 67. 61 | 67.90 | | 涨跌幅(%) | 0.00% | -1.46% | -0. 21% | -1.37% | 0. 58% | | 新旧价差(元/吨) | | -2. 50 | -0. 50 | 0. 61 | 0. 29 | ...
全国碳市场行情简报(2025年第86期)-20250530
Guo Tai Jun An Qi Huo· 2025-05-30 12:41
全国碳币场行情简报 (2025年第86期) 核心 20EA价格跌至70元附近后,抄底需求有所显现,但目前强制流通配额释放不足,潜在 逻辑 她压仍存,市场价格震荡磨底,仍缺乏上行驱动,综合价格5月底部或65°68元/吨。 国泰君安期货 发布日期:2025-05-30 今日 行情 近期日均成交量低于50万吨,综合价格接近预期底部区间 1、CEA:CEA19-20涨超4%,CEA22明显下跌:挂牌35.9万吨,大宗30.0万吨 2、CCER:挂牌协议成交量1.00万吨,成交均价85.50元/吨(-0.04%) 策略 建议缺口企业在8月底前分批逢低采购 (1)2025年剩余40%强制流通配额只能满足部分市场需求,约0.4°0.5亿吨市场需求或由 盈余企业自愿卖出来满足。 重要声明 在公司具有中国证监会被准的期货交易咨询业务资格。本内容均观点和信息仅供国泰君安邦货的专业投资者参考。本内容难以设置访问权限, 装给您造成不便,鼓清谅解。吉您并非国泰君安期货客户中的专业投资者,请勿闻读、订阅或接收任何相关信息。本内容不构成具体业务的拉 个,亦不应被视为任何投资、法律、会计或税务建议、且本公司不会因接收入收到本内容而视其为客户 ...
英 力 特(000635) - 000635英 力 特投资者关系管理信息20250528
2025-05-28 11:06
宁夏英力特化工股份有限公司投资者关系活动记录表 | □特定对象调研□分析师会议 | | 投资者关系活动 | | --- | --- | --- | | □媒体采访√业绩说明会 | | 类别 | | □新闻发布会□路演活动 | | | | □现场参观 | | | | □其他(请文字说明其他活动内容) | | | | 投资者网上提问 | | 参与单位名称及 | | | | 人员姓名 | | 2025 年 5 月 | 28 日 (周三) 下午 14:00~17:00 | 时间 | | | 公司通过全景网"投资者关系互动平台"(https://ir.p5w.net) | 地点 | | 采用网络远程的方式召开业绩说明会 | | | | 1、董事长田少平 | | 上市公司接待人 | | 2、董事会秘书刘雨 | | 员姓名 | | 3、财务总监涂华东 | | | | | 投资者提出的问题及公司回复情况 | | | | 公司就投资者在本次说明会中提出的问题进行了回复: | | | | 1、董事长您好,请问新一届董事会什么时候能成立? | | | | 投资者您好!公司第九届董事会于 2025 年 4 月 17 日到 | | | ...
城市24小时 | 扛住“压力测试”,外贸大省再“出招”
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-05-27 15:59
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news is the implementation of a draft opinion aimed at strengthening the linkage between industry and trade in Zhejiang Province to support enterprises in stabilizing production, reducing burdens, and increasing efficiency [1] - The draft opinion emphasizes the promotion of "thousands of groups and ten thousand enterprises" to expand markets and increase orders, with significant support for manufacturing enterprises participating in overseas exhibitions [1][3] - The document outlines measures to address international trade frictions, including the establishment of a "support policy toolbox" for key enterprises affected by sanctions [1][3] Group 2 - Zhejiang Province's foreign trade import and export reached 1.75 trillion yuan from January to April, with a year-on-year growth of 6.6%, outperforming national averages [2] - The province's exports to the US are highly dependent, with a dependency ratio of 7.0%, significantly higher than the national average of 2.8% [2] - Despite challenges, Zhejiang's exports to emerging markets such as ASEAN and Latin America showed positive growth, with increases of 9.2% and 21.5% respectively [3] Group 3 - The draft opinion prioritizes expanding the supply of quality products, with provincial financial support for high-end, intelligent, and green technology upgrades [3] - There is a focus on developing differentiated market strategies for emerging markets, including support for export tax rebates and logistics subsidies [3] - The strategy includes fostering independent brands to enhance pricing power and resilience in foreign trade [3]
全国碳市场行情简报(2025年第83期)-20250527
Guo Tai Jun An Qi Huo· 2025-05-27 13:09
Group 1: Report Industry Investment Rating - No information provided Group 2: Core Viewpoints of the Report - The recent average daily trading volume is less than 600,000 tons, and the comprehensive price is approaching the expected bottom range [3] - It is recommended that enterprises with a quota gap make batch purchases at low prices before the end of August [3] - After the CEA price dropped to around 70 yuan/ton, both rigid and speculative market demands emerged, the market trading heat increased significantly, and the release of mandatory circulation quotas accelerated. The bottom price of CEA in May may be 65 - 68 yuan/ton [5] - Currently, the release ratio of mandatory circulation quotas is less than 20%, there is still potential selling pressure, the market price is oscillating at the bottom, and there is still a lack of upward driving force. If the selling time of surplus enterprises is postponed, the price bottom may be lower and the rebound height more limited. If the daily trading volume can significantly increase, strong upward momentum may appear at the end of the third quarter [5] Group 3: Summary by Relevant Catalogs Market Conditions - CEA: CEA23 and CEA24 showed significant declines, while CEA22 had a slight rebound. The listed volume was 206,000 tons, and the bulk volume was 200,000 tons [3] - CCER: The listed agreement trading volume was 30,000 tons, and the average trading price was 85 yuan/ton, a decrease of 4.03% [3] Strategy - It is recommended that enterprises with a quota gap make batch purchases at low prices before the end of August. In 2025, the remaining 40% of mandatory circulation quotas can only meet part of the market demand, and about 40 - 50 million tons of market demand may be met by the voluntary sales of surplus enterprises [3] Core Logic - After the CEA price dropped to around 70 yuan/ton, market demand increased, and the release of mandatory circulation quotas accelerated. The bottom price of CEA in May may be 65 - 68 yuan/ton [5] - The release ratio of mandatory circulation quotas is low, there is potential selling pressure, and the price is oscillating at the bottom. The selling time of surplus enterprises affects the price bottom and rebound height. If the daily trading volume increases, strong upward momentum may appear at the end of the third quarter [5] Data Tables - CEA price and trading volume data for different years are presented, including closing prices, price changes, trading volumes, and trading amounts [7][8][9] - CCER trading information shows an average trading price of 85 yuan/ton, a decrease of 4.03%, a trading volume of 30,000 tons, and a cumulative trading volume of 185,910 tons [9]
湖北:要积极发挥“中碳登”平台作用,推动长江航运全面进入碳交易市场
news flash· 2025-05-26 08:21
金十数据5月26日讯,今日上午,湖北省委书记、省人大常委会主任王忠林主持召开会议,研究推进长 江航运绿色动力发展工作。王忠林强调,湖北要抢抓国家"两新"政策机遇,加快液化天然气、绿电、氢 能等新能源和清洁能源推广使用,开辟更多应用场景,在使用中改进提升。要积极发挥"中碳登"平台作 用,推动长江航运全面进入碳交易市场。要坚持规划引领,完善充换电站、加注站等基础设施布局,加 大政策支持力度,强化要素保障,加快推动各项工作落地见效。 (湖北日报) 湖北:要积极发挥"中碳登"平台作用,推动长江航运全面进入碳交易市场 ...
长青集团:行稳致远的生物质发电龙头,携手中科系推动数字+智能转型-20250526
Guoxin Securities· 2025-05-26 05:45
Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Outperform" rating to the company, with a target price range of 7.23 to 7.60 CNY per share, indicating a potential upside of 26.6% to 33.1% from the current price of 5.71 CNY [5][3]. Core Views - The company is a leading private enterprise in the biomass power generation sector, focusing on the utilization of agricultural and forestry biomass resources. It has successfully transitioned from manufacturing to becoming a benchmark in low-carbon and environmentally friendly industries [12][2]. - The biomass power generation industry is currently facing operational pressures due to subsidy arrears and rising raw material costs. However, the company has achieved growth through refined management practices [1][2]. - The partnership with the Zhongke system is expected to enhance the company's digital and intelligent transformation, while the decline in coal prices is anticipated to improve raw material procurement costs and profitability [2][3]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - Founded in 1993, the company initially started with gas appliance manufacturing and later entered the waste incineration and biomass power generation sectors. It became a publicly listed company focused on agricultural and forestry biomass resource utilization after divesting its manufacturing business in 2021 [12][1]. Industry Analysis - As of the end of 2024, the total installed capacity of biomass power generation in China reached 45.99 million kW, with the company holding a capacity of 491 MW, ranking third in the industry [1][47]. - The biomass power generation sector is categorized into three types: agricultural and forestry biomass, waste incineration, and biogas power generation. The industry is supported by national policies aimed at promoting renewable energy [36][37]. Financial Performance - The company's revenue is projected to grow from 37.86 billion CNY in 2024 to 44.05 billion CNY by 2027, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 3.0% [4]. - The net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to increase from 217 million CNY in 2024 to 334 million CNY in 2027, reflecting a CAGR of 8.4% [4][3]. - The company's operating income from power supply and heating services accounted for 53.8% and 43.6% of total revenue in 2024, respectively [15][4]. Competitive Advantages - The company has established a competitive edge through effective risk management and operational efficiency, successfully integrating its manufacturing experience into environmental project operations [2][62]. - The company has successfully included 13 projects in the national subsidy list, indicating its proactive approach to project selection and management [2][5]. Future Outlook - The expansion of the carbon market is expected to provide additional revenue opportunities through carbon trading, further enhancing the company's financial performance [2][3]. - The partnership with Zhongke Xinkong is anticipated to facilitate the company's digital transformation and improve operational efficiency [2][12].
长青集团(002616):行稳致远的生物质发电龙头,携手中科系推动数字+智能转型
Guoxin Securities· 2025-05-26 05:22
Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Outperform" rating to the company, with a target price range of 7.23 to 7.60 CNY per share, indicating a potential upside of 26.6% to 33.1% from the current price of 5.71 CNY [5][3]. Core Views - The company is a leading private enterprise in the biomass power generation sector, focusing on the utilization of agricultural and forestry biomass resources. It has successfully transitioned from manufacturing to becoming a benchmark in low-carbon and environmentally friendly industries [1][12]. - The biomass power generation industry is currently facing operational pressures due to subsidy arrears and rising raw material costs. However, the company has achieved growth through refined management practices [1][2]. - The partnership with the Zhongke system is expected to enhance the company's digital and intelligent transformation, while the decline in coal prices is anticipated to improve raw material procurement costs, leading to a recovery in profitability [2][3]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - Founded in 1993, the company initially started with gas appliance manufacturing and later entered the waste incineration and biomass power generation sectors. It became a publicly listed company focused on biomass resource utilization after divesting its manufacturing business in 2021 [1][12]. Financial Performance - The company’s revenue is projected to reach 4.076 billion CNY in 2025, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 9.32% since its listing. The net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to grow to 280 million CNY in 2025, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 29.2% [4][22]. - The company’s operating income from power supply is expected to account for 53.8% of total revenue in 2024, while heating income will contribute 43.6% [15]. Industry Analysis - As of the end of 2024, the total installed capacity of biomass power generation in China reached 45.99 million kilowatts, with the company ranking third in the agricultural and forestry biomass sector with an installed capacity of 491 MW [1][44]. - The biomass power generation industry is characterized by its stable output and ability to adjust, making it suitable for base load and peak shaving functions in the power system. It aligns with national strategies for pollution control and rural revitalization [37][42]. Competitive Advantages - The company has established a competitive edge through effective risk management and operational efficiency. It has successfully integrated its manufacturing management experience into its environmental projects [2][62]. - The company has successfully included 13 projects in the national subsidy list, which is crucial for its financial performance, given the industry's reliance on government subsidies [2][61].
全国碳市场行情简报(2025年第81期)-20250523
Guo Tai Jun An Qi Huo· 2025-05-23 10:57
Group 1: Report Overview - Report title: National Carbon Market Weekly Brief (Issue 81, 2025) [1] - Publisher: Guotai Junan Futures [2] - Release date: May 23, 2025 [3] Group 2: Investment Rating - Not provided Group 3: Core View - The recent average daily trading volume is low, and the trend of bottom - grinding through fluctuations is difficult to change in the short term [5] - It is recommended that enterprises with a quota gap make batch purchases at low prices before the end of August [7] Group 4: Market Conditions CEA - CEA22 has a significant decline, while other quotas are weakly stable. The volume of listed transactions is 15.64 tons, and the volume of bulk transactions is 42.00 tons [6] - CEA19 - 20 has a closing price of 69.50 yuan/ton with a decline of 0.14%, CEA21 has a closing price of 68.50 yuan/ton with no change, CEA22 has a closing price of 67.80 yuan/ton with a decline of 3.14%, CEA23 has a closing price of 70.53 yuan/ton with a decline of 0.10%, and CEA24 has a closing price of 70.73 yuan/ton with a decline of 0.18% [11] - The total trading volume of CEA19 - 20 is 0.20 tons, CEA21 is 0.00 tons, CEA22 is 1.50 tons, CEA23 is 11.07 tons, and CEA24 is 44.87 tons [11] - The total turnover of CEA19 - 20 is 3176.98 million yuan, CEA21 is 101.70 million yuan, CEA22 is 13.97 million yuan, CEA23 is 897.26 million yuan, and CEA24 is 0.00 million yuan [12] CCER - The volume of listed agreement transactions is 3.50 tons, and the average transaction price is 90.00 yuan/ton, with an increase of 3.82%. The turnover is 315.36 million yuan, and the cumulative trading volume is 179.41 tons [6][13] Group 5: Strategy - It is recommended that enterprises with a quota gap make batch purchases at low prices before the end of August. In 2025, the remaining 40% of the mandatory circulation quota can only meet part of the market demand, and about 0.4 - 0.5 billion tons of market demand may be met by the voluntary sales of surplus enterprises [7] Group 6: Core Logic - After the CEA price drops to around 70 yuan, both the rigid demand and speculative demand in the market appear, the market trading enthusiasm significantly increases, and the release of the mandatory circulation quota accelerates. The bottom of the CEA comprehensive price in May may be 65 - 68 yuan/ton [9] - Currently, the release ratio of the mandatory circulation quota is less than 20%, and there is still potential selling pressure. The market price is bottom - grinding through fluctuations and still lacks upward driving force. If the selling time of surplus enterprises is postponed, the price bottom may be lower and the rebound height may be more limited. If the daily trading volume can significantly increase, strong upward momentum may appear at the end of the third quarter [9]
全国碳市场行情简报(2025年第78期)-20250520
Guo Tai Jun An Qi Huo· 2025-05-20 11:59
Group 1: Report Overview - Report Title: National Carbon Market Market Briefing (Issue 78, 2025) [1] - Publisher: Guotai Junan Futures [2] - Release Date: May 20, 2025 [3] Group 2: Market Conditions - CEA: CEA21 is weak, CEA23 is strong, and CEA24 is stable. The listed volume is 146,800 tons, and the bulk volume is 700,000 tons [6] - CCER: The listed agreement trading volume is 100 tons, and the average transaction price is 84 yuan/ton (-4.55%) [6] Group 3: Strategy - It is recommended that enterprises with a quota gap make batch purchases at low prices before the end of August [7] Group 4: Core Logic - After the CEA price drops to around 70 yuan, both the rigid demand and speculative demand in the market appear, and the market trading volume significantly increases. The bottom of the CEA comprehensive price in May may be 65 - 68 yuan/ton [9] - Currently, the release ratio of mandatory circulation quotas is less than 20%, and there is still potential selling pressure. The market price is oscillating at the bottom and lacks upward momentum. If the selling time of surplus enterprises is postponed, the price bottom may be lower and the rebound height more limited. If the single - day trading volume can significantly increase, strong upward momentum may appear at the end of the third quarter [9] Group 5: Specific Data CEA | Category | CEA19 - 20 | CEA21 | CEA22 | CEA23 | CEA24 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Closing Price (yuan/ton) | 69.60 | 70.00 | 70.00 | 71.06 | 71.02 | | Increase/Decrease (%) | 0.00% | -0.71% | 0.00% | 0.75% | 0.01% | | New - Old Price Difference (yuan/ton) | | 0.40 | 0.00 | 1.06 | -0.04 | | Bulk Transaction Average Price (yuan/ton) | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | 67.96 | | Total Trading Volume (10,000 tons) | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 3.12 | 80.56 | | Listed Agreement Trading Volume (10,000 tons) | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 3.12 | 10.56 | | Bulk Agreement Trading Volume (10,000 tons) | 70.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | | Total Transaction Amount (10,000 yuan) | 70.00 | 0.00 | 221.75 | 5506.85 | 0.00 | [11][12] CCER - Transaction Average Price: 84 yuan/ton - Increase/Decrease: -4.55% - Transaction Amount: 840,000 yuan - Trading Volume: 100 tons - Cumulative Trading Volume: 1.7587 million tons [13]