Group 1 - Gold and silver prices reached historical highs due to rising market risk aversion following Trump's threat to impose additional tariffs on Europe [2][4] - As of 01:10 GMT, spot gold rose by 1.6% to $4,670.01, nearing the historical high of $4,689.39, while February gold futures increased by 1.8% to $4,677 [3] - The largest gold-backed ETF, SPDR Gold Trust, saw its holdings rise by 1.01% to 1,085.67 tons, indicating sustained demand for gold [3] Group 2 - Silver prices also surged, with spot silver increasing by 4.4% to $93.85, having touched a historical high of $94.08 [4] - Trump's comments regarding tariffs have heightened global political uncertainty, leading to increased risk sentiment and a shift towards safe-haven assets like gold and silver [4] - The Federal Reserve's potential for further rate cuts, as indicated by Vice Chair Michelle Bowman, supports the attractiveness of gold as a non-yielding asset [5] Group 3 - Indian demand for gold remains subdued due to rising prices, while Chinese demand remains stable, particularly ahead of the Spring Festival [6] - Platinum and palladium also saw price increases, with platinum rising by 1.9% to $2,373.08 and palladium up by 0.5% to $1,809, reflecting strong trends in the precious metals market [6]

电解铝 ：商品情绪转弱 铝市场中期仍看好 研究员：陈婧 期货从业证号：F03107034 投资咨询从业证号：Z0018401 铝策略展望 ◼ 衍生品：暂时观望。 GALAXY FUTURES 1 227/82/4 228/210/172 181/181/181 87/87/87 文 字 色 基 础 色 辅 助 色 137/137/137 246/206/207 68/84/105 210/10/16 221/221/221 208/218/234 ◼ 宏观：美联储降息预期、地缘政治风险叠加去美元化预期推动资金青睐实物资产有色金属，去年四季度以来资金持续流入推动铝价随板块 上涨，同时关注伊朗地区地缘政治风险。但近日市场风险偏好有所变化，前期强势上涨品种的市场氛围降温带动沪铝资金流出。商品市场 情绪转弱，引发多品种回调。 ◼ 产业供应：供给端刚性预期明显，安哥拉新项目如期投产，越南电解铝项目投产预期从二季度推迟至7月初；欧洲部分产能寻求复产但仍 处于前期规划阶段、所处国家寻求欧盟补贴以应对高昂的电力成本。负基差较大带动短期铸锭增加、铝棒加工费短期转负，后续持续关注 铝水就地转化率。 ◼ 产业需求：表观需求短期有所 ...

炒股就看金麒麟分析师研报，权威，专业，及时，全面，助您挖掘潜力主题机会！ 【导读】国际金价、银价齐涨，再创历史新高 中国基金报记者 晨曦 国际金价、银价，双双大涨！ 1月19日，伦敦现货黄金价格最高达4690美元/盎司，涨幅超2%，刷新历史纪录。 | < | | 伦敦金现 | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | SPTAUUSDOZ.IDC | | | | | | 4677.628 | | 昨结 | 4595.515 | 开盘 | 4595.860 | | | +82.113 +1.79% | | 总量(kq) | 0.00 | 现手 | | 0 | | 最高价 4690.880 | | 持 仓 | 0 | ar 물 | | 0 | | 最低价 4595.860 | | 增 仓 | 0 | 内 盘 | | 0 | | સ્ત્ર B4 | 五日 日K 月K | | 周K | | 更多 | (0) | | 叠加 | 均价: -- | | | | 필 | | | 4690.880 | | 2.08% 卖1 4677.960 0 | | ...

具体走势上，金价自周初高开至4516.02美元/盎司，先行录得当周低点4512.88美元，之后反弹走强拉升，突破之前高点，之后多头动力减弱，并处于高位 震荡，于周三录得当周高点4642.63美元，周五一度回撤，收复当周大部分涨幅至4536.55美元，但最终触底回升，收于4594.07美元，相对于前周收盘价 4509.95美元，周振幅129.75美元，收涨84.12美元，涨幅1.865%。 张尧浠：黄金支撑因素此消彼长、调整仍都视为多头机会 黄金市场上周：国际黄金再度反弹走强收涨，延续前周多头动力，并刷新历史高点，虽有所回撤获利了结，但多头仍占据优势，后市仍有望继续走强进一 步刷新高点。 影响上，周初受到地缘局势加剧，以及特朗普政府对美联储主席鲍威尔展开刑事调查的不确定性加深，引发了市场对美联储独立性和美元长期前景的担 忧。助力金价突破4600美元关口； 之后，虽然一度触及当周高点，但由于芝商所继续调整保证金的影响，加上获利了结。以及美国11月零售销售和生产者物价指数（PPI）表现强劲，减弱 了多头动力，再加上地缘局势缓和，近期稳健的美国就业数据支撑了美元，并使市场对美联储进一步降息的预期推迟至6月。一度打压金 ...

首席点 评： 地缘风险加剧，贵金属现货续创新高 美国总统特朗普近日宣布成立的所谓加沙 "和平委员会"，已向大约60个国家和国际组织发送了入会邀 请函。据称，法国、德国、意大利、匈牙利、澳大利亚、加拿大、欧盟委员会及中东主要国家均在被邀 请之列。不过目前各受邀国对这一邀请大多作出谨慎回应，只有匈牙利总理欧尔班明确接受了邀请。根 据披露的相关章程草案副本，该委员会将由特朗普担任"终身主席"，据称要"首先处理加沙冲突，之后 将扩展至应对其他冲突"。该委员会成员任期限制为三年，但支付10亿美元以资助该委员会活动可获得 永久成员资格。目前已有多名西方外交官指出，"这是一个'特朗普版联合国'，无视《联合国宪章》的 基本原则，似乎会破坏联合国的作用，令人担忧。现货黄金涨破4650美元/盎司关口，创历史新高。现 货白银涨超2%，重返92美元/盎司上方。此前特朗普就格陵兰岛问题发出关税威胁。 重点品种：原油、油脂、贵金属 原油 ： SC夜盘上涨1.48%。特朗普此前曾威胁要对伊朗进行干预，但现在采取了观望的态度，石油市 场地缘政治风险溢价降低。 由于特朗普周三与委内瑞拉代总统罗德里格斯进行了积极的电话通话，市 场情绪进一步转向 ...

期货交易咨询业务资格：证监许可【2011】1285号 华联期货白银周报 短线波动加剧，地缘支撑较强 20250118 作者：曾可 交易咨询号：Z0022773 从业资格号：F03118676 0769-22116880 审核：邓丹，从业资格号: F0300922，交易咨询号：Z0011401 请务必阅读正文后的免责声明。本报告的信息均来自已公开信息，关于信息的准确性与完整性，建议投资者谨慎判断，据此入市，风险自担。 请务必阅读正文后的免责声明。本报告的信息均来自已公开信息，关于信息的准确性与完整性，建议投资者谨慎判断，据此入市，风险自担。 周度观点及策略 请务必阅读正文后的免责声明。本报告的信息均来自已公开信息，关于信息的准确性与完整性，建议投资者谨慎判断，据此入市，风险自担。 周度观点 请务必阅读正文后的免责声明。本报告的信息均来自已公开信息，关于信息的准确性与完整性，建议投资者谨慎判断，据此入市，风险自担。 ◆ 白银走势：上周白银强势上涨后有所调整，整体高位运行，伦敦银周内突破90美元/盎司整数关口，最终收报90.134；受外 盘驱动，沪银主力合约将新高刷新至23688元/千克。伦敦银和沪银周度涨幅分别为 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [7] Core Views - As of January 12, 2026, the company's PE ratio is 31.42x, positioned at the 24th percentile historically since 2016, indicating a certain level of investment value. It is expected that the continuous enhancement of the mutual market access policy will elevate liquidity in the Hong Kong capital market, leading to increased market activity and valuation. The company is projected to achieve revenues and other income of HKD 30.1 billion, HKD 32.7 billion, and HKD 35.1 billion for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with net profits attributable to shareholders of HKD 17.4 billion, HKD 19.2 billion, and HKD 20.8 billion, corresponding to PE valuations of 31.5x, 28.6x, and 26.3x respectively [2][50] Summary by Relevant Sections Market Environment - The Hong Kong stock market continued its upward trend in December, supported by domestic policy drivers and expectations of interest rate cuts from the Federal Reserve. The Hang Seng Index and Hang Seng Tech Index increased by 27.8% and 23.5% respectively compared to the end of 2024. The total market capitalization of listed securities on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange reached HKD 47.39 trillion, with a year-on-year increase of 34.2% [10][15] Trading Volume - The average daily trading (ADT) for the Hong Kong stock market in December was HKD 186 billion, reflecting a month-on-month decrease of 19.4% but a year-on-year increase of 31.0%. Northbound trading ADT was HKD 229.7 billion, down 5.5% month-on-month but up 11.6% year-on-year. Southbound trading ADT was HKD 83.6 billion, down 14.6% month-on-month but up 26.5% year-on-year [15][19] Derivatives Market - In December, the trading volume of futures and options decreased month-on-month. The average daily volume (ADV) for futures was 517,000 contracts, down 18.8% month-on-month and 12.6% year-on-year. The ADV for options was 823,000 contracts, down 18.9% month-on-month but up 13.5% year-on-year [19] Primary Market - The IPO scale in the Hong Kong market saw a significant year-on-year increase in December, with 26 new stocks listed, raising a total of HKD 25.7 billion, which is a 189% increase year-on-year but a 39% decrease month-on-month. The total number of new listings for 2025 was 117, with a cumulative scale of HKD 286 billion, representing a 224% year-on-year increase [29][30] Investment Income - As of the end of December, the relevant interest rates for investment income showed a general decline. The 6-month HIBOR was 2.99%, down 0.23 percentage points month-on-month and down 1.21 percentage points year-on-year [39] Macroeconomic Environment - The domestic economic outlook improved, with the manufacturing PMI for December at 50.10, indicating growth. The overseas liquidity is expected to enhance further due to a cooling job market and anticipated interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve [43][45]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for all key companies listed, including Zijin Mining, Luoyang Molybdenum, and Huayou Cobalt, among others [3]. Core Insights - The report highlights that geopolitical tensions are driving up precious metal prices, with gold and silver showing significant increases due to heightened risk aversion [1][9]. - Industrial metal prices are experiencing mixed trends, with aluminum and copper facing downward pressure while zinc and nickel show some resilience [9][15]. - The report emphasizes the importance of domestic policies aimed at boosting demand, which are expected to support industrial metal prices in the near term [9][26]. Industry Performance - The SW Nonferrous Index increased by 3.94% during the week, while the Shanghai Composite Index and CSI 300 Index saw declines of 0.45% and 0.57%, respectively [9]. - Precious metals such as gold and silver have seen price increases of 1.83% and 12.73%, respectively, reflecting strong market demand [9][15]. Industrial Metals - Aluminum prices decreased by 0.65% to $3,129 per ton, while copper prices fell by 1.21% to $12,808.5 per ton [15]. - Zinc prices increased by 1.86% to $3,207.5 per ton, and nickel prices rose by 0.52% to $17,792 per ton [15]. - The report notes that domestic aluminum production is increasing, but demand remains weak, leading to a slight rise in inventory levels [26][28]. Precious Metals - Gold prices are projected to continue rising due to central bank purchases and a weakening dollar, with current prices around 1,034.77 CNY per gram [9][72]. - Silver prices have surged, with a notable increase in demand driven by geopolitical uncertainties [9][72]. Energy Metals - Cobalt prices are expected to rise as supply chain issues persist, with current market dynamics favoring a bullish outlook [9][88]. - Lithium prices have also seen significant increases, reflecting strong demand in the energy sector [9][88].

Core Viewpoint - The potential nomination of Kevin Hassett as the next Federal Reserve Chairman has shifted, with President Trump expressing a desire for Hassett to remain in his current role, leading to a decrease in Hassett's nomination probability and an increase for Kevin Walsh [1][3]. Market Reaction - Following Trump's comments, U.S. stock and bond markets experienced a sell-off, with the 10-year Treasury yield surpassing 4.2% for the first time since early September, and all three major stock indices reversing their initial gains [3]. - Investors are concerned that Hassett, viewed as a candidate likely to support interest rate cuts, may not be nominated, contributing to market volatility [3]. Nomination Probabilities - Hassett's probability of becoming the next Fed Chairman had previously been as high as 90% before mid-December last year, but has since declined due to opposition from Trump's allies [4][5]. - Current predictions show Walsh's nomination probability rising to 58% on Kalshi and 60% on Polymarket, while Hassett's has dropped to 15% and 16% respectively [1][3]. Future Outlook - Despite ongoing investigations into current Fed Chairman Powell, market expectations for the Fed's interest rate policy remain largely unchanged, with investors anticipating a total of 54 basis points in rate cuts by year-end [6][8]. - Key upcoming economic data, including the core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index and the Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI), will be crucial in shaping future Fed policy expectations [8].

王爷说财经讯：继续疯涨！你敢信吗？国际金价又双叒叕创历史新高了！ 2026年1月15日消息，1月14 日，现货黄金价格正式突破4630美元/盎司，较开年涨幅已达6%，日内最高触及4636美元/盎司。 更直观的是，咱们身边的金饰价格也同步飙升，周大福、老凤祥等主流品牌金饰价格全线上探1430元/克高位，周生生甚至涨到了1438元/克。 那么这轮金价疯涨到底是怎么回事？背后藏着哪些推手？牛市还能持续多久？普通人该不该跟风上车？咱们一一说清楚。 监管层集体"降温"，反而让市场更疑惑：这轮金价牛市的底气到底在哪？ 01、黄金再创新高！ 先把时间线理明白，这轮金价上涨可不是突然爆发的。 2026年开年以来，金价就开启了"开挂模式"，从4300美元/盎司附近一路冲高，1月12日首次突破4630美元/盎司，短短两天后就再次刷新纪录。 值得注意的是，面对持续升温的市场，国内外交易所和银行已经开始密集出手降温，芝加哥商品交易所近一个月内第四次调整黄金期货保证金比例，上海 黄金交易所不到一个月三次发布风险预警，工商银行更是把积存金业务风险等级上调至平衡型。 02、黄金疯涨的原因为何？ 其实金价大涨的核心原因就三个，咱们用大白话讲 ...