Domestic News - Xi Jinping held a phone call with US President Trump, indicating ongoing diplomatic engagement between the two nations [1] - The US plans to tighten regulations on foreign companies listed in the US, prompting a response from China's Foreign Ministry urging adherence to fair competition principles and cessation of politicizing economic issues [1] International News - The conflict between Trump and Musk escalated, resulting in Tesla's market value dropping by $150 billion [1] - The European Central Bank lowered three key interest rates by 25 basis points, with Lagarde suggesting the end of the rate-cutting cycle, leading the market to no longer fully price in another 25 basis point cut within the year [2] - Initial jobless claims in the US surged to an eight-month high, while the trade deficit decreased sharply by 55.5% to $61.6 billion due to a significant drop in imports caused by Trump's tariffs [2] - The US is showing flexibility in reducing additional tariffs on Japan, and negotiations with India may lead to a temporary agreement on tariff reductions and market access [2] - The US Treasury's semi-annual report did not label any country as a currency manipulator, indicating a potential easing of trade tensions [3]

Group 1 - Goldman Sachs indicates a shift in investor preference towards euro financing, suggesting that the premium for dollar borrowing may turn into a discount due to European Central Bank policies and savings-investment dynamics across the Atlantic [1] - The report highlights that the premium for euro against dollar is driven by the slower reduction of the ECB's balance sheet compared to the Fed, and the persistent U.S. budget deficit relative to Europe's solid net international investment position [1] - Goldman Sachs also notes that the "retribution tax" clause in Trump's tax reform may weaken foreign investors' interest in U.S. assets, potentially redirecting attention back to European markets, with European investors' confidence in the continent's prospects increasing [1] Group 2 - The CEO of ING Group warns that the collapse of the Dutch government may slow down decision-making related to proposed investment initiatives in Europe, emphasizing the need for significant decisions in digital and defense infrastructure investments [2] - Danske Bank's senior analyst predicts that the yield on 30-year U.S. Treasury bonds is likely to exceed 5% due to better-than-expected employment data and anticipated Senate approval of Trump's budget proposal [3] Group 3 - Mitsubishi UFJ Morgan Stanley Securities forecasts that the yield on 10-year Japanese government bonds will fluctuate between 1.4% and 1.5%, influenced by market concerns over long-term bond demand and potential government bond issuance reductions [4] - CITIC Securities reports a continuous rise in prices of strategic metals like molybdenum and tungsten, driven by resource scarcity and increasing demand from sectors such as new energy and military, suggesting investment opportunities in these metals [5] - CITIC Securities also predicts that gold priced in U.S. dollars will continue to strengthen, reflecting broader market trends [5] Group 4 - Galaxy Securities notes that infrastructure investment growth remains high, with a broad infrastructure investment growth rate of 10.86% in the first four months of the year, and recommends focusing on growth-stabilizing sectors [6] - Huatai Securities highlights the recovery in the real estate market, recommending "three good" real estate stocks and stable property management companies, as well as monitoring policies aimed at stabilizing the market [7] - Huatai Securities anticipates a reduction in preset interest rates, which could lower costs for the insurance industry and improve sales momentum, as insurance stocks are currently undervalued [8]

资金方面，隔夜 shibor 报 1.4080%，较前一交易日下跌 0.2bp，7 天 shibor 报 1.5430%，较前一 交易日上涨 2.8bp；14 天 shibor 报 1.5760%，较前一交易日下跌 0.3bp；1 个月 shibor 报 1.6200%， 与上一交易日持平。 上一交易日国债期货市场 | | | 主力合约 | 开盘价 | 最高价 | 最低价 | 收盘价 | 涨跌(%) | 振幅(%) | 成交 | 持仓 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 | 年期 | TS2509 | 102.372 | 102.416 | 102.360 | 102.396 | 0.04 | 0.05 | 31202 | 114335 | | 5 | 年期 | TF2509 | 105.990 | 106.060 | 105.935 | 106.035 | 0.07 | 0.12 | 46001 | 139957 | | 10 | 年期 | T2509 | 108.720 | 108.775 | ...

为保持银行体系流动性充裕，中国人民银行在2025年5月以固定数量、利率招标、多重价位中标方式开 展了7000亿元买断式逆回购操作。 | 买断式逆回购操作情况 | | | --- | --- | | 期限 | 操作量 | | 3个月(91天) | 4000亿元 | | 6个月(182天) | 3000亿元 | ...

经济观察网讯5月30日重点关注的财经要闻与资本市场大事 1、中国贸促会将召开5月例行新闻发布会 5月30日上午10时，中国贸促会将召开5月例行新闻发布会。中国贸促会新闻发言人赵萍将发布2025年3 月全球经贸摩擦指数、2025年4月全国贸促系统商事认证数据、《日本营商环境报告2024》和《韩国营 商环境报告2024》、2025年全球贸易投资促进峰会成果、大阪世博会活动预告等。 2、国家卫生健康委就共促儿童健康成长有关情况举行发布会 5月30日下午3时，国家卫生健康委将召开新闻发布会，介绍共促儿童健康成长有关情况，并回答媒体提 问。 3、4.88亿元市值限售股今日解禁 今日看点 5月30日，21家公司共发布23个股票回购相关进展。其中，2家公司首次披露股票回购预案，1家公司回 购方案获股东大会通过，5家公司披露股票回购实施进展，13家公司回购方案已实施完毕。 从首次披露回购预案来看，嘉化能源、海南矿业分别拟回购不超6.0亿元、275.26万元。从股东大会通过 回购预案来看，国泰海通拟回购不超433.69万元。从回购实施进展来看，天山铝业、中国核电、奥海科 技回购金额最高，分别回购7022.12万元、3698.0 ...

Group 1: Interest Rates and Central Bank Operations - DRO01 closed at 1.45 with a -6.33bp change, DR007 at 1.62 with a -3.59bp change, GC001 at 1.77 with a 15.00bp change, and GC007 at 1.76 with a 4.00bp change [4] - SHBOR 3M closed at 1.64 with a 0.10bp change, LPR 5 - year at 3.60 with a 0.00bp change [4] - 1 - year, 5 - year, and 10 - year Chinese treasury bonds closed at 1.46, 1.54, and 1.72 respectively, with changes of 0.76bp, 1.12bp, and 0.51bp; 10 - year US treasury bonds closed at 4.51 with a -3.00bp change [4] - The central bank conducted 4480 billion yuan of 7 - day reverse repurchase operations with an operating rate of 1.40%, and a net investment of 910 billion yuan after 3570 billion yuan of reverse repurchases matured [4] - There will be 9460 billion yuan of reverse repurchases maturing in the central bank's open market this week, with 1570 billion, 1545 billion, and 1425 billion yuan maturing from Wednesday to Friday [5] - On May 20, the 1 - year LPR was 3.0% (down from 3.1%), and the 5 - year LPR was 3.5% (down from 3.6%); state - owned and some joint - stock banks cut deposit rates [5] Group 2: Stock Indexes and Market Conditions - The CSI 300, SSE 50, CSI 500, and CSI 1000 closed at 3839, 2685, 5652, and 6008 respectively, with changes of -0.54%, -0.52%, -0.31%, and -0.34% [6] - IF, IH, IC, and IM of the current - month contracts closed at 3809, 2669, 5578, and an unspecified value respectively, with changes of -0.6%, -0.6%, -0.3%, and -0.2% [6] - IF, IH, IC, and IM trading volumes were 75774, 39115, 74989, and 195063 respectively, with changes of -12.6%, -15.2%, -10.3%, and 5.2%; their positions were 240995, 81979, 209867, and 329034 respectively, with changes of 2.3%, 2.0%, 0.4%, and 3.2% [6] - The trading volume of the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets was 9989 billion yuan, a decrease of 110 billion yuan; the pesticide and veterinary medicine sector rose significantly, while consumer sectors led the gains, and precious metals, semiconductors and other sectors led the losses [6] - The market volume shrank again, and the stock indexes oscillated weakly; the US postponed the implementation of a 50% tariff on EU imports to July 9 [7] - Stock indexes may continue to oscillate weakly; the probability of incremental policies and strong capital intervention in the short - term is low, and the market may enter a policy vacuum period [7] - Macro - level core indicators showed a decline in April, indicating that the effectiveness of previous growth - stabilizing policies was not obvious; it is advisable to observe stock indexes cautiously and pay attention to macro - incremental signals [7] Group 3: Futures Premium and Discount - The premium and discount rates of IF for the current - month, next - month, current - quarter, and next - quarter contracts were 11.96%, 12.43%, 0.02%, and 6.10% respectively [8] - The premium and discount rates of IH for the current - month, next - month, current - quarter, and next - quarter contracts were 9.45%, 12.20%, 6.30%, and 3.70% respectively [8] - The premium and discount rates of IC for the current - month, next - month, current - quarter, and next - quarter contracts were 19.95%, 18.47%, 14.81%, and 12.26% respectively [8] - The premium and discount rates of IM for the current - month, next - month, current - quarter, and next - quarter contracts were 23.66%, 21.62%, 18.05%, and 15.38% respectively [8]

Group 1 - The People's Bank of China conducted a 3,820 billion yuan reverse repurchase operation with a rate of 1.40%, maintaining the previous level, resulting in a net injection of 2,275 billion yuan after 1,545 billion yuan of reverse repos matured on the same day [1] - The overnight Shanghai Interbank Offered Rate (Shibor) decreased by 5.90 basis points to 1.5060%, while the 7-day Shibor increased by 2.70 basis points to 1.5790%, ending the previous inversion [1][2] - In the interbank pledged repo market, overnight rates fell, while 7-day and 14-day rates rose, with R007 and R014 showing inversion [4] Group 2 - The weighted average rates for DR001 and R001 decreased by 5.4 basis points and 6.3 basis points, respectively, with transaction volumes increasing by 16.7 billion yuan and 94.8 billion yuan [4] - The issuance of interbank certificates of deposit was active, with 109 certificates issued on May 26, totaling 315.51 billion yuan [10] - The secondary market for certificates of deposit showed a fluctuating upward trend, with the 1-year rate for major banks actively priced at 1.70%, leading to a relatively subdued market sentiment [11]

投资咨询业务资格:证监许可【2012】31号 | 宏观金融数据日报 | 品种 | 收盘价 | 较前一日变动 | 品种 | 收盘价 | 我則一日变 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | (%) | | | 动(%) | | 沪深300 | 3882 | -0.81 | IF当月 | 3846 | -0.9 | | 上证50 | 2712 | -0.80 | IH当月 | 2693 | -0.8 | | 中证500 | 5653 | -0.88 | IC当月 | 5562 | -0.9 | | 中证1000 | 5990 | -1.26 | IM当月 | 5872 | -1.3 | | IF成交量 | 110117 | 52.7 | IF持仓量 | 251143 | 7.7 | | IH成交量 | 51804 | 38.4 | IH持仓量 | 85531 | 9.0 | | IC成交量 | 98824 | 27.3 | IC持仓量 | 216012 | 4.0 | | IM成交量 | 233775 | 15.2 | IM持仓量 | 335860 | 1.6 | ...

Group 1 - The central bank has implemented a significant reverse repurchase operation of nearly 400 billion yuan to offset the upcoming maturity of 946 billion yuan in reverse repos this week [4] - The short-term funding environment shows a slight increase in the Shanghai Interbank Offered Rate (Shibor) for overnight, 7-day, and 14-day tenors, indicating a mixed trend in liquidity [4] - The central bank has conducted a 500 billion yuan Medium-term Lending Facility (MLF) operation with a one-year term, resulting in a net injection of 375 billion yuan after accounting for 125 billion yuan in maturing MLFs [4] Group 2 - The chief macro analyst from Dongfang Jincheng noted that since April, external environment volatility has increased, prompting domestic extraordinary counter-cyclical adjustments [5] - The recent reduction in reserve requirements and continued large-scale MLF operations indicate that quantitative policy tools are actively supporting liquidity in the banking system, enhancing credit availability for enterprises and households [5] - The combination of the reserve requirement cut and various medium-term liquidity management tools will result in a substantial net injection of liquidity in May, providing crucial support for new credit issuance and social financing [5]

Group 1 - The domestic money market interest rates continue the trend of "short-term rise and long-term decline" as the demand for funds increases ahead of the Dragon Boat Festival, pushing up short-term rates [1] - As of May 20, the overnight, 1-week, and 2-week Shanghai Interbank Offered Rates (Shibor) were reported at 1.509%, 1.556%, and 1.65%, respectively, showing increases of 10.3, 6.6, and 9.4 basis points compared to May 13 [1] - The People's Bank of China (PBOC) announced a 0.1 percentage point reduction in the 7-day reverse repurchase rate effective May 8, and a 0.5 percentage point reduction in the reserve requirement ratio for financial institutions effective May 15, injecting approximately 1 trillion yuan of long-term liquidity into the market [1] Group 2 - On May 20, the 1-year Loan Prime Rate (LPR) and the 5-year LPR were both reduced by 0.1 percentage points to 3% and 3.5%, respectively, marking the first LPR cut in eight months [1] - The PBOC is expected to inject liquidity through reverse repos to stabilize the impact of the upcoming Dragon Boat Festival and month-end on the money market [2] - The expectation is that the money market interest rates will continue to exhibit the "short-term rise and long-term decline" trend in the following week [2]