证券研究报告|行业研究周报 [Table_Date] 2025 年 12 月 7 日 [Table_Title] 看好变压器&燃气轮机海外需求，机器人产业化推 进 [Table_Title2] 电力设备与新能源行业周观察 [Table_Summary] 报告摘要 随着海内外企业布局加速&AI 技术突破，人形机器有望迎来量产落 地时点。在降本需求的驱动下，人形机器人核心零部件的国产替代 需求强烈，市场空间广阔，率先取得突破的国内企业有望深度受 益。灵巧手、大脑和轻量化是人形机器人商业化落地的关键环节， 重点看好技术迭代和产业演进领先的国内生产厂商。 多家车企公布 11 月新能源汽车交付/销量 我们认为，在行业旺季趋势下，11月国内多数车企实现新能源汽车 交付/销量环比增长，全年新能源汽车表现亮眼。明年展望来看， 国内新能源汽车预计保持稳定增长，商用车电动化率提升叠加单车 带电量的增加预计带动动力电池需求较快增长。叠加国内外储能高 景气度，预计全年锂电池出货同比增长明显。在前期供给过剩导致 价格大幅下跌的背景下，动力及储能电池产业链多数企业出现亏 损。在"反内卷"趋势下，叠加海内外动储需求共振，电池及材料 环节迎 ...

Group 1 - The first batch of eight actively managed theme funds on the Beijing Stock Exchange (BSE) is set to enter its second open period, with an average cumulative return of nearly 100% over the past two years, outperforming major indices such as the ChiNext 50 and the BSE 50 by 50% [3][6][8] - As of December 5, 2025, the average cumulative return of these eight theme funds since inception is 62.31%, with some funds achieving returns exceeding 100%, the highest being 138% [3][6][7] - The total market value of publicly offered funds' heavy holdings in BSE stocks has shown a rising trend, surpassing 10 billion yuan in Q3 2025, indicating a more diversified investment approach [3][8] Group 2 - The BSE market has seen the issuance of 33 BSE 50 index funds, with a total scale of 13.3 billion yuan as of December 5, 2025, reflecting a steady growth in passive index fund offerings [10][11] - The overall price-to-earnings (PE) ratio of BSE A-shares remains at 44X, with daily trading volume averaging 13.9 billion yuan, indicating a stable market environment [20][23] - The BSE 50 index has reported a weekly increase of 1.49%, closing at 1,408.34 points, while the overall sentiment in the A-share market remains cautious amid upcoming significant meetings [17][25] Group 3 - The BSE has witnessed a total of 47 companies listed from January 1, 2024, to December 5, 2025, with one new company, Jingchuang Electric, listed in the week of December 1, 2025 [26][27] - The average issuance PE ratio for newly listed companies in 2024 is 13.79X, with an average first-day price fluctuation of 288% [12][13]

电力设备 多晶硅市场维持稳定，大金重工欧洲拓展加速 光伏：多晶硅市场整体维持稳定，电池酝酿挺价。据安泰科统计，本周多晶硅 n 型复投料成 交价格区间为 4.9-5.5 万元/吨，成交均价为 5.32 万元/吨，环比持平。n 型颗粒硅成交价格 区间为 5.0-5.1 万元/吨，成交均价为 5.05 万元/吨，环比持平。从成交情况看，主流签单企 业数量维持在 5 家，头部棒状硅企业和颗粒硅企业签单量和成交价格与前期基本持平。据 Infolink Consulting，本周 N 型电池片价格：183N、210RN 与 210N 价格持平，均价仍分别 为每瓦 0.285、0.275 与 0.285 元人民币，价格区间分别为每瓦 0.28-0.29、0.27-0.275 与 0.28-0.285 元人民币。由头部厂家带领，本月电池片环节进行大规模减产，其中 210RN 排 产占比显著下滑，本周部分电池片厂家正酝酿坚挺该尺寸价格，并给出每瓦 0.285 元人民币 的报价。组件价格方面，TOPCon 国内集中式项目交付范围落在每瓦 0.64-0.70 元人民币左 右；分布式项目落在每瓦 0.66-0.70 元人民币不等。近 ...

2025 年 12 月 06 日 策略周报 研究所： 证券分析师： 赵阳 S0350525100003 zhaoy05@ghzq.com.cn [Table_Title] 如果春季躁动提前，哪些方向值得关注？ 最近一年走势 相关报告 《流动性周报 12 月第 1 期：ETF 资金净流出，宏 观流动性边际收敛*赵阳》——2025-12-01 《策略周报：近期海外市场关注的三个焦点问题* 赵阳，袁野》——2025-11-29 《流动性周报 11 月第 1 期：基金发行端回暖，杠 杆资金有所放缓*赵阳》——2025-11-24 阳》——2025-11-23 《美股 AI 泡沫度量与互联网周期定位*袁野，赵阳》 ——2025-11-16 本篇报告主要讨论：1、每年 2 月是常规春季躁动区间，牛市年份是否会 提前？2、从市场环境上看，本轮的跨年春季行情有没有可能提前？3、 如果春季躁动提前，如何布局？ 核心要点: 国海证券研究所 请务必阅读正文后免责条款部分 1、从历史的跨年行情上看，整体胜率最高的是 2 月份，即"春季躁 动"行情的常规时间区间。但如果去看过去几轮牛市中继的年份， 我们发现"春季躁动"行情往往会提前。 ...

Group 1: Strategic Overview - China is transitioning from a global rule adapter to a co-builder and responsible stakeholder in international governance[3] - The 14th Five-Year Plan (14th FYP) focused on economic security, while the 15th Five-Year Plan (15th FYP) emphasizes "development and security" across all sectors[3] - The 15th FYP identifies emerging industries as "pillar industries," focusing on new energy and new materials, with a core strategy of cluster development and large-scale application[3] Group 2: Investment Opportunities - The 15th FYP highlights ten key investment areas: 1) Artificial Intelligence, 2) Robotics, 3) Aerospace, 4) Drones/Low-altitude Economy, 5) Strategic Resource Metals, 6) Shipping, 7) Controlled Nuclear Fusion, 8) Energy Storage, 9) Brain-Machine Interfaces, 10) Innovative Pharmaceuticals[3] - The Chinese robotics industry is transitioning from product definition to commercialization, with AI expected to empower various sectors by 2026[3] - The aerospace industry is a key focus, with the establishment of a new space administration and a three-year action plan for commercial aerospace development[3] Group 3: Economic and Security Considerations - The 15th FYP emphasizes the strategic importance of national defense and security, with a focus on political security as a priority[3] - The plan includes new initiatives for the development and reserve of strategic mineral resources, enhancing the national security framework[3] - Risks include potential delays in policy implementation and slower-than-expected industry capacity adjustments, influenced by international geopolitical changes[3]

"今年海外铜矿供应扰动频发，供应紧张加剧，为铜价上涨提供了直接动力。本周海外商品交易巨头大 量注销亚洲的LME铜库存仓单，再度引发了市场对美国以外地区铜供应收紧的担忧。自二季度以来， 已有超50万吨的铜运往美国。"孙匡文表示，大量铜库存向美国转移，导致其他地区可流通的铜库存减 少。此次超5万吨的铜库存再度转移至美国，进一步加剧了市场对流通货源紧张的担忧，刺激铜价再创 新高。 南华期货研究院高级总监傅小燕也认为，全球铜库存继续向美国聚集引发了市场对亚洲铜供应紧张的担 忧。12月3日的数据显示，上期所铜期货注册仓单数量为28969吨，较前一日减少1599吨；LME铜库存 为162150吨，较前一日增加350吨，但注册仓单大幅减少50225吨，至105275吨；COMEX铜库存为 431938吨，较前一日增加2592吨。 本周五，国内外铜价继续走强，均创历史新高。截至午盘收盘，沪铜期货主力合约上涨2.19%，盘中最 高触及92910元/吨；LME铜涨幅超2%，盘中最高触及11705美元/吨。 周五，花旗在基准情景中预计，受供应短缺影响，明年二季度的铜价平均值将触及13000美元/吨。 新湖期货有色金属研发总监孙匡文 ...

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company, marking it as the first coverage [2][6]. Core Insights - The company is positioned in high-growth sectors such as robotics and thermal management, with significant profit enhancement from the overseas photovoltaic frame market [1][6]. - The company has a strong competitive edge in the photovoltaic frame sector, having successfully integrated into the supply chains of leading domestic and international manufacturers [6][29]. - The acquisition of Jienowei allows the company to enter the thermal management market, with clear expansion plans and an optimized customer structure expected to enhance profitability [6][31]. Financial Data and Profit Forecast - Total revenue projections for 2023 to 2027 are as follows: 5,391 million, 8,183 million, 12,329 million, 17,136 million, and 23,161 million respectively, with growth rates of 4.1%, 51.8%, 50.7%, 39.0%, and 35.2% [5][37]. - The forecasted net profit for the same period is 371 million, 268 million, 60 million, 373 million, and 692 million, with corresponding growth rates of 50.7%, -27.7%, -77.7%, 523.1%, and 85.6% [5][37]. - The company’s earnings per share are projected to be 1.56, 1.13, 0.25, 1.57, and 2.92 for the years 2023 to 2027 [5][37]. Business Strategy and Market Position - The company leverages its advantages in the photovoltaic and aluminum supply chains to diversify into thermal management, energy storage, and robotics, with future growth primarily driven by overseas markets [6][34]. - The company’s Vietnam base is strategically positioned to serve the US and Indian markets, benefiting from higher processing fees and profit margins [6][34]. - The company has established partnerships with key players in the robotics sector, leading to successful mass deliveries and anticipated growth in this business line [6][31]. Key Assumptions - The report assumes overseas frame sales of 95,000 tons, 155,000 tons, and 200,000 tons from 2025 to 2027, with domestic sales of 405,000 tons, 505,000 tons, and 600,000 tons respectively [6][34]. - The company is expected to achieve profitability in its energy storage business starting in the second half of 2026 [6][34]. Catalysts for Growth - Sufficient orders from the Vietnam base for photovoltaic frames [6][34]. - Continuous advancement in the application of new technologies for photovoltaic frames [6][34]. - New business segments entering a revenue-generating phase [6][34].

Core Insights - The new energy storage industry is transitioning from "policy-driven" to "market-driven" value, marking a critical point in its development [1] - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology has initiated measures to regulate irrational competition in battery production, establishing a clear path for high-quality development in the industry [1] - The "Aurora Award" aims to recognize leading companies in the energy storage sector, providing valuable references for industry decision-making and supplier selection [1] Industry Developments - The energy storage sector is entering a "quality improvement and efficiency enhancement" golden period due to sustained capacity compensation policies and the rapid growth of load and renewable energy installations [1] - The "Aurora Award" has received enthusiastic responses, with various companies competing for recognition in the energy storage field [2] Notable Companies and Innovations - **融和元储 (Ronghe Yuanshu)**: Focuses on operational efficiency with its AI-driven platform, achieving a 50% increase in electricity price prediction accuracy and an 80% improvement in data processing efficiency [3] - **海尔新能源 (Haier New Energy)**: Provides comprehensive smart clean energy solutions, with an annual production capacity of 1.5GWh and a cumulative shipment of over 1GWh [4] - **利星能 (Lixing Energy)**: Engages in full-chain capabilities in the new energy sector, with over 10GWh annual delivery capacity and a focus on comprehensive energy service models [5][6] - **汇川技术 (Inovance Technology)**: Achieved significant breakthroughs in energy storage systems, with a production capacity of 50GW and rapid project delivery capabilities [7] - **固德威 (GoodWe)**: Implements a platform strategy for smart energy management, managing over 9GW of distributed energy [8] - **古瑞瓦特 (Greewat)**: A leading provider of distributed energy solutions, with a focus on innovation and a global presence [9][10] - **远东电池 (Far East Battery)**: Achieved a revenue of 20.209 billion yuan in the first three quarters of 2025, with a 30.92% increase in smart battery business revenue [11] - **林洋储能 (Linyang Energy)**: Established a diversified market presence with over 6GWh of delivered storage products [12] - **安徽明美新能 (Anhui Mingmei New Energy)**: Focuses on high-end and emerging markets, with a total shipment of over 7.5GWh [13] - **科创储能 (Kechuang Energy)**: A pioneer in the mass production of immersion liquid cooling technology, with a production capacity of 12GWh [14][15] - **TCL光伏科技 (TCL Solar Technology)**: Offers flexible cooperation models for commercial energy storage, significantly reducing industry entry barriers [16] - **碧澄能源 (PCG Power)**: A leading provider of distributed clean energy solutions, with nearly 2GW of distributed renewable energy projects [17] Innovative Products - **协鑫储能 (GCL Energy Storage)**: Launched the AI-driven G-INSIGHT platform for optimizing commercial energy storage revenue [18] - **协能科技 (XieNeng Technology)**: Introduced a high-current balancing BMS that addresses historical challenges in energy storage systems [19] - **泰来精工 (Tailai Precision)**: Specializes in high-efficiency heat exchangers for energy storage inverters, with a production capacity of 100,000 units [20] Upcoming Events - The final award winners of the "Aurora Award" will be announced on January 8, 2026, at the "Power Market and Intelligent Energy Storage Enterprise Innovation Practice Summit" [21][22]

Core Viewpoint - The A-share market experienced significant activity with 80 stocks hitting the daily limit up, highlighting strong investor interest in specific sectors such as military and nuclear fusion concepts [1] Group 1: Military Sector - Solar Cable has achieved a four-day consecutive limit up, indicating strong market performance and investor confidence in the military sector [1] Group 2: Nuclear Fusion Concept - State Machine Heavy Equipment has recorded a three-day consecutive limit up, reflecting growing interest in nuclear fusion technology stocks [1] Group 3: Other Notable Stocks - Anji Food and Ruikang Pharmaceutical both achieved four consecutive limit ups, indicating robust performance in the food and pharmaceutical sectors respectively [1] - Longzhou Co., Aerospace Electromechanical, and Junya Technology each recorded three consecutive limit ups, showcasing strong investor interest in energy storage, aerospace, and humanoid robotics [1] - Other stocks such as Double Star New Materials, Mingdiao Co., Zhongyuan Home, and Shuhua Sports achieved two consecutive limit ups, indicating positive market sentiment in composite copper foil, building materials, home furnishings, and sports industries [1]

Core Viewpoint - The company, Huabao New Energy, is experiencing growth in its portable solar energy products and has strategic partnerships to develop sodium-ion batteries, benefiting from the depreciation of the RMB and a strong focus on lithium battery storage products [2][3]. Company Overview - Huabao New Energy, established on July 25, 2011, focuses on the research, production, and sales of lithium battery storage products, with portable storage products constituting 77.46% of its revenue [7]. - The company has developed a strong supply chain with high-quality suppliers such as Panasonic and LG Chem, and has expanded its customer base to include well-known brands like Tesla and BMW [2][7]. - As of September 30, 2025, the company reported a revenue of 2.942 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 37.95%, while net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 10.62% to 143 million yuan [7]. Financial Performance - The company's overseas revenue accounts for 95.09% of total revenue, benefiting from the depreciation of the RMB [3]. - The company has distributed a total of 378 million yuan in dividends since its A-share listing [8]. Market Activity - On December 5, the stock price of Huabao New Energy increased by 0.96%, with a trading volume of 42.685 million yuan and a turnover rate of 1.01%, leading to a total market capitalization of 9.75 billion yuan [1]. - The stock has seen a net outflow of 2.0101 million yuan from major investors today, with a continuous reduction in major funds over the past three days [4][5]. Technical Analysis - The average trading cost of the stock is 64.08 yuan, with recent reductions in holdings slowing down; the current stock price is approaching a resistance level of 57.52 yuan, indicating potential for a price correction if this level is not surpassed [6].