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【期货热点追踪】美豆油期价大幅走高,日内涨近7%,谷物市场却因天气承压,后市走向几何?
news flash· 2025-06-16 12:58
美豆油期价大幅走高,日内涨近7%,谷物市场却因天气承压,后市走向几何? 相关链接 期货热点追踪 ...
国投期货化工日报-20250616
Guo Tou Qi Huo· 2025-06-16 11:44
【尿素】 周末雨水过后,尿素现货市场走货有所好转。农业采购部分启动,复合肥夏季高氮肥生产进入尾声,生产企业 持续大幅累库。出口虽然有序放开,但法检流程推进较慢,部分货源被锁定,周期内满口库存小幅增长。尿素 供应充足延续,短期受农需启动以及国际尿素供应紧缺提振,行情止跌反弹。 【聚烯烃】 聚烯烃期货主力合约日内上行收涨。聚乙烯方面,油价走高从成本端对市场形成提振。国内LLDPE市场仍处于需 求谈季,下游行业整体需求表现缺乏显著完点。尽管基本面依旧疲弱,但盘面已经充分反映基本面利空,后期 随着农膜订单的积累,基本面有好转预期。聚丙烯方面,PP下游领域淡季特征明显,下游工厂盈利状况不佳, 对涨价后货源接受度不高,现货消化力度依旧偏弱,加之检修有所减少,供应近期小幅增加。不过价格已经处 于低位区间,随着成本端支撑走强,市场情绪仍有所修复。 | Million | ER FRANCE | | | 化工日报 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | 操作评级 | | 2025年06月16日 | | 尿素 | ななな | 甲醇 | 女女女 | 庞春艳 首席分析师 | | 苯乙烯 | な ...
国富期货早间看点:ITS马棕6月前15日出口增长26.3%,EPA提议2026年生产生物基柴油目标超预期-20250616
Guo Fu Qi Huo· 2025-06-16 06:18
2025/6/16 09:56 【国富期货早间看点】ITS 6 15 26.3% EPA 2026年⽣产⽣物基柴油⽬标超预期 20250616 【国富期货早间看点】ITS马棕6月前15日出口增长26.3% EPA提议 2026年生产生物基柴油目标超预期 20250616 2025年06月16日 07:21 上海 01 隔夜行情 | | 收盘价 | 上日涨跌幅(%) | 隔夜涨跌幅(%) | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 马棕油08(BMD) | 3927.00 | 2. 27 | | | 布伦特08(ICE) | 75. 18 | 6. 88 | 2.73 | | 美原油07(NYMEX) | 73. 18 | 6.27 | 1.89 | | 美豆07(CBOT) | 1068. 50 | 2.44 | 0. 26 | | 美豆粕07(CBOT) | 291. 30 | -1. 15 | 0. 03 | | 美豆油07(CBOT) | 50. 61 | 6.48 | 0.00 | | | 最新价 | 张跌幅(%) 十日涨跌幅 | | --- | --- | --- | | 美元指数 ...
《能源化工》日报-20250616
Guang Fa Qi Huo· 2025-06-16 05:25
聚酯产业链日报 投资咨询业务资格:证监许可 【2011】1292号 扫一扫关注广发期货研究资讯 2025年6月16日 聚烯烃产业期现日报 张晓珍 Z0003135 | 下游聚酯产品价格及现金流 | 上游价格 | 品种 | 品种 | 6月12日 | 6月13日 | 6 12日 | 涨跌 | 涨跌幅 | 单位 | 6月13日 | 涨跌 | 涨跌幅 | 单位 | | | | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 布伦特原油(8月) | 74.23 | 7.0% | POY150/48价格 | 6975 | 6955 | 50 | 0.7% | 69.36 | 4.87 | 美元/桶 | FDY150/96价格 | 20 | 7.3% | WTI原油(7月) | 72.98 | 68.04 | 4.94 | 7210 | 0.3% | 7230 | | | CFR日本 ...
【期货热点追踪】伊朗660万吨甲醇装置全部停产!甲醇主力合约早盘冲高,近月合约一度触及涨停!后市风险点在哪里?
news flash· 2025-06-16 04:09
伊朗660万吨甲醇装置全部停产!甲醇主力合约早盘冲高,近月合约一度触及涨停!后市风险点在哪 里? 期货热点追踪 相关链接 ...
宝城期货煤焦早报-20250616
Bao Cheng Qi Huo· 2025-06-16 04:06
投资咨询业务资格:证监许可【2011】1778 号 宝城期货煤焦早报(2025 年 6 月 16 日) ◼ 品种观点参考 时间周期说明:短期为一周以内、中期为两周至一月 | 品种 | | 短期 | 中期 | 日内 | 观点参考 | 核心逻辑概要 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 焦煤 | 2509 | 震荡 | 震荡 | 上涨 | 低位震荡 | 多空僵持,焦煤震荡调整 | | 焦炭 | 2509 | 震荡 | 震荡 | 震荡 偏强 | 低位震荡 | 成本支撑走强,焦炭止跌企稳 | 备注: 1.有夜盘的品种以夜盘收盘价为起始价格,无夜盘的品种以昨日收盘价为起始价格,当日日盘收盘 价为终点价格,计算涨跌幅度。 2.跌幅大于 1%为下跌,跌幅 0~1%为震荡偏弱,涨幅 0~1%为震荡偏强,涨幅大于 1%为上涨。 3.震荡偏强/偏弱只针对日内观点,短期和中期不做区分。 ◼ 主要品种价格行情驱动逻辑—商品期货黑色板块 品种:焦煤(JM) 日内观点:上涨 中期观点:震荡 参考观点:低位震荡 核心逻辑:5 月下旬以来,焦煤产量持续收缩,期间中美在伦敦开展经贸磋商 ...
本周热点前瞻2025-06-16
Guo Tai Jun An Qi Huo· 2025-06-16 03:38
Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant information provided. 2. Core Viewpoints The report provides a forward - looking analysis of key events and data releases in the current week (June 16 - 20, 2025) and their potential impacts on the futures market [2]. 3. Summaries by Related Catalogs 6月16日 - The National Bureau of Statistics will release the monthly report on residential sales prices in 70 large and medium - sized cities at 09:30, and its impact on relevant futures prices should be noted [3]. - The State Council Information Office will hold a press conference on the national economic situation at 10:00, releasing macro - economic data such as fixed - asset investment, industrial added value, and total retail sales of consumer goods from January to May. Forecasts include 3.9% y/y growth in cumulative urban fixed - asset investment from January to May (4.0% in January - April), 5.9% y/y growth in industrial added value of large - scale industries in May (6.1% in April), 5.0% y/y growth in total retail sales of consumer goods in May (5.1% in April), and a surveyed unemployment rate of 5.1% in May (same as April). Lower - than - previous growth rates may suppress the rise of stock index and commodity futures but help the rise of treasury bond futures [4]. - The central bank will conduct a 400 - billion - yuan 6 - month (182 - day) outright reverse repurchase operation [5]. - OPEC will release its monthly crude oil market report between 18:00 - 21:00, and its impact on crude oil and related commodity futures prices should be noted [7]. 6月17日 - The US Department of Commerce will release US retail sales for May at 20:30. The expected monthly rate of retail sales is - 0.7% (0.1% previously), and the expected monthly rate of core retail sales is 0.3% (0.1% previously). A lower - than - previous monthly rate of retail sales may help the rise of gold and silver futures but suppress the rise of non - ferrous metals, crude oil, and related commodity futures [8]. - The Federal Reserve will release US industrial output for May at 21:15. The expected monthly rate of industrial output is 0.1% (0% previously). A slightly higher - than - previous monthly rate may slightly help the rise of non - ferrous metals futures but slightly suppress the rise of gold and silver futures [9]. - The IEA will release its monthly crude oil market report at 16:00, and its impact on crude oil and related commodity futures prices should be noted [10]. - The Bank of Japan will announce its interest rate decision at 11:00, expected to keep the benchmark interest rate at 0.5% [11]. 6月18日 - The 2025 Lujiazui Forum will be held in Shanghai from June 18 - 19. The theme is "Financial Opening - up, Cooperation, and High - Quality Development in the Changing Global Economic Landscape". Central financial regulatory authorities will announce several major financial policies during the forum [12]. - The US Department of Commerce will release data on new home starts and building permits for May at 20:30. The expected annualized total of new home starts is 1.36 million units (1.361 million previously), and the expected initial annualized total of building permits is 1.43 million units (1.422 million previously) [13]. - The US Department of Labor will release the number of initial jobless claims for the week ending June 14 at 20:30. The expected number is 245,000 (248,000 previously). A slightly lower - than - previous number may slightly suppress the rise of gold and silver futures and slightly help the rise of non - ferrous metals, crude oil, and related commodity futures [15]. - The EIA will release the change in EIA crude oil inventories for the week ending June 13 at 22:30. A continued decrease in inventories may help the rise of crude oil and related commodity futures [16]. 6月19日 - The Federal Reserve FOMC will announce its interest rate decision and economic outlook summary at 02:00, and Fed Chairman Powell will hold a press conference at 02:30. It is expected that the federal funds rate will remain unchanged. Attention should be paid to the economic outlook summary and Powell's speech and their impact on relevant futures prices [17]. - The Swiss National Bank will announce its interest rate decision at 16:30, expected to keep the policy rate at 0.25% [18]. - The Bank of England will announce its interest rate decision and meeting minutes at 19:00, expected to keep the benchmark interest rate at 4.25% [19]. 6月20日 - The People's Bank of China will authorize the National Inter - bank Funding Center to announce the loan prime rate (LPR) for June 2025 at 09:00. The expected 1 - year LPR is 3.00% (unchanged from the previous value), and the expected 5 - year - plus LPR is 3.50% (unchanged from the previous value). If unchanged, the impact on commodity futures, stock index futures, and treasury bond futures is basically neutral [20]. - Eurostat will release the preliminary consumer confidence index for the eurozone in June at 22:00. The expected preliminary value for May is - 14.05 (- 15.2 previously) [21].
原木期货日报-20250616
Guang Fa Qi Huo· 2025-06-16 03:24
原木期货日报 证监许可 【2011】1292号 2025年6月16日 Z0019556 | 为主,本月主力将移仓至09合约,可关注月差变化。 | | --- | | 数据来源:海关总署、木联数据、Wind、厂发期货研究所。请仔细阅读报告尾端免责声明。 | | 免责声明 | | 本报告中的信息均来源于被广发期货有限公司认为可靠的已公开资料, 但广发期货对这些信息的准确性及完整性不作任何保证。本报告反映 | | 研究人员的不同观点、见解及分析方法,并不代表广发期货或其时候机构的立场。在任何情况下,报告内容仅供参考,报告中部信息或所霖 | | 达贴意见并不构成所述品种买卖部出价或询价,投资者据此投资,风险自担。本报告旨在发送给厂友期货持定客户及其他专业人士,版权归 | | 广发期货所有,未经广发期货书面授权,任何人不得对本报告进行任何形式的发布、复制。如引用、刊发,需注明出处为"广发期货"。 | | DISSIO | 知识图强,求实奉献,客户至上,合作共赢 新西兰→中日韩 关注微信公众号 | 期货和现货价格 | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 品种 ...
【期货热点追踪】中东冲突加剧+美国生柴提案超预期,油脂期货集体大涨!后续涨势还能持续多久?
news flash· 2025-06-16 03:03
中东冲突加剧+美国生柴提案超预期,油脂期货集体大涨!后续涨势还能持续多久? 相关链接 期货热点追踪 ...