Report Industry Investment Ratings - **Bean Meal**: ★★★, indicating a clearer long - position trend and a relatively appropriate investment opportunity currently [1] - **Eggs**: ★☆☆, representing a bullish bias, with a driving force for price increase but poor operability on the trading floor [1] Core Viewpoints - The report analyzes the market conditions of multiple agricultural products, including soybeans, bean meal, edible oils, corn, hogs, and eggs. It takes into account factors such as weather, geopolitics, policies, and supply - demand relationships, and provides corresponding investment suggestions and trend judgments for each product [2][3][7] Summaries by Agricultural Product Categories Soybeans and Related Products - **Domestic Soybeans**: The remaining domestic soybean inventory at the grass - roots level is low, and the policy is conducting auctions for supplementation. Short - term weather is favorable for domestic soybean growth. For imported soybeans, attention should be paid to the report on the new soybean planting area in the US at the end of June, and short - term weather is also beneficial for US soybean growth [2] - **Soybeans and Bean Meal**: The Israel - Iran war has led to a continuous rise in crude oil prices, driving up the prices of oil - related futures. US soybean growing conditions are favorable in the next two weeks. Domestically, soybean arrivals have increased since May, supply has become more abundant, and bean meal inventory is expected to continue to rise. The soybean market is currently in a volatile state, and attention should be paid to changes in the oil market and future weather [3] - **Soybean Oil and Palm Oil**: CBOT soybeans should be monitored for the new planting area report at the end of June. The short - term weather outlook is beneficial for US soybeans. CBOT soybean oil prices are strong. Domestically, there is a large arrival pressure in the short term, and the fourth - quarter procurement progress is slower than usual. The long - term view is to maintain a long - position allocation for vegetable oils, and short - term attention should be paid to the long - short game [4] Rapeseed Products - **Rapeseed Meal and Rapeseed Oil**: Rapeseed meal prices generally declined today, while rapeseed oil prices showed mixed trends. The weather in Canadian rapeseed - producing areas is dry, and the crop quality is below the average in recent years. Domestic rapeseed crushing has declined, which supports the high price difference between rapeseed products and competing products. The impact of geopolitical risks and biodiesel policies has been mostly digested, and there is a risk of price decline. The strategy for rapeseed products is to shift from a bullish stance to a wait - and - see approach [6] Corn - The introduction of the minimum wheat purchase price policies in Henan and Anhui has strengthened the price increase expectations of corn/wheat. The supply of corn in the circulation link has tightened, and the futures market may continue to fluctuate [7] Hogs - The weekend increase in hog spot prices drove the futures market to open higher today and then fluctuate. In the short term, group farms are reducing supply to support prices, and the enthusiasm for secondary fattening has increased. In the medium term, the pressure on hog slaughter is large. In the long term, the policy aims to stabilize hog prices, and attention should be paid to when the production capacity reaches an inflection point [8] Eggs - Due to the high number of chick replenishments from January to April this year, egg - laying capacity is still being released. The long - term egg price cycle has not reached the bottom, and there is a possibility of further decline in the far - month contracts [9]

中美关税冲突短期缓和 ——点评中美日内瓦经贸会谈联合声明 分析师：杨畅 执业证书编号：S0740519090004 Email：yangchang@zts.com.cn 分析师：夏知非 执业证书编号：S0740523110007 Email：xiazf01@zts.com.cn 2、双方在关税税率上达成较大幅度调降，表明双方对不希望出现贸易脱钩的极端情 况具有共识，关税冲突存在底线。由于谈判达成显著的实质性成果，市场风险偏好有 望短期缓和。 相关报告 3、联合声明强调"双方将建立机制，继续就经贸关系进行协商"，表明除了税率调降， 双方也达成机制性进展，未来"日内瓦机制"下的 90 天谈判期十分关键。预计美方 将进一步对华展开要价，谈判可能从关税延申至市场开放（加大购买）、服务贸易（知 识产权）以及投资等领域。 4、考虑到特朗普多变的重商主义行事风格、中美意识形态矛盾以及中国经济更加深 入的结构性变化，双方达成类似第一阶段经贸协议的 2.0 版可能会经历一定的博弈过 程，能否在 90 天内达成进展，从而使双方关税不再次急剧转变，还需要进一步观察， 因此不能排除关税反复风险。未来特朗普政府仍有涵盖药品、半导体等领 ...

2025 年 5 月 7 日 本次一揽子金融政策力度较大，超预期细节较多。下一步市场交易政策预期的 重心会切换到增量财政政策的落地。随着 5 月份陆续公布 4 月份主要经济指 标，或将给出更多推演线索。具体到不同市场，A 股更可能进入偏强震荡走 势，债券收益率曲线大概率先陡峭化再平坦化。 总量研究 "双降"落地，如何交易？ ——《央行观察》系列第十二篇 作者 分析师：高瑞东 执业证书编号：S0930520120002 010-56513108 分析师：王佳雯 执业证书编号：S0930524010001 021-52523870 wangjiawen@ebscn.com 要点 事件：5 月 7 日上午 9 时，国新办举行新闻发布会，中国人民银行、国家金融 监督管理总局、中国证券监督管理委员会负责人介绍"一揽子金融政策支持稳 市场稳预期"有关情况。 核心观点： 一、政策加力的"择时"考虑 4 月份以来，随着中美关税冲突加剧，市场较为期待出台较大力度的宏观政策 进行对冲。从 4 月底政治局会议通稿的措辞来看，"稳定"是当前政策的底线 诉求，更多以落实好已经出台的经济政策为主，一度打消了市场过于乐观的预 期。 然而， ...

Group 1: Real Estate Industry Analysis - In April 2025, the top 100 real estate companies in China experienced a 9.1% year-on-year decline in sales, indicating ongoing market pressure [2][20] - From January to April 2025, the top 100 real estate companies achieved a total sales amount of 1,018.16 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth rate of -6.8% [3][21] - The sales performance of the top 10 companies showed a year-on-year decline of 11.1%, while the sales of companies ranked 21-30 increased by 3.5% [3][21] Group 2: Key Companies in Real Estate - The five largest real estate companies by sales from January to April 2025 were Poly, China Resources, China Overseas, China Merchants, and Greentown, with sales amounts of 87.61 billion, 68.5 billion, 66.52 billion, 49.78 billion, and 47.72 billion yuan respectively [4][22] - The highest average sales prices per square meter were recorded by Binjiang, Yuexiu, Greentown, Jinyu, and Poly Real Estate, with prices of 39,800, 39,400, 34,100, 30,500, and 27,300 yuan respectively [4][22] - The companies with the highest year-on-year sales growth were China Railway, Huafa, Electric Construction, Yuexiu, and Tie Jian, with growth rates of 55.4%, 49.1%, 49.1%, 37.1%, and 22.7% respectively [4][22] Group 3: Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on short-term valuation recovery opportunities due to policy implementation and long-term investments in leading companies with quality product resources and real estate operation capabilities [5][23] - Recommended companies include Poly Development, New Town Holdings, China Resources Land, and Longfor Group, which are expected to benefit from market conditions [5][23] Group 4: Communication Industry Analysis - The report highlights the significant commercial success of Yiyuan Communication in the communication module sector, marking progress in China's communication module industry [9][25] - From 2015 to 2024, Yiyuan Communication's revenue grew from 303 million yuan to 18.594 billion yuan, with net profit increasing from 26 million yuan to 588 million yuan [9][25] - The company has expanded its workforce from under 200 to approximately 6,000 employees during the same period [9][25] Group 5: Market Trends and Opportunities - The global edge AI market is expected to grow explosively, with projections indicating a rise from 321.9 billion yuan in 2025 to 1,223 billion yuan by 2029, reflecting a compound annual growth rate of 39.6% [13][29] - The integration of AI and IoT is anticipated to provide new growth opportunities and innovation potential, transitioning from a connected world to an intelligent world [13][29] - Yiyuan Communication is well-positioned to capitalize on the development opportunities in the edge AI market [13][30]

Group 1 - OPEC's decision to implement compensatory production cuts supports oil prices, but tensions among OPEC+ members regarding production quotas may lead to proposals for increased output in June [1] - The international crude oil prices have shown alternating trends, with the price change rate narrowing in the current pricing cycle [1] - Domestic gas prices have experienced a downward trend, with a lack of significant positive news to boost market sentiment, leading to lower terminal product prices and weak chemical demand [1] Group 2 - Propane prices have retreated after a previous increase, with upstream sellers eager to offload inventory, but terminal demand remains weak [2] - The market anticipates a volatile trend for international crude oil prices next week, with expectations of improved conditions regarding the US-China tariff conflict and active procurement from Chinese buyers [3] - Overall, the market is facing multiple bearish factors, and propane prices are expected to consolidate weakly, with an average price decline anticipated [3]