南美大豆丰产
Search documents
华泰期货:南美丰产预期延续,豆粕价格偏弱震荡
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2026-01-05 02:07
热点栏目 自选股 数据中心 行情中心 资金流向 模拟交易 客户端 来源:华泰期货 作者: 薛钧元 粕类市场要闻与重要数据 期货方面,上月末收盘豆粕2605合约2749元/吨,环比下跌96元/吨,跌幅3.37%;上月末收盘菜粕2605 合约2365元/吨,环比下跌50元/吨,跌幅2.07%。现货方面,天津地区豆粕现货价格3110元/吨,环比上 涨30元/吨,现货基差M05+361,环比上涨126;江苏地区豆粕现货价格3050元/吨,环比上涨50元/吨, 现货基差M05+301,环比上涨146;广东地区豆粕现货价格3080元/吨,环比上涨80元/吨,现货基差 M05+331,环比上涨176。福建地区菜粕现货价格2580元/吨,环比不变,现货基差M05+215,环比持 平。 豆粕:国际方面,巴西国家商品供应公司周一发布的作物进展报告称,截止2025年12月27日,巴西 2025/26年度大豆播种进度为97.9%,高于一周前的97.6%,也高于五年同期均值96.7%,但低于去年同 期的98.2%。巴西全国谷物出口商协会表示,2025年12月巴西大豆出口量估计357万吨,高于一周前预 估的333万吨,较去年同期的147 ...
豆粕:震荡,规避节日风险,豆一,节前避险,谨慎观望
Guo Tai Jun An Qi Huo· 2025-12-31 03:14
Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No specific industry investment rating is provided in the report. 2. Report's Core View - For soymeal, the market is expected to be volatile, and investors are advised to avoid holiday - related risks [1]. - For soybeans, investors are advised to hedge risks before the holiday and observe the market cautiously [2]. 3. Summary by Related Catalogs 3.1 Fundamental Tracking - **Futures Prices**: DCE soybeans 2605 closed at 4224 yuan/ton in the day - session, up 65 yuan (+1.56%), and 4237 yuan/ton in the night - session, up 33 yuan (+0.78%); DCE soymeal 2605 closed at 2778 yuan/ton in the day - session, down 10 yuan (-0.36%), and 2771 yuan/ton in the night - session, up 3 yuan (+0.11%); CBOT soybeans 03 closed at 1060.75 cents/bushel, down 3.0 cents (-0.28%); CBOT soymeal 03 closed at 302.3 dollars/short - ton, down 1.2 dollars (-0.40%) [2]. - **Spot Prices**: In Shandong, the spot price of soymeal (43%) was 3060 - 3140 yuan/ton, with different basis prices for different months; in East China, it was 3040 - 3140 yuan/ton; in South China, it was 3120 - 3200 yuan/ton [2]. - **Industrial Data**: The trading volume of soymeal was 20.37 million tons per day, compared with 5.07 million tons two days ago; the inventory was 110.22 million tons per week, compared with 105.63 million tons two weeks ago [2]. 3.2 Macro and Industry News - On December 30, CBOT soybean futures closed lower due to the clear production outlook of South American soybeans. Year - end closing will be the main theme in the market in the next few days. The market will focus on the weekly export sales report and position report on Wednesday. Private exporters reported selling 13.6 million tons of soybeans to China and 23.1 million tons to unknown destinations in the 2025/26 season. Soybean harvesting is underway in Brazil's Paraná and Mato Grosso states, and nearly 76% of soybean planting in Argentina has been completed [4]. 3.3 Trend Intensity - The trend intensity of soymeal and soybeans is 0, indicating a neutral situation for the day - session's main contract futures price fluctuations on the reporting day [4].
大越期货豆粕早报-20251230
Da Yue Qi Huo· 2025-12-30 01:49
Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. Core Views of the Report - The price of domestic soybean meal is affected by the interaction of the US soybean market and domestic demand improvement. At the end of the year, the demand gradually enters the peak season, and the spot price premium supports the market. However, the news is mixed, and the short - term may maintain a volatile pattern. The price of US soybeans is also affected by factors such as China's soybean procurement and South American soybean production prospects [8][9]. - The price of domestic soybeans is supported by the cost of imported soybeans and the expected increase in domestic demand. However, the bumper harvest of Brazilian soybeans and the increase in domestic production of new - season soybeans suppress the price expectations [11]. Summary by Directory 1. Daily Tips No relevant content provided. 2. Recent News - The preliminary agreement on China - US tariff negotiations is short - term positive for US soybeans, but the quantity of China's soybean purchases and the US soybean weather are still uncertain. The US soybean market is oscillating above the 1000 - point mark, waiting for further guidance [13]. - The arrival volume of imported soybeans in China decreased in December, while the soybean inventory of oil mills remained at a relatively high level. The planting and growth weather of South American soybeans is relatively normal, and soybean meal has returned to range - bound trading [13]. - The decrease in domestic pig - breeding profits has led to a low expectation of pig replenishment. The demand for soybean meal has rebounded from a low level in December, supporting the price expectation. The interaction between the influence of US soybeans and the rebound in soybean meal demand has led to a return to the range - bound pattern [13]. - The soybean meal inventory of domestic oil mills remains at a relatively high level. There is still a possibility of speculation about the weather in the US soybean - producing areas, and the preliminary agreement on China - US trade negotiations has an impact. In the short term, soybean meal will maintain a range - bound pattern, waiting for the clarification of US soybean production and further guidance on the follow - up of China - US trade negotiations [13]. 3. Long and Short Concerns Soybean Meal - **Long factors**: The preliminary agreement on China - US trade negotiations is short - term positive for US soybeans; the soybean meal inventory of domestic oil mills is not under pressure; the weather in the US and South American soybean - producing areas is still uncertain [14]. - **Short factors**: The total arrival volume of imported soybeans in China remained at a relatively high level in December; under normal weather conditions, South American soybeans are expected to have a bumper harvest [15]. - **Current main logic**: The market focuses on the impact of the US soybean harvest weather and the follow - up of the preliminary China - US trade agreement [15]. Soybeans - **Long factors**: The cost of imported soybeans supports the bottom of the domestic soybean market; the expected increase in domestic demand for domestic soybeans supports the price expectation [16]. - **Short factors**: The bumper harvest of Brazilian soybeans and China's increased procurement of Brazilian soybeans; the increase in the production of new - season domestic soybeans suppresses the price expectation of beans [16]. - **Current main logic**: The market focuses on the impact of the US soybean weather and the China - US trade tariff game [16]. 4. Fundamental Data - **Soybean Meal**: The spot price in East China is 3050, with a basis of 276, showing a premium over the futures. The inventory of oil mills is 113.71 million tons, a week - on - week increase of 3.66% and a year - on - year increase of 95.11% [9]. - **Soybeans**: The spot price is 4140, with a basis of - 16, showing a discount to the futures. The soybean inventory of oil mills is 722.36 million tons, a week - on - week decrease of 2.32% and a year - on - year increase of 24.85% [11]. 5. Position Data - **Soybean Meal**: The main short positions have increased, and funds have flowed in [9]. - **Soybeans**: The main short positions have increased, and funds have flowed in [11]. 6. Views and Strategies Soybean Meal - The M2605 contract is expected to oscillate in the range of 2720 - 2780. The market is affected by multiple factors such as the US soybean market, domestic demand, and inventory, and is expected to maintain a volatile pattern in the short term [9]. Soybeans - The A2605 contract is expected to oscillate in the range of 4120 - 4220. The price is supported by the cost of imported soybeans and domestic demand, but is suppressed by the bumper harvest of Brazilian soybeans and the increase in domestic production [11].
大越期货豆粕早报-20250903
Da Yue Qi Huo· 2025-09-03 03:09
Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. Core Views of the Report - The soybean meal market is expected to enter a volatile and slightly bullish pattern in the short term, with the M2601 contract fluctuating between 3000 and 3060. The main influencing factors include the uncertainty of weather in US soybean - growing areas, the high arrival of imported soybeans in China, and the demand for soybean meal [8]. - The soybean market is in a neutral situation in the short term, with the A2511 contract fluctuating between 3920 and 4020. Factors such as the cost of imported soybeans, the expected increase in domestic soybean production, and the demand for domestic soybeans affect the market [10]. Summary by Directory 1. Daily Tips - No specific content provided for a detailed summary. 2. Recent News - The progress of Sino - US tariff negotiations is short - term positive for US soybeans. The US soybean market is affected by relatively positive USDA report data and is expected to oscillate above the 1000 - point mark, awaiting further guidance on soybean growth, harvest, and tariff negotiations [12]. - In China, the arrival of imported soybeans remained high in August, and the soybean meal inventory of oil mills reached a relatively high level. Affected by the USDA report and the rise of rapeseed meal, soybean meal is in a short - term volatile and slightly bullish pattern [12]. - The decline in domestic pig - farming profits has led to a low expectation of pig replenishment. However, the recent increase in soybean meal demand supports the price, and the market is back in a range - bound pattern due to uncertainties in Sino - US trade negotiations [12]. - The short - term bullish oscillation of soybean meal is affected by factors such as the possible weather speculation in US soybean - growing areas, the changeable Sino - US tariff war, and it awaits the clarification of South American soybean production and the follow - up of the Sino - US tariff war [12]. 3. Bullish and Bearish Factors Soybean Meal - Bullish factors: slow customs clearance of imported soybeans, relatively low inventory of domestic oil mills' soybean meal, and uncertain weather in US soybean - growing areas [13]. - Bearish factors: high arrival volume of imported soybeans in July, the end of Brazilian soybean harvesting, and the continuous expectation of a bumper South American soybean harvest [13]. Soybeans - Bullish factors: the cost of imported soybeans supports the bottom of the domestic soybean market, and the expected increase in domestic soybean demand supports the price [14]. - Bearish factors: the continuous expectation of a bumper Brazilian soybean harvest and China's increased purchase of Brazilian soybeans, and the expected increase in new - season domestic soybean production suppresses the price [14]. 4. Fundamental Data - **Soybean Meal**: The spot price in East China is 2990, with a basis of - 60, indicating a discount to the futures. The inventory of oil mills' soybean meal is 105.33 tons, a 3.8% increase from last week and a 29.71% decrease compared to the same period last year [8]. - **Soybeans**: The spot price is 4200, with a basis of 230, indicating a premium to the futures. The inventory of oil mills' soybeans is 682.53 tons, a 0.31% increase from last week and a 5.46% decrease compared to the same period last year [10]. - **Global and Domestic Soybean Supply - Demand Balance Sheets**: Provide data on harvest area, initial inventory, production, total supply, total consumption, ending inventory, and inventory - to - consumption ratio from 2015 to 2024, showing the long - term supply - demand situation of soybeans globally and in China [31][32]. - **Soybean and Meal Futures and Spot Prices**: Present the trading prices and volumes of soybean meal and rapeseed meal from August 22 to September 2, as well as the price trends of soybean and soybean meal futures and spot from August 25 to September 2 [15][17]. - **Soybean and Meal Warehouse Receipt Statistics**: Record the quantity changes of soybean and soybean meal warehouse receipts from August 21 to September 2 [19]. 5. Position Data - For soybean meal, the long positions of the main contract decreased, and funds flowed out [8]. - For soybeans, the long positions of the main contract decreased, and funds flowed out [10].
大越期货豆粕早报-20250715
Da Yue Qi Huo· 2025-07-15 02:20
Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided Core Viewpoints of the Report - The soybean meal market is expected to return to a range - bound pattern in the short term. The US soybean market is affected by factors such as weather in the US soybean - producing areas and Sino - US tariff negotiations. Domestic soybean meal is influenced by the increase in imported soybean arrivals and weak spot prices [8]. - The domestic soybean market is also in a short - term range - bound situation, affected by factors such as the increase in imported soybean arrivals, the expected increase in new - season domestic soybean production, and Sino - US tariff negotiations [10]. Summary by Directory 1. Daily Prompt - Not provided 2. Recent News - The progress of Sino - US tariff negotiations is short - term positive for US soybeans, but the good planting weather in the US suppresses the upward space. The US soybean market is expected to fluctuate above the 1000 - point mark, waiting for further guidance on US soybean planting and growth, imported soybean arrivals, and Sino - US tariff negotiations [12]. - The arrival of imported soybeans in China reached a high in June. After May Day, domestic soybean and soybean meal inventories at oil mills increased from low levels. The soybean market was affected by the decline in US soybeans and fluctuated downwards [12]. - The reduction in domestic pig - farming profits led to low expectations for pig replenishment. The demand for soybean meal weakened after May Day, but the tight supply supported the post - festival price. With the weakening pressure of the Sino - US tariff war, soybean meal entered a short - term weak - fluctuating pattern [12]. - The low inventory of soybean meal at domestic oil mills supported short - term price expectations. There is still a possibility of weather speculation in the US soybean - producing areas and uncertainties in the Sino - US tariff war. Soybean meal is expected to fluctuate in the short term, waiting for clear information on South American soybean production and the follow - up of the Sino - US tariff war [12]. 3. Bullish and Bearish Factors Soybean Meal - Bullish factors: slow customs clearance of imported soybeans, low inventory of soybean meal at domestic oil mills, and variable weather in the US soybean - producing areas [13]. - Bearish factors: the total arrival of imported soybeans in China reached a high in June, the end of the Brazilian soybean harvest, and the continuous expectation of a bumper South American soybean harvest [13]. Soybeans - Bullish factors: the cost of imported soybeans supports the bottom of the domestic soybean market, and the expected increase in domestic soybean demand supports the domestic soybean price [14]. - Bearish factors: the continuous expectation of a bumper Brazilian soybean harvest, China's increased procurement of Brazilian soybeans, and the expected increase in new - season domestic soybean production suppressing the price of soybeans [14]. 4. Fundamental Data - **Soybean Meal and Soybean Prices**: The report provides the trading average prices and trading volumes of soybean meal and rapeseed meal from July 3 to July 14, as well as the prices of soybean futures and spot soybeans from July 4 to July 14 [15][17]. - **Soybean and Meal Warehouse Receipts**: The warehouse receipts of soybeans (including soybean No.1 and No.2) and soybean meal from July 2 to July 14 are presented, along with their daily changes [19]. - **Global and Domestic Soybean Supply - Demand Balance Sheets**: Global and domestic soybean supply - demand balance sheets from 2015 to 2024 are provided, including data on harvested area, beginning inventory, production, total supply, total consumption, ending inventory, and inventory - to - consumption ratio [30][31]. - **Soybean Planting and Harvesting Progress**: The planting and harvesting progress of soybeans in Argentina (2023/24), the US (2024), Brazil (2024/25), and Argentina (2024/25) are detailed, including sowing progress, emergence rate, flowering rate, pod - setting rate, defoliation rate, and harvesting rate at different times [32][33][34][35][36][37][38][39]. - **USDA Monthly Supply - Demand Reports**: The USDA's monthly supply - demand reports from December 2024 to June 2025 are provided, including data on harvested area, yield per unit, production, ending inventory, old - crop exports, crushing, and soybean production in Brazil and Argentina [40]. 5. Position Data - Not provided Other Related Information - The weekly export inspection of US soybeans increased month - on - month but decreased year - on - year [41]. - The peak of imported soybean arrivals was postponed to June, with an overall increase [43]. - The inventories of soybeans and soybean meal at oil mills continued to rise [44]. - The unexecuted contracts at oil mills increased significantly, indicating an increase in long - term备货 demand [46]. - The soybean crushing volume at oil mills remained high, and the soybean meal production in June increased year - on - year [48]. - The import cost of Brazilian soybeans and the import soybean futures profit fluctuated slightly [50]. - The inventories of live pigs and sows increased slightly year - on - year but decreased slightly month - on - month [52]. - The live pig price rebounded recently, while the piglet price remained weak [54]. - The proportion of large pigs in China decreased, and the cost of secondary fattening of live pigs increased slightly [56]. - The domestic live pig - farming profit rebounded from a low level [58].
大越期货豆粕早报-20250710
Da Yue Qi Huo· 2025-07-10 02:53
Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the given content Core Views - **For Soybean Meal**: The US soybean market is experiencing a decline due to favorable growing weather and high expectations of a bumper harvest. In the domestic market, soybean meal prices initially dropped and then rebounded, influenced by the US soybean market and technical adjustments. With an increase in imported soybeans in June and weak spot prices, the market is expected to enter a range - bound pattern. The M2509 contract is expected to oscillate between 2900 and 2960 [8]. - **For Soybeans**: The US soybean market is in a downward trend due to good growing conditions and high - yield expectations. In the domestic market, soybeans are trading in a narrow range, affected by the increase in imported soybeans and the expectation of a new - season domestic soybean harvest. The A2509 contract is expected to fluctuate between 4040 and 4140 [10]. Summary by Directory 1. Daily Tips - Not provided in the given content 2. Recent News - The progress of China - US tariff negotiations is short - term positive for US soybeans. However, the good planting weather in the US has led to a relatively strong performance in the US soybean market, which is expected to oscillate above the 1000 - point mark. Future trends depend on soybean planting and growth conditions, imported soybean arrivals, and the follow - up of China - US tariff negotiations. - The arrival of imported soybeans in China reached a high in June. After May Day, domestic soybean inventories and oil - mill soybean meal inventories have rebounded from low levels. Recently, the soybean and soybean meal markets have declined due to the fall in the US soybean market. - The decrease in domestic pig - farming profits has led to low expectations for pig replenishment. The demand for soybean meal has weakened after May Day, but tight supply supports post - holiday price expectations. With the weakening pressure of the China - US tariff war, soybean meal has entered a short - term weak - oscillation pattern. - Low oil - mill soybean meal inventories support short - term price expectations. The possibility of weather speculation in the US soybean - producing areas and uncertainties in the China - US tariff war mean that soybean meal will maintain an oscillatory pattern in the short term, awaiting further clarity on South American soybean yields and the follow - up of the China - US tariff war [12]. 3. Bullish and Bearish Factors - **Soybean Meal Bullish Factors**: Slow customs clearance of imported soybeans, low domestic oil - mill soybean meal inventories, and uncertainties in the US soybean - producing area weather [13]. - **Soybean Meal Bearish Factors**: The total arrival of imported soybeans in China reached a high in June, and the continued expectation of a bumper South American soybean harvest after the end of the Brazilian soybean harvest [13]. - **Soybean Bullish Factors**: The cost of imported soybeans supports the bottom of the domestic soybean market, and the expected increase in domestic soybean demand supports price expectations [14]. - **Soybean Bearish Factors**: The continued expectation of a bumper Brazilian soybean harvest and China's increased procurement of Brazilian soybeans, as well as the expected increase in new - season domestic soybean production, suppress price expectations [14]. 4. Fundamental Data - **Soybean Meal**: Spot price in East China is 2780, with a basis of - 167, indicating a discount to futures. Oil - mill soybean meal inventory is 82.24 million tons, a 18.91% increase from last week and a 34.32% decrease compared to the same period last year [8]. - **Soybeans**: Spot price is 4200, with a basis of 89, indicating a premium to futures. Oil - mill soybean inventory is 636.4 million tons, a 4.43% decrease from last week and an 11.28% increase compared to the same period last year [10]. - **Trading Data**: From June 30 to July 9, the trading volume and average price of soybean meal and rapeseed meal showed certain fluctuations, and the average price difference between soybean meal and rapeseed meal also changed [15]. - **Global and Domestic Supply - Demand Balance Sheets**: Provide historical data on global and domestic soybean supply - demand balance, including harvest area, initial inventory, production, total supply, total consumption, ending inventory, and inventory - to - consumption ratio [31][32]. - **Sowing and Harvesting Progress**: Include the sowing and harvesting progress of soybeans in the US, Brazil, and Argentina in 2023 - 2025 [33][34][38] 5. Position Data - **Soybean Meal**: The main long positions have decreased, but capital has flowed in [8]. - **Soybeans**: The main short positions have increased, and capital has flowed out [10].
大越期货豆粕早报-20250519
Da Yue Qi Huo· 2025-05-19 02:22
Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant information provided Core Viewpoints - The soybean meal M2509 is expected to oscillate between 2860 and 2920. The overall pattern may remain weakly oscillating due to factors such as increased imports of soybeans in May and potential resumption of US soybean imports, while the low inventory of soybean meal at oil mills supports the bottom of the futures market [9]. - The soybean A2507 is expected to oscillate between 4120 and 4220. It is affected by factors such as the interaction between the influence of US soybeans and the increase in imported soybeans, and the cost - performance advantage of domestic soybeans [11]. - The short - term trend of the soybean and soybean meal markets is mainly oscillatory, influenced by factors such as the outcome of the China - US tariff war, the weather in US soybean - producing areas, and the harvest situation in South America [9][11][13]. Summary by Directory 1. Daily Prompt - No relevant information provided 2. Recent News - The China - US tariff negotiation reached a short - term agreement, which is beneficial to US soybeans. However, due to the good recent weather for US soybean planting, the US market first rose and then fell, and is expected to oscillate above the 1000 - point mark [13]. - The volume of imported soybeans in China reached a high in May. After the May Day holiday, the domestic soybean inventory rebounded from a low level, but the soybean meal inventory remained low. The soybean and soybean meal markets returned to an oscillatory state, showing a pattern of strong reality and weak expectation [13]. - The reduction in domestic pig - farming profits led to low expectations for pig replenishment. The demand for soybean meal weakened after the May Day holiday, but the tight supply supported the post - holiday price expectations. With the reduced pressure of the China - US tariff war, the soybean meal entered a weakly oscillatory pattern in the short term [13]. - The low inventory of soybean meal at domestic oil mills supported the short - term price expectations. There is still a possibility of speculation about the weather in US soybean - producing areas and the uncertainty of the China - US tariff war. The soybean meal will maintain an oscillatory pattern in the short term, waiting for the clarification of South American soybean production and the follow - up of the China - US tariff war [13]. 3. Bullish and Bearish Concerns Soybean Meal - Bullish factors: slow customs clearance of imported soybeans, low inventory of soybean meal at domestic oil mills, and variable weather in US soybean - producing areas [14]. - Bearish factors: the total volume of imported soybeans in China rebounded to a high in May, and the expectation of a bumper harvest of South American soybeans continued [14]. Soybean - Bullish factors: the cost of imported soybeans supports the bottom of the domestic soybean market, and the expected increase in demand for domestic soybeans supports the price expectations [15]. - Bearish factors: the continuous expectation of a bumper harvest of Brazilian soybeans and China's increased procurement of Brazilian soybeans, and the expected increase in the output of new - season domestic soybeans suppresses the price expectations [15]. 4. Fundamental Data - **Price and Basis**: The soybean meal futures are weakly oscillating, and the spot price is relatively weak after the May Day holiday, with the premium continuing to narrow. The spot price of soybean meal in East China on May 16 was 2920, with a basis of 21, showing a premium over the futures [9][23]. - **Inventory**: The inventory of soybeans at oil mills continued to rise, with 534.91 million tons as of a certain time, a 12.7% increase from the previous week and a 27.79% increase year - on - year. The soybean meal inventory at oil mills was 10.12 million tons, a 23.26% increase from the previous week and an 81.9% decrease year - on - year [9][11]. - **Production and Consumption**: The soybean crushing volume at oil mills continued to rise, but the soybean meal output in April decreased year - on - year. The downstream procurement decreased after the holiday, but the提货 volume remained good [25][27]. 5. Position Data - For soybean meal M2509, the main long positions decreased, and the funds flowed out [9]. - For soybean A2507, the main short positions increased, and the funds flowed out [11].
豆粕:暂无驱动,盘面震荡,豆一:现货稳中偏强,盘面略微偏强震荡
Guo Tai Jun An Qi Huo· 2025-05-19 01:44
Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the report Core Viewpoints - The soybean meal market currently lacks driving forces, and the futures price shows a volatile trend. The spot price of soybeans is stable with a slight upward bias, and the futures price also shows a slightly stronger volatile trend [1]. - The CBOT soybean futures closed with mixed results, mainly pressured by the bumper harvest of South American soybeans. The US soybean lacks price competitiveness under the current 10% tariff, and Brazil will continue to dominate the global export market. The ideal weather conditions in the US Midwest also put pressure on soybean futures prices [3]. Summary According to Relevant Catalogs Fundamental Tracking - **Futures Prices**: The closing price of DCE soybean 2507 was 4168 yuan/ton, down 13 yuan (-0.31%) during the day session and up 20 yuan (+0.48%) during the night session. The closing price of DCE soybean meal 2509 was 2899 yuan/ton, down 4 yuan (-0.14%) during the day session and down 6 yuan (-0.21%) during the night session. The closing price of CBOT soybean 07 was 1051 cents/bushel, down 0.25 cents (-0.02%). The closing price of CBOT soybean meal 07 was 291.8 dollars/short ton, down 4.6 dollars (-1.55%) [1]. - **Spot Prices**: In Shandong, the spot price of soybean meal (43%) was 3000 - 3100 yuan/ton, down 50 yuan or unchanged compared to the previous day. In East China, the spot price of soybean meal at Taizhou Huifu was 2950 yuan/ton, down 60 yuan compared to the previous day. In South China, the spot price of soybean meal at Dongguan Fuyuan was 2990 yuan/ton after May 20th, down 10 yuan compared to the previous day [1]. - **Main Industry Data**: The trading volume of soybean meal was 8.75 million tons per day, compared to 3.15 million tons per day in the previous trading day. The inventory data was not available, and the previous week's inventory was 10.06 million tons [1]. Macro and Industry News - On May 16th, CBOT soybean futures closed with mixed results, mainly pressured by the bumper harvest of South American soybeans. The US soybean lacks price competitiveness under the current 10% tariff, and Brazil will continue to dominate the global export market. The ideal weather conditions in the US Midwest also put pressure on soybean futures prices [3]. Trend Intensity - The trend intensity of soybean meal is 0, and the trend intensity of soybeans is 0, indicating a neutral trend for both on the day session's main contract futures price fluctuations [3].