Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Strong Buy" rating for Anta Sports [2] Core Views - Anta's main brand experienced low single-digit growth in Q2 2025, while FILA saw mid-single-digit growth, and other brands grew by 50%-55%. The company is focusing on enhancing channel operational efficiency and expanding new business formats for the Anta brand [1][5] - The company expects net profits of 13.43 billion, 15.51 billion, and 17.15 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of -14%, 15%, and 11%. Excluding one-time gains from the acquisition of Amer, the net profit growth rates are projected to be 13%, 15%, and 11% [1][5] - The current market capitalization corresponds to a PE ratio of 18x for 2025 and 15x for 2026, indicating a favorable valuation [1][5] Summary by Sections Overall Revenue Situation - In Q2 2025, Anta's main brand revenue showed low single-digit growth, while FILA's revenue grew in the mid-single digits, and other brands experienced growth of 50%-55% [5][6] - The slowdown in Anta's main brand growth is attributed to the acceleration of offline channel upgrades and store renovations, which impacted sales [5][6] Brand Performance - FILA's revenue in Q2 2025 saw high single-digit growth, with notable performance in golf and tennis product lines [5][6] - Other brands, such as Descente and KOLON, reported growth exceeding 40% and 70%, respectively, benefiting from the rise in winter sports and outdoor leisure activities [5][6] Discount and Inventory Management - In Q2 2025, Anta's main brand offered discounts of 27% for bulk purchases and 50% online, with a slight increase in discount levels [5][6] - The inventory turnover ratio for Anta's main brand was around 5 months, indicating relatively healthy inventory management [5][6] Financial Forecast and Investment Recommendations - The company anticipates revenue of 77.96 billion, 85.45 billion, and 92.97 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027, with year-on-year growth rates of 10%, 10%, and 9% [6][9] - The report emphasizes the ongoing expansion of Anta's channel new business formats and the optimization of overall channel operational efficiency [5][6]

Core Viewpoint - Li Ning's 2Q25 retail sales were in line with expectations, but margins likely missed, leading to a cautious outlook for 2H25E despite maintaining FY25E guidance [1][4] Group 1: Sales Performance - Retail sales grew by low single digits (LSD), approximately 1%, in 2Q25, which is below Li Ning's internal target due to low consumer spending, intensified competition, and a decline in offline foot traffic [5] - Offline retail sales experienced a low single-digit decline, while e-commerce sales increased by mid-single digits (MSD) [5] - Performance varied by sports category, with running showing high single-digit (HSD) growth, lifestyle remaining flat, and basketball experiencing a significant drop of around 20% [5] Group 2: Store Operations - The number of stores remained stable at 6,099 as of 2Q25, with 19 direct retail stores closed and 1 wholesale store opened, slightly behind the FY25E guidance [3] - Management's guidance included 10 to 20 direct retail store closures and 30 to 40 new wholesale store openings [3] Group 3: Financial Outlook - Net profit forecasts for FY25E, FY26E, and FY27E have been revised down by 4%, 4%, and 3% respectively, due to weaker sales outlook and increased discounts leading to a drop in gross profit margin [2][4] - The stock is currently trading at 15x FY25E P/E, which is considered undemanding compared to its 10-year average of 25x [4] Group 4: Marketing and Sponsorship - Li Ning plans to support Yang Hansen, a newly drafted NBA player, with marketing campaigns and product launches, although material sales contributions are not expected immediately [7]

Core Viewpoint - The company reported a solid financial performance for the fiscal year 2024/25, with revenue and net profit growth driven by product innovation and channel upgrades, despite challenges in certain segments [1][5]. Financial Performance - The company achieved a revenue of 25.902 billion yuan, an increase of 11.6% year-on-year [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders was 3.514 billion yuan, up 14.3% year-on-year [1] - The overall gross margin was 57.3%, down 2.3 percentage points, while the net profit margin reached 13.6%, up 0.4 percentage points [1] Brand Performance - The main brand, Bosideng, generated revenue of 21.668 billion yuan, reflecting an 11.0% increase, accounting for 83.7% of total revenue [1] - The gross margin for the brand was 63.4%, down 1.6 percentage points, influenced by rising raw material costs and lower margins from new product categories [1] - The Snow Flying brand reported revenue of 2.206 billion yuan, a 9.2% increase, focusing on high-cost performance down jackets [2] - The Ice Cleansing brand saw a revenue decline of 12.9% to 127 million yuan, indicating ongoing adjustments [2] Channel Development - The company optimized its channel structure, with a net increase of 253 retail outlets, bringing the total to 3,470 [2] - Online sales reached 7.575 billion yuan, a 9.3% increase, with online revenue from the main brand accounting for 34.5% of its total revenue [2] OEM and Other Business Segments - The OEM business grew significantly, achieving revenue of 3.373 billion yuan, up 26.4%, while the women's wear segment faced challenges with a 20.6% revenue decline [3] - The diversified clothing business saw a slight increase of 2.8% to 209 million yuan, driven by stable growth in school uniform sales [3] Cost Management and Efficiency - The overall gross margin decreased by 2.3 percentage points to 57.3%, primarily due to the faster growth of lower-margin OEM business compared to branded products [4] - The sales expense ratio decreased by 1.8 percentage points to 32.9%, reflecting improved operational efficiency [4] - The company maintained healthy inventory turnover with a total inventory of 3.951 billion yuan and a turnover period of 118 days [4] Future Outlook - The company expects continued growth in net profit for FY2026, FY2027, and FY2028, with projected figures of 3.91 billion, 4.35 billion, and 4.78 billion yuan respectively, reflecting year-on-year growth rates of 11%, 11%, and 10% [5]

Financial Performance - The company reported Q1 2025 revenue of 4.43 billion RMB, a year-on-year increase of 18.9%, exceeding the market estimate of 4.41 billion RMB [1][3] - Net profit for the quarter was 416.5 million RMB, down 28.8% from 586 million RMB in the same period last year [1][3] - Adjusted net profit was 587.2 million RMB, below the expected 661.3 million RMB [1][3] - Adjusted EBITDA margin was 23.4%, down from 25.9% in Q1 2024 [1] Revenue Breakdown - Revenue from the MINISO brand reached 4.09 billion RMB, a 16.5% increase, with mainland China contributing 2.49 billion RMB (up 9.1%) and overseas markets contributing 1.59 billion RMB (up 30.3%) [4][5] - TOP TOY brand revenue was 340 million RMB, a significant increase of 58.9%, driven by rapid growth in average store count [4][5] Store Expansion - As of March 31, 2025, the total number of stores for the group was 7,768, with a net increase of 978 stores year-on-year [5][6] - The number of MINISO stores reached 7,488, with 4,275 located in mainland China and 3,213 overseas, marking a net increase of 241 and 617 stores respectively [6][7] Management Commentary - The CEO expressed confidence in achieving sustainable high-quality growth, attributing revenue growth to a strong recovery in same-store sales and strategic store network development [8] - The company plans to enhance collaboration with overseas partners, upgrade store formats, and improve operational efficiency to unlock expansion potential [8]

1）渠道扩张：截至24年底，公司拥有"优能达"服务商 3400 多家，终端商超 12 万家，已实现全国2742个区县服务商及终端商的注册；2）出口推进：2024年公司海外市场销量 同比增长约68.49%，积极开拓海外主机配套业务，2024年新获7个海外配套定点；分区制定海外营销策略与产品清单，开展精准营销；3）产能建设：截至24年，公司国内铅酸 电池产能约3500万KVAH/年、国外铅酸电池产能约500万KVAH/年，废旧铅酸电池回收处理能力86万吨/年，并持续优化产能布局，提升领先优势。 低估值细分赛道龙头，渠道升级、业务开拓打开成长空间 骆驼股份系列 车中旭霞 深度报告： 《骆驼股份-601311-深度报告：汽车低压电池龙头，后装市场与海外市场打开成长空间》——20230606 《骆驼股份-601311-深度报告：聚焦起动电池，细分龙头再起航》——20200106 点评： 《骆驼股份（601311.SH）： 三季度净利润同比增长44%，盈利能力同环比提升》-20241025 《骆驼股份（601311.SH）：二季度净利润同比增长35%，海内外业务持续发力》-20240820 《骆驼股份（601311.SH ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" [4][6][25]. Core Views - The company is expected to achieve stable revenue growth in 2024, with projected revenue of 15.592 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 10.75%, and a net profit of 614 million yuan, up 7.26% year-on-year [1][8]. - The company is actively expanding its overseas and domestic business, with significant growth in automotive low-voltage lead-acid battery sales and a strong performance in the lithium battery sector [2][3][17]. - The company plans to distribute a cash dividend of 2.90 yuan per 10 shares (including tax), with a dividend payout ratio of 55.4% [1][8]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company expects to achieve a revenue of 15.592 billion yuan, with a net profit of 614 million yuan and a non-recurring net profit of 593 million yuan, reflecting year-on-year increases of 10.75%, 7.26%, and 10.85% respectively [1][8]. - For Q4 2024, the revenue is projected to be 4.26 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 13.1%, while the net profit is expected to decline by 26.3% year-on-year [1][8]. Cost Management and Profitability - The company has maintained stable cost control, with sales, management, and R&D expense ratios of 5.5%, 2.8%, and 1.9% respectively in Q4 2024 [2][18]. - The gross profit margin for Q4 2024 is reported at 15.6%, showing a year-on-year decrease of 0.7 percentage points but an increase of 2.2 percentage points from the previous quarter [2][18]. Business Expansion and Market Strategy - The company has expanded its distribution channels significantly, with over 3,400 "You Neng Da" service providers and 120,000 terminal stores across the country [3][17]. - The overseas market has seen a substantial increase, with sales growing approximately 68.49% year-on-year, contributing significantly to overall performance [3][17]. - The company is focusing on upgrading its channels and expanding its lithium battery business, which is expected to provide additional growth opportunities [3][25]. Future Outlook - The company is projected to achieve net profits of 860 million yuan, 1.065 billion yuan, and 1.257 billion yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding EPS of 0.73, 0.91, and 1.07 yuan [4][5][25]. - The company is well-positioned in the low-voltage lead-acid battery market, with significant growth potential in both the aftermarket and overseas markets [25].