近期贵金属上涨得益于"货币贬值交易"推动，投资者涌入比特币、黄金、白银等被视为安全资产的品种，同时撤离美元等主要货币。对通胀压力、美国财政 不可持续及美联储独立性受威胁的担忧，持续推升贵金属吸引力。 截至发稿，现货黄金价格维持3987美元/盎司附近，彭博美元指数在上一交易日触及10周高点后基本持平;白银则下跌0.2%，周四曾上涨4.8%。 图2 智通财经APP获悉，黄金价格在前一交易日跌破每盎司4000美元关口后企稳，周五收盘报每盎司3987.04美元，较前一日下跌1.6%。此前金价连续四日快速 上涨，周三曾创下每盎司4059.31美元的历史新高，但技术指标显示过去一个月金价多数时间处于超买状态，促使部分投资者选择获利了结。与此同时，白 银价格延续跌势，周四触及每盎司51.235美元的40多年新高后回落，尽管今年以来白银累计涨幅仍达约70%，远超黄金同期表现。 图1 此次贵金属波动恰逢周四美国股市下跌，尽管黄金通常被视为市场动荡期的避险资产，但当投资者需平仓弥补其他市场损失时，黄金也可能与风险资产同步 下跌。不过，金价仍有望实现连续第八周上涨。 Pepperstone Group研究主管克里斯·韦斯顿指出，在 ...

截至撰写本文时，白银位于42.65美元附近，当天上涨近1%，创下自2011年9月6日以来的最高水平。美元走弱使得贵金属对非美元持有者 更具吸引力，而实际收益率的下降降低了持有白银等无息资产的机会成本。更广泛的避险需求和稳固的工业消费趋势也为银价增加了支 撑。 【华通白银网9月16日讯】•银价连续第四个交易日延续涨势，达到自2011年9月6日以来最高水平。 •在美联储决定前，美元走弱和美国国债收益率下跌支撑了看涨势头。 •技术前景依然强劲，但相对强弱指标（RSI）接近75，表明市场处于超买状态。 白银周一上涨，延续了上周强劲的涨势，连续第四个交易日走强。交易商准备迎接周三美联储降息25个基点的关键决定，因此美元普遍 疲软，美国国债收益率回落，支撑了白银，但真正的焦点在于未来前景将有多鸽派。 相对强弱指标（RSI）为75左右，处于超买区域，但反映了持续的需求，而平均趋向指数（ADX）已升至31.98，证实了普遍上升趋势的 强度。 上行方面，直接阻力位为43.00美元心理位，随后是2011年9月5日以来的峰值43.40美元。如果持续突破这些阻力位，则将为银价向2011年 8月24日以来的高点44.24美元上涨打开大 ...

Core Viewpoint - The US dollar against the Swiss franc rose by 0.44% on August 4, closing at 0.8074, indicating strong bullish sentiment in the market [1] Market Sentiment - The proportion of bullish positions in the US dollar against the Swiss franc reached 88%, indicating an overbought condition and strong market sentiment towards the dollar [1] - The presence of significant long positions has provided upward momentum for the price, but there is a potential for a pullback if bullish momentum wanes [1] Support and Resistance Levels - A strong support level has formed around the previous low of 0.8000, as the price rebounded after a dip to 0.8023, indicating buying interest at this level [1] - The 0.8100 level serves as a critical resistance point, where upward momentum has weakened, preventing effective breakthroughs, highlighting the resistance's suppressive effect [1]

Core Viewpoint - The gold market is experiencing fluctuations, with a recent breakout above the 3360-65 range, but the bullish momentum is not strong, indicating potential for a downward adjustment if it fails to maintain above the 3400 level [1][5]. Group 1: Gold Market Analysis - Gold opened with volatility and showed a strong upward movement, reaching a high of 3397, but later faced a pullback below the previous low of 3391, suggesting weakening bullish strength [1][3]. - The market is currently in an overbought state after a significant rise, with the 3400 level identified as a critical resistance point. A failure to break above this level may lead to further declines [3][5]. - If gold can maintain above the 3400 level, the next targets for upward movement are 3420-25 and 3450, but a drop below this level would indicate a bearish trend [5][7]. Group 2: Silver Market Insights - The silver market also showed strength, reaching a high of 39.05, but is currently experiencing a pullback. The 39.05-39.1 area is identified as a potential double top resistance [5][7]. - Short-term support for silver is at 38.3, with further support at 37.3-35. A breakdown below these levels would signal a stronger bearish trend [5][7]. - The Shanghai gold and silver markets are following similar trends, with Shanghai gold reaching 780 and facing resistance at 788-790. A pullback to 780 could present a buying opportunity [7].

Group 1 - Gold prices fell to a one-month low as trade tensions between major economies eased, leading to suppressed demand and investors awaiting U.S. economic data for interest rate direction [1][2] - Spot gold decreased by 0.33% to $3167.04 per ounce, reaching its lowest level since April 10, while U.S. gold futures dropped by 0.52% to $3171.3 per ounce [1] - Analysts indicate that the market is in an overbought state, with short positions increasing significantly [1] Group 2 - President Trump’s comments on Iran nearing a nuclear deal further reduced demand for gold [2] - Market focus shifted to the U.S. Producer Price Index (PPI) data, with attention on Federal Reserve Chairman Powell's upcoming speech for clues on interest rate paths [2] - Expectations for a 50 basis point rate cut this year, starting in October, could lead to stronger performance for non-yielding gold [3] Group 3 - Gold has broken below the double top neckline support, indicating potential short-term downside risk, with price expectations moving towards the $3000 - $3050 range [3] - Key chart support at $3190 has been breached, suggesting a continued corrective move in gold prices [3] - Other precious metals also saw declines, with spot silver down 1% to $31.89 per ounce, palladium down 0.2% to $949.07 per ounce, and platinum steady at $976 per ounce [3]

Core Viewpoint - The recent decline in gold prices follows a shift in sentiment from President Trump, leading to improved risk appetite among investors and profit-taking after a significant price surge [1] Group 1: Market Reaction - Gold prices fell for the second consecutive day after initially breaking the $3500 per ounce mark, with a drop of 1.9% during early Asian trading [1] - The price of gold reached a historic high of $3500.10 per ounce before the decline began, as stock markets rebounded and both the bond market and the US dollar stabilized [1] Group 2: Investor Behavior - Investors began to take profits after the sharp rise in gold prices, which had increased over 25% year-to-date due to heightened demand for safe-haven assets amid trade tensions and deteriorating economic growth prospects [1] - The 14-day relative strength index indicated that gold was in an overbought condition, contributing to the recent price corrections [1] Group 3: Support Factors - Strong buying from central banks and gold ETF investors has provided support for gold prices despite the recent downturn [1]