点评：消息面上，现货白银上破40美元/盎司，日内涨0.83%，为2011年以来首次。此外，多家国际金融机构看涨金价，瑞 士银行目前已将2026年上半年国际金价目标价上调至每盎司3700美元。美国银行的分析师则预计，到2026年上半年国际金价将 触及每盎司4000美元高位。 创新药概念走强 创新药等医药股再度走强，迈威生物、百济神州均创历史新高，长春高新、百花医药、健康元等多股涨停。 点评：消息面上，国家医保局近日正式公布通过2025年医保及商保创新药目录调整初步形式审查药品名单。两份目录均以 新药为主，"百万抗癌药"CAR-T产品、多个"全球首个且唯一"的产品出现在目录当中。华福证券认为，创新药正向1-10国际化 快速发展，可结构性超配。 芯片股冲高回落 9月1日上午盘，周一A股三大股指高开后一度翻红，随后震荡走高，截止午盘，沪指涨0.12%报3862.65点，深成指涨0.11% 报12710.24点，创业板指涨0.55%报2906.03点，科创50指数涨0.71%报1350.77点；沪深两市半日成交额1.83万亿，市场上热点较 为杂乱，个股涨多跌少，全市场超3100只个股上涨。 盘面上，黄金概念股集体大涨， ...

Core Viewpoint - Alibaba's latest financial report indicates significant growth in capital expenditure and cloud business for Q2 2025, with AI-related product revenue achieving triple-digit growth for eight consecutive quarters [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - Alibaba's capital expenditure and cloud business have shown high growth, reflecting strong investment in AI infrastructure despite geopolitical disruptions affecting overseas computing chip supply [1] - AI-related product revenue has consistently achieved triple-digit growth over the past eight quarters, highlighting the company's successful integration of AI into its offerings [1] Group 2: Industry Implications - The report from CITIC Securities suggests that the progress in domestic AI chip autonomy is steadily advancing, indicating a shift towards self-sufficiency in AI technology [1] - Domestic cloud service providers are expected to experience a resurgence in capital expenditure driven by AI demand, signaling a return to high growth rates in the sector [1] - Recommendations are made for companies benefiting from the domestic computing wave, particularly in areas such as AIDC, server and network equipment, and upstream switching chip manufacturers [1]

Group 1 - The core point of the news is the significant rise in the Sci-Tech Innovation Chip 50 ETF (588750), which increased over 4% and reached a new high since its listing, indicating strong market interest and trading volume [1][3] - The ETF saw a net subscription of over 86 million yuan, leading its peers, and leveraged funds are actively participating, with the latest financing buy amounting to 10.81 million yuan [3][4] - The Sci-Tech Innovation Chip Index (000685) also experienced a strong increase of 4.15%, with notable gains from constituent stocks such as Jihua Technology (688141) up 13.48% and Haiguang Information (688041) up 10.64% [4][5] Group 2 - The release of DeepSeek-V3.1, which integrates innovative technology and supports the upcoming domestic chip design, is expected to catalyze the domestic computing power sector [5] - The Chinese government is focusing on enhancing the competitiveness of domestic chips, as evidenced by the recent discussions with NVIDIA regarding security risks associated with their products [5] - The market for domestic AI chips is anticipated to expand due to the continuous improvement of the domestic ecosystem and the increasing demand for secure and reliable computing solutions [5][6]

Company Research - China Hongqiao (1378, Buy): Integrated cost advantages are significant, with a large buyback reflecting confidence. The company achieved revenue of 81.039 billion RMB in H1 2025, a year-on-year increase of 10.1%[11] - NetEase (NTES.US/9999.HK, Buy): Deferred revenue grew by 25% year-on-year, driven by updates in both new and existing game content[14] - Xtep International (1368, Buy): H1 2025 profit increased by 21.5%, with professional sports business maintaining rapid growth[21] Financial Performance - China Hongqiao's gross profit margin improved by 0.6 percentage points to 25.2%, benefiting from energy structure optimization and low-carbon technology[6] - NetEase's GAAP net profit reached 8.6 billion RMB, a year-on-year increase of 27.3%[14] - Xtep's revenue grew by 7.1% to 6.84 billion RMB, with the professional sports segment increasing by 32.5%[21] Market Outlook - The global electrolytic aluminum market is in a tight balance, with prices expected to remain between 20,600-21,300 RMB/ton in H2 2025[7] - China Hongqiao's target price is set at 29.0 HKD, indicating a potential upside of 24% from the current price[9] - Xtep's target price is 7.36 HKD, reflecting a 19.8% upside potential[25]

Group 1: Key Recommendations - Nvidia has resumed sales of its H20 chips to China, which is expected to alleviate the domestic market's computing power shortage in the short term. AMD has also resumed sales of its MI308 chips to China. The long-term trend indicates a push towards self-sufficiency in AI chip development in China [6][7] - TSMC reported Q2 2025 revenue exceeding $30 billion, with a year-on-year growth of 44.4% and a net profit increase of 60.7%. The revenue from 7nm and below process nodes accounted for 74% of total revenue, with high-performance computing revenue growing by 14% quarter-on-quarter [8] - Global smartphone shipments grew by 1% year-on-year in Q2 2025, while shipments in China declined by 4%. The overall demand in the electronics sector is in a phase of mild recovery, with a focus on AIOT, AI-driven technologies, and consumer electronics [10][11] Group 2: Industry Insights - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology is set to introduce a growth stabilization plan for key industries such as steel, non-ferrous metals, and petrochemicals, which may positively impact the chemical industry [13] - A fire at Covestro's plant in Germany has disrupted TDI supply, leading to price increases. The TDI price is expected to rise due to supply constraints from Covestro, maintenance in Asia, and increased overseas demand [14][15] - The pharmaceutical and biotechnology sector saw a 4% increase last week, outperforming the broader market. The 11th batch of national drug procurement has been initiated, focusing on mature drugs, which may enhance the industry's growth prospects [20][21]