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美股与经济脱节?这波涨势背后风险暗涌
Jin Shi Shu Ju· 2025-08-21 08:55
AI播客:换个方式听新闻 下载mp3 音频由扣子空间生成 美国股市本周虽有所震荡,但仍距历史高点不远。Unlimited Funds联合创始人、首席执行官兼首席投资官鲍勃·埃利 奥特(Bob Elliott)周三在电话采访中表示,股市一直在消化"经济强劲"的预期,即便"这些高涨的预期可能落空"。 他同时指出,股市对美联储可能降息的预期"过于乐观",而关税可能推高通胀的程度仍不明朗。 美东时间周三公布的美联储7月会议纪要反映出对通胀前景的一些担忧,政策制定者认为"今年关税上调的影响在时 机、幅度和持续性方面仍存在极大不确定性"。他们注意到,"数据中已能更明显地看到关税影响,如近期商品价格 通胀上升,而服务价格通胀持续放缓"。 在埃利奥特看来,美国的移民和关税政策叠加,对经济造成的"拖累"远大于"《美而大法案》可能带来的任何益 处"。他表示,从市场交易态势来看,仿佛"增长繁荣即将到来",但实际经济增长似乎正在放缓。 美联储7月会议纪要显示,"与会者注意到,今年上半年经济活动增速放缓,主要受消费增长放缓和住宅投资下降拖 累"。 不过,纪要显示,几乎所有与会者都认为,"鉴于劳动力市场仍稳健,当前货币政策处于温和或适度 ...
A股全年涨幅有望赶上港股
第一财经· 2025-08-21 02:53
Core Viewpoint - The recent outflow of southbound funds from Hong Kong stocks and the rising interest rates have raised concerns about the potential for A-shares to catch up with Hong Kong stocks in performance [3][4][5]. Group 1: Market Performance - As of August 20, the Hang Seng Index has risen by 25.45% this year, outperforming the Shanghai Composite Index by 12.37% [3][4]. - In the past month, the Shanghai Composite Index has increased by nearly 6%, while the Hang Seng Index has only risen by 0.69% [3][15]. - The recent performance indicates a shift, with A-shares potentially gaining momentum against Hong Kong stocks [15][16]. Group 2: Currency and Interest Rate Dynamics - The Hong Kong Interbank Offered Rate (HIBOR) surged significantly, with a rise of 56 basis points to 2.574% on August 18-19, marking a three-month high [3][4][7]. - The Hong Kong Monetary Authority (HKMA) intervened in the market to stabilize the Hong Kong dollar, buying a total of 104.41 billion HKD on August 13 and 14 [4][5]. - The HKMA has intervened 12 times since June, absorbing a total of 1,199.7 billion HKD, which is 92.7% of the liquidity injected in early May [4][5]. Group 3: Market Sentiment and Future Outlook - Analysts expect that the Hong Kong dollar may continue to appreciate, with the potential for further increases in interest rates impacting Hong Kong stocks negatively [5][9]. - The sentiment in the market is shifting, with expectations that the A-share bull market will continue, driven by strong trading volumes and favorable government policies [15][16]. - Despite a cautious sentiment among institutions regarding Hong Kong stocks, the overall bull market trend remains intact, with significant net inflows from southbound funds [16].
午间看盘:沪指上午摸3740,趋势明了,不出所料午后或这样走引关注
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-21 01:32
Market Overview - The A-share market experienced significant volatility, with intense battles between bulls and bears, leading to a precarious situation around the 3700-point mark [1][3] - The trading volume was notably low, with a total of 1.53 trillion yuan, a decrease of 130 billion yuan compared to the previous day, indicating a substantial drop in market activity [1][3] - The index struggled to gain momentum, with the MACD indicator showing a reduction in upward momentum, suggesting a weakening market [1][3] Sector Performance - The brokerage sector showed weakness, quickly falling below the 5-day moving average after an initial rise, indicating fatigue [3] - The insurance sector remained stagnant, contributing little to market movement [3] - The ChiNext index faced a significant decline, dropping below the 2600-point level with a decrease of 1.71% and continued low trading volume [3] Key Stocks and Capital Flow - The liquor sector emerged as a strong performer, attracting 1.871 billion yuan in capital during the half-day session, indicating robust investor interest [4] - The banking sector also saw significant inflows, with 1.444 billion yuan entering, supporting the market [4] - Small metal stocks gained attention, while the tourism and hotel sectors also made notable contributions [4] Market Sentiment - The market sentiment was divided, with over 3400 stocks hitting the daily limit down, reflecting widespread pessimism [1][3] - Despite attempts by the liquor and banking sectors to stabilize the market, the overall trend remained negative, with the index briefly turning positive before declining again [3][4] - Retail investors were closely monitoring the critical 3700-point level, indicating heightened anxiety about market direction [6]
智通港股沽空统计|8月21日
智通财经网· 2025-08-21 00:21
Summary of Key Points Core Viewpoint - The report highlights the top short-selling stocks in the market, indicating significant investor sentiment and potential volatility in these companies' stock prices [1][2][3]. Short Selling Ratios - The top three stocks by short-selling ratio are: - Sun Hung Kai Properties-R (80016) at 100.00% - Lenovo Group-R (80992) at 98.00% - Tencent Holdings-R (80700) at 87.44% [2][3]. Short Selling Amounts - The leading stocks by short-selling amount are: - Xiaomi Group-W (01810) with a short-selling amount of 2.084 billion - Tencent Holdings (00700) at 1.612 billion - Pop Mart (09992) at 1.110 billion [1][3]. Deviation Values - The stocks with the highest deviation values are: - Tencent Holdings-R (80700) at 47.80% - Lenovo Group-R (80992) at 41.56% - China Mobile-R (80941) at 40.57% [1][3]. Additional Insights - The report provides a detailed table of the top ten stocks by short-selling ratios, amounts, and deviation values, indicating a trend of increased short-selling activity in certain sectors [2][3].
科技股盘中抛售剧烈,标普500市值一度蒸发万亿美元,Palantir盘中重挫9%
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-20 23:20
Core Viewpoint - The U.S. stock market has experienced a significant sell-off, primarily driven by concerns over the Federal Reserve's hawkish stance and the high valuations of technology stocks, leading to a loss of $1 trillion in market capitalization for the S&P 500 index [1]. Group 1: Market Performance - The sell-off, led by technology stocks, has resulted in the S&P 500 index declining for four consecutive trading days, with the largest single-day drop since early August occurring on Tuesday [1]. - On Wednesday, risk aversion peaked, causing significant declines in both the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 indices ahead of the Federal Reserve's meeting minutes release [1]. - Nvidia's stock fell nearly 4% before the meeting minutes were published, with an intraday drop exceeding 9%, and a cumulative decline of 23.87% from its closing price on August 12 [1][3]. Group 2: Technology Sector Dynamics - Large technology stocks, which had been the main drivers of the market's rise due to strong demand for AI products and cloud services, are now becoming the leading laggards [4]. - The rapid shift in the role of technology stocks has raised concerns about concentration risk, with strategists warning that the high weight of tech stocks could lead to a broader market downturn if they continue to decline [5]. - Analysts suggest that if the technology sector does not stabilize, the only direction for investors may be to hold cash [6]. Group 3: Investor Sentiment and Market Outlook - Following a 30% increase in the U.S. stock market since April, investor fatigue is becoming apparent, with leading growth stocks significantly underperforming compared to small-cap and value stocks this month [7]. - There is a divide among investors regarding the recent market pullback, with some viewing it as a buying opportunity, while others believe that profit-taking is prioritized due to high market valuations [8][9]. - Some analysts argue that the current market has "fully" priced in future positives, leaving little room for error, and any disappointing news could easily disrupt the fragile market balance [10].
【环球财经】科技股跌势持续 纽约股市三大股指20日涨跌不一
Xin Hua Cai Jing· 2025-08-20 23:15
新华财经纽约8月20日电(记者刘亚南)由于权重科技股延续下跌走势,纽约股市三大股指20日开盘时 涨跌不一,盘整整体弱势盘整,收盘时纽约股市三大股指涨跌不一。 板块方面,标普500指数十一大板块七涨四跌。能源板块和必需消费品板块分别以0.86%和0.80%涨幅领 涨,非必需消费品板块和科技板块分别以1.18%和0.77%跌幅领跌。 美国联邦储备委员会20日公布的7月底货币政策会议纪要显示,美联储官员总体预期通胀在短期将升 高,大多美联储官员认为通胀上行风险大于就业市场下行风险,但对关税对物价影响的大小和通胀的持 续性存在分歧。 美联储货币政策会议参会者注意到,如果处于高位的通胀被证明更加持久而就业市场前景变弱,美联储 公开市场委员会可能将面临艰难的权衡。 多伦多蒙特利尔银行私人财富管理部门首席策略师卡罗尔·施莱夫(Carol Schleif)表示,鉴于科技股此前 出现强有力上涨,一些股票从今年4月初低点已经上涨超80%,一些投资者选择获利了结并不让人吃 惊。8月份晚些时候市场成交量通常会变得较低,这导致股价出现超过基本面的大幅波动。 施莱夫表示,如果鲍威尔在杰克逊霍央行年会上的表态更加鹰派,那可能让科技股进一步 ...
科技股抛售加剧,标普500市值一度蒸发万亿美元,Palantir盘中重挫9%
Hua Er Jie Jian Wen· 2025-08-20 20:50
在对美联储鹰派立场和科技股高估值的双重担忧下,美股经历了一轮剧烈抛售,标普500指数市值一度蒸发万亿美元。 本周以来,由科技股引领的抛售潮持续发酵,推动美国股市连续第四个交易日下跌。周二,MIT报告引发标普500指数创 下8月初以来的最大单日跌幅。周三盘中,避险情绪一度达到顶峰,标普500与纳斯达克100指数在美联储会议纪要发布前 均大幅下挫。 英伟达在会议纪要公布前跌近4%、随后跌幅大幅收窄。作为美股投机热度风向标的Palantir日内最大跌幅超9%、较8月12日 收盘价的累计跌幅一度达到23.87%。尽管Palantir纪要公布后跌幅收窄,但股价仍然连续第六天下跌,创下 2024 年 4 月以 来最长的连跌纪录。 (英伟达和Palantir股价走势) 华尔街见闻撰文,美联储7月会议纪要显示,尽管官员们注意到了通胀上升与就业疲软的双重风险,但"大多数与会者认 为,通胀的上行风险是两者中更大的一个"。 分析认为随着美联储会议纪要公布、不确定性落地,投资者的焦点迅速转移至美联储主席鲍威尔本周五在杰克逊霍尔的讲 话,市场期待将从中寻找未来政策路径的更多线索。 科技股"领头羊"掉头 数月来,得益于市场对人工智能产品 ...
深圳市信宇人科技股份有限公司关于注销部分募集资金现金管理专用结算账户的公告
Shang Hai Zheng Quan Bao· 2025-08-20 20:45
证券代码:688573 证券简称:信宇人 公告编号:2025-035 深圳市信宇人科技股份有限公司关于注销部分募集资金现金管理专用结算账户的公告 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈述或者重大遗漏,并对其内容 的真实性、准确性和完整性依法承担法律责任。 一、募集资金基本情况 经中国证券监督管理委员会(以下简称"中国证监会")《关于同意深圳市信宇人科技股份有限公司首次 公开发行股票注册的批复》(证监许可[2023]1408号)同意注册,深圳市信宇人科技股份有限公司(以 下简称"公司")首次公开发行人民币普通股(A股)股票2,443.8597万股,每股面值1元,每股发行价格 为人民币23.68元,募集资金总额为人民币578,705,976.96元,扣除各类发行费用(不含增值税)人民币 72,505,761.61元后,实际募集资金净额为人民币506,200,215.35元。募集资金已于2023年8月11日划至公 司指定账户,大华会计师事务所(特殊普通合伙)对募集资金到位情况进行了审验并出具了《验资报 告》(大华验字[2023]000487号)。为规范公司募集资金管理和使用,保护投资者权益 ...
湘财基金总经理程涛:打造团队核心投研能力 迎接AI主线行情
Shang Hai Zheng Quan Bao· 2025-08-20 19:18
Group 1 - The A-share market has shown a trend of upward fluctuation since September last year, with improved investor risk appetite [1][2] - The technology growth sector, driven by the AI wave, is attracting global incremental capital into the A-share market, becoming the core theme of a new large-scale upward trend [1][2] - The release of the "Action Plan for Promoting the High-Quality Development of Public Funds" aligns with the current market needs, emphasizing the importance of research and investment capabilities [1][4] Group 2 - The current economic high-quality development is at a critical transition period, with new economic industries steadily increasing their share of GDP [3] - The AI wave is leading to large-scale applications in technology fields such as computing power, robotics, and innovative pharmaceuticals, indicating potential breakthroughs in various sectors [3] - The new consumption trends driven by Generation Z are expected to significantly grow by 2035, creating new investment opportunities [3] Group 3 - The public fund reform emphasizes active management and equity investment capabilities, requiring fund companies to adjust their development models [4] - The company has established a systematic research and investment framework, focusing on talent cultivation and product line layout to enhance core investment capabilities [4][5] - The "active quant" model combines qualitative analysis with quantitative tools to achieve stable excess returns [5] Group 4 - The company's core competency focuses on active equity investment and technology stock investment, aligning with high-quality development themes [6] - The capital market and public fund industry are undergoing fundamental changes, shifting from asset management to wealth management [6] - The company aims to enhance investor experience by providing comprehensive services throughout the investment process [6]
[8月20日]指数估值数据(A股强势上涨,回到4.4星;A股港股的牛市有哪些特点呢)
银行螺丝钉· 2025-08-20 14:04
文 | 银行螺丝钉 (转载请注明出处) 最近A股太强了。 昨天美股下跌不少,受此影响,A股开盘后下跌。 不过到下午又出现神奇两点半,大盘拉涨了起来。 全天大盘上涨,回到4.4星。 今天大盘股比较强势,前几天强势的小盘股微涨。 红利、自由现金流等价值风格整体上涨。 成长风格上午下跌,到下午也拉涨起来。 科创板上涨较多,最近上涨后,科创50距离高估也不远了。 今天消费行业比较强势。 消费是为数不多今年还下跌的行业,也在低估。 这几天也出现了补涨行情。 不过行业指数波动大,投资的时候注意控制好比例。 港股今天微涨微跌,波动不大。 春节后,港股比A股多涨了一轮,今年港股指数比A股同类,多上涨了百分之十几,港股也率先回到3.9星。 A股经常是连续几年低迷,然后在短短几周里大幅上涨。 2014-2015年、2020-2021年、以及2024年9月、2025年6-8月,都是如此。 真正大涨的时间,大约占全部交易日的7%。 但正是这7%的上涨时间,带来了市场绝大多数的回报。 所以投资中,也经常听到一句话:当闪电劈下来的时候,我们要在场。 2. 少有普涨型牛市,多为结构型牛市。 A股只有2007年是普涨型大牛市,大小盘、成长/ ...