消息面上，12月19日左右，智利矿业公司安托法加斯塔和国内某头部铜冶炼厂达成协议，将2026年铜精 矿加工精炼费用Benchmark分别定为0美元/吨和0美分/磅，低于2025年的21.25美元/吨和2.125美分/磅。 国信证券表示，零加工费具有很强的警示意义，可能促使相关部门出台铜冶炼行业"反内卷"措施，行业 远期格局有望向好。 花旗发布研究报告，预计江西铜业股份明年铜冶炼业务毛利将同比下降，长期冶炼及精炼业务也面临下 行压力。不过，因铜、金及硫酸价格有望提高，公司明年整体毛利或上升。花旗将江西铜业H股目标价 从27.9港元提升至39.8港元，维持"买入"评级。 智通财经APP获悉，江西铜业股份(00358)午后跌近4%，截至发稿，跌3.11%，报36.8港元，成交额5.58 港元。 ...

据海关总署数据显示，2025年11月中国精锡进口量为1195吨，同比减少66.05%，环比增加127.04%， 2025年1-11月中国锡锭进口总量1.77万吨。11月进口窗口基本处于关闭状态，本次进口量大部分来自此 前部分贸易商在LME锡盘面上所做的单边行情订购的进口锡，实际数量有限。 中国11月出口精锡1946吨，同比增加33.57%，环比增加31.46%。出口主要为进料加工贸易，销往荷 兰、韩国、印度、日本等精锡消费地。2025年1-11月中国锡锭出口总量2万吨，同比增长32.41%，2025 年1-11累计净出口精锡2298吨。 （文华综合） 数据来源：海关总署 ...

需求呈现结构性特征。长期增长极明确，AI服务器、先进封装、光伏及新能源汽车等新兴产业用锡需 求保持高速增长，构成价格长期中枢上移的核心动力。短期采购则偏谨慎，高锡价抑制下游补库意愿， 企业多维持低库存、按需采购策略，导致现货交投清淡，对价格进一步上涨形成抑制。 产业链与市场展望：利润分化，高位震荡 产业链利润显著向上游资源端集中，中下游加工企业成本压力较大。龙头企业凭借资源自给优势，业绩 弹性充分释放。短期市场预计维持高位震荡，地缘风险与低库存提供支撑，但高价位下的需求畏高情绪 与假期前资金动向可能引发技术性回调。中长期走势仍需关注地缘局势演变与新兴产业实际需求的匹配 度。 期货市场：海外圣诞节临近资金交投谨慎，隔夜伦锡收跌0.57%；最新收盘报42730美元/吨，下跌245美 元，跌幅为0.57%，成交量为835手，持仓量24617万手较前一交易量增加127手；国内方面，夜盘沪期 锡弱势震荡，尾盘小幅收跌，沪锡主力合约2602最新收报340650元/吨，跌2210元/吨，跌幅为0.64%； 伦敦金属交易所（LME）12月22日伦锡库存量报4625吨，较前一交易日库存量减少20吨。长江锡业网 讯：今日沪锡期货 ...

家电行业的"铝代铜"之争引发热议。12月22日，中国家用电器协会表示，应理性看待"铝代铜"。争议背 后，是铜价持续上涨推动空调等相关产品制造成本攀升。 当前，美国借助纽约COMEX交易所的超高溢价，对全球现货铜形成强烈虹吸效应，已"锁住"72万吨的 铜超额库存。机构预计，美国所需的超额库存储备规模或达160万—180万吨，缺口约达100万吨。 这种背景下，国内"铝代铜"的紧迫性明显提升。值得注意的是，今年在传统工业需求疲软的背景下， LME铝价已经逆势攀升至3年高位，沪铝期货主力合约亦突破近三年高位。业内人士认为，在铜铝替代 效应下，铝仍有巨大的补涨潜力。 中国家用电器协会：理性看待"铝代铜" 对于空调行业的"铝代铜"之争，有了正式回应。12月22日，中国家用电器协会发文表示，真正的行业进 步，不是在"铜"与"铝"之间做简单取舍，而是在保障品质、尊重用户与服务国家战略之间找到最优解。 从纽约COMEX和伦敦LME两大市场的跨市价差水平上看，当前美国仍在维持对全球金属铜的虹吸效 应，11月下旬以来COMEX-LME价差逐步抬升至4%—5%的位置，从曲线结构来看，COMEX铜维持远 期陡峭的升水结构。价差与结构共 ...

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Views of the Report - In the context of the Fed's loose monetary policy and the strong performance of precious metals, the sentiment in the non - ferrous metals market is generally positive. However, each metal has its own supply - demand situation and price influencing factors, and the price trends vary [2][3]. - For copper, although there is a possibility of a short - term price increase, the resistance to upward movement is increasing. For aluminum, the price is expected to fluctuate and gradually rise. For lead, the price is expected to be strong within a wide range in the short term. For zinc, it may show an upward pulse in the short term but is expected to be weak in the medium term. For tin, the price is expected to fluctuate with market sentiment. For nickel, the short - term bottom may have emerged. For lithium carbonate, the short - term supply pressure eases and the bullish trend on the disk has not ended. For alumina, it is recommended to wait and see in the short term. For stainless steel, it is advisable to wait and see and pay attention to policy implementation. For cast aluminum alloy, the price is expected to fluctuate within a range [3][6][9][11][14][17][20][23][26][29]. 3. Summary by Metals Copper - **Market Information**: The LME copper price rose 0.34% to $11,911/ton, and the Shanghai copper main contract closed at 93,920 yuan/ton. LME inventory decreased by 2,650 tons to 157,750 tons. In China, the social inventory of electrolytic copper increased slightly, the bonded - area inventory increased slightly, and the SHFE warehouse receipts increased by 0.3 to 49,000 tons. The spot discount in Shanghai and Guangdong expanded, and the import loss of Shanghai copper spot widened to 1,600 yuan/ton. The refined - scrap copper price difference narrowed slightly to 4,500 yuan/ton [2]. - **Strategy View**: The sentiment is positive under the Fed's policy and precious metals rally. The copper mine supply is tight, and the supply surplus pressure is not large in the short term, but the resistance to upward movement is increasing. The operating range of the Shanghai copper main contract is expected to be 92,800 - 94,600 yuan/ton, and that of LME copper 3M is 11,800 - 12,000 dollars/ton [3]. Aluminum - **Market Information**: The LME aluminum price fell 0.49% to $2,941/ton, and the Shanghai aluminum main contract closed at 22,135 yuan/ton. The position of the Shanghai aluminum weighted contract increased by 0.5 to 659,000 lots, and the futures warehouse receipts decreased slightly to 76,000 tons. The domestic social inventory of aluminum ingots increased by about 27,000 tons, and the aluminum rod processing fee decreased. The LME aluminum inventory remained unchanged at 520,000 tons [5]. - **Strategy View**: The overall inventory is relatively low, and the price support is strong, but there are pressures from tariff hikes and the off - season. The price is expected to fluctuate and gradually rise. The operating range of the Shanghai aluminum main contract is 22,000 - 22,300 yuan/ton, and that of LME aluminum 3M is 2,910 - 2,980 dollars/ton [6]. Lead - **Market Information**: The Shanghai lead index rose 0.22% to 16,917 yuan/ton. The LME lead 3S rose $5 to $1,978.5/ton. The domestic social inventory decreased slightly by 40 tons to 1,910 tons [8]. - **Strategy View**: The supply of lead ingots is tightening marginally, and the inventory is relatively low. After the short - term macro - risk release, the sentiment in the non - ferrous market is strong. The lead price is expected to be strong within a wide range in the short term [9]. Zinc - **Market Information**: The Shanghai zinc index rose 0.18% to 23,123 yuan/ton. The LME zinc 3S rose $19 to $3,092/ton. The domestic zinc ingot social inventory increased by 70 tons to 11,930 tons [10]. - **Strategy View**: The shortage of domestic zinc ore is expected to ease marginally. The LME zinc inventory increased, and the domestic social inventory decreased. Affected by macro - sentiment, the zinc price may show an upward pulse in the short term but is expected to be weak in the medium term [11]. Tin - **Market Information**: The Shanghai tin main contract closed at 340,440 yuan/ton, a 0.18% decrease. The smelting enterprises in Yunnan and Jiangxi have limited production growth momentum. The demand for tin ingots has declined, and the spot trading atmosphere is dull [13]. - **Strategy View**: Although the demand is weak and the supply is expected to improve, the price is expected to fluctuate with market sentiment. It is recommended to wait and see. The operating range of the domestic main contract is 300,000 - 350,000 yuan/ton, and that of LME tin is 39,000 - 43,000 dollars/ton [14]. Nickel - **Market Information**: The Shanghai nickel main contract rose 3.48% to 121,260 yuan/ton. The nickel ore price remained stable, and the nickel iron price rose slightly [15]. - **Strategy View**: The oversupply pressure of nickel is still large, but the short - term bottom may have emerged due to the news of potential cobalt taxation in Indonesia. It is recommended to wait and see. The operating range of Shanghai nickel is 110,000 - 125,000 yuan/ton, and that of LME nickel 3M is 13,000 - 15,500 dollars/ton [16][17]. Lithium Carbonate - **Market Information**: The MMLC spot index of lithium carbonate rose 3.18% to 108,405 yuan. The LC2605 contract closed at 114,380 yuan, a 2.68% increase [19]. - **Strategy View**: The short - term supply pressure eases, and the bullish trend on the disk has not ended. It is recommended to wait and see or buy options with a light position. The operating range of the LC2605 contract is 111,600 - 117,100 yuan/ton [20]. Alumina - **Market Information**: The alumina index fell 1.08% to 2,561 yuan/ton. The Shandong spot price fell 5 yuan/ton to 2,650 yuan/ton, with a premium of 135 yuan/ton over the 01 contract. The overseas MYSTEEL Australia FOB remained at $309/ton, and the import loss was 59 yuan/ton [22]. - **Strategy View**: The ore price is expected to decline, and the over - capacity pattern of alumina smelting is difficult to change in the short term. However, as the price is close to the cost line, the follow - up production reduction expectation increases. It is recommended to wait and see in the short term. The operating range of the domestic main contract AO2601 is 2,400 - 2,700 yuan/ton [23]. Stainless Steel - **Market Information**: The stainless steel main contract closed at 12,850 yuan/ton, a 1.02% increase. The social inventory decreased to 1.0421 million tons, a 2.01% decrease [25]. - **Strategy View**: The news of the reduction in Indonesia's nickel ore production target has boosted the price, but the spot trading is still light. It is recommended to wait and see and pay attention to policy implementation [26]. Cast Aluminum Alloy - **Market Information**: The price of the cast aluminum alloy main contract AD2602 rose 0.26% to 21,290 yuan/ton. The weighted contract position remained stable at 28,900 lots, and the trading volume increased [28]. - **Strategy View**: The cost is relatively strong, and there are supply - side disturbances, but the demand is unstable and there is delivery pressure. The price is expected to fluctuate within a range [29].

有色早报 研究中心有色团队 2025/12/23 铜 ： 日期 沪铜现货 升贴水 废精铜 价差 上期所 库存 沪铜 仓单 现货进口 盈利 三月进口 盈利 保税库 premium 提单 premium 伦铜 C-3M LME 库存 LME 注销仓单 2025/12/16 -375 3947 115035 45784 -1413.46 -104.22 42.0 48.0 -9.52 166600 64400 2025/12/17 -330 4353 115035 44877 -1276.65 -196.60 44.0 50.0 -9.80 166925 64450 2025/12/18 -415 4343 115035 44650 -1447.76 -188.76 44.0 50.0 -13.89 164275 61550 2025/12/19 -385 4468 95805 45739 -1750.70 -420.54 43.0 49.0 4.73 160400 56450 2025/12/22 -430 5281 95805 48542 -1754.65 -517.00 48.0 51.0 6.58 1577 ...

锡产业期现日报 投资咨询业务资格:证监许可【 2011】1292号 2025年12月23日 厂家发期货 投资咨询业务资格：证监许可 【2011】1292号 2025年12月23日 周敏波 Z0015979 | 2025年12月23日 | | | | 寇帝斯 | Z0021810 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 现货价格及基差 | | | | | | | 品种 | 现值 | 前值 | 涨跌 | 涨跌幅 | 单位 | | SMM 1#锡 | 340600 | 337100 | 3500 | 1.04% | | | SMM 1#锡升贴水 | -50 | -50 | O | 0.00% | 元/吨 | | 长江 1#锡 | 341100 | 337600 | 3500 | 1.04% | | | LME 0-3升贴水 | -11.00 | -62.00 | 51.00 | 82.26% | 美元/吨 | | 内外比价及进口盈亏 | | | | | | | 品种 | 现值 | 前值 | 涨跌 | 涨跌幅 | 单位 | | 进口盈亏 | -13815.90 | -132 ...

投资咨询业务资格：证监许可【2012】669号 中信期货研究（有⾊每⽇报告） 2025-12-23 静待消费跟进，基本金属震荡整固 有⾊观点：静待消费跟进，基本⾦属震荡整固 交易逻辑：11月美国CPI低于市场预期提振降息预期，但美联储新一任候 选人还处于遴选中；12月10-11日中央经济工作会议召开，定调较为积 极，继续"国补"，国内消费预期有望改善，整体上看，宏观面偏正面。 原料端延续偏紧局面，并逐步往冶炼端传导，供应端收缩风险仍然存在。 终端略偏弱，12月初汽车销售延续放缓，12月空调排产降幅扩大，2026年 1-2月排产预计改善，基本金属现实供需偏宽松，但预期偏紧。整体来 看，中短期，供应扰动担忧继续支撑价格，但高价对消费抑制对价格进一 步涨势构成约束，可继续关注铜铝低吸做多机会，锡近期涨幅较大且累库 加快，多头适当减仓为宜；长期，国内潜在增量刺激政策预期仍在，并且 铜铝锡供应扰动问题仍在，供需仍有趋紧预期，看好铜铝锡价格走势。 铜观点：铜矿⻓单加⼯费落地，铜价⾼位震荡。 氧化铝观点：过剩状态未有明显改善，氧化铝价继续承压。 铝观点：库存有所累积，铝价⾼位震荡。 铝合⾦观点：关注需求变化，盘⾯⾼位震荡。 ...

（文章来源：证券日报） 证券日报网讯 12月22日晚间，云铝股份发布公告称，公司2025年第四次临时股东会审议通过《关于收 购云南冶金持有公司部分控股子公司股权暨关联交易的议案》等。 ...

据天眼查APP显示，白银有色集团股份有限公司成立于2007年07月06日，注册资本740477.4511万人民 币。（数据宝） 12月22日白银有色大宗交易一览 | | 成交金 | | 相对当 | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 成交量 | 额 | 成交价 | 日 | | | | （万 | | 格 | 收盘折 | 买方营业部 | 卖方营业部 | | 股） | （万 | （元） | 溢价 | | | | | 元） | | | | | | | | | （%） | | | | 2269.25 | 12934.73 | 5.70 | 0.00 | 国泰海通证券股份有限公司嘉峪关 | 国泰海通证券股份有限公司兰州 | | | | | | 新华中路证券营业部 | 福利西路证券营业部 | 注：本文系新闻报道，不构成投资建议，股市有风险，投资需谨慎。 （原标题：白银有色大宗交易成交2269.25万股 成交额1.29亿元） 白银有色12月22日大宗交易平台出现一笔成交，成交量2269.25万股，成交金额1.29亿元，大宗交易成交 价为5.70元。该笔交易的买方营业部为国泰 ...