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锌产业周报-20250616
Dong Ya Qi Huo· 2025-06-16 03:07
锌产业周报 2025/06/16 咨询业务资格:沪证监许可【2012】1515号 研报作者:许亮 Z0002220 审核:唐韵 Z0002422 【免责声明】 本报告基于本公司认为可靠的、已公开的信息编制,但本公司对该等信息的准确性及完整性不作任何保证。本报告所载的意见、结论及预测仅反映报告发布时的观点、结论 和建议。在不同时期,本公司可能会发出与本报告所载意见、评估及预测不一致的研究报告。本公司不保证本报告所含信息保持在最新状态。本公司对本报告所含信息可在不发出通知的情 形下做出修改, 交易者(您)应当自行关注相应的更新或修改。本公司力求报告内容客观、公正,但本报告所载的观点、结论和建议仅供参考,交易者(您)并不能依靠本报告以取代行 使独立判断。对交易者(您)依据或者使用本报告所造成的一切后果,本公司及作者均不承担任何法律责任。本报告版权仅为本公司所有。未经本公司书面许可,任何机构或个人不得以翻 版、复制、发表、引用或再次分发他人等任何形式侵犯本公司版权。如征得本公司同意进行引用、刊发的,需在允许的范围内使用,并注明出处为"东亚期货",且不得对本报告进行任何有 悖原意的引用、删节和修改。本公司保留追究相关责 ...
新能源及有色金属日报:社会库存进入累库模式-20250610
Hua Tai Qi Huo· 2025-06-10 02:58
新能源及有色金属日报 | 2025-06-10 社会库存进入累库模式 重要数据 库存方面:截至2025-06-09,SMM七地锌锭库存总量为8.17万吨,较上周同期增加0.43万吨。截止2025-06-09,LME 锌库存为135600吨,较上一交易日减少1375吨。 市场分析 现货市场方面,下游接货意愿较差,贸易商频频下调现货升水,成交依旧冷清。从上周开始锌锭开始累库,对锌 价的支撑瓦解。矿端港口库存及冶炼厂原料库存依旧较为充足,TC持续上涨,冶炼利润依旧丰厚。供给端压力依 旧,6月份供给增长预期重新回到10%左右,下半年有望维持长期供给高增速。消费方面,从下游开工率表现来看, 消费整体表现为强势,中美关税对消费的实际影响尚未显现,但难以对冲供给的高增长,且进入季节性消费淡季, 消费存在环比走弱的迹象。 策略 单边:谨慎偏空。 套利:中性。 风险 1、海外矿预期外扰动。2、国内消费不及预期。3、流动性变化超预期。 现货方面:LME锌现货升水为-35.03 美元/吨。SMM上海锌现货价较前一交易日下跌70元/吨至22590元/吨,SMM 上海锌现货升贴水较前一交易日下跌45元/吨至300元/吨,SMM广东锌现 ...
锌产业周报-20250609
Dong Ya Qi Huo· 2025-06-09 02:36
锌产业周报 2025/06/9 咨询业务资格:沪证监许可【2012】1515号 研报作者:许亮 Z0002220 审核:唐韵 Z0002422 【免责声明】 本报告基于本公司认为可靠的、已公开的信息编制,但本公司对该等信息的准确性及完整性不作任何保证。本报告所载的意见、结论及预测仅反映报告发布时的观 点、结论和建议。在不同时期,本公司可能会发出与本报告所载意见、评估及预测不一致的研究报告。本公司不保证本报告所含信息保持在最新状态。本公司对本报告所含信息可在 不发出通知的情形下做出修改, 交易者(您)应当自行关注相应的更新或修改。本公司力求报告内容客观、公正,但本报告所载的观点、结论和建议仅供参考,交易者(您)并不 能依靠本报告以取代行使独立判断。对交易者(您)依据或者使用本报告所造成的一切后果,本公司及作者均不承担任何法律责任。本报告版权仅为本公司所有。未经本公司书面许 可,任何机构或个人不得以翻版、复制、发表、引用或再次分发他人等任何形式侵犯本公司版权。如征得本公司同意进行引用、刊发的,需在允许的范围内使用,并注明出处为"东 亚期货",且不得对本报告进行任何有悖原意的引用、删节和修改。本公司保留追究相关责任 ...
广发期货《有色》日报-20250605
Guang Fa Qi Huo· 2025-06-05 05:14
Report Industry Investment Ratings No relevant information provided. Core Views Nickel - The short - term fundamentals change little. The nickel price is expected to be weak and fluctuate, with the main reference range of 118,000 - 126,000. Attention should be paid to Indonesian policy changes [1]. Stainless Steel - The stainless - steel price is expected to be weak and fluctuate, with the main operating range of 12,600 - 13,200. Attention should be paid to the steel mill's production cut rhythm [3]. Lithium Carbonate - The short - term fundamentals still have pressure. The lithium carbonate price is expected to be weak and operate in the range of 56,000 - 62,000. Attention should be paid to upstream dynamics [5]. Tin - The short - term supply - side tightness boosts the tin price. Consider shorting on rallies above 260,000, and pay attention to the supply - side recovery rhythm [7]. Alumina - If the mine - end situation does not further ferment, the alumina price will be under pressure, with the lower reference cash cost of 2,700. Attention should be paid to domestic enterprise capacity changes and imported supply [8]. Aluminum - The short - term aluminum price will fluctuate, with the operating range of 19,000 - 21,000. Attention should be paid to inventory and demand changes [8]. Zinc - In the medium - to - long - term, adopt a short - on - rallies strategy. The main reference range is 21,500 - 23,500. Pay attention to zinc ore production growth and downstream demand changes [10]. Copper - The short - term copper price will fluctuate. The main focus is on the pressure level of 78,000 - 79,000. The downward space depends on real demand weakness, and the upward space depends on tariff expectation reversal or US economic risk release [13]. Summaries by Directory Price and Basis - **Nickel**: SMM 1 electrolytic nickel rose 0.47% to 123,425 yuan/ton; 1 Jinchuan nickel rose 0.42% to 124,575 yuan/ton; 1 imported nickel rose 0.51% to 122,425 yuan/ton [1]. - **Stainless Steel**: 304/2B (Wuxi Hongwang 2.0 coil) and 304/2B (Foshan Hongwang 2.0 coil) remained unchanged at 13,100 yuan/ton and 13,050 yuan/ton respectively [3]. - **Lithium Carbonate**: SMM battery - grade lithium carbonate均价 fell 0.08% to 60,250 yuan/ton; SMM industrial - grade lithium carbonate均价 fell 0.09% to 58,650 yuan/ton [5]. - **Tin**: SMM 1 tin rose 2.04% to 255,500 yuan/ton; Yangtze 1 tin rose 2.03% to 256,000 yuan/ton [7]. - **Aluminum**: SMM A00 aluminum rose 0.80% to 20,280 yuan/ton; Yangtze aluminum A00 rose 0.80% to 20,270 yuan/ton [8]. - **Zinc**: SMM 0 zinc ingot rose 0.53% to 22,910 yuan/ton; SMM 0 zinc ingot (Guangdong) rose 0.66% to 22,810 yuan/ton [10]. - **Copper**: SMM 1 electrolytic copper rose 0.05% to 78,485 yuan/ton; SMM Guangdong 1 electrolytic copper rose 0.15% to 78,295 yuan/ton [13]. Cost of Electrolytic Nickel Production - Integrated MHP production cost of electrolytic nickel decreased by 0.49% to 126,132 yuan/ton; integrated high - matte production cost of electrolytic nickel increased by 1.05% to 133,478 yuan/ton [1]. New Energy Material Prices - Battery - grade nickel sulfate average price remained unchanged at 27,915 yuan/ton; battery - grade lithium carbonate average price fell 0.33% to 60,700 yuan/ton [1]. Monthly Spread - **Nickel**: 2507 - 2508 spread rose to - 220 yuan/ton from - 250 yuan/ton [1]. - **Stainless Steel**: 2507 - 2508 spread rose to - 25 yuan/ton from - 42 yuan/ton [3]. - **Lithium Carbonate**: 2506 - 2507 spread fell to - 40 yuan/ton from 40 yuan/ton [5]. - **Tin**: 2506 - 2507 spread fell to - 400 yuan/ton from - 240 yuan/ton [7]. - **Aluminum**: 2506 - 2507 spread fell to 90 yuan/ton from 130 yuan/ton [8]. - **Zinc**: 2506 - 2507 spread fell to 335 yuan/ton from 390 yuan/ton [10]. - **Copper**: 2506 - 2507 spread fell to 150 yuan/ton from 290 yuan/ton [13]. Supply and Inventory - **Nickel**: China's refined nickel production decreased by 2.62% to 35,350 tons; refined nickel imports increased by 8.18% to 8,832 tons [1]. - **Stainless Steel**: China's 300 - series stainless - steel crude steel production increased by 11.37% to 344.01 million tons; Indonesia's 300 - series stainless - steel crude steel production decreased by 6.67% to 42 million tons [3]. - **Lithium Carbonate**: May's lithium carbonate production decreased by 2.34% to 72,080 tons; demand increased by 4.81% to 93,938 tons [5]. - **Tin**: April's tin ore imports increased by 18.48% to 9,861 tons; SMM refined tin production decreased by 0.52% to 15,200 tons [7]. - **Aluminum**: May's alumina production increased by 2.66% to 727.21 million tons; electrolytic aluminum production increased by 3.41% to 372.90 million tons [8]. - **Zinc**: May's refined zinc production decreased by 1.08% to 54.94 million tons; April's refined zinc imports increased by 2.40% to 2.82 million tons [10]. - **Copper**: May's electrolytic copper production increased by 1.12% to 113.83 million tons; April's electrolytic copper imports decreased by 19.06% to 25 million tons [13].
锌产业周报-20250603
Dong Ya Qi Huo· 2025-06-03 07:03
Report Information - Report Title: Zinc Industry Weekly Report - Report Date: June 3, 2025 [1] Core Viewpoints Bullish Factors - Global zinc sheet supply shortage, with a cumulative shortage of 101,600 tons from January to March, and inventory continuously decreasing [3] - Decrease in zinc inventories in LME and SHFE, and basis premium supports prices [3] Bearish Factors - Rebound in imported zinc concentrate TC combined with refinery restart, strengthening the expectation of supply surplus [3] - Consumption enters the traditional off - season, galvanized demand weakens, and downstream procurement is sluggish [3] Trading Consultation Viewpoint - The SHFE zinc ZN2507 contract will maintain short - term oscillatory consolidation, with fundamental bullish and bearish factors intertwined [3] Summary by Catalog Processing and Terminal Demand - Include data on galvanized sheet coils (market sentiment index, weekly inventory, and steel mill weekly output), galvanized sheet (strip) net export, die - cast zinc alloy net import, real estate development investment, engineering progress, sales area, and land transaction area, and infrastructure fixed - asset investment [5][6][11][12][13][14][15][17][18] Futures and Spot Market Review - Include data on internal and external zinc price trends, LME term structure, zinc ingot basis trends [21][23][27] Supply and Supply - side Profits - Include data on zinc concentrate imports, processing fees, zinc ingot production, enterprise production profits, raw material inventory days, and zinc inventories in LME and SHFE [31][33][34][36][37][39]
锌产业周报-20250526
Dong Ya Qi Huo· 2025-05-26 02:03
Core View Positive Factors - Social inventory decreased by 0.25 million tons compared to last week. Downstream restocking at low prices drove the spot premium to remain stable, providing temporary support for demand [3]. - The spot price increased by 0.72% daily, and the basis premium widened to 138 yuan/ton, indicating a strong spot market [3]. Negative Factors - Mine supply is gradually recovering, with sufficient import volumes, and the market remains in an oversupply situation [3]. - Smelting profits are substantial, supply remains high, and there is an expectation of weakening demand in the medium term [3]. Trading Consultation View - It is difficult for the industry to reduce inventory. Furnace restarts in the southwest region may exacerbate the oversupply. It is recommended to maintain a short - allocation strategy [3]. Processing and Terminal Demand - The report presents data on the market sentiment index, inventory, and weekly production of galvanized coils, as well as the net export seasonality of galvanized sheets (strips) and die - cast zinc alloys. It also includes data on real estate development investment, sales, land transactions, and infrastructure fixed - asset investment [5][6][11][13][15][16]. Futures and Spot Market Review - The report shows the price trends of domestic and foreign zinc, the trading volume and open interest of SHFE zinc futures, the relationship between LME zinc prices and the US dollar index, the LME term structure, and the basis trends of zinc ingots in three locations [20][21][23][26]. Supply and Supply - Side Profits - The report provides data on the monthly import volume of zinc concentrates, zinc concentrate TC, zinc ingot production, enterprise production profits, raw material inventory days, and zinc inventory in LME and SHFE [30][32][33][35].
锌产业周报-20250519
Dong Ya Qi Huo· 2025-05-19 01:47
Report Information - Report Title: Zinc Industry Weekly Report - Report Date: May 19, 2025 [1] - Author: Xu Liang (Z0002220) - Reviewer: Tang Yun (Z0002422) Investment Rating - No investment rating information is provided in the report. Core Views Bullish Factors - High spot premiums are maintained, and refineries' reluctance to sell has led to a shortage of circulating supplies, supporting zinc prices [3]. - The US economic recovery and demand growth have exceeded expectations, and the easing of China-US tariffs has boosted market sentiment [3]. Bearish Factors - Domestic zinc smelters have strong production momentum, and the smooth resumption of overseas projects has increased supply-side pressure [3]. - Imported zinc ingots are arriving at ports, causing spot premiums to weaken. Weak demand during the off-season has suppressed prices [3]. Trading Advisory View - The fundamentals of the domestic zinc market provide limited support. The growth in supply and off-season demand are in a tug-of-war, and the market may maintain a volatile pattern in the short term [3]. Section Summaries Processing and End-User Demand - The report presents various data on the zinc processing and end-user demand sectors, including the market sentiment index, inventory, production, and trade data of galvanized steel coils, galvanized sheets (strips), die-cast zinc alloys, and other products. It also shows data on real estate development investment, sales, and infrastructure fixed asset investment [5][6][7][11][13][15][17]. Futures and Spot Market Review - The report includes data on the price trends of domestic and international zinc futures, trading volume, open interest, and the relationship between LME zinc prices and the US dollar index. It also presents information on the LME term structure, zinc ingot basis, and other aspects [21][22][24]. Supply and Supply-Side Profits - The report provides data on zinc concentrate imports, processing fees, zinc ingot production, enterprise production profits, raw material inventory days, and inventory levels of zinc in LME and SHFE [31][33][34][36].
广发期货《有色》日报-20250514
Guang Fa Qi Huo· 2025-05-14 11:10
1. Report Industry Investment Ratings No information about industry investment ratings is provided in the given reports. 2. Core Views Copper - The copper market presents a combination of "strong current situation + weak expectation". The short - term price is likely to fluctuate. The main contract price is expected to range between 77,500 - 79,500 yuan/ton. The macro - level factors and the uncertainty of demand in the peak season are the main influencing factors [1]. Aluminum - For alumina, the market is influenced by both positive and negative factors, and the price is expected to fluctuate in the short term. For electrolytic aluminum, the inventory reduction and the easing of tariff sentiment support the price, but the expected weakening of demand and the decline in cost put pressure on the price. The short - term price is likely to fluctuate [3]. Zinc - The short - term zinc price may be supported by the easing of tariff signals. In the future, the price may decline if terminal consumption is insufficient due to tariff policies, or maintain a high - level oscillation if the growth rate of the mining end is lower than expected and downstream consumption exceeds expectations. In the medium - to - long - term, a short - selling strategy is recommended, with the main contract price reference range of 21,500 - 23,500 yuan/ton [4]. Tin - The macro - sentiment improvement may drive the tin price to rebound, but considering the supply - side restoration and the pessimistic demand expectation, short - selling can be attempted in the range of 265,000 - 270,000 yuan/ton. Attention should be paid to the supply - side raw material restoration rhythm [7]. Nickel - The short - term nickel price is expected to fluctuate. The macro - sentiment has improved, and the cost provides some support, but the medium - term supply is expected to be loose. The main contract price is expected to range between 122,000 - 128,000 yuan/ton [8]. Stainless Steel - The stainless - steel market is expected to fluctuate. The raw - material end provides some support, but the short - term supply - demand contradiction has intensified, and the inventory pressure has slightly eased. The main contract price is expected to range between 12,600 - 13,200 yuan/ton [11]. Lithium Carbonate - The short - term lithium carbonate price is expected to show a weak oscillation. The supply pressure is obvious, the demand is relatively flat, and the inventory is still high. The main contract price is expected to range between 62,000 - 66,000 yuan/ton [14]. 3. Summary by Related Catalogs Copper - **Price and Basis**: Most copper prices decreased slightly, with SMM 1 electrolytic copper at 78,155 yuan/ton, down 0.15%. The refined - scrap price difference decreased by 11.54% [1]. - **Monthly Spread**: The spreads between some contracts changed, such as the 2505 - 2506 spread increasing by 10 yuan/ton [1]. - **Fundamental Data**: In April, the electrolytic copper production increased by 0.32%, and the import volume in March increased by 15.24%. The domestic and overseas inventories showed different trends [1]. Aluminum - **Price and Spread**: Aluminum prices generally increased, with SMM A00 aluminum at 20,010 yuan/ton, up 1.01%. The import loss and the spreads between some contracts changed [3]. - **Fundamental Data**: In April, the alumina and electrolytic aluminum production changed. The开工 rates of some aluminum products also changed, and the inventories at home and abroad decreased [3]. Zinc - **Price and Spread**: Zinc prices decreased slightly, with SMM 0 zinc ingot at 22,650 yuan/ton, down 0.31%. The import loss increased, and the spreads between some contracts decreased [4]. - **Fundamental Data**: In April, the refined zinc production increased by 0.31%, and the import volume in March increased by 9.47%. The开工 rates of downstream industries increased [4]. Tin - **Spot Price and Basis**: Tin prices decreased slightly, with SMM 1 tin at 262,100 yuan/ton, down 0.27%. The spreads between some contracts changed significantly [7]. - **Fundamental Data**: In March, the tin ore import decreased, while the refined tin production and import increased. The inventories of some varieties decreased [7]. Nickel - **Price and Basis**: Nickel prices decreased, with SMM 1 electrolytic nickel at 124,950 yuan/ton, down 1.79%. The import loss decreased, and the spreads between some contracts changed [8]. - **Fundamental Data**: In April, the Chinese refined nickel production increased by 6.08%, and the import volume decreased by 68.84%. The inventories at home and abroad changed [8]. Stainless Steel - **Price and Spread**: Stainless - steel prices were slightly adjusted, with the 304/2B (Wuxi Hongwang 2.0 roll) at 13,200 yuan/ton, up 0.38%. The spreads between some contracts changed [11]. - **Fundamental Data**: In April, the 300 - series stainless - steel production in China increased by 11.37%, and the export volume increased by 70.98%. The inventories changed [11]. Lithium Carbonate - **Price and Spread**: Lithium carbonate prices were mostly stable, with SMM battery - grade lithium carbonate at 64,600 yuan/ton, unchanged. The spreads between some contracts changed [13]. - **Fundamental Data**: In April, the lithium carbonate production decreased, while the demand increased. The inventory increased, and the开工 rate increased [14].
镍不锈钢早报:纯镍产量同比高增,过剩压力依旧存在-20250514
Xin Da Qi Huo· 2025-05-14 02:44
1. Report Industry Investment Ratings - Nickel - Rolling short [1] - Stainless steel - Wait - and - see [1] - Zinc - Bearish outlook [5] 2. Core Views - **Nickel and Stainless Steel**: The rumor of the Philippine nickel ore ban has been falsified, and the logic returns to the fundamentals. There is still an excess pressure in the nickel market, and it is recommended to roll short between 120,000 - 127,000 [1][2]. - **Zinc**: The impact of tariffs has temporarily subsided. In the short - term, supply is stable with a slight increase, while the peak demand season has passed. Manufacturers are pessimistic about terminal demand, so it is overall bearish [3][4]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs **Nickel and Stainless Steel** - **Macro & Industry News**: In April 2025, China's nickel plate production was 33,120 tons, a month - on - month decrease of 2.1% and a year - on - year increase of 6.9%. The production of nickel sulfate was 29,600 tons, a month - on - month decrease of 12.9% and a year - on - year decrease of 17.8% [1]. - **Supply**: The rumor of the Philippine nickel ore ban is falsified. The mining end is likely to turn looser. The overall supply of domestic electrolytic nickel has shrunk month - on - month but remains at the highest level in the same period in history. The production cost of electrowinning nickel is expected to decline [1]. - **Demand**: In the process of producing nickel sulfate from nickel beans, the nickel cost is about 127,000 yuan. The demand support from downstream nickel sulfate cost is about 134,000 yuan/ton, and the profit critical point of external procurement manufacturers is about 137,000 yuan/ton. The possibility of stainless steel production cuts is small [2]. **Zinc** - **Macro & Industry News**: In April 2025, the retail sales of the national passenger car market were 1.755 million vehicles, a year - on - year increase of 14.5% and a month - on - month decrease of 9.4%. The cumulative retail sales this year were 6.872 million vehicles, a year - on - year increase of 7.9% [3]. - **Supply**: Although the profits of mining enterprises have shrunk, the TC price has not declined, indicating no production cuts at the mining end. The supply side generally shows a loosening trend, and the possibility of production cuts for both smelting and integrated enterprises is extremely small [3]. - **Demand**: The peak demand season is approaching the end. The production enthusiasm of galvanizing, die - casting alloy, and zinc oxide manufacturers is low, and the terminal demand is expected to decline [4].
《有色》日报-20250514
Guang Fa Qi Huo· 2025-05-14 01:06
1. Report Industry Investment Ratings No investment ratings are provided in the reports. 2. Core Views of the Reports Tin - The current supply of tin ore remains tight, but the supply is expected to recover in July. The demand improvement is limited, and the subsequent demand outlook is pessimistic. The Sino - US tariff negotiation consensus may drive the price to rebound, but considering supply recovery and weak demand, try shorting in the 265,000 - 270,000 range and focus on the supply recovery rhythm [1]. Copper - Macroeconomic factors such as tariffs and the "232" investigation affect copper prices. The supply of raw materials is tight, and domestic inventories are low. The demand in the peak season may not be sustainable. The copper market shows a "strong current + weak expectation" pattern, with prices expected to be volatile in the short - term, and focus on the demand after May and tariff negotiation progress [2]. Aluminum - For alumina, the operating capacity may fluctuate, demand is stable with limited growth, and the cost support is weakening. Prices are expected to be volatile. For electrolytic aluminum, the supply is stable, demand may decline, but the low inventory and tariff relaxation support the price. Overall, the price is expected to be weak, with a support range of 18,000 - 18,500 [4]. Zinc - The supply of zinc ore is loose. Refined zinc supply was affected by over - expected maintenance in April. Downstream demand is weak, and the purchasing index is weakening. Short - term prices may be supported by tariff relaxation. In the long - term, consider shorting, and focus on ore production and downstream demand changes [6]. Lithium Carbonate - The futures market fluctuates. The tariff negotiation result has a short - term impact on sentiment. The supply pressure is clear, demand is relatively flat, and inventory is high. Prices may stabilize in the short - term, but the upside is limited. The overall strategy is to short on rallies, with a reference range of 62,000 - 66,000 [9]. Nickel - The nickel market is affected by the rumored Philippine ore ban and tariff negotiation results. The cost support is strong, but the medium - term supply is loose, restricting the upside. The price is expected to be in a range - bound adjustment, with a reference range of 122,000 - 128,000 [11]. Stainless Steel - The stainless - steel market is affected by tariff negotiation results. The ore price provides support, but the supply is excessive, and demand is slowly recovering. The inventory pressure eases slightly. The price is expected to be volatile, with a reference range of 12,600 - 13,200 [14]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Tin Spot Price and Basis - SMM 1 tin price increased by 1.23% to 262,800 yuan/ton, and the SMM 1 tin premium remained unchanged. The LME 0 - 3 premium increased by 72.79% to - 43.01 dollars/ton [1]. Internal - External Price Ratio and Import Profit/Loss - The import loss decreased by 74.84% to - 2,373.05 yuan/ton, and the Shanghai - London ratio was 8.19 [1]. Monthly Spread - The spreads of different contracts showed various changes, such as the 2505 - 2506 spread increased by 37.50% [1]. Fundamental Data - In March, tin ore imports decreased by 4.83%, SMM refined tin production increased by 8.75%, and refined tin imports increased by 12.41%. The export of refined tin decreased by 29.50%, and the export of Indonesian refined tin increased by 46.15% [1]. Inventory Change - SHEF inventory decreased by 2.13%, social inventory increased by 3.66%, SHEF warrants decreased by 0.85%, and LME inventory increased by 3.14% [1]. Copper Price and Basis - SMM 1 electrolytic copper price increased by 0.09% to 78,275 yuan/ton, and the SMM 1 electrolytic copper premium decreased. The import loss increased to - 570 yuan/ton [2]. Monthly Spread - The spreads of different contracts decreased, such as the 2505 - 2506 spread decreased by 180 yuan/ton [2]. Fundamental Data - In April, electrolytic copper production increased by 0.32% to 112.57 million tons. In March, imports increased by 15.24% to 30.88 million tons. The operating rate of electrolytic copper rod decreased, and inventories in various regions decreased [2]. Aluminum Price and Spread - SMM A00 aluminum price increased by 1.02% to 19,810 yuan/ton. The spreads of different contracts showed various changes [4]. Fundamental Data - In April, alumina production decreased by 6.17% to 754.90 million tons, and electrolytic aluminum production decreased by 2.91% to 371.42 million tons. The operating rates of some aluminum products changed, and inventories decreased [4]. Zinc Price and Spread - SMM 0 zinc ingot price decreased by 0.22% to 22,720 yuan/ton. The spreads of different contracts decreased [6]. Fundamental Data - In April, refined zinc production increased by 0.31% to 50.98 million tons. In March, imports increased by 9.47% to 5.78 million tons, and exports decreased by 77.37% to 0.02 million tons. The operating rates of downstream industries increased, and inventories increased [6]. Lithium Carbonate Price and Basis - SMM battery - grade lithium carbonate price decreased by 1.00% to 64,600 yuan/ton. The basis decreased by 147.71% [9]. Monthly Spread - The spreads of different contracts showed various changes [9]. Fundamental Data - In April, lithium carbonate production decreased by 6.65% to 73,810 tons, and demand increased by 3.02% to 89,627 tons. In March, imports increased by 47.03% to 18,125 tons, and exports decreased by 47.25% to 220 tons [9]. Nickel Price and Basis - SMM 1 electrolytic nickel price increased by 1.92% to 127,225 yuan/ton. The import loss increased by 3.73% [11]. Monthly Spread - The spreads of different contracts showed various changes [11]. Supply, Demand, and Inventory - In April, China's refined nickel production increased by 6.08% to 36,300 tons, and imports decreased by 68.84%. Inventories in various regions decreased [11]. Stainless Steel Price and Basis - The price of 304/2B stainless - steel coils increased, and the basis decreased [14]. Monthly Spread - The spreads of different contracts showed various changes [14]. Fundamental Data - In April, China's 300 - series stainless - steel crude steel production increased by 11.37% to 344.01 million tons, and Indonesian production decreased by 6.67%. Imports decreased, exports increased, and inventories changed slightly [14].