Core Insights - The logistics line from Zhangjiagang to Jinchang connects important port cities in the Yangtze River Delta with the northwest's non-ferrous metal industrial hub, facilitating a comprehensive logistics solution for three major industries: non-ferrous metals, chemicals, and specialty agricultural products [6][22] Non-Ferrous Metal Logistics - Jinchang's non-ferrous metal industry has strict transportation requirements for nickel and copper raw materials, including corrosion prevention and collision protection [7] - A recent shipment involved transporting 800 tons of nickel concentrate and 500 tons of electrolytic nickel plates, emphasizing the need for moisture and oxidation prevention [7][10] - The logistics team implements five core measures to ensure safe transportation, including specialized protective designs and route optimization [8][10] Chemical Logistics - The chemical industry in Jinchang requires high compliance and safety standards for transporting sulfuric acid and fertilizers, with a focus on leak prevention and corrosion protection [11] - A shipment of 600 tons of concentrated sulfuric acid and 400 tons of compound fertilizer was executed with strict adherence to safety protocols [11][14] - The logistics team employs four core measures for chemical transportation, including tiered protection and compliance control [12][14] Specialty Agricultural Products Logistics - Jinchang's agricultural sector focuses on the transportation of specialty products like barley and fruits, necessitating cold chain preservation and timely delivery [15] - The logistics team has established a distribution center in Jinchang to facilitate efficient delivery to farmers and cooperatives [16][21] - The transportation process ensures minimal product loss, with a reported loss rate of only 0.6% for agricultural products [21] Integrated Logistics Solutions - The logistics line has developed a "nine-step closed-loop service process" to cater to the needs of the non-ferrous metal, chemical, and agricultural industries, enhancing efficiency in logistics operations [22][24] - In 2024, the logistics service is projected to transport over 60,000 tons of goods, supporting more than 150 enterprises and fostering industrial collaboration between Zhangjiagang and Jinchang [22][23]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating a positive outlook on its stock performance [4][7]. Core Views - The company has demonstrated stable profit levels, with a slight year-over-year revenue decline of 5.1% in the first half of 2025, while net profit increased marginally by 0.1% [1]. - The company is expected to benefit from the acceleration of its new energy projects, which are anticipated to significantly contribute to future earnings growth [4]. - The company has a robust pipeline of waste incineration projects and is expanding into the new energy materials sector, which is expected to enhance profitability [2][3]. Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, the company achieved revenue of 3.9 billion yuan from its equipment manufacturing segment, with a notable increase in gross margin to 49.0% [1]. - The company reported a net cash flow from operating activities of 1.32 billion yuan, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 0.9% [1]. - The projected net profits for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are estimated at 3.25 billion yuan, 3.80 billion yuan, and 4.23 billion yuan respectively, with corresponding EPS of 1.91 yuan, 2.23 yuan, and 2.48 yuan [4][6]. Business Segments - The waste incineration segment has 55 operational projects with a combined capacity of approximately 37,000 tons per day, ensuring stable cash flow [2]. - The equipment manufacturing business has seen a significant increase in order volume, with new orders totaling approximately 3.56 billion yuan in the first half of 2025 [3]. - The new energy materials segment has begun production, with the company’s subsidiary achieving a production output of 2,306 tons of nickel-containing products in the first half of 2025 [3].

Core Insights - China's nickel imports surged significantly, with an average of 516 tons of pure nickel arriving daily in the first five months of 2025, marking a 100.6% year-on-year increase and reaching a six-year high of 77,654 tons [1] - Global nickel prices have plummeted, with the London Metal Exchange price dropping to below $17,000 per ton, a 40% decline from the 2023 peak, attributed to Indonesia's massive production increase [2] - Indonesia's strategic missteps in nickel production have led to a price collapse, as the country lacks core technology despite holding significant reserves [2][5] - China's strategic reserve accumulation is evident, as its nickel consumption growth of 4.9% contrasts sharply with a tenfold increase in imports, indicating a focus on national strategic reserves [2] Industry Developments - Indonesia's nickel production is projected to exceed 2.3 million tons in 2025, capturing 63% of global supply, which has contributed to the price drop [2] - The U.S. Department of Defense has acknowledged the growing capabilities of the Chinese military, with nickel reserves being crucial for military applications, including shipbuilding and missile production [5] - China's response to Indonesia's attempts to pivot towards the U.S. included imposing a 43% tariff on Indonesian stainless steel, which significantly impacts Indonesia's economy [7] - China's resource strategy extends beyond nickel, with investments in cobalt and lithium, and the establishment of supply chains through initiatives like the Belt and Road [9][12] Strategic Implications - The rapid accumulation of nickel reserves by China is part of a broader strategy to secure critical resources, as evidenced by the construction of underground storage facilities [12] - The geopolitical landscape is shifting, with China leveraging its resource capabilities while Western nations scramble to localize their supply chains [10] - Historical lessons from past resource crises are influencing current strategies, as China aims to avoid reliance on foreign supplies by building a robust domestic resource base [12]

Market Overview - On June 17, the main contract for stainless steel futures closed at 12,480 CNY/ton, down 70 CNY/ton, while the main contract for nickel closed at 118,570 CNY/ton, down 1,120 CNY/ton, indicating a slight decline in stainless steel futures prices and an increase in bearish market sentiment [2]. - Domestic stainless steel prices mainly decreased, with 304 grade down by 50 CNY/ton, 201 grade down by 50 CNY/ton, and 430 grade remaining stable [2]. Price Changes by Steel Mills - Taigang's 304/2B (2.0mm) is priced at 15,600 CNY, down 50 CNY; 304/No.1 (3.0-12mm) at 14,800 CNY; and 430/2B (2.0mm) at 9,800 CNY [2]. - Zhangpu's 304/2B (2.0mm) is priced at 13,600 CNY, while Dongfang Special Steel's 304/No.1 (4-8mm) is at 12,500 CNY and 316L/No.1 (4-8mm) at 23,550 CNY [2]. Market Performance - In Wuxi, the price for 304 grade decreased by 50 CNY/ton, 201 grade also down by 50 CNY/ton, while 430 grade remained stable [2]. - In Foshan, the price for 304 grade decreased by 50 CNY/ton, 201 grade down by 50 CNY/ton, and 430 grade stable [2]. Raw Material Prices - On June 17, the price for nickel plate in the Yangtze River region was 120,100 CNY/ton, down 900 CNY/ton; high-carbon ferrochrome (FeCr55C1000) in Sichuan was 8,050 CNY/50 base tons, unchanged; and molybdenum iron (FeMo60) in Henan was 246,000 CNY/ton, unchanged [4]. Futures Market Analysis - The stainless steel futures market showed a weak trend, with the K-line closing as a small bearish candle, indicating a continuation of the bearish trend. The next trading day for the 2508 contract is expected to range between 12,550 CNY and 12,400 CNY [6].

Group 1: Report Investment Rating - No information provided Group 2: Core Views - The copper price is expected to fluctuate around 78,000 yuan, with subsequent inventory accumulation likely to be slow due to strong support from the current fundamentals and macro - environment [1] - The aluminum price is expected to rebound with inventory reduction, and the calendar spread long - position can be held if the absolute price drops [1] - For zinc, it is recommended to short at high prices and consider partial profit - taking for the domestic - foreign calendar spread long - position [2] - Opportunities for narrowing the nickel - stainless steel price ratio can be continuously monitored [3] - The stainless - steel market is expected to oscillate in the short term [3] - The lead price is expected to oscillate between 16,600 and 16,900 yuan next week, with supply expected to decrease in May [6] - For tin, it is advisable to wait and see in the short term and look for high - short opportunities in the long term [8] - The industrial silicon price is expected to oscillate at the bottom, anchored to the cash - flow cost of leading large factories in the long run [9] - The lithium carbonate price is expected to decline after oscillation in the short term and remain weakly oscillating in the medium - long term [9] Group 3: Summary by Metals Copper - Domestic inventory continued to increase slightly this week. The earthquake in the Kamoa mining area may affect this year's production. The Manyer smelter in Indonesia will resume production, which may affect the domestic TC. The domestic copper consumption shows resilience, and the price is expected to oscillate around 78,000 yuan [1] Aluminum - Supply increased slightly, and the demand decline in May - June is not obvious. There is still a supply - demand gap, and inventory is expected to decline gently from May to July. The aluminum price is expected to rebound with inventory reduction [1] Zinc - The zinc price oscillated this week. Supply - side TC remained unchanged, and smelting maintenance decreased slightly. Demand - side domestic demand has limited elasticity, and overseas demand has slightly recovered. The inventory accumulation inflection point is expected to appear in early June [2] Nickel - The supply of pure nickel remains high, and imports from Russia increased in April. Demand is weak, and overseas inventory increased slightly. Opportunities for narrowing the nickel - stainless steel price ratio can be monitored [3] Stainless Steel - Production increased seasonally in April, and steel mills may cut production passively in May. Demand is mainly for rigid needs, and inventory increased slightly in Xijiao and Foshan. The market is expected to oscillate in the short term [3] Lead - The lead price oscillated downward this week. Supply - side recycling and smelting have issues, and demand is weak. The price is expected to oscillate between 16,600 and 16,900 yuan next week [6] Tin - The tin price oscillated narrowly this week. Supply - side domestic production may be affected by processing fees, and overseas production has resumed. Demand is weak, and it is recommended to wait and see in the short term and look for high - short opportunities in the long term [8] Industrial Silicon - The overall start - up rate increased slightly this week. The market is at a low level, and inventory is gradually decreasing. The price is expected to oscillate at the bottom in the long run [9] Lithium Carbonate - The lithium carbonate price rebounded after a decline this week. Supply - side production and inventory changes are complex, and demand is weak. The price is expected to decline after oscillation in the short term and remain weakly oscillating in the medium - long term [9]

1. Report Industry Investment Ratings - Nickel - Rolling short [1] - Stainless steel - Wait - and - see [1] - Zinc - Bearish outlook [5] 2. Core Views - **Nickel and Stainless Steel**: The rumor of the Philippine nickel ore ban has been falsified, and the logic returns to the fundamentals. There is still an excess pressure in the nickel market, and it is recommended to roll short between 120,000 - 127,000 [1][2]. - **Zinc**: The impact of tariffs has temporarily subsided. In the short - term, supply is stable with a slight increase, while the peak demand season has passed. Manufacturers are pessimistic about terminal demand, so it is overall bearish [3][4]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs **Nickel and Stainless Steel** - **Macro & Industry News**: In April 2025, China's nickel plate production was 33,120 tons, a month - on - month decrease of 2.1% and a year - on - year increase of 6.9%. The production of nickel sulfate was 29,600 tons, a month - on - month decrease of 12.9% and a year - on - year decrease of 17.8% [1]. - **Supply**: The rumor of the Philippine nickel ore ban is falsified. The mining end is likely to turn looser. The overall supply of domestic electrolytic nickel has shrunk month - on - month but remains at the highest level in the same period in history. The production cost of electrowinning nickel is expected to decline [1]. - **Demand**: In the process of producing nickel sulfate from nickel beans, the nickel cost is about 127,000 yuan. The demand support from downstream nickel sulfate cost is about 134,000 yuan/ton, and the profit critical point of external procurement manufacturers is about 137,000 yuan/ton. The possibility of stainless steel production cuts is small [2]. **Zinc** - **Macro & Industry News**: In April 2025, the retail sales of the national passenger car market were 1.755 million vehicles, a year - on - year increase of 14.5% and a month - on - month decrease of 9.4%. The cumulative retail sales this year were 6.872 million vehicles, a year - on - year increase of 7.9% [3]. - **Supply**: Although the profits of mining enterprises have shrunk, the TC price has not declined, indicating no production cuts at the mining end. The supply side generally shows a loosening trend, and the possibility of production cuts for both smelting and integrated enterprises is extremely small [3]. - **Demand**: The peak demand season is approaching the end. The production enthusiasm of galvanizing, die - casting alloy, and zinc oxide manufacturers is low, and the terminal demand is expected to decline [4].