Core Viewpoint - The report from Minsheng Securities highlights the cyclical recovery in the livestock industry, emphasizing the valuation shift for leading companies in the sector [1] Livestock Industry - The domestic livestock cycle is expected to reverse, with both domestic and international beef and raw milk markets likely to experience upward momentum [1] - Official capacity regulation in the pig industry is anticipated to accelerate cash flow improvements for leading enterprises, potentially transforming them into dividend stocks as industry capacity contracts [1] - In the poultry sector, limited supply fluctuations are expected, with market conditions likely to improve alongside demand recovery, allowing leading companies to achieve higher cash flow and dividend returns [1] Feed Industry - The deepening industrialization of livestock and poultry farming, along with clear industry segmentation, positions leading feed companies to further enhance their competitive advantages through technology and service [1] Pet Industry - The pet industry is identified as a scarce growth sector, expected to benefit from demographic changes [1] Investment Recommendations - Recommended livestock companies include: - For livestock: Youran Dairy, Modern Dairy, and China Shengmu [1] - For pigs: Huazhong Holdings, Dekang Agriculture, Muyuan Foods, Wens Foodstuff, Tiankang Biological, and Shennong Group [1] - For poultry: Lihua Stock, Yisheng Shares, and Shennong Development [1] - For feed: Haida Group [1] - For pets: Guibao Pet [1]

11月23日，记者走访成都消费一线发现，从猫狗的智能保暖装备到异宠的精准温控系统，"温暖经济"越 来越具备更精致、更多元、全矩阵的特征，背后既有年轻群体的个性化追求，也有银发族的情感寄托， 降温后，市民何女士家里养的小仓鼠忙着往窝里塞满木屑，可她发现仅靠仓鼠自己收集铺放的木屑，保 暖效果仍不够，于是又专门添置了更多仓鼠专用纸棉，铺在笼中，让小家伙能更自在地钻进去筑巢，抵 御冬日寒意。像何女士这样的养宠人不在少数，随着气温下降，大家纷纷开始为家中"毛孩子"筹备过 冬，宠物过冬消费热潮悄然开启。 今年"双11"，宠物消费再度引爆市场——食品板块达94亿元销售额，较去年增长59%；保暖用品更完成 从"季节性补充"到"常年刚需"的蜕变。毕马威数据显示，2025年中国宠物市场规模预计突破8114亿元， 而Global Market Insights预测，全球宠物保暖用品市场2032年将达120亿美元。 共同构成千亿市场的新增长引擎。 服饰升级 宠物冬装销售市场火热 当猫狗的冬装赛道趋于成熟，异宠的保暖需求正推动市场从"传统衣物"向"电子温控"全面转型。这种变 化在成都养宠人的家中尤为明显，家养三只鹦鹉的吴女士，今年冬季 ...

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company [1][8]. Core Insights - The company is experiencing continuous improvement in overseas orders and is initiating a synergistic growth phase through the acquisition of Gao Ye Jia, which will enhance its integrated presence in the pet "food + supplies" sector [3][4][7]. - Despite a decline in revenue due to external demand and tariff policies, the company maintains stable partnerships with key clients like Amazon and Walmart, and has seen improvements in profitability metrics [3][4]. - The acquisition of Gao Ye Jia is expected to create multiple synergies, enhancing the company's manufacturing capabilities, channel cooperation, and financial support for brand promotion [6][7][8]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In the first three quarters of 2025, the company reported revenue of 1.306 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 0.7%, while net profit increased by 3.82% to 157 million yuan [2]. - The third quarter alone saw revenue drop by 16.98% to 418 million yuan, with net profit decreasing by 2.23% to 54 million yuan [2]. Acquisition Details - The company plans to fully acquire Gao Ye Jia, which has two main brands: Xu Cuihua (pet hygiene products) and Gao Ye Jia (pet food) [4][6]. - Gao Ye Jia achieved revenue of 460 million yuan and net profit of 18 million yuan in 2024, with significant growth from 2023 [6]. Profitability and Growth Projections - The company’s gross margin improved to 20.12% in the first three quarters of 2025, with a net profit margin of 12.02%, both showing a year-on-year increase of 0.55 percentage points [3]. - Revenue forecasts for 2025-2027 are projected at 1.83 billion, 3.09 billion, and 3.82 billion yuan respectively, with corresponding EPS of 1.18, 1.73, and 2.28 yuan [8][10].

政策层面的积极引导尤为关键。合肥市农业农村局创新成立了全国首个宠物经济处，并在《三年行动计划》中设定了"2027年产业规模突破50亿"的目标； 深圳市在2024年印发了《深圳市福田区支持宠物行业高质量发展若干措施（试行）》；无锡市也发布了《无锡市促进宠物产业发展若干意见（公开征求意 见稿）》，力争到2027年全市宠物相关产业规模突破30亿元。 在"养宠热"持续升温的背景下，"它经济"正以前所未有的速度重塑消费结构与区域产业格局。宠物经济产业园，作为这一浪潮中的重要载体，正从地方政 策的扶持对象，逐步成长为推动产业集聚与升级的核心力量。 园区布局加速，政策红利持续释放 宠物经济正迈入千亿级赛道。根据艾瑞咨询发布的《2023年中国宠物消费趋势白皮书》显示，2023年中国宠物市场规模已达3924亿元，同比增长33.5%。 该机构预测，到2025年，这一数字将突破8114亿元。 企业数量方面，企查查数据显示，截至2025年11月，国内现存宠物经济相关企业已达498.33万家，较上一年度新增约33.7万家，覆盖食品、用品、医疗、 服务等全产业链。 园区建设明显提速。据宠业网络不完全统计，截至2025年11月，全国已有1 ...

Core Viewpoint - The main investment logic driving the agricultural sector in 2026 will be both cyclical and growth perspectives, with an expectation of accelerated capacity reduction in the first half of 2026 and a potential upward trend in pig prices [1] Group 1: Cyclical Perspective - In the context of market losses and administrative capacity reduction, capacity deconstruction may accelerate in the fourth quarter of 2025 and the first half of 2026 [1] - The pig price is expected to fluctuate upwards in 2026 [1] - Companies with leading operational capabilities in the livestock and poultry industry chain are continuously recommended [1] Group 2: Growth Perspective - The domestic demand for the pet sector remains robust, with strong momentum for domestic brands, potentially leading to high growth in performance in the second half of 2026 [1] - In the fruit and vegetable planting sector, the blueberry dividend is expected to continue, with a focus on leading blueberry companies that are increasing planting area, improving planting efficiency, enhancing brand and channel development, and accelerating overseas expansion [1] - The functional sugar sector is anticipated to welcome a super single product in the sugar substitute category [1]

Core Viewpoint - The report from CITIC Securities suggests that in 2026, both cyclical and growth factors will drive the main investment logic in the agricultural sector [1] Group 1: Cyclical Perspective - Due to market losses and administrative capacity reduction, capacity deconstruction may accelerate in Q4 2025 and the first half of 2026, leading to a potential upward fluctuation in pig prices in 2026 [1] - The report continues to recommend companies in the livestock and poultry industry that demonstrate strong operational capabilities and can withstand cyclical fluctuations [1] Group 2: Growth Perspective - The domestic demand for the pet sector remains robust, with strong momentum for domestic brands, potentially leading to high growth in H2 2026 [1] - In the fruit and vegetable planting sector, the blueberry market is expected to continue benefiting from ongoing advantages, with a focus on leading companies that are increasing planting area, improving planting efficiency, enhancing brand and channel development, and accelerating international expansion [1] - The functional sugar sector is anticipated to welcome a super sugar substitute product [1]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the agricultural products sector, particularly focusing on the livestock industry and its cyclical recovery [1][4]. Core Insights - The livestock industry is experiencing a reversal of internal competition, which is expected to support long-term pig prices. As of November 21, the price of live pigs was 11.67 CNY/kg, with a week-on-week decrease of 0.4% [1]. - The beef market is entering a new price increase phase, with the average price of beef at 66.38 CNY/kg, showing a year-on-year increase of 8% [2]. - The report emphasizes the importance of leading companies in the livestock sector, suggesting that their cash flow will improve due to official capacity control measures [3]. Summary by Sections 1. Weekly Overview and Data Summary - The report provides a weekly summary of agricultural product data, highlighting trends in livestock prices and supply dynamics [12]. 2. Fundamental Tracking 2.1 Swine - The swine industry is seeing orderly progress in reversing internal competition, which is expected to stabilize profitability [13]. 2.2 White Chicken - A slight increase in supply is noted, with attention on seasonal consumption recovery [13]. 2.3 Yellow Chicken - Supply remains at a low level, with potential benefits from improved domestic demand [13]. 2.4 Eggs - The egg market faces significant mid-term supply pressure, with wholesale prices at 3.63 CNY/jin, down 28% year-on-year [13]. 2.5 Beef - A new round of beef price increases is anticipated, with a focus on the upward trend in the beef cycle for 2025 [13]. 2.6 Raw Milk - The report suggests that the de-stocking of dairy cows may accelerate in Q4, potentially leading to a price turning point for raw milk [13]. 2.7 Soybean Meal - Short-term supply is expected to be ample, while medium-term demand and supply dynamics are projected to strengthen [13]. 2.8 Corn - Domestic supply and demand balance is tightening, with prices expected to maintain a moderate upward trend [13]. 2.9 Sugar - Short-term increases in imports are noted, with attention on the rhythm of arrivals and fluctuations in crude oil prices [13]. 2.10 Rubber - Prices are expected to stabilize in the short term, with a positive outlook for the medium term [13]. 2.11 Palm Oil - Short-term performance is weak, with medium-term policy support being a focus [13]. 2.12 Cotton - Inventory pressure is neutral, with demand still needing recovery [13]. 2.13 Red Dates - Limited demand recovery is noted, with attention on weather conditions in new production areas [13]. 3. Market Trends - The report discusses market trends and price movements across various agricultural products, indicating a complex interplay of supply and demand factors [12].

Core Insights - The report highlights the structural transformation of China's pet consumption market, indicating a shift from incremental growth to stock competition, entering a quality growth era from 2023 to 2025 [1][2] - The pet market is projected to exceed 300 billion yuan in urban dog and cat consumption by 2024, with the cat economy growing at 10.7%, becoming the main driver of market growth [1][16] - The consumption structure is categorized into four core segments: food, supplies, health, and services, with food accounting for the highest proportion [1][19] Market Trends - The pet market is transitioning to a "quality growth" era, with the urban dog and cat consumption market expected to reach 300 billion yuan in 2024, reflecting a 7.5% year-on-year increase [16] - The dog consumption market is valued at 155.7 billion yuan, growing by 4.6%, while the cat market is valued at 144.5 billion yuan, with a growth rate of 10.7% [16] - The average annual consumption per pet dog is 2,961 yuan, up by 3.0% from 2023, while for cats, it is 2,020 yuan, increasing by 8% [16][27] Consumer Demographics - The pet ownership demographic is becoming younger and more decentralized, with post-90s and post-00s individuals becoming the main pet owners, and the proportion of male pet owners in lower-tier cities significantly increasing [1][27][28] - The proportion of pet owners in first-tier and new first-tier cities has decreased from 47% to 41%, indicating a shift towards lower-tier cities as a major source of new growth [27][28] Consumption Structure - The pet economy has established four core segments: - Food: 52.8% of spending, with staple food as the core [19] - Supplies: Moving towards smart and scenario-based iterations [19] - Health: Medical and health care spending accounts for 28%, driven by pet aging and increased preventive awareness [22] - Services: Grooming and beauty services account for 41% of store revenue, with high-end experience services showing significantly higher repurchase rates [24] Brand Growth Strategies - The platform provides a multi-phase growth strategy for pet brands, including incubation, growth, and maturity stages, focusing on user insights, supply chain upgrades, and innovative marketing [2][10] - Successful case studies from brands like Maifudi and TOPTREES demonstrate effective strategies in food, high-end grain, and pet health sectors, validating the "user-product-marketing" integrated operational logic [2][10] Decision-Making Changes - The purchasing process is evolving from impulsive, single-platform decisions to multi-channel, long-chain decision-making, with price-performance ratio and trust becoming key factors [33][34] - Consumers are increasingly seeking solutions to specific problems rather than just products, indicating a need for brands to align their messaging with consumer queries [39][40] Future Directions - The report suggests that brands should focus on full-link conversion strategies, multi-dimensional user operations, and collaborative layouts across the four core segments to drive growth [48][49]

Core Insights - The report maintains a positive outlook on the agricultural sector, particularly in the pig farming and pet food industries, highlighting potential growth opportunities and ongoing challenges in supply and pricing [2][4][6]. Pig Farming - The pig farming sector is experiencing a downward trend in prices, with the average price of live pigs at 11.60 CNY/kg as of November 20, reflecting a week-on-week decrease of 2.11% [29][30]. - The number of breeding sows has decreased, with a reported month-on-month decline of 0.77% in October, indicating ongoing supply pressures [20][6]. - Profitability remains a concern, with losses reported at -135.90 CNY per head for self-bred pigs and -234.63 CNY per head for purchased piglets as of November 21 [33][38]. Poultry Farming - The poultry sector is seeing a rise in white chicken prices, with an average price of 7.15 CNY/kg as of November 21, up 0.42% week-on-week [39][36]. - The outbreak of avian influenza in overseas markets is creating uncertainty in the supply chain, which may benefit the white feather chicken industry in the long term [36][37]. Animal Health - The animal health industry is expected to rebound as demand for biological products increases, driven by a recovery in livestock profitability and inventory levels [44]. - Recent developments in vaccine research, particularly for African swine fever, are anticipated to stimulate interest in the sector [44]. Seed Industry - The prices of key agricultural commodities such as wheat and corn have shown slight increases, with wheat averaging 2505 CNY/ton and corn at 2280 CNY/ton as of November 21 [47]. - The report emphasizes the importance of enhancing food security and promoting the adoption of biotechnology in the seed industry [47]. Pet Industry - The pet food market is experiencing robust growth in domestic sales, with e-commerce sales up 19% year-on-year in October [55]. - Notable performance during the Double Eleven shopping festival indicates a strong market presence for domestic brands, with significant sales increases reported for several companies [56]. - Export figures for pet food show a decline, with October exports at 772 million CNY, down 15.9% year-on-year, but the impact of tariff disruptions is expected to be limited [54][52].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry, and fishery industry is "Positive" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The demand for pork is expected to support prices as the year-end peak season approaches, despite a decline in prices due to overproduction and accelerated culling of sows [3][12] - The suspension of imports of Japanese seafood is beneficial for the domestic aquaculture sector, as it reduces competition and supports local prices [4][18] - The pet industry is experiencing growth driven by consumer upgrades and increased domestic production, with significant market potential projected for the coming years [22] Summary by Sections Weekly Observation - The culling of breeding sows has accelerated, with the national average price of live pigs at 11.62 yuan/kg as of November 21, 2025, down 0.01 yuan/kg week-on-week and down 4.75% year-on-year [11][12] - The average weight of pigs slaughtered is 128.81 kg, showing a slight increase week-on-week [11] - Cold weather is expected to boost pork consumption, providing support for prices during the peak season [12] Weekly Insights - The pig farming sector is facing losses, leading to accelerated culling of sows. Recommended stocks include Muyuan Foods, Wens Foodstuff Group, and others [22] - The feed sector is benefiting from strong demand, with domestic production expected to improve due to recovery in livestock numbers [22] - The pet market is projected to grow significantly, with a focus on domestic brands due to rising consumer preferences and tariff barriers [22] Market Performance (November 17-21) - The agricultural sector outperformed the market by 0.45 percentage points, with the Shanghai Composite Index down 3.90% and the agricultural index down 3.45% [24] - The fishery sector led gains, with notable increases in stocks such as Zhongshui Fishery (+61.05%) and others [24][30] Price Tracking (November 17-21) - The average price of live pigs was 11.64 yuan/kg, down 0.09 yuan/kg from the previous week, while the price of piglets increased to 19.15 yuan/kg [35] - The price of corn futures rose slightly to 2183.00 yuan/ton, while soybean meal futures decreased to 2427.00 yuan/ton [46][50]