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谁会阻止疯狂的白银?当年亨特兄弟是栽在谁手里?
华尔街见闻· 2025-12-27 10:53
大洋彼岸的白银市场正陷入癫狂。12月26日周五,现货白银飙升逾10%,逼近80美元/盎司关口,COMEX白银期货周涨幅接近18%。 这一轮"金属狂潮"不仅局限于白银,黄金已突破4550美元,铜价跟随沪铜创下历史新高,铂金和钯金亦录得双位数涨幅。市场正在定价"商品控制权"的新叙 事,以及将其作为对冲"AI泡沫"和货币贬值的工具。 然而,在疯狂的行情背后,历史的警钟已经敲响。芝加哥商品交易所(CME)已于12月12日将白银保证金上调了10%。 2011年白银崩盘与1980年亨特兄弟 (Hunt Brothers)逼仓失败的历史案例表明,当交易所开始出手限制杠杆时,往往意味着狂欢接近尾声。 与此同时,国内也已采取行动。北京时间12月26日,上海期货交易所发布通知,将黄金、白银期货合约的涨跌停板幅度调整为15%,并相应上调交易保证金比 例。这是继12月10日上调保证金、12月22日限制日内开仓数量及调整手续费之后,上期所本月内针对白银期货出台的第三轮风控措施。 对此,中信建投期货和国信期货的分析师指出,尽管存在长线利多因素,但短期快速上涨显然过度交易了预期。资金"抢跑"导致投机情绪高涨,市场犹如"高空 走钢丝"。 2 ...
沪铜突破十万关口,涨约1.9%【盘中快讯】
Wen Hua Cai Jing· 2025-12-27 09:43
上海期货交易所发布关于做好市场风险控制工作的通知,称近期国际形势复杂多变,有色金属和贵金属 品种波动较大,请各有关单位采取相应措施,提示投资者做好风险防范工作,理性投资,共同维护市场 平稳运行。 (文华综合) 沪铜期货主力合约突破十万关口,涨约1.9%,受全球铜短缺预期等推动。 ...
富达基金戴旻:黄金资产会像固定收益一样,在资本保值类资产类别中发挥重要作用
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-12-27 09:35
专题:2025三亚•财经国际论坛 此外,他还表示,新能源发展到现阶段,不仅应用于能源领域,储能需求、算力提升对电动基础设施的 需求,都可能催生传统大宗商品,尤其是工业基础中的铜等资产,形成对冲美元走弱的良好资产配置机 会。 三亚•财经国际论坛暨第五届三亚财富管理大会12月27日在海南三亚举办。富达基金投顾业务负责人戴 旻出席并发言。 提及黄金资产,戴旻认为,在地缘政治仍充满不确定性的情况下,黄金资产接下来会像固定收益一样, 在资本保值类资产类别中发挥重要作用。 他还指出,在当前时点,国内财富管理有必要将更多元、组合投资工具纳入财富管理业态。 新浪合作大平台期货开户 安全快捷有保障 戴旻指出,中国科技企业龙头公司在开源模型、模型应用端以及工业机器人等科技领先行业,也取得了 非常令人欣喜的成果。这些进展不仅惠及中国,也惠及全球经济资本市场。利用好经济上行、科技助力 经济上行的阶段,通过全球多元权益资产配置,可在不同区域发掘较好的成长性机会。 新浪声明:所有会议实录均为现场速记整理,未经演讲者审阅,新浪网登载此文出于传递更多信息之目 的,并不意味着赞同其观点或证实其描述。 责任编辑:王翔 专题:2025三亚•财经国 ...
罕见!英大证券卖了英大期货
券商中国· 2025-12-27 07:17
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the recent sale of a futures subsidiary by a brokerage firm, highlighting the ongoing consolidation in the futures industry and the strategic shift of brokerages towards core financial services [2][4]. Group 1: Transaction Details - State Grid Yingda announced the sale of its wholly-owned subsidiary Yingda Futures for 1.129 billion yuan to China Oil Capital [2][3]. - The transaction requires approval from state asset supervision authorities and the China Securities Regulatory Commission [3]. - Yingda Futures, established in 1996 with a registered capital of 658 million yuan, had a net asset book value of 1.043 billion yuan as of the end of Q1 2025 [3]. Group 2: Industry Context - The sale of futures subsidiaries by brokerages is rare, as historically brokerages have acquired futures companies [4]. - Many brokerages are now focusing resources on wealth management, investment banking, and asset management, leading to a shift in the strategic importance of futures subsidiaries [4]. - For instance, Dongwu Securities announced a capital increase in Dongwu Futures, reflecting a trend where some firms choose to invest further in their futures operations [4]. Group 3: Market Trends - The article notes a trend of increasing mergers and acquisitions in the futures industry, with several cases of equity transfers and sales occurring recently [5][6]. - The tightening of regulations and increasing competition are pressuring the profitability of smaller futures companies, leading to a consolidation phase in the industry [6]. - The focus on enhancing service capabilities for the real economy and specialized competition in sectors like energy and financial derivatives is expected to continue driving industry concentration [6].
黄金白银2026年能冲到多高?机构研判:牛市格局,涨幅或收敛
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-12-27 06:39
Core Viewpoint - The gold and silver markets are experiencing a significant resurgence, with gold surpassing $4500 per ounce and silver exceeding $79.3 per ounce, both reaching historical highs as uncertainties dissipate [1]. Group 1: Market Performance - Gold has seen a year-to-date increase of 72.69%, approaching the second-highest historical record from 1974, while silver's annual increase stands at 173.99%, significantly surpassing the 83.61% rise in 2010 [1][2]. - The silver market is expected to set a historical record for annual growth in 2025, with a market dynamic characterized by gold leading and silver experiencing explosive growth [2]. Group 2: Factors Influencing Market Trends - Investment demand has overtaken central bank gold purchases as the primary driver of the market, alongside structural squeezes in the silver market due to global inventory issues and strong industrial demand [2]. - A decline of approximately 10% in the US dollar index, coupled with the Federal Reserve's resumption of rate cuts and technical balance sheet expansion, has contributed to the bullish sentiment in precious metals [2]. Group 3: Future Outlook - Analysts generally expect the strong performance of gold and silver to continue, although they anticipate that the rate of increase will not match the extraordinary levels seen in 2025 [5]. - The macroeconomic environment for 2026 is viewed as optimistic, with expectations of continued Federal Reserve rate cuts and a global liquidity environment remaining loose, which may influence the performance of risk assets and the appeal of gold as a safe haven [5][6]. Group 4: Strategic Positioning - The global precious metals market is deemed suitable for strategic allocation, with gold recommended as a core defensive asset supported by central bank purchases and ETF inflows, while silver is suggested for high-elasticity allocation during phases of capital inflow [6]. - Analysts have identified potential risks for silver, including rapid capital withdrawal from ETFs, the return of US silver stocks to London, and the lack of inclusion of silver in global central bank balance sheets, which may affect its status as a defensive reserve asset [6].
一夜暴涨!杭州有人今早紧急出手30斤!“太疯狂了,要小心……”
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-12-27 06:33
"真是史诗级行情,这场面真没见过!"今天早上6点多,杭州一家珠宝公司会员群里,老板这么感慨。 受访者供图 杭州另一家珠宝公司老板则告诉记者:"最近买入白银的客户多,大家越涨越买,有点疯抢的味道,早上刚有客户下单15公斤银条。现在现货白银都不能 及时拿到,预订的比较多。"不过,这位老板也提醒:"行情这么疯狂,还是建议小心点,随时可能突然回调,大家还是要敬畏行情。" ar en 706 1 2012 the state STATE 11:40 the first and the state of the state of the state of the station of the station of the station of the station of the station of the station of the states of the states of t 13 the first 30 The States No. of the y 1 2 3 1 SPORT 1023 2 Call 1757 ake SHOW re 4 8 8 ASSEN . PANI and and 205 the ...
谁会阻止疯狂的白银?当年亨特兄弟是栽在谁手里?
Hua Er Jie Jian Wen· 2025-12-27 02:42
大洋彼岸的白银市场正陷入癫狂。12月26日周五,现货白银飙升逾10%,逼近80美元/盎司关口,COMEX白银期货周涨幅接近 18%。 然而,在疯狂的行情背后,历史的警钟已经敲响。芝加哥商品交易所(CME)已于12月12日将白银保证金上调了10%。2011年白 银崩盘与1980年亨特兄弟(Hunt Brothers)逼仓失败的历史案例表明,当交易所开始出手限制杠杆时,往往意味着狂欢接近尾 声。 与此同时,国内也已采取行动。北京时间12月26日,上海期货交易所发布通知,将黄金、白银期货合约的涨跌停板幅度调整为 15%,并相应上调交易保证金比例。这是继12月10日上调保证金、12月22日限制日内开仓数量及调整手续费之后,上期所本月内 针对白银期货出台的第三轮风控措施。 这一轮"金属狂潮"不仅局限于白银,黄金已突破4550美元,铜价跟随沪铜创下历史新高,铂金和钯金亦录得双位数涨幅。市场正 在定价"商品控制权"的新叙事,以及将其作为对冲"AI泡沫"和货币贬值的工具。 对此,中信建投期货和国信期货的分析师指出,尽管存在长线利多因素,但短期快速上涨显然过度交易了预期。资金"抢跑"导致 投机情绪高涨,市场犹如"高空走钢丝"。 ...
国网英大与中油资本涉11.29亿“英大期货”股权转让,股东深化合作正式开篇
Di Yi Cai Jing· 2025-12-27 02:36
据国网英大披露,英大期货的出售价格约为11.29亿元,较账面值溢价8.31%,全部为现金交易。英大期 货是国网英大的孙公司,通过英大证券全资持股。英大期货的主营业务是为电网及产业链企业提供咨询 研究及套期保值等服务,2024年证监会分类结果将其由B类BB级上升为BBB级。 国网英大在公告中表示,本次转让英大期货100%股权,有利于公司聚焦主营业务,优化公司业务结 构,进一步提高公司的核心竞争力。本次交易可以增加公司现金流入,有利于公司集中资源进一步拓展 转型业务,对公司实现战略转型起到积极作用。 同在26日,中油资本发布公告称,中国石油集团通过国有股份划转方式将其持有的中油资本3.00%的股 份划转给国网英大集团。本次划转后,中国石油直接持有的股份将从77.35%下降到74.35%,仍是控股 股东。国网英大将成为中油资本的第二大股东,从不持股到持有3.00%股份。其余股东的持股比例不 变。 业内人士认为,根据国务院关于提升上市公司质量的部署,国网英大与中油资本作为央企上市公司,采 取现金资产收购和无偿股份划转,意味着两方将进一步加强战略协同,有利于充分发挥国有企业"六个 力量"。 11.29亿元出售英大期货, ...
白银周涨逾18% 分析师预测银价有望冲击每盎司300美元
Huan Qiu Wang· 2025-12-27 01:09
Core Viewpoint - The international precious metals futures market experienced a significant rally, driven by expectations of monetary policy easing, escalating geopolitical tensions, and increased capital flow regulations by central banks to address inflation and financial stability challenges [3]. Group 1: Market Performance - COMEX gold futures rose by 1.31% to $4,562.00 per ounce, with a weekly increase of 3.98% [1]. - COMEX silver futures surged by 11.15% to $79.68 per ounce, achieving a weekly gain of 18.06% [1]. Group 2: Market Drivers - The demand for safe-haven assets like gold and silver is being supported by rising geopolitical risks and low market liquidity as the year-end approaches [3]. - A significant factor in silver's recent price surge is the supply mismatch following a historic "short squeeze" event in October, compounded by speculative inflows [3]. Group 3: Long-term Outlook - Analyst Peter Krauth is optimistic about silver's long-term prospects, predicting a potential rise to $300 per ounce, driven by supply-demand imbalances and a significant correction in the gold-silver ratio [4]. - Krauth's forecast is based on the expectation that the gold-silver ratio, which has decreased from a peak of 104 to around 68, will further decline to 15 during a forthcoming market "frenzy" phase [4]. - Factors such as a weakening dollar, high government deficits, inflation concerns, and geopolitical risks are also seen as catalysts for the current precious metals rally [4].
贵金属“疯狂” 现货白银涨超10% 纽约钯金涨14.1% 现货黄金涨超1%!上期所连发两条通知
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-12-27 00:01
美股三大指数收盘均微跌,纳指跌0.09%,本周累涨1.22%;道指跌0.04%,本周累涨1.2%;标普500指数跌0.03%,本 周累涨1.4%。 大型科技股涨跌不一,特斯拉跌超2%,谷歌、苹果、微软、Meta等小幅下跌;英伟达涨超1%,亚马逊、奈飞、英特 尔小幅上涨。 纳斯达克中国金龙指数收涨0.72%,本周累计上涨0.64%。小鹏汽车涨超6%,蔚来涨近4%,阿里巴巴、百度涨超1%; 霸王茶姬跌2.54%。 WTI原油期货结算价收跌2.76%,报56.74美元/桶;布伦特原油期货结算价收跌2.57%,报60.64美元/桶。 国际金银续创新高。COMEX金期货涨1.31%,报4562美元/盎司,本周累计上涨3.98%。COMEX白银期货涨11.15%, 报79.68美元/盎司,本周累计上涨18.06%。 现货黄金涨1.17%,报4531.87美元/盎司。 现货白银日内涨幅达10.24%,报79.15美元/盎司,年内涨幅超173%。 纽约白银日内涨幅达11.15%,报79.678美元/盎司。 纽约钯金涨14.1%,报2061.65美元/盎司。 上海期货交易所的铜期货价格站上每吨10万元人民币关口。纽约商品交易所 ...