Investment Rating - Investment rating: Positive (maintained) [4] Core Views - The aluminum price is on an upward trend, and the profitability of electrolytic aluminum continues to expand [3] - Copper prices are expected to remain volatile in the short term due to macroeconomic factors, with a potential upward cycle anticipated as supply-demand dynamics shift towards a shortage [5][25] - Lithium demand is exceeding expectations, leading to a reduction in lithium salt inventory and a rebound in lithium prices [5][77] - Cobalt prices are expected to continue rising due to a tight supply situation [5][86] Summary by Sections 1. Industry Overview - China's retail sales in October grew by 2.9%, exceeding expectations [9] - The U.S. government ended its longest shutdown, which is expected to influence market dynamics positively [9] 2. Market Performance - The non-ferrous metals sector outperformed the Shanghai Composite Index, with a weekly increase of 1.07% [11][12] - The sector's PE_TTM is 25.81, indicating a premium over the broader market [20][23] 3. Industrial Metals - Copper: Prices increased by 0.99% in London and 1.12% in Shanghai, with inventories decreasing [25] - Aluminum: Prices rose by 1.48% in Shanghai, with profitability for aluminum producers increasing by 5.40% [38] - Lead and Zinc: Lead prices increased, while zinc prices saw a slight decline [47] 4. Energy Metals - Lithium: Prices for lithium carbonate rose by 5.91% to 85,150 yuan/ton, with lithium demand remaining strong [77] - Cobalt: Prices for cobalt increased, with domestic prices reaching 397,000 yuan/ton [86]

Group 1: Gold Market - The gold market is experiencing a super bull market, with the London gold price rising from $2,624 per ounce at the beginning of 2025 to a peak of $4,381 per ounce, representing a maximum increase of approximately 67% [1][12][16] - Key drivers of the gold bull market in 2025 include the ongoing interest rate cut cycle by the Federal Reserve, a weakening US dollar that fell below the critical support level of 100, and geopolitical uncertainties that have heightened market risk aversion [1][20][24] - For 2026, the outlook for gold remains positive due to expected continued central bank purchases, ongoing liquidity support from the end of the balance sheet reduction cycle, and high fiscal deficits under the "beautiful big plan" which may weaken fiscal discipline [1][34][41] Group 2: Copper Market - The copper market has shown strong performance, with LME copper prices increasing by 24% as of November 12, 2025, driven by macroeconomic factors such as US interest rate cuts and fiscal expansion, alongside supply disruptions [2][15] - The outlook for 2026 remains solid, with expectations of significant supply constraints from copper mines and robust demand from sectors like renewable energy and AI-related electricity needs [2][21][22] - The anticipated continuation of tariffs and the concentration of copper inventories in the US are expected to maintain price premiums for COMEX copper over LME copper [2][41] Group 3: Aluminum Market - The aluminum market is expected to see price increases and valuation adjustments due to rigid supply constraints and steady demand growth, with domestic electrolytic aluminum capacity nearing its limit [3][44] - The aluminum sector has begun to catch up with the overall non-ferrous metal sector after a period of relative stagnation, with aluminum prices breaking previous highs [3][42] - Strong cash flow and dividend capabilities among listed companies in the aluminum sector highlight the attractiveness of this market, with potential for further valuation increases [3][44]

Core Viewpoint - The company focuses on strengthening its aluminum electronic materials industry chain and does not plan to engage in aluminum-air battery business [1] Group 1 - The company's main business is to refine and strengthen the aluminum electronic materials industry chain [1] - The company aims to extend, supplement, and expand its upstream operations [1] - There are no plans or layouts for entering the aluminum-air battery sector [1]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article is that Xinjiang Zhonghe (600888.SH) is focused on strengthening its aluminum electronic materials industry chain and is not planning to engage in aluminum-air battery business [1] Group 2 - The company aims to enhance its operations by extending, supplementing, and expanding its upstream supply chain [1]

Core Viewpoint - Haomei New Materials has experienced a significant stock price increase of 85.73% year-to-date, but has recently faced a decline in the last five trading days by 5.88% [2] Group 1: Stock Performance - As of November 14, Haomei New Materials' stock price is 39.03 CNY per share, with a market capitalization of 9.748 billion CNY [1] - The stock has seen a trading volume of 48.87 million CNY, with a turnover rate of 0.50% [1] - Year-to-date, the stock has been on the leaderboard once, with a net buy of 25.46 million CNY on April 8 [2] Group 2: Financial Performance - For the period from January to September 2025, Haomei New Materials reported a revenue of 5.582 billion CNY, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 15.40% [3] - The net profit attributable to shareholders for the same period was 143 million CNY, showing a year-on-year decrease of 16.68% [3] Group 3: Shareholder and Dividend Information - The number of shareholders as of September 30, 2025, is 12,000, an increase of 25.72% from the previous period [3] - The company has distributed a total of 181 million CNY in dividends since its A-share listing, with 99.33 million CNY distributed in the last three years [4] - The top circulating shareholder, Huaxia Industry Prosperity Mixed A, holds 2.2905 million shares, having decreased its holdings by 866,200 shares [4]

Core Viewpoint - Tianshan Aluminum's stock price has shown significant growth this year, with a year-to-date increase of 89.46%, indicating strong market performance and investor interest [1][2]. Financial Performance - For the period from January to September 2025, Tianshan Aluminum achieved a revenue of 22.32 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 7.34% [2]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders for the same period was 3.34 billion yuan, reflecting an increase of 8.31% compared to the previous year [2]. Stock Market Activity - As of November 14, Tianshan Aluminum's stock was trading at 14.16 yuan per share, with a market capitalization of 65.87 billion yuan [1]. - The stock experienced a net outflow of 16.72 million yuan in principal funds, with significant selling pressure observed [1]. Shareholder Information - As of September 30, 2025, the number of shareholders for Tianshan Aluminum was 37,800, a decrease of 23.85% from the previous period [2]. - The average number of circulating shares per shareholder increased by 31.32% to 109,224 shares [2]. Dividend Distribution - Tianshan Aluminum has distributed a total of 7.48 billion yuan in dividends since its A-share listing, with 4.38 billion yuan distributed over the last three years [3]. Ownership Structure - As of September 30, 2025, Hong Kong Central Clearing Limited was the seventh largest circulating shareholder, holding 131 million shares, an increase of 18.54 million shares from the previous period [3].

Core Viewpoint - Dingsheng New Materials has experienced a stock price increase of 68.00% year-to-date, with recent trading activity showing a slight decline of 2.00% on November 14, 2023, indicating potential volatility in the market [1]. Company Overview - Dingsheng New Materials Co., Ltd. is located in Zhenjiang, Jiangsu Province, and was established on August 12, 2003. The company was listed on April 18, 2018, and specializes in the research, production, and sales of aluminum foil, with aluminum foil products accounting for 85.57% of its main business revenue [1]. - The company's main business segments include aluminum foil (85.57%), aluminum plates and strips (12.80%), and other products (1.64%) [1]. Financial Performance - For the period from January to September 2025, Dingsheng New Materials reported a revenue of 19.604 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 11.29%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 307 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 36.61% [2]. - The company has distributed a total of 949.7 million yuan in dividends since its A-share listing, with 720 million yuan distributed over the past three years [3]. Shareholder Information - As of September 30, 2025, the number of shareholders for Dingsheng New Materials reached 59,600, an increase of 30.88% from the previous period. The average number of circulating shares per person decreased by 23.59% to 15,602 shares [2]. - Among the top ten circulating shareholders, Hong Kong Central Clearing Limited is the seventh largest, holding 10.6903 million shares, which is an increase of 1.8421 million shares compared to the previous period [3]. Market Activity - On November 14, 2023, Dingsheng New Materials' stock price was reported at 14.70 yuan per share, with a trading volume of 199 million yuan and a turnover rate of 1.44%. The total market capitalization stood at 13.66 billion yuan [1]. - The stock has appeared on the "Dragon and Tiger List" once this year, with the most recent occurrence on November 3 [1].

Core Viewpoint - Ming Tai Aluminum's stock price has experienced fluctuations, with a current market value of 19.225 billion yuan and a year-to-date increase of 30.34% [1][2]. Company Overview - Ming Tai Aluminum, established on April 18, 1997, and listed on September 19, 2011, is located in Gongyi City, Henan Province. The company specializes in the research, production, and sales of aluminum plates, strips, and profiles [1]. - The main revenue sources are from various divisions: Henan Ming Tai (64.61%), Ming Tai Technology (37.46%), Ming Sheng New Materials (36.97%), Tai Hong New Materials (25.44%), Yi Rui New Materials (24.73%), Kunshan Ming Tai (12.86%), and others [1]. Financial Performance - For the period from January to September 2025, Ming Tai Aluminum achieved a revenue of 25.874 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 9.38%. However, the net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 0.49% to 1.404 billion yuan [2]. - The company has distributed a total of 1.489 billion yuan in dividends since its A-share listing, with 657 million yuan distributed over the past three years [3]. Shareholder Information - As of September 30, 2025, the number of shareholders increased to 57,200, with an average of 21,309 circulating shares per person, a decrease of 2.32% from the previous period [2]. - The second-largest circulating shareholder is Hong Kong Central Clearing Limited, holding 82.9587 million shares, an increase of 59.1481 million shares from the previous period [3].

Core Points - Brazil and the UK have launched a two-year "Industrial Decarbonization Incubator Initiative" aimed at promoting the decarbonization process in Brazilian industries [1] - The initial investment for the initiative is 8 million Brazilian Reais (approximately 1.49 million USD), funded by the UK government [1] - The initiative will focus on high decarbonization demand sectors such as steel, aluminum, cement, and paper in Brazil [1] - The goal is to select 10 promising projects for incubation, ultimately leading to the implementation of at least 2 demonstration projects [1]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The global macro situation this week focuses on changes in US dollar liquidity. Although there is short - term tightness, it won't have a significant impact on major asset prices. There are two factors for improvement: marginal easing of monetary policy and normal release of funds in the TGA account when the US government resumes work [7]. - In October, China's export growth was weaker than expected, but there were more positive signs in inflation data, and consumer data may slightly exceed expectations [7]. - In November, the macro environment enters a vacuum period, and major assets may enter a short - term shock period. However, the overall allocation idea in the fourth quarter remains unchanged, and the macro environment is still favorable for risk assets. It is recommended to allocate major assets evenly in the fourth quarter, hold long positions in stock indices, non - ferrous metals (copper, lithium carbonate, aluminum, tin), and precious metals, and increase positions appropriately if there is a correction [7]. 3. Summary by Directory 3.1 Macro Highlights - **Overseas Macro**: The short - term tightness of US dollar liquidity won't have a large impact on major asset prices. Monetary policy is marginally easing, and the release of TGA account funds after the US government resumes work can relieve the short - term pressure [7]. - **Domestic Macro**: October's export growth was weaker than expected, but there were positive signs in inflation data, and consumer data may slightly exceed expectations [7]. - **Asset Views**: In November, major assets may enter a shock period. The overall allocation idea in the fourth quarter remains unchanged, and it is recommended to evenly allocate major assets, hold long positions in stock indices, non - ferrous metals, and precious metals, and increase positions if there is a correction [7]. 3.2 Viewpoint Highlights 3.2.1 Financial Sector - **Stock Index Futures**: Catalyzed by technology events, the growth style is active. There is a risk of overcrowding in small - cap funds, and the short - term trend is expected to be a volatile upward [8]. - **Stock Index Options**: The overall trading volume has slightly declined, and the short - term trend is expected to be volatile [8]. - **Treasury Bond Futures**: The bond market continues to be weak. The short - term trend is expected to be volatile, affected by policy, fundamental repair, and tariff factors [8]. 3.2.2 Precious Metals - **Gold/Silver**: Due to the easing of geopolitical and economic and trade situations, precious metals are in a phased adjustment. The short - term trend is expected to be volatile, affected by the US fundamentals, Fed's monetary policy, and global equity market trends [8]. 3.2.3 Shipping - **Container Shipping to Europe**: The peak season in the third quarter has passed, and there is a lack of upward momentum. The short - term trend is expected to be volatile, and attention should be paid to the rate of freight decline in September [8]. 3.2.4 Steel and Iron Ore - **Steel**: In the off - season, the fundamentals are under pressure, and the short - term trend is expected to be volatile, affected by the issuance of special bonds, steel exports, and iron - water production [8]. - **Iron Ore**: The short - term fundamentals are stable, and the short - term trend is expected to be volatile, affected by overseas mine production and shipment, domestic iron - water production, weather, port inventory, and policy [8]. 3.2.5 Black Building Materials - **Coke**: The game between coking and steel enterprises continues, and the short - term trend is expected to be volatile, affected by steel mill production, coking costs, and macro sentiment [8]. - **Coking Coal**: The market sentiment is weak, but the spot price is rising. The short - term trend is expected to be volatile, affected by steel mill production, coal mine safety inspections, and macro sentiment [8]. - **Silicon Iron**: The supply - demand driving force is limited, and it follows the valuation fluctuations of coal. The short - term trend is expected to be volatile, affected by raw material costs and steel procurement [8]. - **Manganese Silicon**: After the first - round steel procurement inquiry is announced, the price follows the decline of coking coal. The short - term trend is expected to be volatile, affected by cost prices and overseas quotes [8]. - **Glass**: Prices have been lowered in various regions, and downstream purchasing sentiment is weak. The short - term trend is expected to be volatile, affected by spot sales [8]. - **Soda Ash**: Supply exceeds demand, and cost - driven upward movement is limited. The short - term trend is expected to be volatile, affected by soda ash inventory [8]. - **Aluminum Oxide**: The fundamentals are still in an oversupply situation, and the price is under pressure. The short - term trend is expected to be volatile, affected by ore复产 and electrolytic aluminum复产 [8]. - **Aluminum**: The stock - futures linkage leads to an upward - volatile price. The short - term trend is expected to be a volatile upward, affected by macro risks, supply disruptions, and demand [8]. - **Zinc**: The export window is open, and the price is fluctuating at a high level. The short - term trend is expected to be volatile, affected by macro risks and zinc ore supply [8]. - **Lead**: Social inventory is slightly increasing, and the price is fluctuating. The short - term trend is expected to be volatile, affected by supply disruptions and battery exports [8]. - **Nickel**: Market sentiment is improving, and the price is fluctuating. The short - term trend is expected to be volatile, affected by macro and geopolitical changes, and Indonesian policies [8]. - **Stainless Steel**: Warehouse receipts are decreasing, and the price is fluctuating. The short - term trend is expected to be volatile, affected by Indonesian policies and demand growth [8]. - **Tin**: The inventory of Shanghai tin continues to decrease, and the price is fluctuating. The short - term trend is expected to be volatile, affected by the resumption of production in Wa State and demand improvement [8]. - **Industrial Silicon**: The supply in the southwest is rapidly decreasing, and the price is fluctuating. The short - term trend is expected to be volatile, affected by supply - side production cuts and photovoltaic installations [8]. - **Lithium Carbonate**: The resumption of production expectation is fluctuating, and the price may fluctuate significantly. The short - term trend is expected to be volatile, affected by demand, supply disruptions, and technological breakthroughs [8]. 3.2.6 Energy and Chemicals - **Crude Oil**: There is a lack of short - term driving forces, and the price is expected to be volatile, affected by OPEC+ production policies and the Middle East geopolitical situation [10]. - **LPG**: Refinery output has decreased, and import costs are under pressure. The short - term trend is expected to be volatile, affected by cost factors such as crude oil and overseas propane [10]. - **Asphalt**: The spot price in Shandong has stabilized, and the futures price is expected to be volatile, affected by sanctions and supply disruptions [10]. - **High - Sulfur Fuel Oil**: The futures price is volatile, and attention should be paid to the Russia - Ukraine conflict. The short - term trend is expected to be volatile, affected by geopolitics and crude oil prices [10]. - **Low - Sulfur Fuel Oil**: The refined oil market is strong, and the price may be on a volatile upward trend, affected by crude oil prices [10]. - **Methanol**: High inventory suppresses the price, and overseas disturbances are not significant. The short - term trend is expected to be volatile, affected by the macro - energy situation and overseas developments [10]. - **Urea**: Export information boosts the spot market, and the futures price is expected to be volatile in the short term, affected by export quotas and coal prices [10]. - **Ethylene Glycol**: The spot market is loose, and there is little hope of reversing the downward trend in the short term. The short - term trend is expected to be a volatile downward, affected by coal and oil prices, port inventory, and Sino - US trade friction [10]. - **PX**: The market sentiment is rational, and the processing fee is strongly supported by strong supply and demand. The short - term trend is expected to be volatile, affected by crude oil fluctuations and macro changes [10]. - **PTA**: The market sentiment is flat, and the basis is under pressure. The short - term trend is expected to be volatile, affected by crude oil fluctuations and macro changes [10]. - **Short - Fiber**: Consumers tend to buy on dips, and attention should be paid to the off - peak and peak season conversion. The short - term trend is expected to be volatile, affected by downstream yarn mill purchasing and peak - season demand [10]. - **Bottle Chips**: The market performance is flat, and it follows the cost passively. The short - term trend is expected to be volatile, affected by bottle - chip enterprise production cuts and new device commissioning [10]. - **Propylene**: Inventory needs time to be digested, and the price is expected to be on a volatile downward trend, affected by oil prices and the domestic macro situation [10]. - **PP**: Maintenance support is limited, and the price is expected to be on a volatile downward trend, affected by oil prices and domestic and overseas macro situations [10]. - **Plastic**: Downstream transactions have increased, but maintenance support is limited. The price is expected to be on a volatile downward trend, affected by oil prices and domestic and overseas macro situations [10]. - **Styrene**: There are still concerns about over - inventory, and the price is expected to be on a volatile downward trend, affected by oil prices, macro policies, and device operations [10]. - **PVC**: The weak reality suppresses the price, and it is expected to be volatile, affected by expectations, costs, and supply [10]. - **Caustic Soda**: With low valuation and weak expectations, the price is expected to be volatile, affected by market sentiment, production, and demand [10]. 3.2.7 Agriculture - **Oils and Fats**: Rapeseed oil is relatively strong, and attention should be paid to the effectiveness of upper - level technical resistance. The short - term trend is expected to be a volatile upward, affected by US soybean weather and Malaysian palm oil production and demand data [10]. - **Protein Meal**: US soybeans are testing the upper - level resistance, and it is recommended to hold reverse spreads on Dalian soybean meal. The short - term trend is expected to be volatile, affected by weather, domestic demand, macro factors, and Sino - US and Sino - Canadian trade wars [10]. - **Corn/Starch**: The market is in a short - term tight situation, and the price is expected to be volatile at a high level, affected by demand, macro factors, and weather [10]. - **Pigs**: Supply and demand are loose, and the price is weak. The short - term trend is expected to be a volatile downward, affected by breeding sentiment, epidemics, and policies [10]. - **Natural Rubber**: With the approaching expiration of the November contract, there may be a pulse - like upward movement. The short - term trend is expected to be volatile, affected by production - area weather, raw material prices, and macro changes [10]. - **Synthetic Rubber**: The short - term trend is expected to be volatile, affected by crude oil fluctuations [10]. - **Cotton**: The price has slightly declined, and the short - term trend is expected to be volatile, affected by demand and inventory [10]. - **Sugar**: The price is fluctuating within a narrow range, and the short - term trend is expected to be a volatile downward, affected by imports and Brazilian production [10]. - **Pulp**: The market is dominated by funds, and the long - position advantage remains. The short - term trend is expected to be volatile, affected by macro - economic changes and US dollar - denominated quotes [10]. - **Double - Glued Paper**: In the tendering peak season, the price is expected to stabilize in November and be volatile, affected by production and sales, education policies, and paper - mill operations [10]. - **Logs**: In the de - inventory cycle, the price is expected to be volatile, affected by special port fees, shipment volume, and dispatch volume [10].