Group 1 - Gold and silver prices are declining, leading to a collective weakness in Hong Kong's gold stocks [1] - China Silver Group fell nearly 3%, while Shandong Gold and Zhaojin Mining dropped over 2% [1] - Zijin Gold International decreased by 1.7%, with Chifeng Jilong Gold, Lingbao Gold, Zijin Mining, and China National Gold also following the downward trend [1]

Group 1 - Gold and silver prices are declining, leading to a collective weakness in Hong Kong gold stocks, with China Silver Group down nearly 3% and Shandong Gold and Zhaojin Mining down over 2% [1] - Recent trading data shows that spot silver has dropped by 1% to $64.77 per ounce, while spot gold has touched $4310 per ounce, reflecting a daily decline of 0.53% [1] - A report from JPMorgan indicates that the Bloomberg Commodity Index (BCOM) will undergo annual weight rebalancing in January 2026, with silver expected to face the heaviest selling pressure, estimated at 9% of its total open contracts in the futures market [1] Group 2 - The report highlights that the selling pressure for silver this year is "more pronounced" than last year, which warrants high caution from investors [1] - For gold, the anticipated selling scale is about 3% of its total open contracts in the futures market, which, despite being lower than silver, represents a significant absolute selling amount due to gold's large market size [1]

Group 1 - Gold and silver prices are declining, leading to a collective weakness in Hong Kong gold stocks, with China Silver Group down nearly 3%, Shandong Gold and Zhaojin Mining down over 2%, and Zijin Gold International down 1.7% [1] - In the latest report from JPMorgan, it is noted that the Bloomberg Commodity Index (BCOM) will undergo annual weight rebalancing in January 2026, with silver expected to face the heaviest selling pressure, estimated to account for about 9% of its total open contracts in the futures market [1] - The report emphasizes that the selling pressure for silver this year is "more pronounced than last year," which warrants high vigilance from investors [1] Group 2 - Current prices for major gold and silver stocks are as follows: China Silver Group at 0.690 (-2.82%), Shandong Gold at 34.240 (-2.17%), Zhaojin Mining at 30.440 (-2.19%), and Zijin Gold International at 146.500 (-1.68%) [2] - The spot price of silver has dropped to 64.77 USD/ounce, reflecting a decline of 1%, while spot gold has touched 4310 USD/ounce, with a daily decrease of 0.53% [1]

Group 1 - Precious metals experienced a decline on December 19, with spot gold falling below $4310.00 per ounce, down 0.53% for the day, while spot silver dropped 1.04% to $64.78 per ounce. Platinum fell 1.69%, briefly losing the $1900.00 per ounce mark, and palladium hit a low of $1655.63, down over 1.00% [1] - The A-share precious metals sector also saw declines, with companies like Zhaojin Mining (000506) and Chifeng Jilong Gold Mining (600988) dropping over 3%, while Shandong Gold (600547), Western Gold (601069), Zhongjin Gold (600489), and Hunan Silver (002716) fell more than 2% [1] Group 2 - As of December 18, platinum and palladium futures continued their strong performance, with platinum futures (main contract 2606) closing at 542.65 yuan per gram, up 5.32%, and palladium futures (main contract 2606) at 476.6 yuan per gram, up 6.99%. Both platinum and palladium futures prices have increased by over 20% since December 12 [2] - Analysts attribute the ongoing rise in platinum and palladium futures prices to a combination of fundamental supply shortages and heightened market sentiment [2] Group 3 - Guosen Futures noted that overseas spot shortages and increased bullish sentiment in the metals sector have driven significant increases in platinum and palladium futures prices. The rapid rise in platinum prices is largely due to strong market bullish expectations, while supply shortages remain a long-term issue [3] - The World Platinum Investment Council stated that the recent rise in platinum futures prices is the result of multiple factors, primarily driven by ongoing supply shortages, growing demand, and an improving macroeconomic environment [3] - CITIC Futures indicated that the tight fundamentals will provide strong upward momentum for platinum prices, with structural demand expansion expected to continue. The supply-demand gap for platinum is projected to widen to 46.4 tons by 2025 and approximately 37.9 tons by 2026 [3]

12月19日，金价探底回升，COMEX黄金期货价格目前交投于4352美元/盎司附近，黄金相关ETF产品跌 幅收窄，截至10点42分，黄金ETF华夏（518850）跌0.29%，有色金属ETF基金（516650）涨0.69%，黄 金股ETF（159562）跌0.46%，其持仓股江西铜业股份、深中华A涨超3%，益民集团、菜百股份、曼卡 龙等股领涨，万国黄金集团、晓程科技、招金黄金等股领跌。 光大期货指出，从美国近日发布的通胀数据来看，市场强化了对美联储走向鸽派的预期，2026年继续降 息预期被强化。特朗普讲话称下一任美联储负责人必须是"超级鸽派"，宽松氛围下黄金价格保持偏强走 势。 每日经济新闻 消息面上，据山东省烟台市海洋发展和渔业局官方发布消息，莱州市三山岛北部海域新发现国内唯一、 亚洲最大的海底巨型金矿，莱州市累计探明金资源储量3900余吨，约占全国的26%，金矿资源储量和产 量均居全国首位。 ...

1. Report's Industry Investment Ratings - **Bullish**: BR Rubber [1] - **Bearish**: Industrial Silicon, Palm Oil [1] - **Neutral (Oscillation)**: Bonds, Agricultural Products, Alumina, Zinc, Stainless Steel, Tin, Precious Metals (Gold, Silver, Platinum, Palladium), Rebar, Hot - Rolled Coil, Iron Ore, Manganese Ore, Ferrosilicon, Glass, Soda Ash, Coking Coal, Coke, Soybeans, Rapeseed Oil, Cotton, Sugar, Wheat, Corn, Pulp, Logs, Live Pigs, Crude Oil, Fuel Oil, Bitumen, Ethylene Glycol, Benzene - Naphtha, Urea, Propylene, PVC, Caustic Soda, LPG, Container Shipping to Europe [1] 2. Core Views of the Report - In the short term, the stock index is expected to continue its weak trend, but the market adjustment since mid - November has opened up space for the upward movement of the stock index next year [1] - Asset shortage and weak economy are beneficial to bond futures, but the central bank has recently warned about interest - rate risks [1] - The market sentiment is volatile, and there are opportunities to go long at low levels for some products [1] 3. Summary by Industry Macro - Financial - **Stock Index**: Short - term weak operation, long - term upward potential. Investors can gradually establish long positions during the adjustment period [1] - **Bonds**: Asset shortage and weak economy are favorable, but short - term interest - rate risks are warned. Pay attention to the Bank of Japan's interest - rate decision [1] Non - Ferrous Metals - **Aluminum**: High - level wide - range oscillation due to limited industrial drive and fluctuating macro sentiment [1] - **Alumina**: Weak domestic fundamentals, short - term price rebound but limited upward drive [1] - **Zinc**: Fundamentals improved, cost center shifted up, but price is under pressure. Pay attention to low - buying opportunities [1] - **Nickel**: After a sharp decline, there is a demand for position - reduction repair. Short - term trading is recommended, and the long - term supply of primary nickel is in surplus [1] - **Stainless Steel**: Short - term trading is recommended, waiting for opportunities to sell on rallies [1] - **Tin**: Short - term oscillation, long - term bullish. Pay attention to low - buying opportunities during corrections [1] Precious Metals and New Energy - **Precious Metals**: Supported by the cooling of the US CPI in November, but short - term volatility risks need to be vigilant [1] - **Industrial Silicon**: Bearish due to increased production in the northwest, reduced production in the southwest, and decreased production schedules of polysilicon and organic silicon in December [1] - **Polysilicon**: There is an expectation of capacity reduction in the long - term, marginal improvement in terminal installation in the fourth quarter, and strong price - holding and low - delivery willingness of large enterprises [1] - **Lithium**: In the traditional peak season of new energy vehicles, with strong energy - storage demand, increased production on the supply side, and the potential to break through previous highs [1] Ferrous Metals - **Rebar and Hot - Rolled Coil**: Roll over and take profits on cash - and - carry positions. Valuation is not high, and short - selling is not recommended [1] - **Iron Ore**: Near - month contracts are restricted by production cuts, but far - month contracts have upward potential [1] - **Manganese Ore and Ferrosilicon**: Prices are under pressure due to weak direct demand, high supply, and inventory accumulation [1] - **Glass and Soda Ash**: Supply and demand provide support, valuation is low, but short - term price fluctuations are strong [1] - **Coking Coal and Coke**: After a decline, there are signs of stabilization. Pay attention to winter - storage replenishment by downstream enterprises this week [1] Agricultural Products - **Palm Oil**: Short - term short - selling is recommended due to continuous negative high - frequency data and high pressure on the origin [1] - **Soybeans**: Pay attention to the negative impact of imported soybean auctions on the supply side [1] - **Rapeseed Oil**: It is recommended to short the 05 contract as the near - term raw - material shortage theme is expected to be exhausted [1] - **Cotton**: The market is currently supported but lacks a driving force. Pay attention to relevant policies and market conditions in the future [1] - **Sugar**: There is a consensus on short - selling, but there is strong cost support below. Pay attention to changes in the capital side [1] - **Wheat and Corn**: The short - term decline is limited by farmers' price - holding sentiment and downstream stocking demand before the Spring Festival [1] - **Pulp**: Unilateral trading is recommended to wait and see, and consider the 1 - 5 reverse spread [1] - **Logs**: The 01 contract is expected to oscillate weakly as it approaches the delivery month [1] - **Live Pigs**: Production capacity still needs to be further released [1] Energy and Chemical Industry - **Crude Oil and Fuel Oil**: Affected by OPEC+ production - suspension, the uncertainty of the Russia - Ukraine peace agreement, and US sanctions on Venezuelan oil exports [1] - **Bitumen**: Follows crude oil in the short term, with high profit and possible falsification of the 14th - Five - Year Plan's rush - demand [1] - **BR Rubber**: Bullish due to improved cost - side support, increased sales, and high operating rates [1] - **PTA and Short - Fiber**: The PTA device operates at a high load, and short - fiber prices follow costs closely [1] - **Ethylene Glycol**: Prices decline due to inventory accumulation and weakening cost support [1] - **Benzene - Naphtha**: There is slight cost - side support, but overall production economy is negative, and inventory is high [1] - **Urea, Propylene, PVC, and Caustic Soda**: Prices oscillate due to factors such as supply - demand imbalance, cost changes, and reduced anti - involution sentiment [1] - **LPG**: The market is affected by geopolitical factors, and prices oscillate after a decline. Pay attention to the impact of natural gas on near - month prices [1] Other - **Container Shipping to Europe**: The price increase in December was less than expected, and the supply of shipping capacity was relatively loose [1]

格隆汇12月19日｜A股开盘，三大指数集体高开，沪指涨0.05%报3878.23点，深证成指涨0.48%，创业 板指涨0.89%。盘面上，特朗普旗下特朗普媒体科技集团跨界核聚变，隔夜飙涨近42%，带动可控核聚 变板块盘初活跃；铜缆高速连接、存储芯片、CPO等板块高开，黄金、煤炭股调整。 ...

Group 1 - The precious metals sector experienced a decline at the beginning of trading on December 19, with Zhaojin Gold falling over 4% [1] - Other companies in the sector, including Shandong Gold, Western Gold, Zhongjin Gold, and Hunan Silver, also saw declines of more than 2% [1]

Group 1: Gold as a Core Asset - Gold is increasingly viewed as a cornerstone asset in a fragmented, fiscally constrained, and geopolitically uncertain world, reflecting deeper changes in the global financial system where trust, diversification, and resilience are as important as returns and growth [1] - Despite strong momentum, risks to gold in the near term stem from positioning and capital flows, with significant short-term volatility expected due to a major commodity index rebalancing in 2025 [1] Group 2: Euro and Dollar Outlook - The euro is expected to maintain a range-bound movement against the dollar in 2026, despite potential economic recovery in Germany, as the market has already priced in these developments [2] - The Federal Reserve's upward revision of U.S. economic growth forecasts for 2025 and 2026 is likely to support capital inflows into the U.S., limiting the euro's upward potential [2] Group 3: Thailand's Economic Growth Challenges - Lowering interest rates alone will not resolve Thailand's economic growth issues, with growth in the second half of 2025 impacted by reduced short-term tourism and flooding in southern Thailand [3] - Structural factors, including slowing income growth and export pressures on household consumption, will affect Thailand's economic outlook for 2026 [3] Group 4: UK Monetary Policy - The Bank of England is unlikely to signal a clear dovish stance due to persistent inflation above target, with any potential rate cuts framed as a gradual risk management shift rather than a full easing cycle [4] Group 5: U.S. Treasury Yield Projections - U.S. 10-year Treasury yields are projected to trade within a range of 4.0%-4.5% in 2026, with the possibility of reaching the upper limit in the second half of the year due to deteriorating deficit prospects [5] Group 6: Chinese Baijiu Industry Outlook - The Chinese baijiu industry is expected to see improved financial statements and clearer upward turning points in 2026, driven by a gradual recovery in consumer demand and innovative supply-side strategies [6] Group 7: Social Services Sector Stabilization - The social services sector in China is showing signs of stabilization and bottoming out after experiencing price pressures and same-store sales declines in 2024, with potential recovery in sub-sectors like hotels and duty-free shops [7] Group 8: Debt Market Projections - The central tendency of bond market interest rates is expected to rise slightly in 2026, with a forecasted range of 1.6%-2.0% for 10-year government bonds, influenced by neutral monetary policy and marginal improvements in the economic fundamentals [8] Group 9: Green Hydrogen Industry Development - Recent high-level meetings have set the tone for China's green development goals, emphasizing the acceleration of the green hydrogen industry as part of the broader transition to a low-carbon economy [9] Group 10: Liquid Cooling in Servers - 2025 is anticipated to be a breakout year for server liquid cooling, with significant shipments expected and increased participation from domestic manufacturers in the supply chain [10]

证券日报网讯 12月18日，招金黄金在互动平台回答投资者提问时表示，截至2025年12月10日，公司股 东人数约6万户。 （文章来源：证券日报） ...