第一财经每日精选最热门大公司动态，点击「听新闻」，一键收听。 【今日推荐】 保时捷中国称"不将小米当对手"是误读 近日，有消息称，保时捷CEO奥博穆在2025上海车展期间表示，"保时捷考虑在华停售电动汽车""保时 捷不将小米当对手"。4月29日，保时捷中国回应称，上述消息均是误读。"保时捷在中国仍将坚定不移 地推进电动化进程，也将加快提供产品数智化本土解决方案。我们下一款纯电车型将是全新的纯电动 Cayenne。"（中新经纬） 英伟达要在中国建合资公司？回应称毫无依据 4月29日，有消息援引报道称，在美国限制英伟达H20对华出口之际，英伟达为了维护其在中国市场的 CUDA生态地位，正在低调地启动"B计划"，即考虑在中国设立合资企业，并可能为未来将中国业务单 独拆分做准备。对此，英伟达回应称："这些说法没有任何依据。将毫无根据的主张和猜测作为事实发 表是不负责任的。" 沃尔玛通知中国供应商恢复出货 自美国总统特朗普所谓"对等关税"以来，全球零售巨头沃尔玛的态度出现戏剧性变化。从最初要求中国 供应商自行承担高额关税，到短短20天后迫于库存压力选择自行吸收关税、恢复中国进货。据《南华早 报》报道，江苏省和浙江省的部 ...

Core Insights - In the first quarter of 2025, Guangdong Province's crude oil processing volume reached 21.535 million tons, representing a 0.3% increase compared to the same period in 2024, but the growth rate has slowed down by 19.3 percentage points from the previous year [1] - The processing volume accounted for 11.8% of the national total of 182.248 million tons during the same period [1] Monthly Analysis - In March 2025, the crude oil processing volume in Guangdong Province was 7.501 million tons, showing a 1.9% increase year-on-year, but the growth rate decreased by 12.3 percentage points compared to March 2024 [2] - The March processing volume represented 11.9% of the national total of 63.058 million tons for that month [2]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [1] Core Views - The company's performance in Q4 is under pressure due to a significant decline in PX market conditions, with Q4 revenue at 81.3 billion yuan, down 5.6% year-on-year and 3.2% quarter-on-quarter, resulting in a net loss of 1.52 billion yuan [5][6] - The company is actively advancing its new materials projects, which are expected to enhance its growth trajectory in the future, particularly in the fields of renewable materials and high-end synthetic materials [7][8] - The company has implemented share buyback plans and has seen significant share purchases by major shareholders, reflecting confidence in its future development [8] Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 326.5 billion yuan, a slight increase of 0.4% year-on-year, but the net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 37% to 724 million yuan [5][10] - The report forecasts a decline in profitability for 2025-2026, with net profits expected to be 2.82 billion yuan and 4.01 billion yuan respectively, reflecting a downward adjustment of 28% and 34% [8][10] Market Conditions - The Brent crude oil average price in Q4 was 74 USD/barrel, down 11% year-on-year, impacting the company's margins negatively [6] - The report highlights that while refining and polyester yarn price differentials have expanded, the significant drop in PX price differentials has led to a decline in overall performance [6] New Materials Development - The company is focusing on expanding its new materials product line, including EVA, POE, DMC, PC, and ABS, with several projects already in production [7] - The successful trial production of various new materials indicates a strategic shift towards sustainable and high-value products [7] Shareholder Confidence - The company has executed three phases of share repurchase plans, totaling 5.53 billion shares, which is 5.46% of total shares, amounting to 6.99 billion yuan [8] - The consistent cash dividend policy over the past 15 years, with a payout ratio of 64.93% in the last three years, demonstrates a commitment to shareholder returns [8]

● 本季度报告已经中国石化第九届董事会第六次会议审议通过。本公司全体董事出席董事会审议季度报 告。 ● 中国石化董事长马永生先生，副董事长、总裁赵东先生，财务总监兼会计机构负责人寿东华女士保证 本季度报告中财务信息的真实、准确、完整。 ● 本季度报告中的财务报表未经审计。 一、主要财务数据 （一）主要会计数据和财务指标 重要内容提示 ● 中国石油化工股份有限公司（"中国石化""公司"或"本公司"）董事会、监事会及董事、监事、高级管 理人员保证本季度报告内容的真实、准确、完整，不存在虚假记载、误导性陈述或重大遗漏，并承担个 别和连带的法律责任。 1.按中国企业会计准则编制的主要会计数据及财务指标 ■ 2.非经常性损益项目和金额 单位：人民币百万元 ■ 3.按国际财务报告会计准则编制的主要会计数据及财务指标 ■ （二）公司主要会计数据、财务指标（按中国企业会计准则）发生大幅度变动的情况 ■ 二、股东信息 截至报告期末股东总数及前十名股东持股情况 ■ 注1：中国石油化工集团有限公司（"中国石化集团公司"）通过境外全资附属公司盛骏国际投资有限公 司持有1,042,664,000股H股，占中国石化股本总额的0.86%， ...

1. Report Industry Investment Ratings - Crude oil: Weak [1] - LPG: Sideways [1] - L: Bearish [1] - PP: Sideways [1] - PVC: Sideways [1] - PX: Bullish [1] - PTA/PR: Bullish [1] - Ethylene glycol: Bearish [1] - Glass: Sideways [1] - Soda ash: Sideways [1] - Methanol: Bearish [1] - Urea: Bearish [1] - Asphalt: Bearish [1] 2. Core Views of the Report - The trade policy uncertainty and OPEC+ production increase lead to a weak oil price, while the upcoming trade peak season strengthens the short - term downside support [2]. - LPG follows the oil price for consolidation, with short - term cost support but weak strength [7]. - For L, the high - operation of devices, abundant supply, and weakening demand result in a bearish outlook [10]. - PP shows a short - term support due to high parking ratio and weak supply - demand, but a bearish long - term outlook [13]. - PVC has a cost - supported low - level sideways movement, and short - term wait - and - see is recommended [16]. - PX has an improved April fundamental and is currently fluctuating with cost, showing a bullish sideways trend [18]. - PTA has reduced supply pressure, but the downstream polyester is expected to weaken, with a short - term bullish trend and opportunities to short at high levels [22]. - Ethylene glycol has a high arrival volume and expected weakening demand, with limited cost support and a bearish short - term adjustment [24]. - Glass has a stable low - level supply, seasonal demand improvement, but high inventory restricts the short - term rebound [27]. - Soda ash has a short - term warm sideways movement due to reduced supply, but a bearish mid - term outlook due to new capacity [1]. - Methanol has a large supply pressure, weakening demand, and weak cost support, with a bearish short - term outlook [29]. - Urea has a large supply pressure and weak demand, but fast - growing fertilizer exports, with a bearish outlook and opportunities to go long on pullbacks [33]. - Asphalt has a high crack spread and a bearish rebound, with a weak and sideways cost - end oil price [1]. 3. Summary by Related Catalogs 3.1 Crude Oil - **Market Performance**: Overnight international oil prices declined (WTI down 1.54%, Brent down 1.53%), while domestic SC rose 0.06% [2]. - **Supply**: As of April 25, the number of active US oil rigs increased by 2 to 483. Kazakhstan's March oil production decreased by about 3% to 62.7 barrels per day [2]. - **Demand**: In April, Russia's supply of ESPO blended oil to Indian ports increased to about 400,000 tons (about 100,000 barrels per day) [2]. - **Inventory**: As of April 18, US commercial crude oil inventory increased by 2 million barrels to 443.1 million barrels, and strategic crude oil reserve increased by 5 million barrels to 397.5 million barrels [2]. - **Strategy**: Long - term price range is $55 - 65, short - term is weak, and SC focuses on [480 - 500] [3]. 3.2 LPG - **Market Performance**: On April 28, the main PG contract closed at 4,395 yuan/ton, down 0.25% [5][6]. - **Supply**: As of April 25, the total LPG commodity volume was 515,500 tons, up 2,300 tons [7]. - **Demand**: As of April 25, the开工 rates of PDH, MTBE, and alkylation oil decreased by 3.09pct, 2.18pct, and 0.51pct respectively [7]. - **Inventory**: As of April 25, refinery inventory was 163,200 tons, down 1,000 tons, and port inventory was 2.8402 million tons, up 175,700 tons [7]. - **Strategy**: Long - term cost support is weak, follow the oil price for consolidation, and conduct PG05 - 06 positive spread operation and sell call options. PG focuses on [4350 - 4450] [7]. 3.3 L - **Market Performance**: L09 (main contract) closed at 7,164 yuan/ton, up 0.2% [9]. - **Supply**: New production capacity of 2.08 million tons has been put into operation this year, and the LLDPE, LDPE film, and HDPE film import windows are closed [10]. - **Demand**: The agricultural film season is ending, and demand is gradually weakening [10]. - **Inventory**: PE enterprise inventory increased by 5.9% to 530,000 tons [9]. - **Strategy**: Go short at high levels, and L focuses on [7080 - 7200] [10]. 3.4 PP - **Market Performance**: PP09 (main contract) closed at 7,112 yuan/ton, up 0.2% [12]. - **Supply**: Baofeng's 1 million tons/year PP device was successfully put into operation in the first quarter, and attention is paid to the commissioning progress of Zhongjing Petrochemical's 1.5 million tons/year PDH device [13]. - **Demand**: Product exports are under pressure due to tariff disturbances [13]. - **Inventory**: PP enterprise inventory decreased by 2.4% to 600,000 tons [12]. - **Strategy**: Short - term wait - and - see, mid - term short at high levels, and PP focuses on [7050 - 7150] [13]. 3.5 PVC - **Market Performance**: V09 (main contract) closed at 4,989 yuan/ton, up 0.6% [15]. - **Supply**: Xinpu Chemical's 500,000 - ton device was put into operation in January, and the capacity utilization rate is 79% [16]. - **Demand**: The decline in real - estate completion area narrows, and downstream开工率 decreases seasonally [16]. - **Inventory**: PVC仓单 decreased by 0.3% to 29,653 [15]. - **Strategy**: Short - term wait - and - see, go long on pullbacks, and V focuses on [4920 - 5060] [16]. 3.6 PX - **Market Performance**: On April 25, the spot price of PX in East China was 6,600 yuan/ton (flat), and the PX09 contract closed at 6,230 yuan/ton (+64) [17]. - **Supply**: Many domestic and overseas PX devices are under maintenance, with the weekly output of 647,000 tons, down 7,000 tons [18]. - **Demand**: PTA device maintenance is high, and the demand is expected to weaken [18]. - **Inventory**: In March, PX inventory was at a high level in the same period, and the number of warehouse receipts was 1,064, lower than the same period [18]. - **Strategy**: PX focuses on [6220 - 6320] [19]. 3.7 PTA - **Market Performance**: On April 25, the spot price of PTA in East China was 4,490 yuan/ton (+62), and the TA09 contract closed at 4,400 yuan/ton (+30) [20][21]. - **Supply**: Many PTA devices are under maintenance, with a weekly output of 1.393 million tons, up 55,000 tons [22]. - **Demand**: The downstream polyester is expected to weaken, and the terminal weaving inventory is high [22]. - **Inventory**: PTA social inventory decreased to 4.804 million tons in March, and the number of warehouse receipts decreased [22]. - **Strategy**: TA focuses on [4420 - 4520], and pay attention to shorting at high levels [22]. 3.8 Ethylene Glycol - **Market Performance**: On April 25, the spot price of ethylene glycol in East China was 4,184 yuan/ton (-32), and the EG09 contract closed at 4,160 yuan/ton (-19) [23]. - **Supply**: Many domestic and overseas devices are under maintenance, with a high expected arrival volume of 248,000 tons [24]. - **Demand**: The downstream polyester is expected to weaken, and the terminal weaving inventory is high [24]. - **Inventory**: Social inventory increased slightly, and port inventory decreased [24]. - **Strategy**: EG focuses on [4150 - 4220] [25]. 3.9 Glass - **Market Performance**: The spot market quotation is regionally differentiated, the futures is at a low - level sideways movement, the main contract basis narrows, and the number of warehouse receipts decreases [27]. - **Supply**: The glass supply remains stable at a low level, and the cold - repair plan of manufacturers slows down after the cost decreases [27]. - **Demand**: The demand shows a seasonal improvement but is lower than the same period, and the real - estate industry has not stabilized [27]. - **Inventory**: The total enterprise inventory increased by 395,000 heavy boxes to 65.473 million heavy boxes, up 0.61% [27]. - **Strategy**: FG focuses on [1100 - 1140] [27]. 3.10 Soda Ash - **Market Performance**: The spot market quotation is regionally differentiated, the futures is at a low - level sideways movement [1]. - **Supply**: There are many maintenance plans, and the supply is expected to decrease [1]. - **Demand**: No specific demand - related content mentioned in the provided documents. - **Inventory**: The alkali plant inventory decreases slightly [1]. - **Strategy**: No specific strategy content other than the price range in the provided documents. 3.11 Methanol - **Market Performance**: On April 25, the spot price of methanol in East China was 2,413 yuan/ton (+5), and the main 09 contract closed at 2,288 yuan/ton (-1) [29]. - **Supply**: Domestic and overseas methanol devices are under maintenance, but the supply pressure is still large, and the import is expected to increase in May [29]. - **Demand**: The demand of MTO devices is expected to weaken, and the traditional downstream demand is in the off - season [29]. - **Inventory**: The social inventory of methanol decreases slightly to 773,000 tons [29]. - **Strategy**: MA focuses on [2260 - 2310], and go short on rebounds [29][30]. 3.12 Urea - **Market Performance**: On April 25, the spot price of small - particle urea in Shandong was 1,830 yuan/ton (flat), and the main contract closed at 1,757 yuan/ton (-1) [32]. - **Supply**: The maintenance devices are gradually restarted, with a high daily output, and the supply pressure is large [33]. - **Demand**: It is the off - season for agricultural fertilization, and the industrial demand is weak, but fertilizer exports are growing fast [33]. - **Inventory**: The inventory accumulates, with the factory inventory at 1.065 million tons and the port inventory at 117,000 tons [33]. - **Strategy**: The price range of UR is [1760 - 1790], and pay attention to going long on pullbacks [33]. 3.13 Asphalt - **Market Performance**: No specific recent market performance content mentioned other than the price range in the provided documents. - **Supply**: No specific supply - related content mentioned in the provided documents. - **Demand**: No specific demand - related content mentioned in the provided documents. - **Inventory**: Both social and factory inventories are increasing [1]. - **Strategy**: The price range of BU is [3400 - 3500], and go short on rebounds [1].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the company [9][10]. Core Views - The company's Q1 revenue was 735.4 billion RMB, showing a decrease of 7% quarter-on-quarter but an increase of 4% year-on-year. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 13.3 billion RMB, which was above expectations due to reduced losses in the chemical segment and better-than-expected performance in non-oil marketing [1]. - The report highlights that traditional business profitability is under pressure, while non-oil business shows promising growth [1]. - The refining segment's profitability is under pressure due to high crude oil inventory, leading to a significant decline in refining margins [3]. - The marketing segment's profit declined due to weak domestic demand for refined oil products, although non-oil business profits increased [4]. - The chemical segment has reduced losses and is expected to benefit from a market recovery [5]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - Q1 revenue was 735.4 billion RMB, with a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 7% and a year-on-year increase of 4%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 13.3 billion RMB, with a significant year-on-year increase of 119% [1]. - Q1 crude oil production was 69.5 million barrels, down 1.2% year-on-year, while natural gas production increased by 5.1% to 368.4 billion cubic feet [2]. - The refining segment processed 62.1 million tons of crude oil, down 1.8% year-on-year, with refining margins narrowing to 6.2 USD per barrel, a decrease of 13.9% [3]. Segment Analysis - The marketing segment saw total domestic refined oil sales of 43.2 million tons, down 5.3% year-on-year, with retail sales declining by 6.4% [4]. - The chemical segment produced 386, 568, and 260 million tons of ethylene, synthetic resin, and synthetic fiber respectively, with year-on-year increases of 18%, 17%, and 27% [5]. Profitability Forecast - The report forecasts net profits attributable to shareholders for 2025, 2026, and 2027 to be 53.9 billion, 58.8 billion, and 61.6 billion RMB respectively, with EPS projected at 0.44, 0.48, and 0.51 RMB [6]. - The target prices are set at 6.82 RMB and 4.73 HKD for A and H shares respectively, based on a PE ratio of 15.5 and 10.0 for 2025 [6].

石油沥青日报 | 2025-04-29 现货端情绪边际改善，北强南弱格局延续 市场分析 1、4月28日沥青期货下午盘收盘行情：主力BU2506合约下午收盘价3451元/吨，较上一交易日涨跌幅+1.29%；持仓 136987手，环比减少948手，成交252561手，环比增加51080手。 2、卓创资讯重交沥青现货结算价：东北，3770-4086 元/吨；山东，3420-3650\t元/吨；华南，3270-3430 元/吨；华 东北以及山东地区沥青现货价格均出现上涨，华北地区沥青现货价格有所下跌，其余地区沥青现货价格大体企稳。 当前宏观与原油趋势尚不明朗，但沥青现货情绪出现边际改善的迹象。整体供需两弱的格局下，节前备货需求对 短期炼厂出货形成一定支撑，上周库存有小幅度去化。然而，目前仍缺乏持续性的利好因素，（相较于北方）南方 地区现货依旧表现疲软。 策略 单边：震荡 跨期：无 跨品种：无 期现：无 期权：无 风险 原油价格大幅波动、宏观风险、海外原料供应风险、沥青终端需求变动、装置开工负荷变动等 2025年期货市场研究报告 第1页 请仔细阅读本报告最后一页的免责声明 东，3500-3570 元/吨。 石油沥青日报 ...

科技日报记者 梁乐 通讯员 张治立 近日，科技日报记者在中国石化新疆库车绿氢示范项目（光伏绿氢智慧工厂）的中控室看到，技术 人员正紧盯绿氢智慧控制与调度系统的电子屏幕，密切关注工厂内52个电解槽的运行情况。源源不断的 绿色氢能替代天然气，被输送至炼化企业，实现低碳制造。 该项目位于新疆库车经开区，是我国规模最大的光伏发电直接制绿氢项目。2023年，库车经开区入 选国家首批碳达峰试点园区，成为新疆首个国家碳达峰试点园区。在推动经济高质量发展进程中，库车 经开区正朝着科技创新驱动和绿色集约发展的目标不断奋进，全力打造碳达峰试点园区。 产值首破550亿元大关 库车市化石能源富集，已探明的天然气储量3090.75亿立方米以上、原油储量14.22亿吨以上，占塔 里木盆地探明储量的90%以上。 为了充分发挥能源优势，库车经开区联合行业龙头企业，加速创新链与产业链的深度融合。 在库车经开区企业——中国石化塔河炼化有限责任公司（以下简称"塔河炼化"），各厂房生产的汽 油、柴油、航空煤油等产品，通过铁路专线直销各地。目前，该公司的原油加工能力每年达500万吨。 塔河炼化生产管理部高级主管王兴军介绍，按照中国石油化工集团公司构建 ...

港股早晨快訊 2025 年 4 月 29 日星期二 拜訪紀要 人瑞人才 (6919) 市場回顧 中港股市短期展望 恒指初步阻力參考 23,000 點：美國總統特朗普早前宣布，對部分國家 暫停實施新關稅，為期 90 天，但對中國進口產品徵收的關稅則大幅提 高。據報中央將召開會議，討論促進經濟增長及穩定資本市場的措施， 李強亦表示將根據需要及時推新增量政策，以有力政策應對外部不確定 性。市場預期中央將加大力度穩經濟，第三季將額外發債，以刺激國內 需求並減輕關稅打擊，同時憧憬在人民銀行的支持下，「國家隊」將加 大力度入市，並要求國企加大回購規模，以穩定市場。近日美國或轉軚， 特朗普表示將大減對華關稅，白宮發言人表示，美中就達成潛在貿易協 議方面的進展順利，恒指初步阻力參考 23,000 點。 短期看好板塊 中海油(0883)、建行(0939)、中銀香港(2388)、國壽(2628)等季績； 宏觀焦點 特稱習曾致電 京：中美元首近期未通話； WSJ：特朗普擬修改汽車關稅 減輕行業衝擊； 五方向穩就業促消費 政策今季落實； 貿戰開打前 港出口再飆18.5% 3月進口增16.6%勝預期； 企業消息 趙晞文 hayman. ...

在2025年第一季度业绩说明会上，中国石化财务总监寿东华回应公司一季度投资收益同比下降69.9%至16.47亿 元、亏损38.25亿元时表示，中国石化开展商品类金融衍生品业务符合金融衍生品业务的监管要求，配合实货 经营需求，运行规范，实现了平抑价格波动、防范市场风险的目标。一季度公司衍生品业务经营健康稳健，投 资收益中的套期保值业务盈亏变动是衍生品业务结算在会计上的体现。另外，中国石化联合营公司主要以下游 业务为主，一季度业绩同比有所下降。 ...