Group 1: Real Estate Policy - Beijing has implemented new real estate policies to stabilize the market, including reducing the social security or tax payment duration for non-Beijing residents to purchase homes within the Fifth Ring Road from 3 years to 2 years, and from 2 years to 1 year outside the Fifth Ring Road [2][7] - The new policies also support multi-child families, allowing eligible families to purchase additional homes within the Fifth Ring Road [2][7] - Credit policies have been optimized, with no distinction between first and second home loan interest rates, and the down payment ratio for second homes using public housing funds reduced to 25% [2][7] Group 2: Currency and Commodities - The offshore RMB briefly surpassed the 7.0 mark against the USD, reaching a low of 6.9999, driven by improved supply-demand dynamics and a declining USD index [2][7] - The global precious metals market saw significant gains, with gold surpassing $4500 per ounce, silver exceeding $72 per ounce, platinum breaking $2300 per ounce, and copper reaching $12159.50 per ton, influenced by liquidity expectations and supply-demand imbalances [2][7][8] Group 3: Stock Market Activity - A-shares financing balance reached a historic high of 25,145.96 billion yuan, increasing by 6,764.47 billion yuan since the second half of the year, indicating heightened market activity [3][8] - The AI hardware sector saw strong performance, with companies like Zhongji Xuchuang and Yingweike reaching new highs, following news of Nvidia's plans to deliver H200 chips to China [3][8] - Intel's stock fell over 5% in pre-market trading due to Nvidia pausing tests on Intel's 18A process technology, raising concerns about Intel's market position despite previous investments [3][8] Group 4: Economic Outlook - Analyst Ren Zeping describes the current bull market as a once-in-a-decade event, driven by policy easing, technological revolutions, and abundant liquidity, which are expected to support economic recovery and market growth [4][9] - The National Development and Reform Commission plans to accelerate the introduction of major foreign investment projects and improve the business environment to attract foreign capital [5][9] - The central bank and eight departments issued guidelines to support the construction of the Western Land-Sea New Corridor, proposing 21 measures to enhance financial cooperation and promote high-quality development [5][10]

美国总统特朗普重塑全球贸易格局的激进举措，以及他对美联储独立性的威胁，助长了今年早些时候的 黄金牛市。 "当前推动金银价格上涨的主要因素，是持续的实物需求叠加对宏观风险的敏感度回升，" Guardian Vaults的业务发展经理John Feeney表示。"我们看到的是动能持续增强而非受限，这表明市场存在本质上 的信心而非纯粹的投机泡沫。" 金价在一度突破每盎司4500美元大关再创新高后微跌。铂金下跌逾6%，同样从隔夜触及的历史高位回 落。 临近年底，部分交易员在贵金属市场经历一轮猛烈上涨后开始获利了结。即便如此，金价今年以来仍上 涨近70%，铂金价格则翻了一倍多。 技术指标支持了抛售行为。周三，黄金的14日相对强弱指数处于超买区间，预示着金价可能即将横盘整 理或出现回调。 金价近期上涨部分源于美国与委内瑞拉的紧张局势升级增强了黄金作为避险资产的吸引力。交易员们也 押注美联储在连续三次会议降息后，明年将再度降低借贷成本，这会对不产生收益的贵金属构成利好。 黄金和白银均有望创下1979年以来最佳年度表现。贵金属价格走高主要得益于央行买盘增加以及交易所 交易基金（ETF）持续吸金。世界黄金协会的数据显示，今年除 ...

Group 1 - In 2025, precious metals experienced unprecedented price increases, with gold rising by 70%, silver by over 140%, and platinum by over 160% [1][2] - The demand for safe-haven assets, central bank purchases, and expectations of Federal Reserve rate cuts are expected to support gold prices in the medium to long term [1][2] - The precious metals industry is undergoing structural changes, with upstream mining companies benefiting from price increases while downstream consumer-facing businesses face challenges [3][4] Group 2 - The Chinese government has outlined a development plan for the gold industry, aiming for a 5% to 10% increase in gold resources and production by 2027 [3] - New tax policies have been introduced to categorize gold transactions, enhancing the transparency and regulation of the gold market [3] - Upstream mining companies in China have reported significant revenue and profit growth due to rising gold prices, with some companies experiencing triple-digit growth [3][4] Group 3 - The refining segment of the industry is experiencing mixed outcomes, with increased sales of investment products benefiting from rising gold prices, but rising transaction costs posing challenges [5] - Downstream jewelry brands are adapting to high gold prices by focusing on smaller weight products, product innovation, and enhancing operational efficiency [6][7] - The market for platinum and silver is being explored as alternatives due to high gold prices, with some retailers considering shifting their inventory strategies [7] Group 4 - Analysts predict that the bullish trend for gold may continue into 2026, with silver expected to follow gold's lead but with greater price elasticity [8][9] - Platinum is anticipated to show strong price resilience and upward potential, influenced by both financial and fundamental factors [9]

Core Insights - The price of gold has reached a historic high, surpassing $4500 per ounce for the first time, driven by international market trends and increasing industrial demand for precious metals [2] - Silver, platinum, and palladium have seen even greater price increases recently, with silver prices rising nearly 50% in Q4 and surpassing $70 per ounce [2][4] - The strong performance of precious metals has exceeded many institutions' expectations, with gold prices hitting record highs over 40 times this year alone [2] Group 1: Factors Driving Precious Metal Prices - The significant rise in gold and other precious metals is attributed to multiple factors, including concerns over the creditworthiness of the US dollar and market sentiment, rather than just traditional safe-haven and anti-inflation motives [2][3] - The expansion of US debt has made gold and other precious metals appear as safer assets, contributing to their rising prices [3] Group 2: Industrial Demand and Market Dynamics - The industrial demand for silver and platinum has been a key driver of their price increases, with silver being essential for the transition to a green economy, particularly in solar and electric vehicle sectors [4] - Platinum's future is also promising due to its use in catalysts, with new opportunities arising from the hydrogen energy sector [4] Group 3: Market Sentiment and Future Outlook - The sustainability of the current bullish trend in precious metals will depend on the continued resonance between market demand and investor sentiment [4] - Analysts caution that the volatility of precious metal prices may lead to rapid profit-taking by investors, potentially resulting in price corrections [4]

2025.12.25 关税和非关税壁垒等表面上是增加了国际经贸的成本，其本质则是通过关税等提高国际经贸的相对价格 和信任成本，即关税等真正的要义是通过抬高国别贸易的相对价格，来重构重塑国际经贸的安全和信任 关系，从而加速国际产业链生态链的重塑重构。 当前安全和互信，正成为经济全球化的一个临界约束条件。 这一方面反映在新冠疫情发生之后，美国等发达国家对供应链产业链稳定与安全的诉求提升；另一方面 是俄乌冲突以来，欧美对俄罗斯离岸资产的行动，增加了各国对离岸资产安全性和信任感的动摇；此 外，还有一个技术成因，即数字技术、AI技术等的快速发展，推动经济社会结构重新匹配和搭建，放 大了人们对信用货币的不信任感。 本文字数：1830，阅读时长大约3分钟 作者 |第一财经 一财评论员 贵金属又起涨势，继续其大牛市行程。 连日来金银价格双双上涨，迭创历史新高。截至23日，现货白银最高达每盎司71.58美元，全年暴涨 139%；现货黄金最高涨至每盎司4499.85美元，全年上涨68%，两者均创下自1979年以来的最佳年度表 现；同时，国际铜价今年也同步刷新历史高点，23日伦敦铜价每吨最高冲至12159.50美元。 关于今年以来 ...

24日， 现货黄金继续拉升，盘中最高触及4525.70美元/盎司，再创历史新高。数据显示，现货黄金价格年内上涨了约1880美元/盎司，涨幅超过70%。同 日，现货白银价格继续冲高，盘中一度达到72.68美元/盎司，创历史新高。 图源：千图网 国内金饰价格应声上涨，24日，周生生金饰克价为1411元，较前一日上涨8元，较22日上涨44元；老凤祥为1406元，较前一日上涨7元，较22日上涨41元； 周大福为1410元，较前一日上涨7元，较22日上涨42元。 在金价疯涨之际，曾经爆火到大排长龙的上海黄金智能回收机却日渐冷清，尽管其黄金回收价已抬高至1010.5元/克，依然门可罗雀。"临近年底没有想到 金价涨幅如此猛烈，我们的老客户也说都后悔卖早了。现在扩张的机器回收业务不如以前，对于未来金价的走势市场预期还会继续上涨，客户'捂金'不卖 很正常。"运营方工作人员说。 不过，也有投资者宣布离场。11月下旬，知名经济学家洪灏在一场活动中称："我在金价4500美元/盎司时卖了。" 有色金属市场方面，受全球多个矿山停产导致的供应短缺以及特朗普政府潜在关税政策影响， 伦敦铜价周二盘中首次突破每吨12000美元大关，创下历史 新 ...

Core Viewpoint - The metal market is experiencing a significant price surge, with various metals reaching historical highs due to a combination of macroeconomic factors, geopolitical tensions, and supply-demand dynamics [2][4][6]. Group 1: Price Movements - On December 24, 2023, gold reached a peak of $4,525.83 per ounce, while silver hit $72.701 per ounce, and copper reached $12,282 per ton [2][4][5]. - Domestic futures for gold and silver also saw significant increases, with gold futures peaking at 1,022.88 yuan per gram and silver at 17,671 yuan per kilogram [2][5]. - Platinum and palladium futures also surged, with platinum reaching 675.65 yuan per gram and palladium at 578.45 yuan per gram [2][5]. Group 2: Market Drivers - The price increases are attributed to a combination of a declining interest rate environment, geopolitical tensions, and structural changes in supply and demand [2][6]. - Analysts suggest that the weakening of the dollar and the expansion of U.S. government debt are contributing to the rise in metal prices, as metals are typically priced in dollars [6][7]. - The demand for metals is also being driven by the growth of the AI industry, which requires substantial amounts of metals for infrastructure development [6][7]. Group 3: Supply and Demand Dynamics - Supply constraints and rising demand are creating a favorable environment for price increases, particularly for copper, which is experiencing a supply crisis [8][9]. - The global inventory of many base metals is at historically low levels, which reduces the market's ability to respond to supply-demand shocks [8]. - Specific factors affecting copper prices include anticipated supply shortages and increased demand from the AI sector, as well as geopolitical factors affecting supply chains [8][9]. Group 4: Future Outlook - Analysts predict that the upward trend in metal prices is likely to continue, although there may be short-term volatility due to profit-taking and market corrections [10][11]. - The copper market, in particular, is expected to face pressures from high prices and weak demand, but the long-term outlook remains positive due to structural supply-demand imbalances [12]. - The market is advised to remain cautious of potential corrections, especially if macroeconomic conditions change, such as shifts in interest rate expectations [11][12].

Core Viewpoint - The metal market is experiencing a price surge, with gold, silver, copper, platinum, and palladium reaching historical highs due to a combination of macroeconomic policies, geopolitical factors, and supply-demand dynamics [3][6][10]. Price Trends - On December 24, 2025, gold reached a peak of $4,525.83 per ounce, while silver hit $72.701 per ounce. Domestic futures for gold and silver also saw significant increases, with gold futures reaching 1,022.88 yuan per gram and silver futures at 17,671 yuan per kilogram [3][7]. - Platinum and palladium futures also surged, with platinum reaching 675.65 yuan per gram and palladium at 578.45 yuan per gram [7][10]. - Copper prices reached a historical high of $12,282 per ton on the LME, with domestic futures peaking at 96,750 yuan per ton [7][11]. Supply and Demand Dynamics - The price increases are attributed to rigid supply constraints and elastic demand, with analysts noting that the current macroeconomic environment, including a global easing of monetary policy, has created favorable conditions for metal prices [6][10]. - The demand for metals is further supported by the growth of the AI industry, which requires substantial amounts of metals for infrastructure development [8][10]. Specific Drivers for Metal Prices - Gold's rise is linked to its safe-haven status amid global economic uncertainties and a series of interest rate cuts by the U.S. Federal Reserve [10]. - Silver's price increase is influenced by tight global inventories and its strategic resource classification following U.S. policy changes [10]. - The demand for platinum and palladium is driven by their low valuation and supply shortages, particularly as European regulations on fuel vehicles are relaxed [10][12]. - Copper's price surge is fueled by supply constraints and increased demand from the AI sector, with expectations of a deepening global copper supply crisis [11][12]. Market Sentiment and Future Outlook - Analysts predict that the strong performance of precious metals will continue in the short term, although there are concerns about potential volatility and corrections following significant price increases [13][16]. - The market is currently characterized by high speculative activity, particularly in nickel and palladium, which may lead to price corrections if investment sentiment shifts [16][17]. - For copper, while short-term risks exist due to weak demand and profit-taking, the long-term outlook remains positive, with expectations of continued price strength [17].

金银价格回调，现货黄金回落至4470美元/盎司下方。黄金白银股普跌，科尔黛伦矿业跌近4%，Vista黄 金跌3.7%，Silvercorp Metals、First Majestic Silver跌2.5%，埃氏金业跌1.5%，金罗斯黄金、泛美白银跌 超1%。(格隆汇) （原标题：美股异动丨金银价格回调，黄金白银股普跌） ...

在金价不断刷新历史高位并长期跑赢美股的背景下，华尔街资深市场策略师Ed Yardeni抛出了一项惊人的长期预测：黄金价格有望在本十年末飙升 至每盎司10000美元。 受美联储进一步降息预期及美元走软推动，黄金现货价格在24日创下每盎司4500美元的历史新高。作为避险资产，黄金在2025年表现强劲，年内 涨幅已高达约67%。市场资金持续涌入，推动这一传统资产在动荡的市场环境中展现出极强的韧性。 Yardeni Research总裁Ed Yardeni近日指出，黄金在投资组合中继续扮演着至关重要的多元化角色，且历史经验表明，黄金的上涨行情往往会超出 市场预期。他预计到2029年年底，金价将触及10000美元大关，这与其对标普500指数同期的目标点位一致。这意味着在未来几年内，黄金将不仅 仅是防御性工具，更可能成为与权益资产并驾齐驱的增长引擎。 根据Sherwood和Koyfin的数据，黄金在过去25年中跑赢了美国股市。 冲击10000美元的新目标 Ed Yardeni在其最新的市场展望中，将黄金的目标价设定在2029年达到10000美元。这一预测基于其"咆哮的2020年代"宏观框架，即认为经济和市 场将经历类似1 ...